Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Arsenal 2 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          10   25  +13       4.66    86.90     2.46    77.20     7.79    35.26    30.94    52.99    70.09    82.76    96.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +8       1.46    63.16     0.48    73.56     7.61    31.39    14.81    33.39    52.97    70.06    92.29     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        10   20   +7       2.11    68.61     0.61    68.37     7.81    22.06     4.98    14.00    26.22    42.09    76.93     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         10   19  +17      -1.91    30.61     5.10    77.38     7.43    50.20    32.77    57.33    73.98    85.65    97.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      10   19   +7       4.85    87.54     6.49    54.55     7.72     2.50     0.09     0.35     1.13     3.00    13.44     0.48R    0.01  
Tottenham         9   19   +4       3.08    77.71    -1.19    65.16     8.00    13.49     2.37     7.26    14.97    26.23    61.02     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           9   18   +4       3.47    80.20     0.90    64.11     8.07    13.44     1.92     5.75    12.48    22.76    55.65     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   17   +4      -2.21    28.99    -5.11    72.46     7.63    31.71    12.10    28.74    47.46    65.25    89.84     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        10   14   -2       1.93    68.28     1.14    48.59     7.84    -9.26     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.51     3.80     3.86R    0.22  
Hull             10   14   -2       4.11    85.57     3.94    41.07     7.30   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    19.22R    1.58  
West_Brom        10   13   +0      -0.06    50.13     1.16    49.91     7.83    -2.80     0.01     0.07     0.24     0.75     5.11     2.71R    0.10  
Swansea           9   11   +1      -0.40    47.12     2.33    48.58     7.85    -2.70     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.56     3.87     3.82R    0.15  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -3       0.59    57.15     2.28    45.28     7.67    -9.90     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     1.44     8.12R    0.54  
West_Ham         10   10   +0      -2.50    28.49     1.64    44.39     7.65    -6.38     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     1.12     9.62R    0.63  
Fulham           10   10   -5      -2.49    28.34    -2.91    44.00     7.63   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.98    11.03R    0.71  
Stoke            10    9   -4      -2.15    30.21    -0.31    41.70     7.38   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.46    16.11R    1.21  
Cardiff           9    9   -5       0.19    53.77     0.36    39.70     7.85   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.30    26.34R    3.36  
Norwich          10    8  -14      -1.40    37.59    -6.43    36.72     7.41   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    41.89R    6.13  
Sunderland       10    4  -15      -6.50     4.63   -10.19    32.76     7.24   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    62.41R   13.34  
Crystal_Palace   10    3  -15      -3.79    13.85    -2.76    23.41     6.76   -46.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.37R   72.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Birmingham 0 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         14   33  +17       9.58    96.88    10.65    85.87     8.73    30.90    31.50    53.67    90.86    62.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       14   32  +11       7.51    92.83     2.88    85.18     8.75    25.22    27.69    49.01    89.39    59.62P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             14   31   +9       7.43    92.33     2.63    83.41     8.77    21.59    20.40    40.23    85.05    52.54P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       14   27   +6       5.55    84.75     2.55    75.58     8.71    13.25     4.84    12.83    56.83    22.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         14   23   +5      -0.56    45.42    -1.65    74.64     9.14    17.15     4.58    12.19    53.68    23.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   23   +5       2.01    65.00     2.20    68.38     8.73     7.42     0.98     3.04    25.99     7.95P    0.34R    0.01  
Watford         14   22   +7      -0.60    45.59     1.58    74.68     8.81    20.79     4.38    11.60    55.07    22.89P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    14   20   +2       0.96    57.83     2.16    63.55     8.82     1.50     0.23     0.98    12.37     3.14P    1.52R    0.13  
Blackburn       14   19   +4      -1.50    39.16     2.03    66.24     8.75     9.37     0.49     1.82    19.66     5.96P    0.67R    0.04  
Wigan           13   19   +4      -2.61    30.61    -1.73    73.28     9.36    17.95     3.73    10.09    48.35    21.43P    0.16R    0.01  
Derby           14   19   +3      -0.05    50.38     3.33    65.79     8.84     7.33     0.45     1.71    18.31     5.03P    0.85R    0.07  
Brighton        14   18   +1      -3.35    26.31    -2.26    66.57     8.62     8.35     0.51     1.84    20.17     6.65P    0.58R    0.04  
Ipswich         14   17   +2      -1.25    41.24     3.41    58.65     8.71    -1.29     0.05     0.20     4.75     1.12P    4.92R    0.54  
Huddersfield    14   17   +2      -0.52    46.85     4.46    57.10     8.67    -3.60     0.03     0.15     3.15     0.64P    7.05R    0.82  
Bournemouth     14   17   -9       2.32    68.30    -0.93    50.08     8.67   -27.83     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.09P   27.71R    6.03  
Middlesbrough   14   15   +1      -4.47    19.81     0.56    56.86     8.86    -2.55     0.04     0.14     3.38     0.85P    7.51R    0.98  
Charlton        13   14   -4      -3.01    27.89    -2.93    59.10     8.73    -3.73     0.04     0.21     4.82     1.24P    4.58R    0.55  
Millwall        14   14  -11      -2.18    34.65    -6.46    50.69     8.49   -22.34     0.01     0.02     0.53     0.12P   23.82R    4.62  
Bolton          14   13   -7      -6.30    11.40    -7.25    58.11     8.80    -5.16     0.04     0.18     4.08     1.03P    6.04R    0.74  
Doncaster       13   12  -11      -0.50    47.76    -2.60    46.21     8.80   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   44.19R   13.45  
Sheff_Wed       13   11   -3      -5.31    14.21    -0.76    50.83     8.83   -11.30     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.16P   22.54R    4.59  
Birmingham      14   11   -7      -7.31     7.91    -5.57    54.91     8.84    -6.89     0.02     0.07     2.02     0.53P   11.63R    1.86  
Barnsley        14   10  -15      -3.58    24.31    -5.68    43.20     8.41   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   58.40R   21.91  
Yeovil          14    9  -12      -2.97    28.39    -0.65    38.55     8.20   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   77.36R   43.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Bristol_City 1 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.86    98.72    15.48    90.08     8.73    38.50    20.13    53.64    96.90    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   14   35  +19       6.95    91.36     5.53    98.15     8.72    49.03    61.75    84.55    99.59    89.77P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       4.08    75.91     1.74    88.23     8.81    34.55    15.10    43.15    94.95    59.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.94    81.30     4.80    73.58     8.69    13.03     0.51     3.38    51.26    12.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.75    74.95    -0.96    72.39     8.58     7.30     0.38     2.41    44.68    10.93P    0.17R    0.01  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.65    74.39    11.74    60.63     8.73     2.37     0.01     0.15     8.24     1.43P    5.56R    0.46  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.32    27.18     0.12    76.84     8.76    26.17     1.36     7.18    67.54    25.31P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.64    31.58    -2.22    71.70     8.77    14.67     0.34     2.20    43.51    12.72P    0.28R    0.00  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.18    58.97     1.70    66.38     8.72     4.78     0.06     0.55    21.07     4.50P    1.47R    0.09  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       3.99    76.69     4.96    56.51     8.83   -13.14     0.00     0.04     3.31     0.49P   15.03R    2.09  
Coventry        15   20  +12       4.96    81.05     5.15    71.36     8.88    25.84     0.33     2.52    43.46    13.20P    0.35R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.38    67.11     2.05    58.98     9.00    -9.34     0.01     0.07     6.13     1.01P    9.65R    1.21  
Crawley_Town    14   19   -2       1.05    58.48     0.19    58.41     8.80    -9.30     0.01     0.07     5.21     0.82P   10.19R    1.24  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.02    51.09     0.44    53.86     8.42   -13.80     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.16P   21.69R    3.52  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.17    35.17     2.49    56.33     8.48    -4.00     0.00     0.01     2.70     0.45P   13.42R    1.84  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.63    31.95     0.63    51.79     8.45   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.13P   28.85R    5.32  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.15    35.82    -0.49    50.00     8.52   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P   37.42R    8.26  
Carlisle        14   15  -12       0.04    51.70    -5.03    48.65     8.46   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P   45.09R   12.19  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.35    27.13    -3.07    51.37     8.40   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.10P   31.01R    5.97  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.87    18.89    -9.93    50.27     8.44   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P   36.52R    8.03  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.35    41.25    -8.62    42.42     8.04   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   73.88R   35.62  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.37     3.93   -11.19    56.42     8.56    -7.12     0.00     0.02     2.80     0.67P   13.57R    1.77  
Bristol_City    14   10   -6      -9.54     3.67    -6.08    55.70     9.49    -3.79     0.00     0.06     3.76     0.87P   17.64R    3.24  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.13     4.17    -9.43    49.73     8.66   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.13P   38.06R    9.12  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       5.98    85.90     7.80    73.80     8.74    14.93    11.58    32.61    65.06    39.92P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.32    72.46     6.87    73.69     8.61    17.71    11.43    32.65    65.50    40.95P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.66    61.68     1.46    76.74     8.58    19.01    18.78    45.61    77.19    55.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.61    73.76     1.33    71.39     8.85     8.15     7.34    23.19    53.48    30.15P    0.19R    0.05  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.43    78.67     2.04    67.36     8.73     1.93     2.94    11.78    35.32    16.72P    0.60R    0.17  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.74    62.33     0.50    69.73     8.77     7.78     5.19    17.96    46.40    25.09P    0.28R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.91    75.56     2.76    67.94     8.74     3.96     3.20    12.71    38.11    17.98P    0.59R    0.17  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.48    53.30    -4.39    72.12     8.97     8.28     8.72    26.02    56.68    34.31P    0.17R    0.05  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.09    49.63     0.24    71.14     8.62    12.30     6.62    22.47    53.78    31.18P    0.18R    0.04  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.85    85.36     8.36    56.96     8.63   -10.36     0.21     1.28     6.68     2.19P    8.55R    3.27  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.95    70.60     2.73    63.74     8.62    -0.64     1.22     5.68    21.83     8.93P    1.59R    0.46  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.93    57.19     1.64    65.18     8.85     3.51     1.98     8.50    27.84    12.89P    1.14R    0.36  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.19    35.13    -1.85    67.88     8.98     8.61     3.87    13.98    39.19    21.17P    0.58R    0.15  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.25    72.95     3.96    58.47     8.72    -7.09     0.32     1.78     9.25     3.20P    6.33R    2.39  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.93    76.78     3.31    57.53     8.50   -11.07     0.17     1.22     6.90     2.14P    7.64R    2.87  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.75    24.99    -5.82    74.68     9.41    17.55    15.80    38.16    67.83    47.96P    0.14R    0.04  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.27    48.86    -2.31    55.51     8.23   -10.82     0.06     0.51     4.02     1.21P   10.48R    4.03  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.26    28.46    -5.49    58.37     8.71    -7.71     0.24     1.59     8.83     3.33P    6.69R    2.54  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.68    38.68     1.21    52.83     8.34   -11.27     0.02     0.26     2.42     0.69P   17.76R    7.74  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.31    21.78    -2.92    52.04     8.54   -12.57     0.03     0.25     2.12     0.61P   20.83R    9.69  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.90    18.71    -5.56    53.19     8.47   -12.71     0.04     0.32     2.65     0.82P   17.23R    7.80  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.16     7.12    -4.83    57.27     8.92    -1.29     0.22     1.36     7.99     3.23P    8.60R    3.50  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.64    14.39    -4.38    45.20     8.26   -22.05     0.01     0.03     0.28     0.06P   51.55R   32.79  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.90     4.64    -6.67    47.65     8.50   -16.13     0.01     0.07     0.66     0.18P   38.77R   21.79  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    17   38  +18      10.29    96.64    11.41    85.11     7.90    29.42    33.96    88.80    46.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    17   32  +10       1.71    61.38    -1.03    81.99     7.86    26.13    20.47    79.63    37.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton            17   31  +14       2.15    64.31     5.07    81.78     7.94    31.18    20.30    79.55    36.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.25    58.20    -0.21    78.53     7.88    21.64    10.13    65.63    25.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.21    88.93     6.72    68.10     8.40     3.46     1.04    18.06     3.78P    0.35R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +9       4.75    79.19     7.48    69.12     7.90     9.39     1.03    20.98     4.44P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnet           17   28   +8      -1.82    37.58    -2.21    78.13     8.11    24.22    10.52    64.01    26.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Welling          17   28   +5       5.98    83.47     7.20    66.51     8.36     2.54     0.60    14.15     2.79P    0.79R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    17   28   +2       6.03    85.16     4.55    66.27     8.10    -1.24     0.49    12.33     2.10P    0.68R    0.01  
Nuneaton         17   27   +0       5.69    83.92     3.28    62.94     7.84    -6.05     0.13     5.60     0.85P    1.66R    0.02  
Gateshead        17   26   +4       2.03    63.60     3.07    66.01     7.96     4.43     0.41    11.71     2.42P    0.59R    0.00  
Halifax          17   25   +0       4.30    76.89     5.05    60.86     8.44    -6.94     0.11     4.44     0.80P    3.81R    0.05  
Lincoln_City     17   22   +0      -0.08    50.03     1.79    61.14     7.95    -0.71     0.08     3.97     0.78P    2.73R    0.02  
Macclesfield     17   22   -1      -2.02    36.69    -2.04    61.12     8.02    -1.96     0.09     4.08     0.83P    2.90R    0.05  
Forest_Green     17   21   +1      -4.28    23.11    -2.16    63.15     8.10     4.57     0.21     6.89     1.60P    1.67R    0.01  
Southport        17   21   -5       0.66    55.66    -0.33    56.29     7.78   -12.91     0.01     0.96     0.15P    9.15R    0.19  
Wrexham          17   19   -3      -8.43     7.00    -9.66    65.14     8.06     6.66     0.31    10.38     3.06P    0.84R    0.01  
Dartford         17   18  -10      -2.56    33.05    -5.46    52.33     7.84   -18.68     0.00     0.27     0.03P   20.80R    0.60  
Hereford         17   17   -6      -7.07    11.19    -7.19    57.73     7.92    -4.33     0.02     1.51     0.36P    6.40R    0.11  
Tamworth         17   17   -9      -1.10    43.52    -1.19    49.80     7.61   -19.98     0.00     0.06     0.01P   30.52R    1.43  
Woking           17   14  -10      -5.74    15.85    -3.84    45.87     7.66   -23.69     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.72R    3.42  
Chester          17   14  -13      -1.82    38.51    -1.34    43.44     7.85   -28.86     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.89R    7.18  
Aldershot        17   13   +2      -5.07    19.33    -5.25    63.11     8.08    17.86     0.11     6.95     2.45P    1.60R    0.03  
Hyde_United      17    3  -30     -11.61     0.53   -13.72    28.26     7.30   -56.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R   86.85  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10