Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 24 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2013, Crystal_Palace 1 4 Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 8 19 +9 2.99 77.81 1.13 75.22 8.24 33.49 25.03 46.65 64.27 77.91 94.24 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 8 17 +9 1.54 65.63 1.97 74.98 8.19 35.12 24.08 45.79 63.77 77.88 94.18 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 8 17 +6 2.09 70.30 0.02 68.21 8.28 21.09 6.41 16.58 30.05 45.96 77.25 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 8 16 +11 -0.65 41.38 2.08 76.34 7.97 42.00 30.87 53.73 71.08 83.17 96.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 16 +3 2.22 71.48 -1.12 64.90 8.34 14.50 2.86 8.50 17.61 30.29 63.02 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 8 15 +5 4.06 85.74 5.14 52.78 8.24 -0.17 0.09 0.39 1.29 3.11 12.50 1.46R 0.06 Everton 8 15 +2 2.26 72.00 -0.54 61.98 8.36 10.66 1.36 4.60 10.39 19.35 48.37 0.08R 0.00 Man_Utd 8 11 +1 -3.96 14.31 -5.67 70.03 8.19 29.34 9.20 23.16 39.72 57.10 84.27 0.00R 0.00 Hull 8 11 -2 3.41 83.59 3.26 39.29 7.81 -20.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.45 29.50R 3.94 Newcastle 8 11 -3 1.36 65.13 -0.50 46.81 8.26 -12.60 0.02 0.06 0.20 0.58 3.55 7.70R 0.58 Swansea 8 10 +1 0.16 52.85 2.62 49.40 8.23 -1.92 0.03 0.15 0.43 1.19 6.26 3.90R 0.23 West_Brom 8 10 +1 -0.22 48.44 2.18 50.41 8.28 -0.42 0.04 0.22 0.62 1.61 8.07 3.01R 0.18 Aston_Villa 8 10 -1 1.73 69.47 3.46 47.05 8.22 -7.62 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.56 3.64 6.93R 0.57 Fulham 8 10 -1 -0.86 41.62 -0.68 47.19 8.23 -7.35 0.00 0.06 0.21 0.66 3.94 6.58R 0.41 West_Ham 8 8 +0 -1.98 30.69 1.43 45.05 8.19 -6.56 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.36 2.32 10.14R 1.05 Stoke 8 8 -3 -1.12 39.11 -0.57 42.68 7.74 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.89 14.97R 1.22 Cardiff 8 8 -5 0.39 56.72 0.29 39.45 8.12 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.52 29.58R 4.51 Norwich 8 7 -7 -1.15 39.24 -2.47 39.87 8.04 -20.75 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.50 27.89R 4.05 Crystal_Palace 8 3 -11 -2.81 20.06 -2.02 24.86 7.34 -44.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.81R 63.57 Sunderland 8 1 -15 -6.76 1.58 -10.01 31.82 7.78 -31.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 67.43R 19.65Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2013, Leeds_United 4 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 12 29 +15 9.14 97.38 9.83 83.98 9.20 27.83 23.60 42.21 83.75 52.02P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 11 27 +10 7.27 94.85 3.31 83.84 9.51 23.13 23.15 40.61 81.83 52.09P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 12 26 +7 5.47 87.14 0.82 81.26 9.13 20.34 14.90 29.82 75.39 41.22P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 12 23 +8 4.55 82.96 4.87 73.83 9.18 14.38 3.78 9.74 45.55 17.51P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 12 23 +5 4.66 82.28 2.11 73.96 9.12 11.70 3.64 9.33 45.23 17.26P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 12 22 +8 1.19 59.03 1.39 80.08 9.58 25.90 13.51 27.47 71.12 40.12P 0.02R 0.00 Watford 12 21 +10 0.75 55.64 3.89 78.48 9.24 27.25 10.25 21.72 66.76 33.73P 0.02R 0.00 Derby 12 18 +4 1.31 60.86 3.83 68.05 9.33 9.21 1.04 3.11 23.30 7.19P 0.56R 0.04 Leeds_United 12 17 +1 1.32 61.58 2.12 63.44 9.16 0.79 0.29 0.88 11.16 2.89P 1.77R 0.16 Bournemouth 12 17 -6 3.94 79.64 0.12 52.60 9.26 -25.47 0.01 0.06 1.14 0.23P 18.96R 3.52 Blackburn 12 15 +3 -2.37 31.57 1.65 64.81 9.22 8.01 0.42 1.41 14.48 4.48P 1.33R 0.11 Ipswich 12 15 +2 -0.43 47.35 3.60 59.53 9.18 -1.15 0.10 0.34 5.51 1.26P 4.57R 0.42 Wigan 10 14 +3 -2.72 27.16 -1.59 73.54 10.08 18.87 4.82 11.26 45.61 21.64P 0.21R 0.01 Huddersfield 12 14 +2 -1.04 42.31 4.01 56.10 8.91 -4.63 0.02 0.09 2.24 0.47P 8.60R 1.05 Brighton 12 14 -1 -3.91 20.70 -3.28 65.00 9.10 5.82 0.34 1.30 14.44 4.76P 1.13R 0.10 Middlesbrough 12 12 -2 -4.10 19.77 -1.39 55.24 9.18 -7.79 0.03 0.11 2.04 0.49P 10.88R 1.46 Doncaster 11 12 -5 0.51 55.99 0.56 51.41 9.44 -17.79 0.01 0.04 1.00 0.20P 22.68R 4.50 Millwall 12 12 -11 -2.13 33.59 -7.56 49.33 8.78 -25.86 0.01 0.01 0.34 0.09P 28.80R 5.54 Charlton 11 10 -5 -4.39 17.00 -3.97 56.68 9.23 -6.55 0.02 0.14 2.82 0.66P 8.42R 1.14 Birmingham 12 10 -6 -5.90 10.61 -5.03 56.72 9.32 -5.89 0.04 0.17 2.98 0.78P 8.69R 1.01 Bolton 12 9 -9 -6.84 7.11 -8.14 56.56 9.39 -7.70 0.02 0.15 2.98 0.83P 9.47R 1.26 Barnsley 12 8 -15 -3.18 24.89 -6.04 43.46 8.80 -34.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 55.13R 18.65 Sheff_Wed 11 7 -6 -6.21 7.53 -3.30 47.31 9.15 -17.63 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.06P 36.08R 8.67 Yeovil 12 6 -12 -3.94 19.05 -1.80 36.21 8.56 -38.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.57R 52.36League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 13 32 +21 9.38 96.96 13.74 85.97 9.28 34.16 11.03 31.92 91.50 46.52P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 13 32 +16 6.58 90.77 4.14 94.90 9.29 43.92 39.92 72.94 98.56 81.41P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 12 29 +16 5.29 86.73 4.93 95.82 9.26 47.34 45.59 76.46 98.92 84.48P 0.00 0.00 Preston 13 23 +6 4.26 79.88 4.67 72.75 9.17 12.60 0.56 2.96 47.76 12.20P 0.27R 0.01 Bradford 13 22 +11 4.85 82.19 11.99 61.88 9.25 2.45 0.02 0.29 11.57 2.06P 4.81R 0.46 Walsall 13 22 +4 3.25 73.77 2.69 69.04 9.21 6.49 0.23 1.34 31.86 7.08P 0.79R 0.05 Brentford 13 21 +1 0.96 57.46 -2.25 68.81 9.12 4.66 0.21 1.28 30.63 7.65P 0.79R 0.05 Swindon 13 20 +7 -2.27 32.28 0.23 77.34 9.09 25.14 1.62 7.81 69.07 27.00P 0.05R 0.00 Rotherham 13 20 +0 5.28 84.63 5.25 58.02 9.33 -12.70 0.01 0.12 5.56 0.86P 11.67R 1.57 MK_Dons 13 19 +4 -2.45 31.45 -1.51 72.88 9.28 16.81 0.64 3.41 49.44 15.62P 0.27R 0.01 Crawley_Town 12 19 +1 3.06 73.43 2.13 62.66 9.46 -4.02 0.04 0.31 13.47 2.37P 4.81R 0.46 Port_Vale 13 17 -1 1.52 62.55 2.92 58.62 9.48 -7.29 0.01 0.10 6.81 1.30P 10.63R 1.51 Carlisle 12 15 -9 1.78 65.31 -3.72 52.16 9.02 -25.37 0.00 0.01 1.35 0.18P 28.89R 6.10 Coventry 13 14 +8 2.86 70.53 2.95 67.23 9.34 20.35 0.13 0.92 28.05 7.93P 1.44R 0.11 Shrewsbury 13 13 -2 -2.51 31.53 1.52 54.95 8.92 -6.63 0.00 0.02 2.58 0.44P 17.14R 2.81 Colchester 13 13 -6 -1.52 38.99 -0.90 50.97 8.79 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.13P 31.98R 6.88 Gillingham 13 12 -6 -2.32 33.57 -0.33 49.46 9.19 -18.46 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.11P 38.73R 10.09 Crewe 13 12 -17 -0.55 47.22 -8.00 44.02 8.61 -39.34 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 64.80R 26.25 Oldham 12 11 -4 -3.03 26.78 -0.18 50.13 8.94 -15.22 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.11P 35.27R 7.95 Stevenage 13 11 -8 -4.16 20.46 -4.00 49.69 8.86 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.10P 37.05R 8.93 Sheff_Utd 13 9 -10 -9.11 3.13 -10.39 57.33 9.03 -5.41 0.00 0.03 4.25 1.10P 11.96R 1.72 Tranmere 13 9 -15 -6.36 9.83 -11.28 47.37 8.83 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 48.09R 14.02 Notts_County 12 7 -9 -8.71 3.17 -7.72 51.83 9.41 -12.31 0.00 0.01 1.53 0.36P 28.94R 6.41 Bristol_City 12 6 -8 -9.99 1.76 -6.90 54.39 10.04 -5.92 0.00 0.06 3.75 0.94P 21.62R 4.59 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 13 26 +7 5.95 87.45 3.73 76.86 9.23 15.34 16.03 40.42 72.58 47.95P 0.02R 0.00 Chesterfield 13 24 +7 2.75 70.20 1.96 78.29 9.06 20.24 20.01 47.69 78.30 56.69P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 13 24 +5 4.02 78.52 1.76 73.19 9.17 10.87 8.46 26.11 58.29 33.98P 0.07R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 13 23 +9 3.77 76.68 6.90 74.30 9.13 18.00 10.37 30.84 63.92 39.23P 0.06R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 13 22 +5 4.24 79.64 5.03 68.70 9.09 7.24 3.31 13.19 39.18 18.73P 0.33R 0.07 Morecambe 13 22 +2 4.27 79.80 2.19 67.56 9.17 2.46 2.60 10.92 33.98 15.73P 0.51R 0.15 Mansfield 13 21 +4 4.76 82.47 6.19 63.21 9.32 -0.17 1.10 5.28 20.05 8.04P 1.66R 0.51 Burton_Albion 13 21 +2 3.65 76.04 2.82 67.58 9.23 3.72 2.61 10.77 34.38 15.61P 0.57R 0.14 Newport_County 13 20 +4 5.01 83.99 8.34 55.52 9.02 -10.82 0.12 0.83 5.16 1.55P 8.71R 3.18 Wycombe 12 20 +4 2.66 70.80 2.67 68.01 9.37 6.10 3.29 12.45 36.84 17.79P 0.46R 0.12 Southend 13 20 +3 0.37 53.20 0.26 71.36 8.97 12.01 5.49 19.77 50.97 28.43P 0.12R 0.02 Scunthorpe 12 20 +2 0.28 52.24 -2.80 73.49 9.80 12.19 10.52 28.78 58.99 37.52P 0.16R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 13 20 +1 2.75 70.95 1.75 62.30 9.01 -3.34 0.69 3.75 16.43 6.39P 1.92R 0.59 Hartlepool 13 18 +2 -2.47 32.04 -1.85 68.14 9.39 9.35 3.39 12.93 37.90 20.09P 0.44R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 13 18 -1 2.88 72.22 3.12 56.74 8.85 -10.99 0.11 0.93 5.65 1.73P 6.85R 2.34 Portsmouth 12 16 +0 -4.36 19.80 -5.82 73.88 9.82 17.20 11.31 31.13 61.48 41.05P 0.14R 0.06 Cheltenham 13 15 -6 -2.31 33.41 -5.22 59.45 9.06 -7.23 0.27 1.92 10.25 3.89P 4.19R 1.43 York 12 12 -4 -1.83 35.99 -0.25 51.37 8.93 -14.41 0.03 0.21 1.87 0.48P 18.69R 8.27 Plymouth 13 12 -7 -3.26 25.60 -3.80 51.39 8.63 -14.17 0.02 0.13 1.44 0.41P 17.90R 7.59 Bury 13 10 -3 -8.48 4.65 -3.98 57.77 9.47 0.95 0.23 1.61 8.79 3.69P 6.42R 2.47 Bristol_Rovers 13 10 -7 -5.88 11.97 -4.20 48.92 8.96 -16.75 0.02 0.12 1.04 0.31P 27.17R 12.98 Torquay 13 10 -10 -6.00 11.40 -7.33 49.98 8.86 -17.68 0.01 0.10 1.19 0.33P 23.30R 10.81 Northampton 13 9 -8 -7.37 6.62 -5.91 49.75 8.93 -14.64 0.02 0.12 1.20 0.36P 23.47R 11.30 Accrington_Stanley 13 7 -11 -7.09 6.53 -5.58 42.31 8.52 -25.46 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.02P 56.84R 37.77Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 16 38 +19 11.55 98.42 12.22 87.04 8.21 31.23 39.64 92.00 52.07P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 16 32 +11 2.60 67.11 -0.73 83.23 8.19 26.94 22.42 82.84 39.71P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 16 30 +14 2.54 67.25 5.05 82.36 8.28 31.59 19.99 80.64 36.84P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 16 28 +9 4.94 80.83 7.19 69.37 8.24 9.10 1.18 22.82 4.77P 0.22R 0.00 Grimsby 16 27 +7 -0.17 48.54 -0.87 77.02 8.17 20.70 6.62 58.61 21.06P 0.01R 0.00 Salisbury 16 27 +3 6.86 88.51 5.73 64.59 8.76 -2.29 0.38 10.66 2.04P 1.73R 0.02 Nuneaton 16 26 +0 6.15 86.40 3.28 63.64 8.16 -5.51 0.16 7.35 1.14P 1.64R 0.02 Barnet 16 25 +7 -3.04 29.29 -2.59 76.58 8.47 23.27 7.35 56.96 22.42P 0.02R 0.00 Welling 16 25 +4 4.74 78.88 6.82 65.14 8.70 1.82 0.40 11.94 2.33P 1.49R 0.02 Gateshead 16 25 +4 2.30 66.00 2.93 66.56 8.21 4.70 0.42 14.06 2.82P 0.60R 0.00 Halifax 16 25 +3 4.61 78.71 6.09 63.09 8.88 -2.61 0.23 8.52 1.60P 2.55R 0.04 Alfreton_Town 16 25 -1 5.33 82.87 3.15 64.22 8.40 -4.97 0.25 9.05 1.46P 1.63R 0.01 Lincoln_City 16 22 +1 0.87 56.94 2.20 62.47 8.20 0.17 0.11 6.06 1.14P 2.08R 0.03 Wrexham 16 19 -2 -7.33 9.29 -8.97 66.82 8.20 8.13 0.48 14.95 4.35P 0.61R 0.00 Macclesfield 16 19 -2 -3.23 28.28 -2.36 59.06 8.21 -3.55 0.05 2.72 0.54P 5.08R 0.11 Forest_Green 16 18 +0 -5.30 17.28 -2.21 62.05 8.35 4.36 0.11 6.07 1.32P 2.67R 0.04 Southport 16 18 -6 -0.93 44.44 -1.11 54.11 7.99 -14.85 0.01 0.60 0.08P 14.98R 0.49 Dartford 16 18 -9 -1.85 37.49 -5.50 53.26 8.08 -18.60 0.00 0.45 0.08P 18.76R 0.59 Hereford 16 17 -3 -6.53 12.61 -5.44 60.10 8.08 0.18 0.03 3.28 0.74P 3.83R 0.06 Tamworth 16 16 -9 -0.76 45.79 -1.12 50.29 7.91 -19.94 0.00 0.17 0.03P 29.86R 1.50 Woking 16 14 -9 -4.73 19.86 -3.44 47.16 7.96 -22.67 0.00 0.05 0.01P 45.33R 2.90 Chester 16 13 -13 -1.58 40.19 -1.51 43.00 8.12 -29.99 0.00 0.02 0.00P 66.82R 8.84 Aldershot 16 12 +2 -4.57 21.44 -5.06 64.28 8.42 19.09 0.18 10.19 3.46P 1.64R 0.03 Hyde_United 16 2 -30 -11.14 0.44 -13.75 28.42 7.60 -56.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.42R 85.28 Adjustments: Aldershot -10