Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 31 October 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 9 22 +11 3.55 81.12 1.32 75.74 8.04 33.39 25.49 45.97 63.25 77.00 93.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 9 20 +10 2.97 77.29 2.69 76.74 7.92 36.31 29.46 52.00 68.90 81.64 95.85 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 9 20 +9 2.81 75.24 1.56 70.17 8.08 24.70 8.83 20.89 35.63 51.42 82.21 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 9 19 +4 3.17 78.30 -1.05 65.61 8.14 14.16 2.96 8.56 17.18 29.02 62.49 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 9 18 +7 5.32 90.64 6.63 54.84 7.96 2.53 0.10 0.50 1.37 3.39 14.84 0.63R 0.02 Everton 9 18 +4 3.38 79.51 0.73 64.15 8.04 13.41 1.92 5.96 12.72 23.28 55.54 0.02R 0.00 Man_City 9 16 +10 -1.80 31.70 1.45 74.58 7.78 40.25 21.16 41.81 59.93 74.84 93.50 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 9 14 +2 -3.14 20.83 -5.94 70.95 8.02 29.52 10.04 24.11 40.29 57.24 85.24 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 9 11 +1 -0.42 47.10 2.34 48.80 7.91 -2.23 0.01 0.07 0.21 0.61 4.07 3.79R 0.19 Hull 9 11 -3 2.79 78.36 3.29 38.71 7.65 -20.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.22 31.07R 4.52 Newcastle 9 11 -4 0.16 52.70 -1.19 44.86 7.96 -14.66 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.19 1.49 10.19R 1.03 West_Brom 9 10 -2 -0.70 44.12 0.65 48.75 8.08 -4.05 0.02 0.06 0.23 0.64 4.38 4.05R 0.23 Aston_Villa 9 10 -3 0.79 59.62 2.11 45.27 7.94 -10.38 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 1.59 9.08R 0.86 Fulham 9 10 -3 -1.82 33.46 -2.07 45.31 7.99 -10.18 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.27 1.80 9.17R 0.77 West_Ham 9 9 +0 -2.15 30.44 1.62 45.00 7.89 -5.91 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.18 1.64 9.29R 0.81 Cardiff 9 9 -5 0.23 54.31 0.41 39.40 7.92 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.29 28.66R 4.36 Stoke 9 8 -4 -1.74 33.21 -0.32 42.22 7.62 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.58 15.82R 1.37 Norwich 9 8 -7 -1.63 35.28 -2.74 39.02 7.73 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 30.11R 4.51 Sunderland 9 4 -14 -5.27 7.87 -9.26 33.99 7.51 -29.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 56.28R 12.61 Crystal_Palace 9 3 -13 -3.24 17.16 -2.24 24.43 7.08 -44.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.82R 68.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 October 2013, Wigan 0 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 13 32 +17 10.28 98.19 11.07 86.37 9.03 31.03 35.29 55.80 91.06 64.53P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 13 29 +8 6.37 89.81 0.62 81.78 8.90 19.46 17.26 34.41 80.41 46.23P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 13 28 +8 6.28 89.49 2.32 81.85 9.05 20.66 17.20 34.96 79.93 47.38P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 13 24 +5 4.03 78.36 1.74 73.13 8.83 11.00 3.08 8.49 45.82 16.49P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 13 23 +8 0.35 52.17 0.66 78.04 9.32 23.26 10.11 22.43 67.40 35.51P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 13 23 +6 3.29 74.51 3.04 70.75 9.05 9.88 2.05 6.09 35.82 12.35P 0.17R 0.01 Watford 13 22 +10 0.44 53.26 3.96 77.86 9.09 26.83 9.68 21.88 67.76 33.99P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 13 19 +4 0.78 56.21 3.58 66.92 9.00 8.06 0.78 2.51 21.89 6.49P 0.73R 0.06 Huddersfield 13 17 +3 0.22 52.71 4.53 57.99 8.80 -3.38 0.05 0.21 4.21 0.86P 5.97R 0.85 Leeds_United 13 17 +0 0.29 53.21 1.67 61.86 8.97 -0.64 0.17 0.71 9.29 2.32P 2.66R 0.31 Bournemouth 13 17 -7 3.13 74.32 0.19 52.43 9.04 -24.22 0.00 0.04 1.20 0.18P 20.14R 4.40 Blackburn 13 16 +3 -2.56 30.89 1.90 64.78 8.91 8.52 0.41 1.45 15.61 4.76P 1.23R 0.13 Wigan 12 16 +3 -3.60 23.29 -1.75 72.14 9.49 17.58 3.33 8.73 43.41 18.97P 0.20R 0.02 Ipswich 13 16 +2 -0.63 45.69 3.81 60.12 9.04 0.28 0.14 0.52 7.02 1.76P 4.18R 0.51 Middlesbrough 13 15 +2 -3.51 24.45 0.95 57.72 9.01 -2.43 0.06 0.22 4.28 1.01P 6.73R 0.95 Brighton 13 15 -1 -4.38 19.28 -3.44 64.52 8.78 5.70 0.29 1.13 14.54 4.62P 1.17R 0.10 Millwall 13 13 -11 -1.97 35.38 -6.67 50.34 8.68 -23.41 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.08P 26.13R 5.89 Doncaster 12 12 -9 0.28 54.10 -1.57 48.23 8.93 -24.74 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.04P 35.31R 10.16 Charlton 12 11 -5 -4.54 17.16 -3.74 56.32 8.98 -6.38 0.03 0.13 2.89 0.76P 9.06R 1.43 Birmingham 13 11 -6 -6.03 11.21 -4.69 57.16 8.98 -4.52 0.03 0.17 3.66 0.92P 7.62R 1.16 Bolton 13 10 -9 -7.49 6.22 -8.53 55.77 9.02 -8.29 0.03 0.11 2.57 0.66P 10.63R 1.80 Yeovil 13 9 -10 -2.58 31.05 -0.23 40.13 8.54 -33.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 71.08R 37.52 Barnsley 13 9 -15 -3.72 22.28 -6.37 43.01 8.53 -34.02 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 59.26R 24.36 Sheff_Wed 12 8 -6 -6.41 7.74 -3.04 47.19 8.82 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 37.64R 10.35League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2013, Notts_County 3 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 14 35 +22 10.49 97.91 13.95 86.76 9.06 33.85 13.22 37.86 93.29 51.68P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 13 32 +17 6.33 90.19 5.03 96.88 9.01 47.60 55.35 81.81 99.36 87.95P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 14 32 +15 5.02 82.45 2.98 91.70 9.10 39.90 28.63 63.14 97.57 74.28P 0.00 0.00 Preston 14 26 +7 5.53 84.91 5.14 74.75 8.96 14.22 0.88 4.95 57.73 15.94P 0.12R 0.00 Brentford 14 24 +2 2.19 65.75 -1.82 70.78 8.90 6.34 0.33 2.05 39.24 10.16P 0.43R 0.02 Bradford 14 22 +10 3.96 76.85 11.77 61.58 9.08 3.16 0.03 0.29 11.54 2.18P 5.50R 0.48 Walsall 14 22 +3 2.15 65.94 2.12 67.54 8.93 5.43 0.09 0.92 26.64 6.05P 1.18R 0.04 Swindon 14 20 +6 -3.80 23.38 -0.98 74.51 8.96 21.96 0.84 4.88 58.35 21.21P 0.13R 0.00 Port_Vale 14 20 +0 2.94 71.05 3.56 60.25 9.20 -6.26 0.02 0.17 8.81 1.61P 8.15R 0.92 Rotherham 14 20 -1 4.43 79.99 4.96 57.07 9.12 -12.71 0.01 0.07 4.36 0.66P 14.96R 2.02 MK_Dons 14 19 +3 -3.91 23.55 -2.72 70.31 9.01 14.05 0.31 1.92 39.13 11.98P 0.68R 0.02 Crawley_Town 13 19 -1 2.09 66.14 0.75 60.20 9.15 -7.69 0.03 0.15 8.57 1.47P 7.96R 0.91 Coventry 14 17 +9 4.38 78.86 3.77 69.07 9.10 21.75 0.25 1.62 35.34 10.51P 0.93R 0.06 Colchester 14 16 -5 0.28 53.06 0.30 54.11 8.66 -13.83 0.00 0.01 1.85 0.27P 22.16R 3.71 Carlisle 13 15 -11 1.02 59.44 -4.61 50.40 8.81 -28.24 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.11P 38.51R 9.18 Oldham 14 14 -4 -2.36 33.38 0.48 51.49 8.62 -13.79 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.14P 31.38R 6.02 Stevenage 14 14 -6 -2.92 29.64 -2.61 52.20 8.70 -14.74 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.18P 29.14R 5.28 Shrewsbury 14 13 -3 -3.45 25.95 1.02 53.56 8.69 -7.64 0.00 0.01 1.71 0.33P 22.97R 4.15 Gillingham 14 12 -7 -3.43 26.57 -0.88 48.14 8.89 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.07P 46.98R 13.21 Sheff_Utd 14 12 -8 -8.27 5.78 -9.56 58.88 8.88 -3.51 0.00 0.06 6.00 1.51P 9.56R 1.13 Tranmere 14 12 -14 -4.77 18.24 -10.33 50.17 8.67 -23.03 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 38.54R 8.70 Crewe 14 12 -19 -1.13 42.96 -8.63 42.61 8.38 -41.62 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 73.11R 34.69 Notts_County 14 10 -9 -8.61 4.72 -7.91 51.66 8.93 -12.96 0.00 0.01 1.19 0.23P 31.02R 6.45 Bristol_City 13 9 -6 -8.93 4.32 -5.78 56.63 9.73 -2.94 0.00 0.08 5.25 1.34P 16.56R 2.99 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2013, York 4 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 14 26 +11 4.78 81.42 8.01 76.36 8.82 20.65 16.97 43.25 75.10 51.56P 0.03R 0.01 Rochdale 14 26 +5 5.09 82.41 2.52 74.41 9.13 11.74 12.33 33.81 65.33 41.11P 0.08R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 14 25 +7 5.39 84.21 6.28 71.09 8.99 10.37 6.64 21.95 52.19 28.45P 0.21R 0.06 Chesterfield 14 25 +7 2.22 66.20 1.75 77.36 8.79 19.39 19.92 47.21 78.12 56.13P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 14 24 +4 2.69 69.24 0.82 70.92 8.87 8.58 6.18 20.73 50.90 28.38P 0.20R 0.06 Burton_Albion 14 24 +3 5.22 83.37 3.71 69.90 8.95 5.83 4.69 17.61 46.02 23.52P 0.32R 0.08 Newport_County 14 23 +6 6.30 88.10 9.79 58.97 8.93 -6.10 0.40 2.31 10.45 3.74P 5.11R 1.73 Dag_&_Red 14 23 +3 3.95 76.95 3.17 65.01 8.83 0.27 1.62 7.32 25.99 11.08P 1.09R 0.32 Scunthorpe 14 23 +0 0.77 55.41 -4.48 71.82 9.28 7.39 8.35 24.59 54.40 32.64P 0.25R 0.07 Morecambe 14 22 +1 2.98 71.56 1.30 64.78 8.92 -0.63 1.60 7.17 25.29 10.87P 1.32R 0.42 Mansfield 14 21 +3 3.48 74.81 5.29 61.16 9.02 -2.05 0.75 3.57 15.29 5.93P 3.20R 1.09 Wycombe 13 20 +3 1.42 61.16 1.84 65.69 9.07 3.71 2.23 9.14 29.73 13.85P 0.98R 0.31 Southend 14 20 +1 -0.76 44.58 -1.39 68.54 8.81 7.96 3.60 13.97 41.07 21.23P 0.39R 0.11 Hartlepool 14 18 +1 -3.37 26.93 -2.23 66.19 9.22 7.48 2.60 10.31 32.33 16.72P 0.95R 0.30 AFC_Wimbledon 14 18 -3 2.03 66.09 1.88 54.68 8.62 -13.97 0.07 0.51 3.83 1.09P 12.62R 5.18 Portsmouth 13 17 +0 -4.84 18.29 -5.98 72.99 9.50 16.30 11.07 30.51 61.00 40.86P 0.19R 0.06 Cheltenham 14 16 -6 -2.57 32.11 -5.09 59.07 8.84 -7.17 0.28 1.81 10.08 3.64P 5.28R 1.92 York 14 15 -3 -1.63 38.96 0.66 52.85 8.62 -11.69 0.04 0.35 2.67 0.82P 16.62R 7.40 Plymouth 14 15 -6 -1.70 37.98 -3.01 53.62 8.33 -12.23 0.03 0.29 2.47 0.71P 14.03R 5.93 Bury 14 13 -2 -6.98 9.86 -3.17 60.21 9.26 3.11 0.60 3.20 14.10 6.52P 4.38R 1.72 Bristol_Rovers 14 11 -7 -5.98 12.54 -3.94 49.08 8.72 -15.67 0.01 0.14 1.07 0.33P 30.52R 15.99 Torquay 14 11 -10 -6.22 11.73 -7.09 50.20 8.62 -16.65 0.01 0.14 1.15 0.36P 26.12R 13.22 Northampton 14 10 -8 -7.91 6.34 -6.14 49.41 8.74 -14.48 0.01 0.12 1.11 0.38P 28.70R 14.78 Accrington_Stanley 14 10 -10 -5.37 14.71 -4.49 45.46 8.45 -22.15 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.06P 47.39R 29.21Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 31 October 2013, Salisbury 4 1 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 16 38 +19 11.48 98.40 12.11 87.09 8.16 31.29 39.64 91.86 51.97P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 16 32 +11 2.52 66.88 -0.86 83.39 8.11 27.19 22.46 83.01 40.02P 0.00 0.00 Luton 16 30 +14 2.37 66.19 4.81 82.63 8.24 32.05 20.38 81.32 37.66P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 17 30 +6 7.53 89.77 7.33 67.63 8.52 2.68 0.73 16.95 3.12P 0.60R 0.01 Braintree_Town 16 28 +9 4.91 80.86 7.17 69.45 8.28 9.21 1.11 22.70 4.69P 0.19R 0.00 Grimsby 16 27 +7 0.01 49.98 -0.64 76.86 8.12 20.52 6.15 57.10 19.90P 0.01R 0.00 Nuneaton 16 26 +0 6.10 86.44 3.26 63.64 8.15 -5.57 0.11 7.14 0.99P 1.69R 0.01 Barnet 16 25 +7 -3.13 28.94 -2.78 76.75 8.44 23.64 7.24 57.25 22.84P 0.03R 0.00 Welling 16 25 +4 4.74 78.96 6.79 65.11 8.66 1.78 0.36 11.64 2.22P 1.39R 0.02 Gateshead 16 25 +4 2.36 66.22 3.01 66.41 8.22 4.39 0.45 13.21 2.59P 0.67R 0.01 Halifax 16 25 +3 4.67 79.01 6.20 63.03 8.85 -2.77 0.23 8.16 1.45P 2.69R 0.05 Alfreton_Town 16 25 -1 5.35 83.08 3.23 64.07 8.33 -5.30 0.22 8.34 1.35P 1.55R 0.02 Lincoln_City 16 22 +1 0.87 57.08 2.18 62.49 8.25 0.17 0.13 6.03 1.13P 2.19R 0.02 Wrexham 16 19 -2 -7.23 9.46 -8.85 66.80 8.20 8.10 0.44 14.34 4.31P 0.55R 0.00 Macclesfield 16 19 -2 -3.25 28.34 -2.38 59.01 8.24 -3.65 0.04 2.77 0.56P 5.03R 0.10 Forest_Green 16 18 +0 -5.27 17.41 -2.21 62.14 8.33 4.43 0.12 5.83 1.32P 2.58R 0.03 Southport 16 18 -6 -0.94 44.32 -1.07 54.10 8.00 -14.91 0.01 0.58 0.07P 15.12R 0.46 Dartford 16 18 -9 -1.81 37.66 -5.40 53.17 8.06 -18.77 0.00 0.41 0.07P 18.54R 0.59 Hereford 17 17 -6 -7.11 11.33 -7.22 57.63 7.95 -4.56 0.01 1.45 0.32P 6.72R 0.14 Tamworth 16 16 -9 -0.72 46.22 -1.00 50.26 7.91 -20.07 0.00 0.14 0.02P 29.18R 1.55 Woking 16 14 -9 -4.67 20.24 -3.38 47.16 7.91 -22.77 0.00 0.06 0.01P 45.11R 2.94 Chester 16 13 -13 -1.63 39.57 -1.57 43.03 8.04 -29.91 0.00 0.01 0.00P 66.22R 8.59 Aldershot 16 12 +2 -4.56 21.06 -5.02 64.31 8.36 19.07 0.18 9.70 3.37P 1.49R 0.03 Hyde_United 16 2 -30 -11.21 0.44 -13.70 28.45 7.53 -56.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.45R 85.43 Adjustments: Aldershot -10