Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2013, Crystal_Palace 1 4 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           8   19   +9       2.97    77.79     1.09    75.34     8.24    33.65    25.70    46.75    64.47    78.24    94.18     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea           8   17   +9       1.50    65.31     1.92    74.93     8.12    34.98    23.38    45.10    63.56    77.78    94.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         8   17   +6       2.09    70.56     0.02    68.29     8.34    21.18     6.66    16.87    30.50    46.25    77.43     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City          8   16  +11      -0.68    41.05     2.05    76.41     7.96    42.15    30.93    54.28    71.10    83.28    95.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         8   16   +3       2.27    71.80    -1.07    64.79     8.28    14.37     2.65     8.38    17.17    29.67    62.10     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       8   15   +5       4.06    86.06     5.13    52.77     8.22    -0.17     0.09     0.37     1.18     2.83    12.36     1.52R    0.05  
Everton           8   15   +2       2.18    71.52    -0.63    62.13     8.36    10.87     1.44     4.72    10.56    19.63    49.15     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   11   +1      -3.93    14.53    -5.65    70.09     8.13    29.49     9.05    22.95    39.65    57.13    84.57     0.01R    0.00  
Hull              8   11   -2       3.44    84.20     3.30    39.15     7.75   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.35    30.07R    4.19  
Newcastle         8   11   -3       1.44    65.99    -0.37    46.48     8.20   -13.20     0.00     0.05     0.16     0.46     3.05     8.18R    0.71  
Swansea           8   10   +1       0.13    52.30     2.57    49.55     8.22    -1.70     0.03     0.16     0.43     1.22     6.41     3.62R    0.21  
West_Brom         8   10   +1      -0.19    49.10     2.22    50.46     8.26    -0.36     0.03     0.19     0.58     1.56     8.04     3.05R    0.18  
Aston_Villa       8   10   -1       1.70    68.95     3.45    47.13     8.24    -7.57     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.57     3.76     6.91R    0.56  
Fulham            8   10   -1      -0.93    41.11    -0.75    47.34     8.23    -7.11     0.02     0.10     0.29     0.76     4.27     6.12R    0.37  
West_Ham          8    8   +0      -1.98    31.03     1.43    44.96     8.25    -6.67     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.38     2.37    10.41R    1.05  
Stoke             8    8   -3      -1.10    39.23    -0.54    42.75     7.80   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.99    15.01R    1.30  
Cardiff           8    8   -5       0.45    57.32     0.40    39.27     8.23   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.46    30.64R    4.96  
Norwich           8    7   -7      -1.12    39.35    -2.44    39.79     8.01   -20.92     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.44    27.58R    4.11  
Crystal_Palace    8    3  -11      -2.86    19.72    -2.10    24.86     7.31   -44.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.83R   63.28  
Sunderland        8    1  -15      -6.77     1.54   -10.02    32.01     7.83   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    65.96R   19.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2013, Leeds_United 4 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         12   29  +15       9.13    97.32     9.82    84.01     9.15    27.90    23.38    42.10    83.96    52.11P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             11   27  +10       7.21    94.68     3.20    84.15     9.56    23.58    24.58    42.12    82.56    53.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       12   26   +7       5.52    87.32     0.94    81.20     9.10    20.16    14.79    29.65    75.30    41.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   12   23   +8       4.59    83.17     4.92    73.60     9.21    14.12     3.65     9.37    44.65    16.96P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool       12   23   +5       4.65    82.63     2.06    73.92     9.00    11.59     3.39     8.89    45.10    16.99P    0.07R    0.01  
Reading         12   22   +8       1.22    59.17     1.45    79.99     9.53    25.74    13.01    26.97    71.35    40.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford         12   21  +10       0.68    55.42     3.83    78.36     9.32    27.08    10.00    21.73    66.35    33.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           12   18   +4       1.43    61.67     4.00    67.74     9.33     8.70     0.98     2.96    22.68     6.84P    0.68R    0.05  
Leeds_United    12   17   +1       1.32    61.54     2.12    63.36     9.12     0.67     0.27     0.88    10.99     2.83P    1.82R    0.16  
Bournemouth     12   17   -6       3.93    79.55     0.09    52.62     9.31   -25.53     0.01     0.06     1.23     0.21P   19.20R    3.36  
Blackburn       12   15   +3      -2.41    31.38     1.58    64.99     9.13     8.30     0.36     1.33    14.61     4.32P    1.21R    0.10  
Ipswich         12   15   +2      -0.44    46.94     3.57    59.62     9.15    -1.06     0.08     0.30     5.66     1.28P    4.38R    0.41  
Wigan           10   14   +3      -2.71    27.28    -1.57    73.57    10.16    18.91     4.96    11.60    45.84    21.60P    0.23R    0.01  
Huddersfield    12   14   +2      -1.00    42.55     4.06    55.98     8.92    -4.82     0.02     0.10     2.28     0.48P    8.65R    1.00  
Brighton        12   14   -1      -3.91    20.85    -3.28    65.00     9.05     5.87     0.35     1.35    14.48     4.63P    1.08R    0.08  
Middlesbrough   12   12   -2      -4.13    19.67    -1.46    55.25     9.32    -7.75     0.03     0.12     2.37     0.54P   11.14R    1.58  
Doncaster       11   12   -5       0.52    56.31     0.58    51.30     9.35   -17.83     0.01     0.04     0.90     0.20P   22.84R    4.69  
Millwall        12   12  -11      -2.08    34.29    -7.48    49.17     8.83   -26.09     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   29.78R    6.12  
Charlton        11   10   -5      -4.32    17.42    -3.87    56.40     9.20    -6.97     0.04     0.14     2.75     0.65P    8.93R    1.29  
Birmingham      12   10   -6      -5.89    10.56    -5.04    56.85     9.27    -5.70     0.04     0.14     3.24     0.77P    8.34R    1.04  
Bolton          12    9   -9      -6.88     7.22    -8.22    56.81     9.31    -7.34     0.02     0.14     2.98     0.86P    8.74R    1.18  
Barnsley        12    8  -15      -3.19    25.13    -6.09    43.58     8.87   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   55.07R   18.79  
Sheff_Wed       11    7   -6      -6.27     7.42    -3.36    47.51     9.09   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   35.14R    8.32  
Yeovil          12    6  -12      -3.98    18.52    -1.85    36.35     8.45   -38.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.58R   51.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Brentford 3 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   12   32  +23      10.36    98.79    15.15    88.07     9.33    37.31    13.51    36.60    93.89    50.74P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    12   31  +16       7.33    94.09     4.53    96.85     9.44    47.08    47.03    74.74    98.92    82.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   11   26  +14       4.62    84.20     4.35    94.29     9.55    45.64    34.13    65.43    98.04    76.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         12   22   +6       4.83    83.95     5.01    73.71     9.37    13.51     0.61     3.13    50.23    12.40P    0.20R    0.01  
Bradford        12   21  +11       4.82    83.17    11.39    61.64     9.46     1.52     0.04     0.22    10.94     1.74P    4.95R    0.47  
Swindon         12   20   +9      -0.92    42.29     2.16    80.54     9.35    29.94     3.16    12.21    78.45    33.07P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         12   19   +5      -0.66    44.26     0.08    76.02     9.42    20.73     1.11     5.24    61.49    19.90P    0.12R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    11   19   +4       3.94    80.19     4.38    66.05     9.77     2.05     0.10     0.68    21.78     4.27P    2.18R    0.19  
Walsall         12   19   +2       1.61    63.03     0.68    66.03     9.28     2.45     0.09     0.51    20.27     4.13P    1.70R    0.10  
Rotherham       12   19   +0       5.89    88.13     5.68    58.90     9.70   -12.04     0.01     0.09     6.47     0.91P   10.42R    1.48  
Brentford       12   18   +0      -0.63    45.22    -3.24    66.26     9.30     2.27     0.12     0.55    20.85     4.70P    1.71R    0.13  
Port_Vale       12   14   -4       0.51    55.52     0.90    54.35     9.54   -14.66     0.00     0.02     2.80     0.44P   20.55R    3.78  
Shrewsbury      12   12   -2      -1.99    34.92     1.76    56.01     9.07    -5.71     0.00     0.02     3.11     0.52P   13.99R    2.05  
Colchester      12   12   -6      -1.39    39.65    -1.23    50.56     8.94   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.12P   32.41R    7.21  
Carlisle        11   12  -10      -0.13    50.58    -5.15    48.46     9.20   -30.46     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.06P   43.10R   12.13  
Crewe           12   12  -14       0.27    54.10    -5.90    47.21     8.90   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   48.57R   14.70  
Coventry        12   11   +6       1.62    62.37     1.54    63.92     9.69    15.53     0.07     0.43    17.04     4.37P    3.24R    0.34  
Oldham          11   11   -2      -2.66    28.76     0.29    51.25     9.22   -13.89     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.18P   29.33R    6.33  
Gillingham      12    9   -7      -3.77    21.99    -0.98    47.46     9.48   -20.20     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.07P   45.70R   14.55  
Sheff_Utd       12    8  -10      -9.18     2.76   -11.00    56.69     9.26    -6.98     0.00     0.03     3.67     0.86P   13.19R    2.00  
Stevenage       12    8  -11      -5.25    12.97    -6.09    46.79     8.98   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   48.52R   15.01  
Tranmere        12    8  -15      -6.03     9.88   -11.32    47.98     9.13   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P   44.21R   12.60  
Notts_County    11    7   -8      -7.42     4.80    -6.80    54.28     9.68    -9.64     0.00     0.02     2.69     0.53P   20.22R    3.91  
Bristol_City    11    6   -7      -8.81     2.69    -6.19    56.56    10.29    -3.62     0.01     0.06     5.50     1.25P   15.65R    3.01  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Accrington_Stanley 0 0 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         12   23   +7       3.52    76.45     2.54    79.86     9.18    21.88    23.69    52.31    82.42    61.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             12   23   +6       4.86    83.46     3.51    75.13     9.44    14.19    11.23    32.25    65.14    39.94P    0.04R    0.02  
Exeter               12   23   +5       4.25    80.66     1.61    73.19     9.46    10.26     8.16    25.59    56.90    32.95P    0.10R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   22   +9       4.18    79.84     6.98    74.99     9.37    18.46    11.28    32.40    65.75    40.78P    0.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       12   22   +6       5.35    86.03     5.67    70.75     9.36     9.15     5.06    18.02    47.51    24.44P    0.20R    0.05  
Morecambe            12   22   +5       5.11    85.05     4.36    70.49     9.42     7.81     4.88    17.25    45.95    23.51P    0.22R    0.04  
Wycombe              12   20   +4       2.71    71.05     2.74    68.18     9.39     6.32     2.98    11.86    36.85    17.44P    0.46R    0.11  
Mansfield            12   20   +4       4.88    83.79     5.90    63.08     9.56    -1.11     1.06     4.99    19.66     7.87P    1.98R    0.59  
Southend             12   20   +4       1.82    64.77     1.42    74.20     9.33    15.12     9.30    29.02    62.37    38.27P    0.08R    0.02  
Newport_County       12   19   +4       5.19    85.57     8.20    55.72     9.35   -11.31     0.15     1.03     5.73     1.78P    9.26R    3.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        12   18   +1       3.58    77.31     4.06    58.20     9.13    -8.74     0.26     1.47     8.01     2.61P    5.30R    1.62  
Burton_Albion        12   18   +0       2.62    70.81     1.77    65.44     9.49     0.86     1.59     7.14    26.36    11.08P    1.17R    0.29  
Scunthorpe           11   17   +1      -1.27    39.61    -3.71    71.53    10.07    10.74     7.26    22.19    50.76    30.77P    0.32R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            12   17   +0       0.97    58.12     0.64    59.40     9.18    -6.31     0.30     2.01    10.35     3.60P    3.89R    1.18  
Portsmouth           12   16   +0      -4.33    20.03    -5.78    73.80     9.90    17.13    10.24    29.74    60.66    39.69P    0.16R    0.05  
Hartlepool           12   15   +0      -3.19    26.49    -2.59    66.01     9.70     6.64     2.05     8.71    29.66    14.92P    0.96R    0.24  
Cheltenham           12   12   -9      -3.31    25.45    -7.21    56.31     9.29   -12.50     0.09     0.90     5.59     1.87P    8.52R    2.96  
York                 11   11   -4      -1.91    34.82    -0.92    50.68     9.14   -15.89     0.03     0.24     1.74     0.52P   21.55R    9.31  
Plymouth             12   11   -7      -2.79    28.33    -3.58    52.20     8.78   -13.72     0.01     0.19     1.78     0.52P   15.88R    6.18  
Bristol_Rovers       12   10   -6      -4.71    16.55    -3.49    50.73     9.16   -14.95     0.02     0.18     1.67     0.49P   21.23R    9.09  
Torquay              12   10   -8      -5.28    13.78    -6.26    51.71     9.07   -15.25     0.02     0.17     1.92     0.56P   17.85R    7.41  
Bury                 12    9   -3      -7.95     5.02    -3.69    58.91     9.78     1.95     0.34     2.17    11.36     4.73P    5.50R    1.86  
Northampton          12    9   -7      -6.53     8.82    -5.71    51.10     9.13   -13.65     0.02     0.16     1.80     0.55P   19.75R    8.48  
Accrington_Stanley   12    4  -12      -8.62     2.03    -6.46    40.29     8.80   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   65.52R   47.12  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2013, Aldershot 2 3 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    16   38  +19      11.50    98.38    12.18    87.10     8.14    31.30    40.01    91.99    52.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    16   32  +11       2.65    67.53    -0.62    83.13     8.17    26.77    21.84    82.58    39.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            16   30  +14       2.42    66.47     4.88    82.53     8.23    31.87    20.19    81.44    37.13P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   16   28   +9       4.95    80.88     7.18    69.32     8.23     9.06     1.10    22.66     4.74P    0.21R    0.00  
Grimsby          16   27   +7      -0.12    48.93    -0.78    76.90     8.14    20.52     6.32    57.99    20.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        16   27   +3       6.81    88.56     5.63    64.76     8.69    -2.02     0.38    10.64     2.05P    1.54R    0.01  
Nuneaton         16   26   +0       6.16    86.42     3.31    63.57     8.14    -5.57     0.18     7.04     1.07P    1.70R    0.01  
Barnet           16   25   +7      -3.20    28.60    -2.85    76.86     8.46    23.78     7.61    58.33    23.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Welling          16   25   +4       4.79    79.00     6.91    64.97     8.71     1.51     0.42    11.45     2.19P    1.64R    0.03  
Gateshead        16   25   +4       2.39    66.79     3.03    66.48     8.24     4.56     0.43    14.07     2.73P    0.65R    0.00  
Halifax          16   25   +3       4.63    78.96     6.08    63.14     8.84    -2.54     0.24     8.40     1.58P    2.51R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town    16   25   -1       5.30    82.64     3.11    64.17     8.34    -5.11     0.28     8.78     1.46P    1.54R    0.02  
Lincoln_City     16   22   +1       0.92    57.37     2.25    62.36     8.26    -0.04     0.09     6.19     1.05P    2.21R    0.03  
Wrexham          16   19   -2      -7.32     9.14    -8.99    66.82     8.22     8.11     0.53    14.92     4.29P    0.59R    0.01  
Macclesfield     16   19   -2      -3.33    27.75    -2.50    59.28     8.16    -3.17     0.03     2.78     0.63P    4.82R    0.10  
Forest_Green     16   18   +0      -5.28    17.51    -2.22    62.04     8.39     4.35     0.10     6.21     1.44P    2.59R    0.05  
Southport        16   18   -6      -0.90    44.95    -1.07    54.12     8.03   -14.80     0.01     0.67     0.10P   15.22R    0.44  
Dartford         16   18   -9      -1.80    37.84    -5.38    53.14     8.09   -18.74     0.01     0.43     0.08P   18.98R    0.62  
Hereford         16   17   -3      -6.48    12.70    -5.35    59.92     8.17    -0.06     0.05     3.32     0.79P    4.26R    0.08  
Tamworth         16   16   -9      -0.64    46.70    -0.95    50.14     7.94   -20.15     0.00     0.13     0.02P   30.06R    1.60  
Woking           16   14   -9      -4.73    19.97    -3.43    47.14     8.01   -22.66     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.40R    3.02  
Chester          16   13  -13      -1.62    39.56    -1.54    43.06     8.14   -29.88     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.24R    8.89  
Aldershot        16   12   +2      -4.49    21.45    -4.95    64.26     8.33    18.98     0.17     9.89     3.51P    1.48R    0.02  
Hyde_United      16    2  -30     -11.26     0.38   -13.91    28.55     7.57   -56.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   85.02  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10