Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, Aston_Villa 0 2 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           9   22  +11       3.55    81.08     1.30    75.68     8.08    33.29    25.28    45.92    63.13    76.91    93.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         9   20   +9       2.81    75.30     1.57    70.19     8.12    24.74     8.58    20.74    35.90    52.19    82.35     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton       9   18   +7       5.26    90.50     6.56    55.02     8.00     2.79     0.14     0.57     1.59     3.67    15.63     0.51R    0.02  
Everton           9   18   +4       3.38    79.53     0.73    64.12     8.13    13.38     1.88     6.11    12.83    23.33    55.52     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea           8   17   +9       1.49    65.19     1.94    75.02     8.13    35.07    22.38    42.78    60.65    75.26    93.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          8   16  +11      -0.67    40.84     2.04    76.46     7.95    42.21    29.38    51.57    68.49    81.08    95.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   16   +3       2.25    71.69    -1.08    64.85     8.31    14.37     2.42     7.68    15.43    26.51    59.01     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd           9   14   +2      -3.14    20.91    -5.91    71.08     7.97    29.72     9.89    24.32    41.05    58.36    85.40     0.00R    0.00  
Hull              8   11   -2       3.41    83.92     3.28    39.26     7.75   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.31    28.38R    3.72  
Newcastle         8   11   -3       1.42    65.68    -0.38    46.64     8.29   -12.99     0.01     0.06     0.17     0.42     2.85     7.59R    0.68  
Swansea           8   10   +1       0.12    52.47     2.60    49.51     8.19    -1.77     0.02     0.11     0.34     0.89     5.30     3.50R    0.19  
West_Brom         9   10   -2      -0.68    44.19     0.67    48.61     8.09    -4.24     0.02     0.07     0.19     0.62     4.24     4.20R    0.21  
Aston_Villa       9   10   -3       0.80    59.77     2.12    45.30     7.94   -10.43     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.17     1.60     8.93R    0.70  
Fulham            9   10   -3      -1.85    33.01    -2.10    45.26     7.94   -10.35     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.24     1.77     8.79R    0.64  
Cardiff           9    9   -5       0.17    53.75     0.35    39.48     7.95   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.38    27.44R    3.96  
West_Ham          8    8   +0      -1.93    31.50     1.53    45.03     8.17    -6.64     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.21     2.00     9.48R    0.88  
Stoke             9    8   -4      -1.75    33.27    -0.33    42.17     7.65   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.60    15.24R    1.40  
Norwich           9    8   -7      -1.61    35.52    -2.65    38.99     7.75   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.21    29.12R    4.27  
Crystal_Palace    9    3  -13      -3.23    17.40    -2.20    24.53     7.07   -44.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.53R   64.91  
Sunderland        8    1  -15      -6.78     1.50   -10.04    31.94     7.77   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.25R   18.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         13   32  +17      10.23    98.17    11.05    86.38     9.06    31.08    34.33    54.99    90.82    63.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       13   29   +8       6.39    89.80     0.61    81.75     9.00    19.37    16.31    33.01    79.20    44.54P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             12   27   +8       6.48    91.55     2.07    81.96     9.30    20.38    17.51    34.58    78.94    46.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       13   24   +5       4.01    78.04     1.70    73.18     8.89    11.04     2.91     8.44    44.64    16.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         13   23   +8       0.31    51.96     0.64    78.06     9.30    23.26     9.61    21.68    67.13    34.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   13   23   +6       3.38    75.15     3.23    70.50     8.96     9.46     1.80     5.28    33.82    11.28P    0.22R    0.01  
Watford         12   21  +10       0.70    55.34     3.77    78.12     9.35    26.71    10.34    22.39    67.83    34.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           13   19   +4       0.76    56.15     3.55    66.97     9.05     8.07     0.64     2.29    21.81     6.43P    0.81R    0.07  
Huddersfield    13   17   +3       0.28    52.98     4.64    57.68     8.80    -3.93     0.06     0.19     3.70     0.78P    6.32R    0.86  
Leeds_United    13   17   +0       0.17    52.04     1.52    62.07     9.04    -0.41     0.17     0.66     9.54     2.52P    2.59R    0.30  
Bournemouth     13   17   -7       3.21    74.36     0.35    52.22     9.03   -24.65     0.02     0.06     1.16     0.20P   20.79R    4.61  
Blackburn       13   16   +3      -2.57    30.99     1.93    64.60     8.99     8.23     0.35     1.33    14.93     4.41P    1.34R    0.12  
Ipswich         13   16   +2      -0.59    45.84     3.92    60.17     8.98     0.34     0.09     0.44     6.62     1.63P    3.92R    0.53  
Middlesbrough   13   15   +2      -3.68    23.30     0.75    58.11     9.11    -1.88     0.06     0.26     4.66     1.20P    6.36R    0.89  
Wigan           10   14   +3      -2.77    26.61    -1.66    73.45    10.23    18.74     5.32    12.41    48.16    23.25P    0.30R    0.02  
Brighton        12   14   -1      -3.87    21.05    -3.23    65.02     9.03     5.84     0.38     1.50    16.01     5.16P    1.19R    0.09  
Millwall        13   13  -11      -1.93    35.79    -6.64    50.45     8.64   -23.35     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.08P   25.70R    5.51  
Doncaster       12   12   -9       0.26    54.19    -1.48    48.35     9.06   -24.66     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.05P   35.19R   10.05  
Birmingham      13   11   -6      -6.07    10.90    -4.72    57.34     9.12    -4.35     0.04     0.20     3.87     0.98P    7.89R    1.17  
Charlton        11   10   -5      -4.36    17.30    -3.90    56.88     9.20    -6.29     0.04     0.18     3.52     0.91P    8.79R    1.48  
Bolton          13   10   -9      -7.43     6.58    -8.46    55.72     9.03    -8.49     0.02     0.07     2.40     0.61P   10.71R    1.82  
Yeovil          13    9  -10      -2.59    30.66    -0.22    40.01     8.51   -33.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.50R   38.04  
Barnsley        13    9  -15      -3.67    22.76    -6.30    43.00     8.51   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   59.45R   24.37  
Sheff_Wed       12    8   -6      -6.49     7.64    -3.12    47.44     8.83   -16.87     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   36.81R   10.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, Bradford 1 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   14   35  +22      10.46    97.98    13.87    86.87     8.90    33.99    12.76    38.06    93.92    52.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   13   32  +17       6.22    89.22     4.91    97.21     9.04    48.04    56.47    82.48    99.41    88.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    14   32  +15       4.97    81.97     2.95    91.71     9.14    39.89    28.00    62.70    97.52    74.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         14   26   +7       5.58    84.94     5.20    74.57     9.02    13.93     0.87     4.82    56.86    15.52P    0.12R    0.00  
Brentford       14   24   +2       2.26    66.14    -1.74    70.75     8.86     6.25     0.37     2.00    39.23    10.03P    0.41R    0.02  
Bradford        14   22  +10       3.96    76.86    11.72    61.72     9.11     3.36     0.03     0.27    11.72     2.28P    5.38R    0.46  
Walsall         14   22   +3       2.14    65.74     2.06    67.60     8.85     5.47     0.10     0.92    26.76     5.99P    1.16R    0.04  
Swindon         14   20   +6      -3.82    23.30    -0.99    74.59     8.90    22.07     0.86     4.80    58.92    21.16P    0.12R    0.00  
Port_Vale       14   20   +0       2.74    69.37     3.26    60.72     9.23    -5.49     0.01     0.17     9.67     1.82P    7.44R    0.76  
Rotherham       14   20   -1       4.59    80.87     5.23    56.76     9.18   -13.26     0.00     0.07     4.37     0.62P   15.87R    2.17  
MK_Dons         14   19   +3      -3.81    23.89    -2.56    69.97     8.95    13.55     0.26     1.71    37.96    11.21P    0.57R    0.04  
Crawley_Town    13   19   -1       2.15    66.69     0.85    60.12     9.18    -7.78     0.02     0.19     8.51     1.61P    8.06R    0.92  
Coventry        14   17   +9       4.46    79.22     3.94    68.84     9.14    21.35     0.22     1.61    34.51    10.43P    0.99R    0.06  
Colchester      14   16   -5       0.43    54.78     0.48    53.85     8.54   -14.13     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.28P   22.33R    3.71  
Carlisle        13   15  -11       1.04    59.46    -4.59    50.29     8.82   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.11P   38.46R    9.45  
Oldham          13   14   -3      -1.33    40.21     0.87    52.90     8.78   -12.53     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.27P   26.03R    4.71  
Stevenage       14   14   -6      -2.95    29.30    -2.65    52.13     8.59   -14.82     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.19P   29.04R    5.02  
Shrewsbury      14   13   -3      -3.56    25.05     0.88    53.72     8.61    -7.36     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.27P   22.03R    3.65  
Gillingham      14   12   -7      -3.38    26.66    -0.82    48.06     8.82   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P   47.06R   12.90  
Sheff_Utd       14   12   -8      -8.32     5.60    -9.61    58.86     8.89    -3.54     0.01     0.08     6.03     1.55P    9.42R    1.12  
Tranmere        14   12  -14      -4.72    18.70   -10.26    50.03     8.70   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P   38.50R    9.10  
Crewe           14   12  -19      -1.17    42.61    -8.77    42.68     8.29   -41.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   73.02R   33.76  
Bristol_City    13    9   -6      -9.00     4.16    -5.90    56.90     9.89    -2.43     0.01     0.09     5.86     1.54P   15.96R    2.79  
Notts_County    13    7  -10      -9.83     2.09    -8.36    49.89     9.11   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.16P   38.03R    9.32  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           14   26  +11       4.84    81.48     8.07    76.19     8.83    20.39    15.62    41.07    73.59    49.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             14   26   +5       5.18    83.08     2.65    74.18     9.14    11.40    11.26    31.79    63.96    39.32P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       14   25   +7       5.44    84.42     6.38    71.07     8.94    10.35     5.92    20.56    50.83    27.13P    0.12R    0.02  
Chesterfield         14   25   +7       2.21    65.93     1.68    77.31     8.77    19.29    18.45    45.32    77.31    54.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               14   24   +4       2.82    70.06     1.04    70.58     8.88     8.07     5.26    18.94    48.49    25.96P    0.15R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        14   24   +3       5.25    83.25     3.73    70.00     9.02     6.01     4.66    17.13    45.63    23.11P    0.27R    0.06  
Newport_County       14   23   +6       6.40    88.35     9.93    58.75     8.89    -6.39     0.37     1.98     9.59     3.24P    4.77R    1.69  
Dag_&_Red            14   23   +3       3.95    77.08     3.16    64.95     8.84     0.26     1.47     6.79    25.27    10.56P    0.97R    0.27  
Scunthorpe           13   23   +3       1.55    61.35    -2.30    75.55     9.47    13.79    15.50    37.57    68.62    46.27P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe            14   22   +1       2.94    71.08     1.24    64.84     8.86    -0.53     1.48     6.71    24.75    10.62P    1.02R    0.33  
Mansfield            14   21   +3       3.53    74.99     5.33    61.00     8.99    -2.32     0.62     3.35    14.41     5.58P    2.95R    1.04  
Wycombe              13   20   +3       1.35    60.60     1.76    65.80     9.10     3.89     2.16     8.89    29.12    13.56P    0.93R    0.30  
Southend             14   20   +1      -0.78    44.37    -1.42    68.78     8.84     8.33     3.40    14.08    40.93    21.31P    0.28R    0.06  
Hartlepool           14   18   +1      -3.46    26.36    -2.35    66.31     9.17     7.69     2.30    10.06    32.06    16.54P    0.78R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   18   -3       2.13    66.79     1.99    54.60     8.56   -14.11     0.06     0.46     3.43     1.01P   11.54R    4.61  
Portsmouth           13   17   +0      -4.94    17.80    -6.12    73.00     9.60    16.33    10.48    29.53    60.04    39.72P    0.19R    0.05  
Cheltenham           14   16   -6      -2.54    32.30    -5.05    59.18     8.91    -6.99     0.31     1.85     9.99     3.68P    4.72R    1.74  
Plymouth             14   15   -6      -1.62    38.50    -2.90    53.59     8.43   -12.26     0.04     0.31     2.70     0.81P   13.22R    5.47  
Bury                 14   13   -2      -7.10     9.37    -3.38    60.59     9.27     3.63     0.61     3.14    14.76     6.41P    3.71R    1.35  
York                 13   12   -6      -2.88    28.75    -1.83    49.32     8.64   -17.29     0.01     0.10     1.04     0.25P   27.57R   13.85  
Bristol_Rovers       14   11   -7      -6.01    12.38    -3.96    49.15     8.70   -15.56     0.01     0.13     1.09     0.35P   28.34R   14.30  
Torquay              14   11  -10      -6.23    11.41    -7.12    50.08     8.61   -16.78     0.01     0.10     1.15     0.32P   24.69R   12.24  
Northampton          14   10   -8      -7.83     6.47    -6.05    49.11     8.67   -14.90     0.02     0.12     1.00     0.31P   27.94R   14.48  
Accrington_Stanley   14   10  -10      -5.37    14.58    -4.48    45.36     8.40   -22.27     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   45.66R   27.84  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    16   38  +19      11.48    98.33    12.13    87.16     8.12    31.30    40.61    92.31    53.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    16   32  +11       2.62    67.41    -0.69    83.13     8.18    26.74    21.59    82.64    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            16   30  +14       2.48    67.07     5.00    82.44     8.21    31.68    19.96    80.83    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   28   +9       4.83    80.29     7.01    69.56     8.30     9.45     1.27    23.53     5.03P    0.20R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   27   +7      -0.08    49.03    -0.74    76.83     8.18    20.49     6.43    57.60    20.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury        16   27   +3       6.75    88.16     5.55    64.82     8.64    -1.94     0.35    10.65     1.92P    1.62R    0.01  
Nuneaton         16   26   +0       6.15    86.29     3.28    63.67     8.12    -5.43     0.17     7.36     1.11P    1.53R    0.02  
Barnet           16   25   +7      -3.10    29.11    -2.69    76.77     8.38    23.56     7.31    57.52    22.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Welling          16   25   +4       4.88    79.56     6.99    64.98     8.77     1.58     0.42    11.91     2.32P    1.47R    0.02  
Gateshead        16   25   +4       2.40    66.76     3.08    66.48     8.26     4.49     0.43    13.94     2.85P    0.64R    0.00  
Halifax          16   25   +3       4.60    78.78     6.09    63.10     8.93    -2.60     0.25     8.46     1.46P    2.60R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town    16   25   -1       5.35    82.91     3.19    64.15     8.36    -5.14     0.22     8.64     1.41P    1.67R    0.02  
Lincoln_City     16   22   +1       1.00    57.74     2.39    62.34     8.28    -0.04     0.15     6.11     1.15P    2.19R    0.03  
Wrexham          16   19   -2      -7.39     9.03    -9.06    66.92     8.25     8.22     0.48    15.33     4.58P    0.64R    0.01  
Macclesfield     16   19   -2      -3.29    27.84    -2.48    59.21     8.21    -3.32     0.05     2.86     0.58P    4.88R    0.12  
Forest_Green     16   18   +0      -5.36    16.82    -2.29    61.99     8.36     4.26     0.10     5.89     1.30P    2.80R    0.03  
Southport        16   18   -6      -0.95    44.13    -1.11    54.13     8.05   -14.81     0.01     0.65     0.11P   15.32R    0.46  
Dartford         16   18   -9      -1.71    38.62    -5.25    53.00     8.08   -18.90     0.00     0.41     0.06P   19.37R    0.60  
Hereford         16   17   -3      -6.55    12.52    -5.44    60.00     8.15     0.07     0.04     3.31     0.82P    4.06R    0.05  
Tamworth         16   16   -9      -0.74    45.65    -1.12    50.21     7.91   -20.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   29.84R    1.45  
Woking           16   14   -9      -4.83    19.67    -3.57    47.32     7.92   -22.40     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.18R    2.83  
Chester          16   13  -13      -1.51    40.61    -1.39    42.88     8.18   -30.22     0.00     0.02     0.00    67.05R    8.89  
Aldershot        16   12   +2      -4.54    21.14    -5.02    64.27     8.28    19.03     0.17     9.80     3.35P    1.48R    0.04  
Hyde_United      16    2  -30     -11.19     0.42   -13.85    28.50     7.48   -56.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.44R   85.39  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10