Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 22 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2013, Crystal_Palace 1 4 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Arsenal 8 19 +9 2.99 77.93 1.08 75.27 8.31 33.62 25.39 46.52 64.05 77.92 93.94 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 8 17 +9 1.47 64.95 1.88 75.12 8.14 35.36 23.94 45.86 64.46 78.52 94.50 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 8 17 +6 2.11 70.74 0.04 68.13 8.38 20.95 6.36 16.33 29.70 45.53 76.83 0.00R 0.00
Man_City 8 16 +11 -0.62 41.63 2.11 76.39 8.06 42.20 30.70 53.85 70.86 82.90 95.87 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 8 16 +3 2.29 72.29 -1.04 64.76 8.32 14.27 2.70 8.22 17.03 29.68 62.29 0.02R 0.00
Southampton 8 15 +5 4.01 85.58 5.06 52.77 8.21 -0.15 0.07 0.39 1.17 2.81 12.23 1.42R 0.04
Everton 8 15 +2 2.28 72.19 -0.52 62.04 8.34 10.72 1.27 4.55 10.30 19.37 49.02 0.06R 0.00
Man_Utd 8 11 +1 -4.01 13.81 -5.74 70.24 8.21 29.77 9.45 23.76 40.60 58.08 84.72 0.00R 0.00
Hull 8 11 -2 3.39 83.72 3.20 39.45 7.76 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.42 28.71R 3.68
Newcastle 8 11 -3 1.42 65.67 -0.43 46.63 8.23 -12.94 0.01 0.06 0.18 0.55 3.34 8.11R 0.65
Swansea 8 10 +1 0.16 52.82 2.66 49.35 8.23 -2.02 0.01 0.12 0.42 1.09 6.30 3.97R 0.20
West_Brom 8 10 +1 -0.23 48.33 2.18 50.53 8.25 -0.24 0.05 0.19 0.62 1.66 8.13 2.92R 0.18
Aston_Villa 8 10 -1 1.68 68.81 3.39 47.26 8.22 -7.32 0.02 0.07 0.22 0.63 4.11 6.60R 0.51
Fulham 8 10 -1 -0.87 41.65 -0.65 47.03 8.26 -7.64 0.01 0.05 0.22 0.69 3.98 6.90R 0.46
West_Ham 8 8 +0 -2.02 30.55 1.39 44.94 8.14 -6.70 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.31 2.22 10.20R 0.93
Stoke 8 8 -3 -1.14 38.68 -0.59 42.77 7.77 -10.87 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 1.02 14.90R 1.30
Cardiff 8 8 -5 0.41 56.73 0.34 39.48 8.23 -20.77 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.57 29.86R 4.73
Norwich 8 7 -7 -1.08 40.14 -2.38 39.78 8.01 -20.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.49 27.95R 3.94
Crystal_Palace 8 3 -11 -2.78 20.37 -1.95 24.68 7.29 -45.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.25R 64.35
Sunderland 8 1 -15 -6.77 1.54 -10.02 31.85 7.73 -31.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 67.12R 19.02
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2013, Leeds_United 4 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Burnley 12 29 +15 9.08 97.22 9.78 84.19 9.19 28.17 24.18 43.00 84.37 52.83P 0.00 0.00
QPR 11 27 +10 7.27 94.93 3.29 83.81 9.55 23.16 23.41 40.62 82.10 51.74P 0.01R 0.00
Leicester 12 26 +7 5.51 87.16 0.92 81.14 9.23 20.06 14.70 29.51 74.73 41.09P 0.00R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 12 23 +8 4.63 83.22 4.98 73.57 9.22 14.03 3.53 9.31 44.49 16.75P 0.09R 0.00
Blackpool 12 23 +5 4.65 82.40 2.07 73.99 9.14 11.72 3.78 9.52 45.56 17.65P 0.05R 0.00
Reading 12 22 +8 1.27 59.69 1.55 79.86 9.65 25.51 13.17 26.93 70.57 39.45P 0.02R 0.00
Watford 12 21 +10 0.75 55.70 3.92 78.27 9.27 26.93 9.78 21.27 66.16 33.40P 0.01R 0.00
Derby 12 18 +4 1.33 60.96 3.85 67.98 9.32 9.14 0.96 3.16 23.34 7.52P 0.63R 0.04
Leeds_United 12 17 +1 1.28 61.20 2.07 63.64 9.13 1.12 0.30 1.03 11.36 2.99P 1.63R 0.13
Bournemouth 12 17 -6 3.89 79.43 0.05 52.75 9.29 -25.27 0.01 0.08 1.26 0.23P 18.93R 3.37
Blackburn 12 15 +3 -2.37 31.46 1.65 64.82 9.14 8.03 0.40 1.31 14.44 4.34P 1.18R 0.09
Ipswich 12 15 +2 -0.53 46.41 3.48 59.82 9.21 -0.74 0.09 0.40 5.86 1.44P 4.36R 0.42
Wigan 10 14 +3 -2.71 27.11 -1.58 73.60 10.26 18.91 5.15 11.87 46.32 22.23P 0.23R 0.01
Huddersfield 12 14 +2 -1.04 42.51 4.03 56.01 8.95 -4.85 0.03 0.11 2.39 0.53P 8.74R 1.15
Brighton 12 14 -1 -3.93 20.50 -3.31 65.01 9.02 5.86 0.38 1.36 14.46 4.79P 1.06R 0.09
Middlesbrough 12 12 -2 -4.12 19.59 -1.44 55.21 9.22 -7.87 0.02 0.08 2.21 0.53P 10.94R 1.44
Doncaster 11 12 -5 0.48 56.05 0.51 51.40 9.36 -17.77 0.00 0.03 0.84 0.16P 22.48R 4.51
Millwall 12 12 -11 -2.08 33.86 -7.49 49.25 8.74 -25.89 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.05P 29.20R 5.89
Charlton 11 10 -5 -4.30 17.45 -3.88 56.59 9.24 -6.71 0.02 0.12 2.83 0.64P 8.73R 1.13
Birmingham 12 10 -6 -5.95 10.02 -5.13 56.88 9.22 -5.62 0.04 0.13 2.99 0.73P 8.27R 1.03
Bolton 12 9 -9 -6.84 7.10 -8.17 56.73 9.29 -7.52 0.03 0.15 3.00 0.83P 8.68R 1.21
Barnsley 12 8 -15 -3.24 24.87 -6.17 43.50 8.77 -33.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 55.32R 18.09
Sheff_Wed 11 7 -6 -6.22 7.36 -3.30 47.39 9.12 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 36.12R 8.27
Yeovil 12 6 -12 -3.87 19.54 -1.69 36.05 8.46 -39.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.33R 53.11
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 13 32 +21 9.41 96.94 13.80 85.80 9.19 33.93 10.72 31.35 91.44 46.00P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 13 32 +16 6.58 90.59 4.06 94.92 9.32 44.00 40.60 73.33 98.61 81.67P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 12 29 +16 5.32 86.79 4.97 95.69 9.32 47.18 45.15 76.37 98.89 84.19P 0.00 0.00
Preston 13 23 +6 4.25 79.69 4.67 72.81 9.18 12.68 0.54 3.07 47.96 12.32P 0.23R 0.00
Bradford 13 22 +11 4.84 82.17 11.97 62.12 9.34 2.77 0.05 0.36 12.35 2.29P 4.56R 0.36
Walsall 13 22 +4 3.19 73.34 2.60 69.32 9.24 6.92 0.22 1.46 32.91 7.52P 0.75R 0.04
Brentford 13 21 +1 0.88 56.83 -2.36 68.96 9.07 4.92 0.25 1.36 31.10 7.71P 0.74R 0.05
Swindon 13 20 +7 -2.34 32.21 0.17 77.29 9.18 25.05 1.67 7.92 68.52 27.10P 0.06R 0.00
Rotherham 13 20 +0 5.36 85.16 5.33 57.87 9.37 -12.90 0.02 0.09 5.39 0.83P 12.08R 1.62
MK_Dons 13 19 +4 -2.47 31.59 -1.56 72.81 9.24 16.70 0.57 3.23 48.98 15.54P 0.25R 0.00
Crawley_Town 12 19 +1 3.08 73.79 2.16 62.72 9.40 -3.98 0.03 0.30 13.45 2.42P 4.52R 0.44
Port_Vale 13 17 -1 1.54 62.53 2.94 58.44 9.50 -7.54 0.01 0.10 6.40 1.23P 10.98R 1.64
Carlisle 12 15 -9 1.73 65.06 -3.81 52.30 9.01 -25.12 0.00 0.01 1.42 0.20P 28.44R 5.86
Coventry 13 14 +8 2.93 70.97 3.05 67.05 9.33 20.02 0.15 0.95 27.19 7.76P 1.47R 0.11
Shrewsbury 13 13 -2 -2.59 30.98 1.41 55.25 8.86 -6.22 0.00 0.01 2.67 0.51P 16.21R 2.56
Colchester 13 13 -6 -1.50 39.27 -0.89 50.78 8.74 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.15P 32.62R 7.14
Gillingham 13 12 -6 -2.45 32.42 -0.52 49.92 9.20 -17.70 0.00 0.01 0.92 0.16P 36.55R 9.21
Crewe 13 12 -17 -0.51 47.87 -7.95 43.90 8.54 -39.52 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 65.23R 26.50
Oldham 12 11 -4 -3.00 27.08 -0.11 49.95 9.06 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.11P 36.27R 8.59
Stevenage 13 11 -8 -4.15 20.50 -4.00 49.68 8.79 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.08P 36.95R 8.66
Sheff_Utd 13 9 -10 -9.08 3.32 -10.34 57.32 9.11 -5.35 0.00 0.03 4.29 1.00P 12.01R 1.68
Tranmere 13 9 -15 -6.31 9.91 -11.19 47.29 8.76 -25.71 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 48.58R 14.20
Notts_County 12 7 -9 -8.81 2.96 -7.80 52.06 9.45 -11.95 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.35P 27.89R 6.14
Bristol_City 12 6 -8 -9.82 1.93 -6.59 53.82 10.05 -6.80 0.00 0.04 3.22 0.81P 23.61R 5.21
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Rochdale 13 26 +7 6.01 87.60 3.84 76.59 9.26 14.97 15.44 39.26 71.49 47.04P 0.02R 0.00
Chesterfield 13 24 +7 2.72 70.15 1.94 78.30 9.07 20.22 20.49 47.86 78.34 56.61P 0.00R 0.00
Exeter 13 24 +5 4.01 78.14 1.80 73.12 9.17 10.72 8.50 26.02 57.92 33.78P 0.06R 0.01
Oxford_Utd 13 23 +9 3.74 76.68 6.87 74.25 9.05 17.89 10.21 30.79 64.17 39.24P 0.05R 0.01
Fleetwood_Town 13 22 +5 4.29 80.00 5.05 68.59 9.08 7.08 3.17 12.90 38.78 18.37P 0.33R 0.06
Morecambe 13 22 +2 4.26 79.90 2.15 67.62 9.14 2.59 2.78 10.83 34.27 15.61P 0.45R 0.09
Mansfield 13 21 +4 4.70 82.08 6.10 63.43 9.25 0.15 1.05 5.11 20.18 8.02P 1.56R 0.45
Burton_Albion 13 21 +2 3.59 75.64 2.75 67.54 9.25 3.63 2.64 10.88 34.24 15.90P 0.59R 0.14
Newport_County 13 20 +4 4.98 83.87 8.28 55.66 9.11 -10.55 0.17 1.02 5.42 1.78P 8.77R 3.21
Wycombe 12 20 +4 2.67 70.50 2.67 68.02 9.37 6.10 3.29 12.71 36.81 18.12P 0.45R 0.12
Southend 13 20 +3 0.35 53.05 0.23 71.33 9.08 12.00 5.90 20.35 50.84 28.62P 0.12R 0.03
Scunthorpe 12 20 +2 0.29 52.04 -2.80 73.48 9.73 12.20 10.16 28.79 59.48 37.65P 0.15R 0.04
Dag_&_Red 13 20 +1 2.74 70.62 1.75 62.28 9.00 -3.33 0.64 3.68 16.34 6.14P 1.89R 0.54
Hartlepool 13 18 +2 -2.43 32.16 -1.83 68.00 9.41 9.16 3.32 12.89 37.50 20.01P 0.47R 0.12
AFC_Wimbledon 13 18 -1 2.94 72.70 3.22 56.58 8.89 -11.29 0.16 0.94 5.61 1.71P 7.27R 2.60
Portsmouth 12 16 +0 -4.32 19.71 -5.77 73.91 9.84 17.25 11.39 31.51 62.03 41.64P 0.18R 0.04
Cheltenham 13 15 -6 -2.30 33.36 -5.20 59.47 9.13 -7.21 0.32 2.02 10.45 3.90P 4.27R 1.49
York 12 12 -4 -1.85 36.05 -0.26 51.34 8.90 -14.38 0.03 0.23 1.86 0.53P 18.83R 8.47
Plymouth 13 12 -7 -3.25 25.82 -3.79 51.39 8.57 -14.08 0.01 0.13 1.41 0.38P 17.92R 7.54
Bury 13 10 -3 -8.49 4.84 -3.99 57.95 9.49 1.14 0.27 1.76 9.32 3.93P 6.23R 2.30
Bristol_Rovers 13 10 -7 -5.86 11.91 -4.21 48.94 8.84 -16.61 0.01 0.08 0.92 0.26P 26.65R 12.88
Torquay 13 10 -10 -6.01 11.44 -7.28 49.85 8.83 -17.90 0.01 0.13 1.22 0.37P 24.10R 11.40
Northampton 13 9 -8 -7.39 6.69 -5.91 49.81 8.91 -14.58 0.02 0.12 1.31 0.38P 23.39R 11.20
Accrington_Stanley 13 7 -11 -7.10 6.62 -5.61 42.52 8.54 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 56.23R 37.23
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Cambridge_Utd 16 38 +19 11.50 98.33 12.17 87.13 8.19 31.30 40.06 92.07 52.32P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 16 32 +11 2.48 66.63 -0.91 83.35 8.14 27.18 22.42 83.13 39.68P 0.00 0.00
Luton 16 30 +14 2.43 66.59 4.88 82.61 8.21 31.96 20.21 81.61 37.60P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 16 28 +9 4.94 80.94 7.15 69.39 8.26 9.19 1.00 22.96 4.78P 0.25R 0.00
Grimsby 16 27 +7 -0.08 49.07 -0.77 76.95 8.15 20.67 6.32 58.06 20.30P 0.01R 0.00
Salisbury 16 27 +3 6.86 88.58 5.74 64.72 8.64 -2.13 0.39 10.38 1.93P 1.56R 0.01
Nuneaton 16 26 +0 6.09 86.15 3.23 63.64 8.08 -5.52 0.13 7.15 1.04P 1.65R 0.01
Barnet 16 25 +7 -3.18 28.61 -2.82 76.69 8.50 23.51 7.24 57.34 22.60P 0.02R 0.00
Welling 16 25 +4 4.74 78.88 6.80 65.12 8.73 1.83 0.40 11.87 2.31P 1.44R 0.02
Gateshead 16 25 +4 2.46 66.88 3.16 66.32 8.28 4.28 0.43 13.61 2.71P 0.73R 0.01
Halifax 16 25 +3 4.69 79.06 6.20 63.07 8.85 -2.67 0.25 8.37 1.44P 2.53R 0.06
Alfreton_Town 16 25 -1 5.32 82.61 3.15 64.10 8.34 -5.27 0.21 8.72 1.32P 1.56R 0.02
Lincoln_City 16 22 +1 0.92 57.30 2.22 62.52 8.27 0.22 0.12 6.42 1.23P 2.26R 0.02
Wrexham 16 19 -2 -7.34 9.05 -8.98 66.72 8.21 7.96 0.45 14.63 4.24P 0.60R 0.00
Macclesfield 16 19 -2 -3.32 27.88 -2.45 59.15 8.16 -3.39 0.03 2.78 0.56P 5.05R 0.09
Forest_Green 16 18 +0 -5.30 17.37 -2.21 62.09 8.36 4.43 0.09 6.10 1.35P 2.62R 0.04
Southport 16 18 -6 -0.88 44.82 -1.06 54.06 8.05 -14.87 0.00 0.60 0.11P 15.46R 0.45
Dartford 16 18 -9 -1.80 37.69 -5.38 53.13 8.10 -18.76 0.01 0.45 0.06P 18.89R 0.58
Hereford 16 17 -3 -6.51 12.59 -5.38 60.01 8.19 0.11 0.04 3.49 0.79P 4.12R 0.06
Tamworth 16 16 -9 -0.65 46.41 -0.98 50.08 7.90 -20.31 0.00 0.14 0.02P 30.43R 1.45
Woking 16 14 -9 -4.72 20.23 -3.42 47.19 7.97 -22.70 0.00 0.07 0.01P 44.89R 2.84
Chester 16 13 -13 -1.61 39.94 -1.54 43.08 8.17 -29.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.99R 8.69
Aldershot 16 12 +2 -4.57 21.22 -5.07 64.38 8.32 19.19 0.21 10.05 3.60P 1.45R 0.03
Hyde_United 16 2 -30 -11.13 0.40 -13.74 28.38 7.58 -56.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.50R 85.61
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
