Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 14 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 October 2013, Norwich 1 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 7 16 +6 2.52 75.39 0.17 73.43 8.47 29.61 22.02 41.50 58.62 73.29 92.04 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 7 16 +6 2.96 79.82 0.86 69.23 8.49 21.84 10.00 22.82 37.71 54.07 82.15 0.01R 0.00 Chelsea 7 14 +6 1.12 62.22 1.03 73.17 8.40 31.23 20.48 39.95 57.93 72.89 92.03 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 7 14 +5 3.89 86.40 4.21 51.99 8.33 -1.86 0.11 0.49 1.32 3.11 12.54 2.28R 0.14 Man_City 7 13 +9 -1.40 32.87 1.56 74.62 8.30 39.07 27.07 48.41 65.51 78.87 94.33 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 7 13 +1 1.14 61.80 -2.27 62.61 8.63 11.39 2.26 6.88 13.88 24.15 55.05 0.08R 0.00 Everton 7 12 +1 1.36 64.84 -0.51 60.86 8.51 10.26 1.36 4.42 9.89 18.51 46.49 0.17R 0.01 Hull 7 11 -1 4.11 89.39 3.10 40.13 7.89 -19.69 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.68 29.12R 5.16 Man_Utd 7 10 +1 -2.96 19.33 -4.62 71.91 8.40 31.58 16.51 34.71 52.48 68.38 89.38 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 7 10 +1 2.56 77.76 4.54 48.93 8.47 -4.75 0.02 0.18 0.56 1.41 7.36 5.76R 0.63 Newcastle 7 10 -3 1.45 66.52 -1.02 46.30 8.45 -13.75 0.02 0.09 0.28 0.73 3.96 10.61R 1.42 West_Brom 7 9 +1 0.05 51.24 2.12 50.75 8.57 -0.34 0.09 0.32 1.04 2.42 10.40 3.75R 0.33 West_Ham 7 8 +2 -1.32 36.60 2.30 46.18 8.29 -4.60 0.03 0.09 0.25 0.65 3.76 9.34R 1.16 Cardiff 7 8 -2 0.64 59.42 1.19 40.59 8.40 -17.48 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.12 1.09 28.12R 5.35 Swansea 7 7 -3 -0.64 44.35 -0.19 46.24 8.34 -7.95 0.01 0.07 0.27 0.68 3.73 9.90R 1.07 Stoke 7 7 -3 -0.78 42.06 -0.63 42.96 7.95 -11.05 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.19 1.41 17.08R 2.20 Fulham 7 7 -4 -1.77 31.60 -2.68 44.60 8.28 -11.46 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.36 2.65 13.48R 1.85 Norwich 7 7 -4 -0.72 43.16 -1.35 40.69 8.11 -18.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.83 27.10R 5.10 Crystal_Palace 7 3 -8 -2.17 24.95 -0.51 27.14 7.61 -38.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 86.42R 58.60 Sunderland 7 1 -11 -6.17 1.97 -7.32 34.44 7.99 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 56.77R 16.97Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 October 2013, Wigan 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 11 26 +14 7.70 95.60 9.09 81.89 9.41 26.16 17.19 32.83 77.14 43.12P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 10 26 +10 7.94 97.36 3.76 84.78 9.70 23.87 26.25 43.92 83.44 54.76P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 11 23 +6 4.49 83.18 0.82 80.11 9.46 19.92 12.43 25.84 70.34 37.35P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 11 22 +8 5.56 88.71 5.91 75.52 9.47 16.51 5.70 13.22 52.02 21.67P 0.05R 0.00 Watford 11 21 +11 2.33 68.95 5.25 81.36 9.60 30.70 16.49 32.26 75.58 44.11P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 11 20 +4 3.24 75.19 1.42 71.95 9.39 10.12 2.51 6.76 36.88 13.49P 0.15R 0.00 Reading 11 19 +5 0.82 56.62 0.37 77.48 9.81 21.21 8.61 19.22 60.46 30.85P 0.03R 0.00 Bournemouth 11 16 -6 3.83 79.81 -0.70 51.78 9.48 -27.70 0.01 0.05 1.14 0.21P 21.01R 3.73 Blackburn 11 15 +4 -0.87 42.87 2.85 67.31 9.51 10.75 1.01 2.79 21.42 7.00P 0.67R 0.04 Derby 11 15 +3 -0.43 46.92 2.55 64.50 9.57 5.05 0.45 1.60 14.16 4.24P 1.69R 0.10 Ipswich 11 15 +3 0.59 55.90 4.08 61.49 9.49 0.65 0.20 0.67 8.52 2.17P 2.99R 0.22 Wigan 9 14 +4 -1.59 34.85 -0.96 76.10 10.47 21.78 8.21 17.48 54.89 28.69P 0.14R 0.01 Huddersfield 11 14 +3 -0.19 49.49 4.21 56.92 9.18 -4.44 0.06 0.18 3.13 0.72P 7.10R 0.75 Leeds_United 11 14 -3 0.49 55.23 -0.71 59.61 9.31 -6.50 0.07 0.30 5.41 1.22P 4.57R 0.47 Brighton 11 13 -1 -3.31 23.59 -2.97 66.04 9.30 6.77 0.50 1.77 17.27 5.74P 0.89R 0.04 Middlesbrough 11 12 -1 -2.91 26.38 -0.74 57.41 9.56 -5.40 0.05 0.24 3.91 0.97P 7.57R 0.90 Doncaster 10 12 -2 0.84 58.97 1.76 53.39 9.66 -13.49 0.02 0.09 1.69 0.34P 16.17R 2.66 Millwall 11 11 -11 -2.06 33.25 -7.97 48.96 8.99 -26.57 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.05P 29.26R 5.72 Birmingham 11 10 -2 -5.38 11.93 -2.42 60.03 9.57 1.16 0.13 0.48 6.52 1.77P 4.38R 0.49 Bolton 11 8 -9 -6.15 8.20 -7.66 57.65 9.52 -6.66 0.06 0.22 3.77 1.00P 7.42R 0.92 Charlton 10 7 -6 -6.12 7.57 -5.08 53.82 9.50 -9.40 0.03 0.08 1.66 0.45P 14.09R 2.28 Sheff_Wed 10 6 -6 -6.17 6.61 -3.78 47.16 9.30 -18.50 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 35.45R 8.07 Yeovil 11 5 -12 -3.89 17.82 -2.09 35.93 8.75 -40.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.27R 49.14 Barnsley 11 5 -16 -4.70 13.01 -6.99 41.09 8.93 -35.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 64.08R 24.44League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 October 2013, Bradford 0 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 11 29 +19 9.87 98.67 12.81 84.45 9.66 30.19 8.00 25.69 88.12 40.26P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 11 28 +15 6.46 92.19 4.58 96.06 9.76 47.73 43.68 75.60 98.79 83.33P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 10 25 +14 5.34 89.17 4.85 96.10 9.82 48.31 43.78 75.57 98.71 83.65P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 11 21 +12 5.90 89.02 12.00 63.36 9.78 2.87 0.10 0.60 16.55 3.05P 4.19R 0.34 Preston 11 19 +5 3.51 77.57 4.49 71.97 9.66 12.29 0.48 2.84 45.80 11.98P 0.44R 0.02 Rotherham 11 19 +1 6.52 91.47 5.38 59.67 9.87 -11.99 0.03 0.24 8.86 1.36P 9.98R 1.29 Swindon 11 17 +7 -1.75 35.05 1.38 79.05 9.56 28.16 2.46 11.09 74.96 31.69P 0.04R 0.00 MK_Dons 11 16 +4 -1.82 34.68 -0.16 75.33 9.65 21.12 1.13 5.66 61.02 21.19P 0.22R 0.02 Crawley_Town 10 16 +3 2.66 73.05 4.00 64.32 9.98 0.78 0.06 0.61 19.30 3.72P 4.06R 0.41 Walsall 11 16 +1 0.52 54.73 0.45 64.41 9.57 1.35 0.08 0.50 18.06 3.88P 3.19R 0.27 Brentford 11 15 -2 -1.55 37.21 -4.20 64.28 9.54 -0.32 0.07 0.47 17.71 4.02P 3.32R 0.27 Port_Vale 11 14 -3 1.42 63.02 1.16 55.96 9.83 -13.26 0.01 0.07 4.61 0.80P 17.84R 3.07 Shrewsbury 11 12 -1 -1.26 40.25 1.76 56.55 9.34 -6.29 0.00 0.04 4.29 0.77P 14.39R 2.07 Colchester 11 12 -4 -0.70 45.34 -0.27 52.32 9.22 -15.98 0.00 0.02 1.59 0.24P 27.70R 5.51 Carlisle 10 12 -9 0.84 58.71 -4.74 50.03 9.50 -29.46 0.00 0.01 1.13 0.16P 38.65R 9.97 Coventry 11 10 +6 1.68 63.28 1.00 63.24 9.87 13.69 0.08 0.56 17.36 4.68P 4.43R 0.42 Gillingham 11 9 -6 -2.78 28.20 -0.59 48.95 9.74 -18.85 0.00 0.01 0.99 0.14P 41.44R 11.84 Crewe 11 9 -15 -1.36 39.48 -6.76 44.31 9.15 -36.96 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 62.61R 24.96 Oldham 10 8 -3 -4.03 18.04 -0.24 49.24 9.53 -15.71 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.18P 39.65R 10.25 Stevenage 11 8 -10 -4.32 16.78 -5.77 47.81 9.14 -22.85 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.05P 46.20R 13.15 Tranmere 11 8 -11 -5.62 10.71 -8.77 50.66 9.31 -19.33 0.00 0.01 1.13 0.20P 34.10R 7.67 Notts_County 10 7 -6 -6.78 5.83 -5.95 55.71 9.88 -7.72 0.01 0.08 4.58 0.97P 17.78R 3.16 Bristol_City 10 6 -6 -7.42 4.45 -5.15 59.67 10.65 0.10 0.03 0.29 11.30 2.85P 11.23R 1.97 Sheff_Utd 11 5 -11 -10.31 0.93 -11.28 55.16 9.58 -7.86 0.00 0.04 3.45 0.83P 18.54R 3.34 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 October 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 11 23 +9 4.86 85.18 4.48 83.29 9.45 27.05 33.97 65.67 89.59 72.80P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 11 22 +8 6.04 89.80 6.68 72.83 9.52 12.24 6.49 23.30 56.62 30.66P 0.09R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 11 21 +9 4.70 83.92 7.22 76.12 9.61 19.66 12.03 35.76 69.76 44.19P 0.04R 0.01 Morecambe 11 21 +5 5.66 88.60 4.68 71.54 9.62 8.77 5.11 19.55 50.82 26.31P 0.21R 0.04 Rochdale 11 20 +5 3.39 76.45 2.77 72.75 9.71 12.06 6.54 23.59 56.35 31.29P 0.15R 0.02 Exeter 11 20 +1 3.22 75.37 -1.50 68.76 9.65 2.09 3.14 12.77 38.96 18.61P 0.54R 0.11 Mansfield 11 19 +4 5.04 85.59 5.75 63.49 10.00 -1.42 1.06 5.69 22.03 8.88P 2.40R 0.67 Scunthorpe 10 17 +5 -0.53 44.66 -0.67 76.16 10.25 19.51 13.74 37.17 68.79 46.78P 0.07R 0.02 Wycombe 11 17 +3 1.21 60.34 1.94 66.23 9.64 4.79 1.74 8.55 30.35 13.52P 1.02R 0.26 Southend 11 17 +2 0.77 56.81 0.26 72.32 9.52 12.80 5.62 21.88 54.93 30.83P 0.13R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 11 17 +1 3.71 79.03 3.76 57.98 9.34 -9.90 0.19 1.45 8.61 2.68P 6.13R 1.97 Newport_County 11 16 +1 4.25 82.73 6.35 52.18 9.48 -17.53 0.06 0.44 3.12 0.89P 18.76R 7.15 Dag_&_Red 11 16 +0 1.18 60.44 0.44 59.86 9.50 -6.23 0.33 2.29 12.06 4.25P 4.36R 1.28 Burton_Albion 11 15 -2 1.06 59.70 -0.10 61.94 9.65 -4.17 0.63 3.55 17.04 6.41P 3.09R 0.96 Portsmouth 11 13 -1 -5.47 13.32 -6.09 72.50 10.15 16.86 6.97 25.02 56.19 35.47P 0.28R 0.06 Hartlepool 11 12 -1 -4.37 18.41 -2.94 64.17 9.96 5.33 1.44 6.56 24.72 11.70P 1.83R 0.49 Cheltenham 11 12 -8 -2.11 33.35 -6.45 58.27 9.59 -10.66 0.19 1.51 9.39 3.25P 6.53R 2.01 York 10 11 -1 -1.13 40.78 1.25 53.45 9.39 -10.87 0.07 0.49 3.66 1.12P 14.41R 5.64 Plymouth 11 11 -6 -1.96 34.26 -3.22 53.55 9.09 -12.93 0.04 0.34 3.12 0.93P 13.76R 4.89 Bristol_Rovers 11 10 -5 -3.57 22.56 -2.80 52.74 9.46 -13.25 0.03 0.35 3.09 0.92P 16.62R 6.74 Bury 11 9 -2 -7.11 6.68 -3.55 60.37 10.17 3.01 0.54 3.46 15.25 6.80P 4.80R 1.62 Torquay 11 9 -8 -4.89 14.49 -6.14 52.50 9.44 -14.93 0.03 0.37 2.96 0.95P 17.19R 7.08 Northampton 11 8 -7 -6.02 9.22 -5.55 51.79 9.37 -13.13 0.02 0.23 2.52 0.74P 18.60R 7.71 Accrington_Stanley 11 3 -12 -8.44 1.68 -6.55 39.60 8.99 -29.15 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 68.97R 51.21Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 October 2013, Barnet 1 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 15 35 +17 10.91 98.20 11.67 85.54 8.35 29.31 39.92 89.52 51.57P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 15 29 +8 2.19 65.20 -1.77 81.34 8.39 23.29 20.64 77.36 36.44P 0.00 0.00 Luton 15 27 +13 1.39 59.79 4.96 80.67 8.35 30.19 19.00 76.27 35.36P 0.01R 0.00 Salisbury 15 27 +5 7.25 90.40 6.23 66.32 8.93 0.31 1.08 16.11 3.59P 1.31R 0.02 Nuneaton 15 26 +3 7.02 90.13 5.38 66.30 8.29 -0.17 0.65 14.39 2.72P 0.86R 0.01 Welling 15 25 +7 5.05 80.87 8.10 67.83 9.07 7.10 1.64 21.56 5.09P 0.86R 0.01 Braintree_Town 15 25 +6 4.44 79.12 5.90 67.72 8.41 6.07 1.14 19.20 4.22P 0.59R 0.01 Grimsby 15 24 +5 -0.88 43.22 -1.51 75.27 8.28 18.48 6.14 52.06 18.64P 0.04R 0.00 Barnet 15 22 +6 -4.41 20.81 -3.11 74.34 8.71 21.45 6.59 48.40 19.19P 0.10R 0.00 Lincoln_City 15 22 +4 1.31 60.12 3.62 64.27 8.42 3.95 0.44 10.69 2.30P 1.56R 0.02 Gateshead 15 22 +1 1.27 59.64 0.82 62.97 8.35 -1.23 0.27 7.85 1.61P 2.10R 0.03 Halifax 15 22 +0 4.06 77.16 4.85 60.17 8.99 -7.78 0.16 5.45 0.95P 6.02R 0.16 Alfreton_Town 15 22 -2 3.48 74.24 1.64 60.54 8.47 -9.33 0.14 4.78 0.87P 4.78R 0.13 Forest_Green 15 18 +2 -4.72 19.10 -1.47 63.38 8.56 6.36 0.40 9.62 2.45P 2.22R 0.03 Macclesfield 15 18 -2 -2.48 32.29 -1.91 60.31 8.44 -2.11 0.12 4.61 1.03P 4.49R 0.11 Hereford 15 17 -2 -5.23 17.27 -4.57 61.75 8.38 1.66 0.19 6.39 1.63P 3.24R 0.05 Southport 15 17 -6 -0.79 45.33 -1.58 53.46 8.14 -16.36 0.01 0.67 0.12P 18.96R 0.70 Wrexham 15 16 -4 -7.95 6.76 -9.40 65.53 8.47 6.69 0.54 13.82 4.30P 1.23R 0.02 Tamworth 15 16 -8 0.21 52.98 -0.93 51.49 8.11 -18.55 0.00 0.34 0.05P 26.14R 1.29 Dartford 15 15 -10 -2.77 30.80 -5.56 52.12 8.24 -18.40 0.00 0.42 0.06P 24.04R 1.26 Woking 15 14 -7 -4.27 22.11 -3.02 48.04 8.07 -21.34 0.00 0.12 0.02P 42.07R 2.90 Chester 15 13 -10 -1.40 41.11 -0.60 44.52 8.34 -26.51 0.00 0.04 0.00P 60.36R 7.59 Aldershot 15 12 +3 -2.86 29.77 -3.44 67.36 8.56 22.55 0.92 20.35 7.77P 0.85R 0.02 Hyde_United 15 2 -29 -10.41 0.56 -14.31 29.08 7.66 -55.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.20R 85.65 Adjustments: Aldershot -10