Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 October 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           9   22  +11       3.58    81.35     1.39    75.69     8.07    33.25    25.44    45.65    62.88    76.55    93.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           9   20  +10       2.94    77.31     2.63    76.77     7.91    36.38    29.39    51.82    68.87    81.62    95.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         9   20   +9       2.81    75.33     1.60    70.21     8.04    24.69     8.74    21.07    35.33    51.59    82.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         9   19   +4       3.17    78.31    -1.04    65.57     8.11    14.06     2.80     8.21    16.73    28.46    62.07     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton       9   18   +7       5.25    90.26     6.52    55.03     8.03     2.82     0.16     0.58     1.60     3.72    15.62     0.58R    0.02  
Everton           9   18   +4       3.42    79.98     0.77    64.04     8.09    13.21     1.88     5.82    12.77    23.08    54.93     0.02R    0.00  
Man_City          9   16  +10      -1.83    31.20     1.40    74.76     7.80    40.69    21.48    42.78    60.89    75.81    93.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           9   14   +2      -3.15    20.77    -5.92    71.01     7.98    29.57    10.09    23.89    40.25    57.04    85.45     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea           9   11   +1      -0.35    47.73     2.38    48.73     7.90    -2.28     0.00     0.05     0.19     0.57     3.87     3.89R    0.18  
Hull              9   11   -3       2.75    78.36     3.24    38.79     7.53   -19.94     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01     0.21    30.13R    4.23  
Newcastle         9   11   -4       0.14    52.53    -1.18    44.89     8.00   -14.64     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.21     1.62    10.42R    0.97  
West_Brom         9   10   -2      -0.75    43.71     0.56    48.79     8.12    -3.95     0.01     0.08     0.23     0.65     4.35     4.30R    0.30  
Aston_Villa       9   10   -3       0.76    59.24     2.04    45.44     7.96   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.75     9.07R    0.82  
Fulham            9   10   -3      -1.79    33.78    -2.01    45.15     7.93   -10.45     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.19     1.62     9.28R    0.66  
West_Ham          9    9   +0      -2.09    31.00     1.72    44.90     7.89    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.54     9.18R    0.83  
Cardiff           9    9   -5       0.19    53.92     0.36    39.46     7.90   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.40    28.15R    4.11  
Stoke             9    8   -4      -1.75    33.26    -0.33    42.08     7.60   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.53    16.08R    1.53  
Norwich           9    8   -7      -1.57    35.61    -2.63    38.93     7.70   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    30.46R    4.51  
Sunderland        9    4  -14      -5.26     7.91    -9.23    33.98     7.60   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    56.44R   12.94  
Crystal_Palace    9    3  -13      -3.25    17.07    -2.27    24.44     7.07   -44.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.98R   68.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2013, Charlton 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         13   32  +17      10.22    98.24    10.99    86.56     8.98    31.35    35.24    56.51    91.38    65.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       13   29   +8       6.33    89.98     0.55    81.89     8.92    19.68    16.86    33.86    80.20    45.65P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             12   27   +8       6.45    91.26     2.04    81.93     9.32    20.35    17.49    34.61    78.76    46.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       13   24   +5       4.04    78.40     1.75    73.08     8.82    10.90     2.90     8.20    44.60    15.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Reading         13   23   +8       0.42    52.86     0.78    77.82     9.39    22.89     9.34    21.05    66.09    34.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   13   23   +6       3.25    73.95     2.97    70.83     8.92    10.01     1.98     5.64    35.31    11.92P    0.13R    0.01  
Watford         12   21  +10       0.72    55.52     3.80    78.02     9.27    26.55     9.97    22.02    67.88    34.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby           13   19   +4       0.77    56.34     3.56    66.85     9.06     7.92     0.72     2.56    21.43     6.37P    0.69R    0.07  
Huddersfield    13   17   +3       0.27    52.89     4.61    57.97     8.80    -3.50     0.04     0.22     4.06     0.90P    5.93R    0.74  
Leeds_United    13   17   +0       0.19    52.38     1.54    62.12     9.00    -0.29     0.16     0.70     9.83     2.39P    2.58R    0.29  
Bournemouth     13   17   -7       3.16    74.48     0.26    52.43     9.01   -24.32     0.01     0.04     1.06     0.17P   20.11R    4.04  
Blackburn       13   16   +3      -2.62    30.50     1.84    64.98     9.00     8.80     0.42     1.57    16.41     5.02P    1.19R    0.10  
Ipswich         13   16   +2      -0.62    45.83     3.88    60.08     8.93     0.22     0.10     0.44     6.54     1.63P    3.94R    0.43  
Wigan           11   15   +3      -3.12    25.38    -1.64    72.87     9.82    18.30     4.17    10.46    46.04    21.22P    0.23R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   13   15   +2      -3.65    23.68     0.75    58.02     9.05    -1.98     0.08     0.25     4.49     1.10P    6.29R    0.87  
Brighton        12   14   -1      -3.85    21.46    -3.20    64.84     9.03     5.65     0.42     1.43    15.62     5.14P    1.19R    0.09  
Millwall        13   13  -11      -1.98    35.50    -6.70    50.46     8.71   -23.31     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.10P   25.42R    5.70  
Doncaster       12   12   -9       0.31    54.68    -1.40    48.17     9.01   -24.99     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   35.45R   10.04  
Charlton        12   11   -5      -4.63    16.98    -3.80    56.56     8.96    -6.06     0.04     0.15     2.85     0.69P    8.66R    1.35  
Birmingham      13   11   -6      -6.03    11.12    -4.69    57.26     9.04    -4.45     0.02     0.13     3.62     0.87P    7.69R    1.16  
Bolton          13   10   -9      -7.45     6.26    -8.49    55.64     9.07    -8.56     0.04     0.12     2.60     0.72P   10.73R    1.85  
Yeovil          13    9  -10      -2.50    31.35    -0.06    39.72     8.45   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.66R   38.75  
Barnsley        13    9  -15      -3.66    22.79    -6.25    42.89     8.53   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   59.86R   24.53  
Sheff_Wed       12    8   -6      -6.47     7.98    -3.10    47.33     8.91   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   37.12R    9.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, Bradford 1 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   14   35  +22      10.44    97.94    13.87    87.03     8.96    34.27    13.30    38.70    93.95    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   13   32  +17       6.22    89.56     4.91    97.14     8.99    47.96    56.32    82.23    99.42    88.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    14   32  +15       5.05    82.64     3.07    91.73     8.99    39.75    27.66    62.41    97.61    74.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         14   26   +7       5.55    85.12     5.15    74.70     8.97    14.18     0.96     4.85    57.63    15.70P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford       14   24   +2       2.23    66.08    -1.75    70.67     8.91     6.15     0.31     2.00    38.92    10.00P    0.48R    0.03  
Bradford        14   22  +10       4.16    77.97    12.03    61.26     9.05     2.67     0.03     0.23    10.67     1.99P    5.86R    0.48  
Walsall         14   22   +3       2.17    66.09     2.11    67.58     8.90     5.47     0.11     0.87    26.94     5.82P    1.08R    0.05  
Swindon         14   20   +6      -3.82    23.45    -0.99    74.60     8.91    22.13     0.76     4.69    58.93    21.35P    0.14R    0.01  
Port_Vale       14   20   +0       2.88    70.61     3.46    60.31     9.16    -6.07     0.01     0.14     8.96     1.59P    7.76R    0.88  
Rotherham       14   20   -1       4.52    80.45     5.12    56.88     9.05   -13.03     0.00     0.03     4.25     0.61P   14.88R    2.03  
MK_Dons         14   19   +3      -3.91    23.35    -2.69    70.19     9.05    13.88     0.26     1.87    39.03    11.60P    0.57R    0.03  
Crawley_Town    13   19   -1       2.14    66.79     0.84    60.23     9.16    -7.69     0.02     0.15     8.63     1.48P    8.12R    0.99  
Coventry        14   17   +9       4.44    79.08     3.88    68.91     9.10    21.48     0.25     1.65    34.73    10.24P    0.90R    0.06  
Colchester      14   16   -5       0.26    53.29     0.24    54.12     8.62   -13.81     0.00     0.02     1.79     0.33P   21.86R    3.50  
Carlisle        13   15  -11       1.05    59.65    -4.59    50.29     8.81   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.10P   38.86R    9.35  
Oldham          13   14   -3      -1.36    40.08     0.81    52.93     8.85   -12.43     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.23P   26.02R    4.62  
Stevenage       14   14   -6      -3.00    29.08    -2.71    52.23     8.62   -14.68     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.15P   28.53R    5.16  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -3      -3.57    24.97     0.86    53.66     8.65    -7.45     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.30P   22.46R    3.82  
Gillingham      14   12   -7      -3.44    26.39    -0.91    48.11     8.94   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P   46.63R   13.49  
Sheff_Utd       14   12   -8      -8.26     5.66    -9.53    58.78     8.91    -3.63     0.00     0.07     6.04     1.59P    9.64R    1.14  
Tranmere        14   12  -14      -4.67    19.02   -10.18    49.89     8.65   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.07P   39.36R    9.04  
Crewe           14   12  -19      -1.20    42.11    -8.80    42.78     8.29   -41.26     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    72.62R   33.23  
Bristol_City    13    9   -6      -8.90     4.26    -5.74    56.49     9.82    -3.10     0.00     0.08     5.29     1.31P   17.00R    3.13  
Notts_County    13    7  -10      -9.87     1.98    -8.45    50.14     9.11   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.17P   37.10R    8.96  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           14   26  +11       4.76    81.06     7.99    76.33     8.82    20.55    16.00    41.48    74.08    49.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             14   26   +5       5.15    82.90     2.57    74.33     9.01    11.60    11.23    32.09    64.42    39.47P    0.03R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +7       5.39    84.36     6.30    71.20     8.87    10.55     5.99    20.75    51.75    27.60P    0.11R    0.03  
Chesterfield         14   25   +7       2.23    66.09     1.74    77.24     8.89    19.14    18.55    45.19    76.64    54.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               14   24   +4       2.76    69.69     0.94    70.69     8.91     8.25     5.62    19.21    48.63    26.20P    0.17R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        14   24   +3       5.24    83.32     3.71    70.01     8.98     6.00     4.51    16.94    45.58    22.84P    0.27R    0.05  
Newport_County       14   23   +6       6.34    88.08     9.90    58.71     8.99    -6.44     0.38     2.11     9.71     3.35P    5.14R    1.82  
Dag_&_Red            14   23   +3       3.97    77.14     3.18    65.02     8.84     0.29     1.52     6.98    25.53    10.73P    1.00R    0.25  
Scunthorpe           13   23   +3       1.64    62.10    -2.15    75.41     9.47    13.58    15.10    37.08    68.16    45.95P    0.06R    0.03  
Morecambe            14   22   +1       2.86    70.71     1.15    64.91     8.94    -0.46     1.53     7.01    25.23    10.75P    1.03R    0.30  
Mansfield            14   21   +3       3.60    75.29     5.42    60.86     9.03    -2.48     0.63     3.13    14.16     5.34P    3.21R    1.08  
Wycombe              13   20   +3       1.39    61.01     1.80    65.72     9.13     3.79     2.06     8.72    29.05    13.36P    0.98R    0.29  
Southend             14   20   +1      -0.71    45.19    -1.31    68.68     8.80     8.19     3.21    13.68    40.97    21.01P    0.34R    0.07  
Hartlepool           14   18   +1      -3.42    26.66    -2.30    66.15     9.16     7.49     2.30     9.74    31.45    16.17P    0.80R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   18   -3       2.14    66.97     1.99    54.60     8.61   -14.06     0.06     0.48     3.60     1.03P   11.66R    4.83  
Portsmouth           13   17   +0      -4.96    17.65    -6.16    73.06     9.61    16.50    10.51    29.99    60.14    40.09P    0.14R    0.05  
Cheltenham           14   16   -6      -2.55    32.29    -5.03    59.09     8.82    -7.14     0.23     1.65     9.74     3.43P    4.86R    1.73  
Plymouth             14   15   -6      -1.66    38.06    -2.97    53.66     8.34   -12.15     0.03     0.26     2.40     0.68P   13.19R    5.38  
Bury                 14   13   -2      -7.00     9.73    -3.22    60.39     9.24     3.37     0.50     3.08    14.14     6.33P    3.93R    1.51  
York                 13   12   -6      -2.75    29.83    -1.65    49.14     8.66   -17.55     0.01     0.10     1.01     0.26P   28.33R   14.44  
Bristol_Rovers       14   11   -7      -6.02    12.37    -4.01    49.22     8.73   -15.48     0.01     0.10     1.10     0.34P   27.99R   14.23  
Torquay              14   11  -10      -6.31    11.40    -7.23    50.08     8.61   -16.84     0.01     0.12     1.18     0.35P   24.61R   12.34  
Northampton          14   10   -8      -7.91     6.20    -6.20    49.41     8.73   -14.49     0.01     0.09     1.08     0.31P   26.99R   13.72  
Accrington_Stanley   14   10  -10      -5.34    14.85    -4.47    45.41     8.40   -22.22     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   45.13R   27.54  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    16   38  +19      11.51    98.43    12.18    87.07     8.22    31.25    40.00    91.88    52.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    16   32  +11       2.60    67.12    -0.74    83.33     8.17    27.03    22.30    83.06    39.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            16   30  +14       2.41    66.62     4.89    82.57     8.19    31.88    20.13    81.64    37.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   28   +9       4.88    80.66     7.15    69.38     8.19     9.17     1.10    22.64     4.67P    0.19R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   27   +7      -0.11    48.81    -0.84    76.97     8.10    20.68     6.44    58.20    20.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        16   27   +3       6.94    89.10     5.80    64.58     8.60    -2.29     0.36    10.16     1.84P    1.55R    0.01  
Nuneaton         16   26   +0       6.08    86.32     3.23    63.61     8.10    -5.54     0.14     7.11     1.11P    1.59R    0.02  
Barnet           16   25   +7      -3.08    29.08    -2.65    76.63     8.44    23.35     7.07    57.43    21.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Welling          16   25   +4       4.76    79.18     6.87    65.03     8.72     1.62     0.46    11.91     2.34P    1.51R    0.02  
Gateshead        16   25   +4       2.43    66.67     3.11    66.46     8.25     4.49     0.43    13.93     2.73P    0.60R    0.01  
Halifax          16   25   +3       4.53    78.34     5.97    63.18     8.90    -2.39     0.29     8.52     1.60P    2.69R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town    16   25   -1       5.31    82.64     3.10    64.24     8.36    -5.00     0.22     8.84     1.36P    1.62R    0.02  
Lincoln_City     16   22   +1       0.99    57.36     2.36    62.29     8.24    -0.15     0.13     6.00     1.20P    2.25R    0.04  
Wrexham          16   19   -2      -7.36     8.97    -9.01    66.89     8.25     8.21     0.47    15.23     4.43P    0.57R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   19   -2      -3.25    28.35    -2.41    59.09     8.19    -3.51     0.05     2.63     0.49P    5.08R    0.13  
Forest_Green     16   18   +0      -5.31    17.09    -2.20    62.11     8.40     4.39     0.10     6.15     1.43P    2.80R    0.04  
Southport        16   18   -6      -0.86    45.01    -1.00    54.02     7.98   -14.90     0.00     0.55     0.06P   15.29R    0.49  
Dartford         16   18   -9      -1.84    37.55    -5.44    53.23     8.15   -18.59     0.00     0.50     0.08P   18.84R    0.64  
Hereford         16   17   -3      -6.44    12.85    -5.31    59.83     8.21    -0.20     0.06     3.32     0.81P    4.46R    0.08  
Tamworth         16   16   -9      -0.72    46.03    -1.03    50.13     7.89   -20.22     0.00     0.13     0.02P   30.01R    1.56  
Woking           16   14   -9      -4.74    20.12    -3.50    47.18     7.99   -22.60     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.21R    2.98  
Chester          16   13  -13      -1.64    39.63    -1.61    43.13     8.10   -29.75     0.00     0.02     0.00P   65.77R    8.53  
Aldershot        16   12   +2      -4.50    21.19    -4.98    64.31     8.37    19.06     0.23    10.09     3.61P    1.56R    0.03  
Hyde_United      16    2  -30     -11.26     0.40   -13.96    28.55     7.57   -55.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.36R   85.33  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10