Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2013, Crystal_Palace 1 4 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           8   19   +9       3.00    78.09     1.14    75.21     8.26    33.45    25.06    46.14    64.06    77.99    93.96     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea           8   17   +9       1.51    65.23     1.91    75.07     8.20    35.23    24.08    46.07    64.39    78.46    94.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   17   +6       2.12    70.72     0.04    68.11     8.37    20.95     6.60    16.67    29.79    45.40    76.69     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City          8   16  +11      -0.66    41.18     2.07    76.40     7.97    42.18    30.85    53.93    71.19    83.49    95.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   16   +3       2.27    71.86    -1.07    64.75     8.33    14.35     2.72     8.31    16.89    29.44    62.24     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       8   15   +5       4.09    86.18     5.19    52.62     8.20    -0.37     0.09     0.41     1.13     2.75    12.11     1.58R    0.06  
Everton           8   15   +2       2.27    72.10    -0.53    62.06     8.42    10.73     1.36     4.77    10.68    19.71    48.94     0.09R    0.01  
Man_Utd           8   11   +1      -3.97    14.31    -5.68    70.09     8.14    29.43     9.15    23.16    40.01    57.48    84.59     0.00     0.00  
Hull              8   11   -2       3.41    84.07     3.24    39.39     7.76   -20.26     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.44    28.93R    4.00  
Newcastle         8   11   -3       1.36    65.00    -0.48    46.68     8.31   -12.83     0.01     0.05     0.23     0.61     3.57     8.04R    0.75  
Swansea           8   10   +1       0.09    51.70     2.53    49.56     8.24    -1.75     0.02     0.11     0.43     1.17     6.73     3.70R    0.19  
West_Brom         8   10   +1      -0.25    48.02     2.16    50.48     8.32    -0.30     0.04     0.23     0.61     1.60     8.19     3.15R    0.19  
Aston_Villa       8   10   -1       1.70    69.05     3.42    47.23     8.28    -7.35     0.01     0.05     0.21     0.65     3.94     6.68R    0.54  
Fulham            8   10   -1      -0.89    41.39    -0.69    47.28     8.20    -7.22     0.01     0.06     0.22     0.64     4.13     6.37R    0.38  
West_Ham          8    8   +0      -2.00    31.05     1.42    44.93     8.22    -6.74     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.36     2.32    10.41R    1.08  
Stoke             8    8   -3      -1.09    39.58    -0.54    42.67     7.77   -10.99     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.97    15.22R    1.35  
Cardiff           8    8   -5       0.42    56.89     0.35    39.46     8.18   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.54    29.76R    4.65  
Norwich           8    7   -7      -1.12    39.51    -2.43    39.65     8.04   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.46    28.36R    4.13  
Crystal_Palace    8    3  -11      -2.77    20.63    -1.95    24.74     7.35   -45.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   64.04  
Sunderland        8    1  -15      -6.81     1.57   -10.09    31.99     7.74   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.55R   18.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2013, Leeds_United 4 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         12   29  +15       9.20    97.40     9.91    83.90     9.21    27.76    23.22    41.55    83.49    51.39P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             11   27  +10       7.23    94.89     3.24    83.97     9.53    23.33    23.69    41.33    82.30    52.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       12   26   +7       5.50    87.06     0.91    81.00     9.25    19.92    14.51    29.02    74.13    40.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   23   +8       4.54    82.60     4.84    73.78     9.20    14.33     3.79     9.72    44.98    17.49P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       12   23   +5       4.67    82.61     2.13    73.90     9.13    11.58     3.62     9.25    44.96    16.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         12   22   +8       1.16    58.84     1.38    80.19     9.63    26.10    13.82    27.75    71.73    40.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford         12   21  +10       0.74    55.91     3.90    78.43     9.32    27.11    10.00    21.52    66.63    33.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           12   18   +4       1.34    61.10     3.85    68.04     9.37     9.20     0.97     3.14    23.66     7.37P    0.65R    0.06  
Leeds_United    12   17   +1       1.35    61.68     2.16    63.41     9.19     0.76     0.29     0.98    11.05     3.00P    1.88R    0.15  
Bournemouth     12   17   -6       3.88    79.17     0.03    52.66     9.27   -25.42     0.02     0.04     1.16     0.20P   18.83R    3.40  
Blackburn       12   15   +3      -2.38    31.42     1.64    64.93     9.26     8.14     0.47     1.52    14.84     4.57P    1.31R    0.10  
Ipswich         12   15   +2      -0.49    46.74     3.53    59.70     9.21    -0.83     0.11     0.41     5.75     1.43P    4.29R    0.44  
Wigan           10   14   +3      -2.73    27.32    -1.60    73.63    10.22    19.02     5.00    11.81    46.35    22.06P    0.23R    0.02  
Huddersfield    12   14   +2      -1.00    42.60     4.10    55.89     9.03    -5.00     0.03     0.12     2.39     0.56P    9.07R    1.20  
Brighton        12   14   -1      -3.85    21.23    -3.19    64.84     9.00     5.64     0.34     1.21    13.71     4.36P    1.16R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   12   12   -2      -4.14    19.37    -1.47    55.17     9.28    -7.91     0.03     0.10     2.20     0.53P   11.31R    1.56  
Doncaster       11   12   -5       0.53    56.55     0.58    51.31     9.34   -17.90     0.01     0.04     0.90     0.19P   22.63R    4.32  
Millwall        12   12  -11      -2.18    33.38    -7.63    49.35     8.86   -25.72     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.07P   28.90R    5.85  
Charlton        11   10   -5      -4.34    17.61    -3.90    56.56     9.21    -6.75     0.04     0.19     2.95     0.79P    8.63R    1.16  
Birmingham      12   10   -6      -5.94    10.52    -5.12    56.88     9.29    -5.63     0.02     0.15     3.17     0.83P    8.56R    1.10  
Bolton          12    9   -9      -6.82     6.94    -8.16    56.69     9.28    -7.54     0.03     0.13     2.91     0.76P    8.91R    1.07  
Barnsley        12    8  -15      -3.17    25.05    -6.04    43.52     8.80   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   54.97R   18.59  
Sheff_Wed       11    7   -6      -6.23     7.53    -3.30    47.38     9.14   -17.51     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   36.00R    8.62  
Yeovil          12    6  -12      -3.91    19.00    -1.77    36.24     8.56   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.50R   52.27  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   13   32  +21       9.47    97.14    13.88    85.74     9.17    33.80    10.48    30.93    91.28    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    13   32  +16       6.48    90.50     3.96    95.08     9.21    44.26    40.53    73.81    98.69    82.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   12   29  +16       5.29    86.61     4.95    95.86     9.30    47.39    45.44    76.74    98.80    84.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         13   23   +6       4.23    79.68     4.64    72.82     9.18    12.76     0.54     3.00    48.18    12.25P    0.23R    0.01  
Bradford        13   22  +11       4.75    81.72    11.86    62.17     9.39     2.85     0.07     0.34    12.64     2.28P    4.64R    0.43  
Walsall         13   22   +4       3.11    72.81     2.47    69.42     9.18     7.09     0.22     1.43    33.31     7.61P    0.74R    0.04  
Brentford       13   21   +1       0.90    57.01    -2.36    68.94     9.09     4.90     0.23     1.34    31.06     7.65P    0.75R    0.04  
Swindon         13   20   +7      -2.30    32.28     0.17    77.41     9.11    25.22     1.80     7.96    69.05    27.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Rotherham       13   20   +0       5.40    85.18     5.42    57.75     9.33   -13.18     0.01     0.07     5.19     0.75P   12.59R    1.62  
MK_Dons         13   19   +4      -2.35    32.37    -1.40    72.57     9.18    16.40     0.49     2.94    48.24    14.95P    0.23R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    12   19   +1       3.07    73.66     2.14    62.72     9.35    -3.96     0.04     0.29    13.24     2.40P    4.56R    0.43  
Port_Vale       13   17   -1       1.57    62.88     2.97    58.57     9.51    -7.35     0.01     0.08     6.63     1.19P   10.73R    1.57  
Carlisle        12   15   -9       1.85    65.90    -3.60    51.78     9.06   -25.98     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.14P   30.51R    6.52  
Coventry        13   14   +8       2.93    70.84     3.05    67.02     9.42    20.01     0.14     0.98    27.37     7.93P    1.54R    0.16  
Shrewsbury      13   13   -2      -2.56    31.04     1.44    55.14     8.90    -6.40     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.48P   16.70R    2.54  
Colchester      13   13   -6      -1.54    39.00    -0.95    50.92     8.77   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.12P   32.01R    7.09  
Gillingham      13   12   -6      -2.37    33.27    -0.41    49.70     9.24   -18.04     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.14P   37.63R    9.95  
Crewe           13   12  -17      -0.49    47.71    -7.90    44.02     8.50   -39.32     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   64.77R   25.88  
Oldham          12   11   -4      -3.09    26.44    -0.25    50.23     8.95   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.14P   34.49R    7.91  
Stevenage       13   11   -8      -4.19    20.49    -3.98    49.63     8.84   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P   37.29R    8.94  
Sheff_Utd       13    9  -10      -9.07     3.26   -10.31    57.20     9.05    -5.54     0.00     0.02     4.17     1.04P   12.17R    1.71  
Tranmere        13    9  -15      -6.39     9.70   -11.34    47.65     8.81   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   46.66R   13.49  
Notts_County    12    7   -9      -8.76     2.96    -7.75    51.72     9.40   -12.44     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.26P   29.10R    6.49  
Bristol_City    12    6   -8      -9.88     1.85    -6.69    54.02    10.04    -6.47     0.00     0.04     3.32     0.83P   22.60R    5.17  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             13   26   +7       6.07    87.65     3.92    76.59     9.29    14.94    15.55    39.82    71.72    47.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   24   +7       2.75    70.49     1.98    78.24     9.06    20.17    20.15    47.35    78.34    56.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               13   24   +5       4.04    78.44     1.80    73.06     9.19    10.66     8.30    25.92    57.72    33.38P    0.07R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           13   23   +9       3.81    76.96     6.96    74.17     9.07    17.81    10.05    30.48    63.88    39.11P    0.04R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       13   22   +5       4.21    79.28     5.00    68.75     9.17     7.27     3.50    13.69    39.75    19.10P    0.36R    0.08  
Morecambe            13   22   +2       4.40    80.73     2.37    67.28     9.14     2.01     2.53    10.34    32.99    14.93P    0.51R    0.12  
Mansfield            13   21   +4       4.70    82.03     6.10    63.35     9.32     0.07     1.13     5.49    20.50     8.51P    1.59R    0.49  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +2       3.67    76.36     2.86    67.34     9.21     3.35     2.44    10.51    33.62    15.34P    0.61R    0.18  
Newport_County       13   20   +4       4.96    83.72     8.26    55.69     8.99   -10.40     0.14     0.91     5.40     1.63P    8.53R    3.15  
Wycombe              12   20   +4       2.66    70.74     2.66    67.98     9.35     6.07     3.26    12.31    36.72    17.69P    0.51R    0.15  
Southend             13   20   +3       0.43    53.72     0.34    71.18     9.08    11.77     5.62    19.72    50.73    28.16P    0.12R    0.02  
Scunthorpe           12   20   +2       0.18    51.39    -2.92    73.77     9.73    12.63    10.91    29.70    60.70    38.74P    0.11R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            13   20   +1       2.69    70.43     1.72    62.44     9.06    -3.17     0.80     4.05    17.02     6.70P    1.90R    0.55  
Hartlepool           13   18   +2      -2.35    32.92    -1.70    67.79     9.45     8.84     3.21    12.50    36.91    19.58P    0.54R    0.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        13   18   -1       2.88    72.44     3.11    56.73     8.86   -11.00     0.12     0.94     5.82     1.72P    6.87R    2.46  
Portsmouth           12   16   +0      -4.33    19.88    -5.82    73.92     9.87    17.27    11.70    31.88    61.86    41.84P    0.13R    0.04  
Cheltenham           13   15   -6      -2.31    33.34    -5.22    59.47     9.05    -7.17     0.26     1.89    10.18     3.77P    4.19R    1.44  
York                 12   12   -4      -1.86    36.16    -0.29    51.36     8.93   -14.40     0.02     0.26     1.84     0.57P   18.84R    8.60  
Plymouth             13   12   -7      -3.21    25.89    -3.73    51.29     8.56   -14.30     0.02     0.13     1.28     0.36P   18.37R    7.72  
Bury                 13   10   -3      -8.51     4.79    -3.99    57.90     9.52     1.06     0.25     1.74     9.41     4.02P    6.59R    2.46  
Bristol_Rovers       13   10   -7      -5.91    11.92    -4.30    49.04     8.91   -16.47     0.01     0.11     0.98     0.28P   26.99R   12.95  
Torquay              13   10  -10      -6.08    11.09    -7.41    49.92     8.86   -17.75     0.01     0.10     1.18     0.35P   23.79R   11.32  
Northampton          13    9   -8      -7.44     6.68    -6.01    49.95     8.96   -14.30     0.01     0.16     1.32     0.43P   23.56R   11.25  
Accrington_Stanley   13    7  -11      -7.17     6.44    -5.70    42.66     8.60   -24.94     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   55.74R   36.77  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    16   38  +19      11.48    98.37    12.13    87.20     8.15    31.44    40.79    92.10    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    16   32  +11       2.63    67.73    -0.69    83.21     8.14    26.87    21.71    83.04    39.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            16   30  +14       2.41    66.66     4.89    82.59     8.28    31.89    20.24    81.36    37.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   28   +9       4.92    80.83     7.20    69.31     8.25     9.04     1.09    22.67     4.67P    0.19R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   27   +7      -0.10    48.92    -0.79    76.94     8.11    20.55     6.27    57.97    20.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        16   27   +3       6.77    88.43     5.55    64.82     8.66    -1.93     0.39    10.63     2.07P    1.47R    0.01  
Nuneaton         16   26   +0       6.16    86.47     3.32    63.57     8.07    -5.64     0.15     7.07     1.16P    1.62R    0.01  
Barnet           16   25   +7      -3.09    29.12    -2.69    76.61     8.49    23.43     7.14    57.20    22.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Welling          16   25   +4       4.74    78.85     6.82    65.07     8.72     1.70     0.45    11.73     2.36P    1.49R    0.02  
Gateshead        16   25   +4       2.38    66.49     3.02    66.51     8.16     4.56     0.39    13.77     2.77P    0.59R    0.00  
Halifax          16   25   +3       4.52    78.32     5.94    63.30     8.85    -2.29     0.24     8.73     1.53P    2.43R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town    16   25   -1       5.32    82.90     3.15    64.15     8.38    -5.16     0.20     8.70     1.28P    1.71R    0.03  
Lincoln_City     16   22   +1       0.93    57.45     2.27    62.37     8.25     0.01     0.10     6.15     1.19P    2.30R    0.04  
Wrexham          16   19   -2      -7.36     9.00    -9.00    66.88     8.26     8.21     0.42    15.12     4.45P    0.63R    0.00  
Macclesfield     16   19   -2      -3.28    28.09    -2.40    59.24     8.22    -3.27     0.04     2.82     0.51P    5.01R    0.11  
Forest_Green     16   18   +0      -5.29    17.44    -2.18    61.88     8.37     4.10     0.12     5.89     1.36P    2.68R    0.04  
Southport        16   18   -6      -0.84    45.02    -0.98    54.06     8.02   -14.90     0.01     0.68     0.09P   15.59R    0.45  
Dartford         16   18   -9      -1.81    37.77    -5.40    53.11     8.07   -18.76     0.00     0.46     0.07P   19.03R    0.62  
Hereford         16   17   -3      -6.53    12.62    -5.44    60.00     8.10     0.13     0.04     3.28     0.75P    4.03R    0.07  
Tamworth         16   16   -9      -0.70    46.13    -1.01    50.12     7.95   -20.25     0.00     0.15     0.02P   30.16R    1.47  
Woking           16   14   -9      -4.83    19.66    -3.63    47.36     7.94   -22.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P   43.66R    2.72  
Chester          16   13  -13      -1.50    40.53    -1.43    42.85     8.09   -30.21     0.00     0.02     0.00    67.32R    9.09  
Aldershot        16   12   +2      -4.53    21.42    -5.02    64.30     8.46    19.06     0.22    10.42     3.77P    1.60R    0.02  
Hyde_United      16    2  -30     -11.08     0.45   -13.62    28.41     7.59   -56.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   85.25  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10