Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2013, Crystal_Palace 1 4 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           8   19   +9       2.99    77.81     1.13    75.22     8.24    33.49    25.03    46.65    64.27    77.91    94.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   17   +9       1.54    65.63     1.97    74.98     8.19    35.12    24.08    45.79    63.77    77.88    94.18     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   17   +6       2.09    70.30     0.02    68.21     8.28    21.09     6.41    16.58    30.05    45.96    77.25     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          8   16  +11      -0.65    41.38     2.08    76.34     7.97    42.00    30.87    53.73    71.08    83.17    96.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   16   +3       2.22    71.48    -1.12    64.90     8.34    14.50     2.86     8.50    17.61    30.29    63.02     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton       8   15   +5       4.06    85.74     5.14    52.78     8.24    -0.17     0.09     0.39     1.29     3.11    12.50     1.46R    0.06  
Everton           8   15   +2       2.26    72.00    -0.54    61.98     8.36    10.66     1.36     4.60    10.39    19.35    48.37     0.08R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   11   +1      -3.96    14.31    -5.67    70.03     8.19    29.34     9.20    23.16    39.72    57.10    84.27     0.00R    0.00  
Hull              8   11   -2       3.41    83.59     3.26    39.29     7.81   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.45    29.50R    3.94  
Newcastle         8   11   -3       1.36    65.13    -0.50    46.81     8.26   -12.60     0.02     0.06     0.20     0.58     3.55     7.70R    0.58  
Swansea           8   10   +1       0.16    52.85     2.62    49.40     8.23    -1.92     0.03     0.15     0.43     1.19     6.26     3.90R    0.23  
West_Brom         8   10   +1      -0.22    48.44     2.18    50.41     8.28    -0.42     0.04     0.22     0.62     1.61     8.07     3.01R    0.18  
Aston_Villa       8   10   -1       1.73    69.47     3.46    47.05     8.22    -7.62     0.01     0.05     0.19     0.56     3.64     6.93R    0.57  
Fulham            8   10   -1      -0.86    41.62    -0.68    47.19     8.23    -7.35     0.00     0.06     0.21     0.66     3.94     6.58R    0.41  
West_Ham          8    8   +0      -1.98    30.69     1.43    45.05     8.19    -6.56     0.00     0.04     0.11     0.36     2.32    10.14R    1.05  
Stoke             8    8   -3      -1.12    39.11    -0.57    42.68     7.74   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.89    14.97R    1.22  
Cardiff           8    8   -5       0.39    56.72     0.29    39.45     8.12   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.52    29.58R    4.51  
Norwich           8    7   -7      -1.15    39.24    -2.47    39.87     8.04   -20.75     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.50    27.89R    4.05  
Crystal_Palace    8    3  -11      -2.81    20.06    -2.02    24.86     7.34   -44.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.81R   63.57  
Sunderland        8    1  -15      -6.76     1.58   -10.01    31.82     7.78   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.43R   19.65  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2013, Leeds_United 4 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         12   29  +15       9.14    97.38     9.83    83.98     9.20    27.83    23.60    42.21    83.75    52.02P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             11   27  +10       7.27    94.85     3.31    83.84     9.51    23.13    23.15    40.61    81.83    52.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       12   26   +7       5.47    87.14     0.82    81.26     9.13    20.34    14.90    29.82    75.39    41.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   23   +8       4.55    82.96     4.87    73.83     9.18    14.38     3.78     9.74    45.55    17.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       12   23   +5       4.66    82.28     2.11    73.96     9.12    11.70     3.64     9.33    45.23    17.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         12   22   +8       1.19    59.03     1.39    80.08     9.58    25.90    13.51    27.47    71.12    40.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford         12   21  +10       0.75    55.64     3.89    78.48     9.24    27.25    10.25    21.72    66.76    33.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           12   18   +4       1.31    60.86     3.83    68.05     9.33     9.21     1.04     3.11    23.30     7.19P    0.56R    0.04  
Leeds_United    12   17   +1       1.32    61.58     2.12    63.44     9.16     0.79     0.29     0.88    11.16     2.89P    1.77R    0.16  
Bournemouth     12   17   -6       3.94    79.64     0.12    52.60     9.26   -25.47     0.01     0.06     1.14     0.23P   18.96R    3.52  
Blackburn       12   15   +3      -2.37    31.57     1.65    64.81     9.22     8.01     0.42     1.41    14.48     4.48P    1.33R    0.11  
Ipswich         12   15   +2      -0.43    47.35     3.60    59.53     9.18    -1.15     0.10     0.34     5.51     1.26P    4.57R    0.42  
Wigan           10   14   +3      -2.72    27.16    -1.59    73.54    10.08    18.87     4.82    11.26    45.61    21.64P    0.21R    0.01  
Huddersfield    12   14   +2      -1.04    42.31     4.01    56.10     8.91    -4.63     0.02     0.09     2.24     0.47P    8.60R    1.05  
Brighton        12   14   -1      -3.91    20.70    -3.28    65.00     9.10     5.82     0.34     1.30    14.44     4.76P    1.13R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   12   12   -2      -4.10    19.77    -1.39    55.24     9.18    -7.79     0.03     0.11     2.04     0.49P   10.88R    1.46  
Doncaster       11   12   -5       0.51    55.99     0.56    51.41     9.44   -17.79     0.01     0.04     1.00     0.20P   22.68R    4.50  
Millwall        12   12  -11      -2.13    33.59    -7.56    49.33     8.78   -25.86     0.01     0.01     0.34     0.09P   28.80R    5.54  
Charlton        11   10   -5      -4.39    17.00    -3.97    56.68     9.23    -6.55     0.02     0.14     2.82     0.66P    8.42R    1.14  
Birmingham      12   10   -6      -5.90    10.61    -5.03    56.72     9.32    -5.89     0.04     0.17     2.98     0.78P    8.69R    1.01  
Bolton          12    9   -9      -6.84     7.11    -8.14    56.56     9.39    -7.70     0.02     0.15     2.98     0.83P    9.47R    1.26  
Barnsley        12    8  -15      -3.18    24.89    -6.04    43.46     8.80   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   55.13R   18.65  
Sheff_Wed       11    7   -6      -6.21     7.53    -3.30    47.31     9.15   -17.63     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   36.08R    8.67  
Yeovil          12    6  -12      -3.94    19.05    -1.80    36.21     8.56   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.57R   52.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   13   32  +21       9.38    96.96    13.74    85.97     9.28    34.16    11.03    31.92    91.50    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    13   32  +16       6.58    90.77     4.14    94.90     9.29    43.92    39.92    72.94    98.56    81.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   12   29  +16       5.29    86.73     4.93    95.82     9.26    47.34    45.59    76.46    98.92    84.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         13   23   +6       4.26    79.88     4.67    72.75     9.17    12.60     0.56     2.96    47.76    12.20P    0.27R    0.01  
Bradford        13   22  +11       4.85    82.19    11.99    61.88     9.25     2.45     0.02     0.29    11.57     2.06P    4.81R    0.46  
Walsall         13   22   +4       3.25    73.77     2.69    69.04     9.21     6.49     0.23     1.34    31.86     7.08P    0.79R    0.05  
Brentford       13   21   +1       0.96    57.46    -2.25    68.81     9.12     4.66     0.21     1.28    30.63     7.65P    0.79R    0.05  
Swindon         13   20   +7      -2.27    32.28     0.23    77.34     9.09    25.14     1.62     7.81    69.07    27.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham       13   20   +0       5.28    84.63     5.25    58.02     9.33   -12.70     0.01     0.12     5.56     0.86P   11.67R    1.57  
MK_Dons         13   19   +4      -2.45    31.45    -1.51    72.88     9.28    16.81     0.64     3.41    49.44    15.62P    0.27R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    12   19   +1       3.06    73.43     2.13    62.66     9.46    -4.02     0.04     0.31    13.47     2.37P    4.81R    0.46  
Port_Vale       13   17   -1       1.52    62.55     2.92    58.62     9.48    -7.29     0.01     0.10     6.81     1.30P   10.63R    1.51  
Carlisle        12   15   -9       1.78    65.31    -3.72    52.16     9.02   -25.37     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.18P   28.89R    6.10  
Coventry        13   14   +8       2.86    70.53     2.95    67.23     9.34    20.35     0.13     0.92    28.05     7.93P    1.44R    0.11  
Shrewsbury      13   13   -2      -2.51    31.53     1.52    54.95     8.92    -6.63     0.00     0.02     2.58     0.44P   17.14R    2.81  
Colchester      13   13   -6      -1.52    38.99    -0.90    50.97     8.79   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.13P   31.98R    6.88  
Gillingham      13   12   -6      -2.32    33.57    -0.33    49.46     9.19   -18.46     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.11P   38.73R   10.09  
Crewe           13   12  -17      -0.55    47.22    -8.00    44.02     8.61   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.80R   26.25  
Oldham          12   11   -4      -3.03    26.78    -0.18    50.13     8.94   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.11P   35.27R    7.95  
Stevenage       13   11   -8      -4.16    20.46    -4.00    49.69     8.86   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.10P   37.05R    8.93  
Sheff_Utd       13    9  -10      -9.11     3.13   -10.39    57.33     9.03    -5.41     0.00     0.03     4.25     1.10P   11.96R    1.72  
Tranmere        13    9  -15      -6.36     9.83   -11.28    47.37     8.83   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   48.09R   14.02  
Notts_County    12    7   -9      -8.71     3.17    -7.72    51.83     9.41   -12.31     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.36P   28.94R    6.41  
Bristol_City    12    6   -8      -9.99     1.76    -6.90    54.39    10.04    -5.92     0.00     0.06     3.75     0.94P   21.62R    4.59  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             13   26   +7       5.95    87.45     3.73    76.86     9.23    15.34    16.03    40.42    72.58    47.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   24   +7       2.75    70.20     1.96    78.29     9.06    20.24    20.01    47.69    78.30    56.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               13   24   +5       4.02    78.52     1.76    73.19     9.17    10.87     8.46    26.11    58.29    33.98P    0.07R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           13   23   +9       3.77    76.68     6.90    74.30     9.13    18.00    10.37    30.84    63.92    39.23P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       13   22   +5       4.24    79.64     5.03    68.70     9.09     7.24     3.31    13.19    39.18    18.73P    0.33R    0.07  
Morecambe            13   22   +2       4.27    79.80     2.19    67.56     9.17     2.46     2.60    10.92    33.98    15.73P    0.51R    0.15  
Mansfield            13   21   +4       4.76    82.47     6.19    63.21     9.32    -0.17     1.10     5.28    20.05     8.04P    1.66R    0.51  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +2       3.65    76.04     2.82    67.58     9.23     3.72     2.61    10.77    34.38    15.61P    0.57R    0.14  
Newport_County       13   20   +4       5.01    83.99     8.34    55.52     9.02   -10.82     0.12     0.83     5.16     1.55P    8.71R    3.18  
Wycombe              12   20   +4       2.66    70.80     2.67    68.01     9.37     6.10     3.29    12.45    36.84    17.79P    0.46R    0.12  
Southend             13   20   +3       0.37    53.20     0.26    71.36     8.97    12.01     5.49    19.77    50.97    28.43P    0.12R    0.02  
Scunthorpe           12   20   +2       0.28    52.24    -2.80    73.49     9.80    12.19    10.52    28.78    58.99    37.52P    0.16R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            13   20   +1       2.75    70.95     1.75    62.30     9.01    -3.34     0.69     3.75    16.43     6.39P    1.92R    0.59  
Hartlepool           13   18   +2      -2.47    32.04    -1.85    68.14     9.39     9.35     3.39    12.93    37.90    20.09P    0.44R    0.12  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   18   -1       2.88    72.22     3.12    56.74     8.85   -10.99     0.11     0.93     5.65     1.73P    6.85R    2.34  
Portsmouth           12   16   +0      -4.36    19.80    -5.82    73.88     9.82    17.20    11.31    31.13    61.48    41.05P    0.14R    0.06  
Cheltenham           13   15   -6      -2.31    33.41    -5.22    59.45     9.06    -7.23     0.27     1.92    10.25     3.89P    4.19R    1.43  
York                 12   12   -4      -1.83    35.99    -0.25    51.37     8.93   -14.41     0.03     0.21     1.87     0.48P   18.69R    8.27  
Plymouth             13   12   -7      -3.26    25.60    -3.80    51.39     8.63   -14.17     0.02     0.13     1.44     0.41P   17.90R    7.59  
Bury                 13   10   -3      -8.48     4.65    -3.98    57.77     9.47     0.95     0.23     1.61     8.79     3.69P    6.42R    2.47  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -7      -5.88    11.97    -4.20    48.92     8.96   -16.75     0.02     0.12     1.04     0.31P   27.17R   12.98  
Torquay              13   10  -10      -6.00    11.40    -7.33    49.98     8.86   -17.68     0.01     0.10     1.19     0.33P   23.30R   10.81  
Northampton          13    9   -8      -7.37     6.62    -5.91    49.75     8.93   -14.64     0.02     0.12     1.20     0.36P   23.47R   11.30  
Accrington_Stanley   13    7  -11      -7.09     6.53    -5.58    42.31     8.52   -25.46     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   56.84R   37.77  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    16   38  +19      11.55    98.42    12.22    87.04     8.21    31.23    39.64    92.00    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    16   32  +11       2.60    67.11    -0.73    83.23     8.19    26.94    22.42    82.84    39.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton            16   30  +14       2.54    67.25     5.05    82.36     8.28    31.59    19.99    80.64    36.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   28   +9       4.94    80.83     7.19    69.37     8.24     9.10     1.18    22.82     4.77P    0.22R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   27   +7      -0.17    48.54    -0.87    77.02     8.17    20.70     6.62    58.61    21.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        16   27   +3       6.86    88.51     5.73    64.59     8.76    -2.29     0.38    10.66     2.04P    1.73R    0.02  
Nuneaton         16   26   +0       6.15    86.40     3.28    63.64     8.16    -5.51     0.16     7.35     1.14P    1.64R    0.02  
Barnet           16   25   +7      -3.04    29.29    -2.59    76.58     8.47    23.27     7.35    56.96    22.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Welling          16   25   +4       4.74    78.88     6.82    65.14     8.70     1.82     0.40    11.94     2.33P    1.49R    0.02  
Gateshead        16   25   +4       2.30    66.00     2.93    66.56     8.21     4.70     0.42    14.06     2.82P    0.60R    0.00  
Halifax          16   25   +3       4.61    78.71     6.09    63.09     8.88    -2.61     0.23     8.52     1.60P    2.55R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town    16   25   -1       5.33    82.87     3.15    64.22     8.40    -4.97     0.25     9.05     1.46P    1.63R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     16   22   +1       0.87    56.94     2.20    62.47     8.20     0.17     0.11     6.06     1.14P    2.08R    0.03  
Wrexham          16   19   -2      -7.33     9.29    -8.97    66.82     8.20     8.13     0.48    14.95     4.35P    0.61R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   19   -2      -3.23    28.28    -2.36    59.06     8.21    -3.55     0.05     2.72     0.54P    5.08R    0.11  
Forest_Green     16   18   +0      -5.30    17.28    -2.21    62.05     8.35     4.36     0.11     6.07     1.32P    2.67R    0.04  
Southport        16   18   -6      -0.93    44.44    -1.11    54.11     7.99   -14.85     0.01     0.60     0.08P   14.98R    0.49  
Dartford         16   18   -9      -1.85    37.49    -5.50    53.26     8.08   -18.60     0.00     0.45     0.08P   18.76R    0.59  
Hereford         16   17   -3      -6.53    12.61    -5.44    60.10     8.08     0.18     0.03     3.28     0.74P    3.83R    0.06  
Tamworth         16   16   -9      -0.76    45.79    -1.12    50.29     7.91   -19.94     0.00     0.17     0.03P   29.86R    1.50  
Woking           16   14   -9      -4.73    19.86    -3.44    47.16     7.96   -22.67     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.33R    2.90  
Chester          16   13  -13      -1.58    40.19    -1.51    43.00     8.12   -29.99     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.82R    8.84  
Aldershot        16   12   +2      -4.57    21.44    -5.06    64.28     8.42    19.09     0.18    10.19     3.46P    1.64R    0.03  
Hyde_United      16    2  -30     -11.14     0.44   -13.75    28.42     7.60   -56.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   85.28  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10