Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 5 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2013, Cardiff 1 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 7 16 +6 2.94 79.39 0.81 69.10 8.51 21.73 9.40 21.56 35.91 51.45 80.75 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 6 15 +6 3.29 83.53 0.72 74.70 8.75 31.23 26.60 46.37 62.37 75.32 92.66 0.00 0.00 Man_City 7 13 +9 -1.41 32.65 1.54 74.44 8.25 38.84 25.53 46.58 63.55 76.86 93.70 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 6 13 +4 2.71 79.71 0.95 66.65 8.77 18.45 5.92 14.71 25.99 39.93 71.33 0.01R 0.00 Everton 7 12 +1 1.30 64.16 -0.60 60.84 8.52 10.23 1.42 4.52 9.66 17.40 44.07 0.16R 0.01 Chelsea 6 11 +4 0.32 54.05 0.26 71.56 8.52 29.05 15.27 31.67 48.60 64.24 88.11 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 6 11 +3 2.60 79.30 2.70 49.35 8.47 -5.43 0.05 0.19 0.62 1.54 7.26 4.80R 0.44 Hull 7 11 -1 4.07 89.16 3.08 39.90 7.92 -20.27 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.63 29.51R 5.79 Man_Utd 7 10 +1 -2.93 19.64 -4.56 71.91 8.29 31.62 15.66 33.66 50.99 67.08 88.99 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 7 10 +1 2.63 78.65 4.65 48.73 8.48 -5.08 0.02 0.12 0.43 1.19 6.40 5.66R 0.68 Newcastle 7 10 -3 1.43 66.53 -1.06 46.16 8.38 -13.93 0.01 0.06 0.22 0.60 3.43 10.41R 1.45 West_Brom 6 8 +1 0.13 52.93 1.68 50.41 8.68 -1.53 0.07 0.32 0.93 2.18 9.42 4.23R 0.49 Cardiff 7 8 -2 0.58 58.68 1.10 40.61 8.33 -17.62 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.83 26.97R 5.60 Swansea 6 7 -1 0.40 56.85 1.36 48.57 8.54 -4.51 0.02 0.14 0.41 1.15 6.09 6.04R 0.57 Norwich 6 7 -2 -0.11 50.08 -0.48 42.03 8.36 -16.07 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.19 1.23 21.74R 3.92 Stoke 7 7 -3 -0.78 42.23 -0.58 42.93 7.92 -11.05 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.14 1.21 16.51R 2.19 Fulham 7 7 -4 -1.81 31.07 -2.75 44.72 8.29 -11.35 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.35 2.43 12.87R 1.82 West_Ham 6 5 -1 -3.10 17.66 -0.95 41.96 8.37 -11.49 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.17 1.32 20.88R 3.76 Crystal_Palace 7 3 -8 -2.19 24.74 -0.52 27.65 7.72 -37.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 84.22R 55.84 Sunderland 7 1 -11 -6.19 2.03 -7.34 34.43 8.00 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 55.98R 17.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2013, Birmingham 1 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 11 26 +14 7.73 95.59 9.13 81.83 9.40 26.06 16.91 32.74 76.90 43.17P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 10 26 +10 7.92 97.25 3.71 84.83 9.75 23.94 26.69 44.45 83.47 55.23P 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 11 23 +6 4.52 83.49 0.84 80.09 9.34 19.93 12.56 26.11 70.26 37.45P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 11 22 +8 5.56 88.52 5.89 75.55 9.58 16.58 5.82 13.71 52.28 21.94P 0.08R 0.00 Watford 11 21 +11 2.38 69.27 5.29 81.33 9.57 30.65 16.68 32.16 75.43 44.34P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 11 20 +4 3.18 74.95 1.33 72.19 9.34 10.48 2.74 7.19 37.80 14.05P 0.10R 0.00 Reading 11 19 +5 0.77 56.00 0.27 77.72 9.77 21.54 9.18 19.83 61.74 31.62P 0.04R 0.00 Bournemouth 11 16 -6 3.80 79.63 -0.77 51.82 9.53 -27.55 0.02 0.07 1.17 0.23P 21.25R 3.66 Blackburn 10 15 +5 0.07 50.79 3.15 68.63 9.65 11.62 1.40 3.97 26.00 8.95P 0.55R 0.03 Derby 11 15 +3 -0.44 46.86 2.52 64.44 9.59 4.99 0.50 1.56 14.01 4.21P 1.63R 0.12 Ipswich 11 15 +3 0.60 56.10 4.11 61.30 9.45 0.38 0.17 0.68 8.16 2.14P 3.09R 0.21 Huddersfield 11 14 +3 -0.24 48.67 4.12 57.12 9.18 -4.16 0.05 0.16 3.29 0.74P 6.79R 0.79 Leeds_United 11 14 -3 0.48 55.14 -0.70 59.66 9.35 -6.47 0.10 0.37 5.66 1.33P 4.59R 0.41 Brighton 11 13 -1 -3.31 23.68 -2.93 65.99 9.30 6.76 0.55 1.83 17.13 5.72P 0.89R 0.07 Middlesbrough 11 12 -1 -2.81 27.36 -0.60 57.06 9.49 -5.88 0.04 0.22 3.44 0.77P 7.85R 0.85 Doncaster 10 12 -2 0.83 58.85 1.77 53.49 9.71 -13.33 0.03 0.09 1.76 0.35P 15.97R 2.59 Wigan 8 11 +3 -2.72 24.63 -1.19 74.37 10.68 20.64 6.42 14.13 48.88 24.34P 0.26R 0.02 Millwall 11 11 -11 -2.11 33.30 -8.04 48.97 9.01 -26.57 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.06P 29.50R 5.44 Birmingham 11 10 -2 -5.28 12.20 -2.28 59.75 9.52 0.74 0.10 0.39 6.21 1.78P 4.46R 0.46 Bolton 11 8 -9 -6.21 8.19 -7.76 58.01 9.53 -6.11 0.05 0.26 4.04 1.10P 7.00R 0.84 Charlton 10 7 -6 -6.08 7.56 -5.02 53.70 9.41 -9.52 0.00 0.06 1.64 0.39P 13.98R 2.11 Sheff_Wed 10 6 -6 -6.21 6.51 -3.84 47.00 9.30 -18.68 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 36.53R 8.36 Yeovil 11 5 -12 -3.87 18.18 -2.03 35.79 8.88 -40.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 82.07R 50.28 Barnsley 11 5 -16 -4.70 12.96 -6.99 41.27 8.96 -35.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 63.36R 23.76League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2013, Brentford 0 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 10 26 +18 8.28 97.52 11.90 82.32 9.93 28.33 6.19 21.05 80.84 35.15P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 10 25 +14 5.37 88.88 4.36 95.42 9.96 48.68 42.05 74.58 98.03 82.41P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 10 25 +14 5.31 88.98 4.78 96.24 9.84 48.71 46.09 77.20 98.52 84.88P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 10 21 +13 7.17 94.05 12.83 65.90 10.16 5.47 0.21 1.25 22.50 4.66P 2.45R 0.17 Preston 10 19 +7 5.02 86.85 6.71 75.84 9.90 18.19 1.56 6.92 58.96 18.66P 0.17R 0.00 Rotherham 10 19 +5 6.80 93.01 7.58 63.04 10.37 -4.52 0.16 0.80 14.94 2.87P 5.30R 0.45 MK_Dons 10 16 +5 -0.59 44.24 0.59 76.64 9.88 22.05 1.86 7.87 63.09 23.68P 0.16R 0.00 Crawley_Town 10 16 +3 2.75 73.46 4.16 64.35 9.90 0.89 0.09 0.64 17.60 3.53P 3.33R 0.23 Walsall 10 15 +1 1.00 59.22 0.65 64.95 9.78 1.63 0.11 0.73 18.34 4.35P 2.72R 0.17 Brentford 10 15 -1 -0.19 48.60 -3.22 66.75 9.70 2.41 0.19 1.12 23.19 6.02P 1.80R 0.10 Swindon 10 14 +3 -2.42 28.73 -1.16 75.76 9.81 21.61 1.37 6.76 59.72 22.91P 0.17R 0.00 Port_Vale 10 14 -2 2.17 69.05 1.20 56.63 10.21 -13.85 0.02 0.13 5.47 1.08P 15.55R 2.10 Carlisle 10 12 -9 0.88 59.34 -4.69 49.89 9.48 -29.76 0.00 0.02 0.87 0.13P 36.48R 7.86 Colchester 10 11 -4 -0.35 48.27 -0.32 52.63 9.44 -16.16 0.00 0.02 1.81 0.33P 24.94R 4.06 Shrewsbury 10 9 -3 -2.43 29.89 0.45 54.25 9.47 -9.35 0.00 0.04 2.37 0.45P 19.34R 2.83 Gillingham 10 9 -4 -2.11 32.36 0.37 51.41 9.96 -15.27 0.00 0.03 1.75 0.32P 30.14R 5.88 Oldham 10 8 -3 -4.03 18.00 -0.23 49.43 9.50 -15.37 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.16P 36.40R 7.32 Coventry 10 7 +5 0.48 53.93 0.67 61.47 10.06 12.43 0.06 0.43 12.51 3.66P 5.98R 0.62 Notts_County 10 7 -6 -6.75 5.80 -5.89 55.38 9.90 -8.19 0.01 0.06 3.86 0.91P 17.14R 2.40 Bristol_City 10 6 -6 -7.30 4.92 -4.95 59.01 10.73 -0.94 0.03 0.28 9.20 2.46P 11.37R 1.76 Crewe 10 6 -17 -3.12 22.79 -8.85 40.48 9.16 -43.02 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 74.66R 35.27 Sheff_Utd 10 5 -10 -9.09 1.48 -10.58 57.04 9.75 -6.08 0.01 0.07 4.63 1.21P 13.11R 1.77 Stevenage 10 5 -11 -5.93 7.34 -6.68 45.08 9.38 -25.51 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 55.05R 16.68 Tranmere 10 5 -12 -7.26 3.98 -9.69 47.82 9.55 -22.39 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.13P 43.72R 10.31 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 10 22 +9 5.26 88.59 4.52 83.73 9.64 27.19 36.21 67.33 90.41 74.16P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 10 21 +8 6.42 92.50 6.72 72.92 9.78 11.78 7.06 24.70 57.19 31.67P 0.15R 0.03 Exeter 10 20 +4 4.11 82.28 0.76 72.35 9.89 8.45 6.42 23.01 54.68 30.48P 0.20R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 10 18 +7 3.65 79.08 6.09 74.22 9.87 17.22 8.90 29.96 63.26 38.26P 0.13R 0.03 Mansfield 10 18 +4 5.68 89.65 6.14 64.33 10.35 -0.77 1.57 7.56 25.75 11.19P 2.40R 0.74 Morecambe 10 18 +3 4.31 83.27 3.12 68.43 9.87 4.50 2.93 13.03 38.99 18.47P 0.64R 0.18 Scunthorpe 10 17 +5 -0.55 44.65 -0.69 76.27 10.20 19.72 13.94 38.00 69.79 47.97P 0.09R 0.02 Rochdale 10 17 +2 2.72 72.64 1.28 70.41 9.99 8.02 4.50 18.03 47.28 25.03P 0.49R 0.13 Newport_County 10 16 +4 4.74 85.99 7.92 54.59 9.77 -13.01 0.13 0.91 5.50 1.59P 13.76R 5.13 Dag_&_Red 10 16 +1 2.70 73.39 1.64 61.82 9.64 -4.33 0.68 3.89 16.79 6.42P 3.26R 0.88 AFC_Wimbledon 10 16 +1 4.36 83.99 4.18 59.15 9.63 -8.83 0.28 2.09 11.30 3.70P 5.99R 1.96 Burton_Albion 10 15 -1 2.23 69.20 0.62 63.51 9.90 -2.98 0.99 5.48 22.25 8.88P 2.59R 0.68 Wycombe 10 14 +2 -0.10 49.42 1.37 64.02 9.72 2.93 1.22 6.17 23.80 10.19P 1.97R 0.56 Southend 10 14 +1 -0.67 44.51 -0.50 70.13 9.79 11.02 3.98 17.00 46.88 25.29P 0.40R 0.12 Portsmouth 10 12 -1 -5.00 14.21 -6.02 73.49 10.37 17.82 8.90 28.83 60.16 39.28P 0.30R 0.07 York 10 11 -1 -1.13 41.12 1.22 53.64 9.40 -10.73 0.06 0.52 3.97 1.15P 14.85R 5.73 Plymouth 10 10 -6 -1.84 34.22 -3.52 53.15 9.31 -14.14 0.03 0.43 3.21 0.97P 16.22R 6.11 Bury 10 9 +0 -6.09 8.99 -2.07 63.65 10.49 7.87 1.32 7.09 25.37 12.51P 3.01R 0.88 Hartlepool 10 9 -4 -5.50 11.04 -5.24 59.98 10.10 -1.34 0.52 3.18 14.27 6.24P 5.29R 1.73 Bristol_Rovers 10 9 -5 -3.35 22.84 -2.96 52.78 9.75 -13.93 0.08 0.55 3.76 1.24P 18.21R 7.45 Torquay 10 9 -7 -3.96 18.66 -5.82 53.69 9.69 -14.14 0.07 0.59 4.18 1.44P 15.67R 6.39 Cheltenham 10 9 -9 -3.63 20.68 -7.31 56.10 9.78 -12.53 0.12 1.03 6.94 2.44P 10.76R 3.91 Northampton 10 8 -5 -5.26 11.43 -4.39 53.73 9.61 -10.42 0.07 0.61 4.15 1.40P 15.14R 6.16 Accrington_Stanley 10 2 -12 -8.45 1.13 -7.06 39.94 9.27 -29.38 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.03P 68.47R 51.05Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2013, Aldershot 0 3 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 13 31 +16 9.72 97.79 10.71 84.08 8.84 28.21 33.35 82.91 44.61P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 13 24 +7 1.65 62.67 0.05 79.82 8.72 23.41 17.02 68.71 31.76P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 13 24 +7 6.21 88.93 6.96 70.37 8.86 8.66 2.62 27.04 6.79P 0.31R 0.00 Nuneaton 13 24 +3 7.67 93.81 5.28 67.48 8.72 0.41 1.13 16.72 3.49P 0.68R 0.02 Luton 13 23 +10 1.17 59.15 3.87 79.41 8.63 27.28 15.78 67.95 30.82P 0.01R 0.00 Kidderminster 13 23 +4 0.17 50.86 -3.90 77.56 8.78 18.41 11.48 58.56 24.68P 0.03R 0.00 Salisbury 13 23 +4 6.08 88.63 5.48 63.69 9.32 -2.91 0.73 10.08 2.26P 2.68R 0.07 Alfreton_Town 13 22 +2 5.54 86.02 4.47 66.05 8.94 -0.82 0.89 13.83 2.73P 1.22R 0.02 Lincoln_City 13 21 +5 3.26 74.89 5.04 67.30 8.84 6.83 1.15 17.51 4.23P 0.71R 0.02 Barnet 13 20 +6 -3.39 24.65 -2.97 76.55 9.13 24.01 11.14 55.08 24.88P 0.06R 0.00 Halifax 13 20 +0 4.84 82.94 4.95 60.68 9.77 -8.69 0.38 6.83 1.50P 6.24R 0.34 Welling 13 19 +4 2.89 71.23 6.75 62.81 9.56 1.25 0.62 9.45 2.26P 3.62R 0.19 Forest_Green 13 18 +6 -2.71 29.36 1.33 67.96 8.89 13.25 1.53 20.10 5.89P 0.67R 0.01 Southport 13 17 -4 0.76 56.71 -1.41 55.92 8.59 -14.95 0.03 1.35 0.19P 11.81R 0.65 Hereford 13 16 -1 -3.59 24.15 -3.64 64.96 8.78 5.01 0.60 11.64 3.10P 1.52R 0.05 Gateshead 13 16 -4 -0.59 46.03 -2.03 58.47 8.77 -8.33 0.10 2.99 0.60P 6.87R 0.30 Tamworth 13 15 -6 0.75 57.50 -0.47 52.29 8.55 -18.31 0.01 0.53 0.06P 22.13R 1.75 Dartford 13 13 -10 -2.19 33.62 -5.86 52.13 8.63 -19.63 0.00 0.47 0.08P 23.07R 2.02 Macclesfield 13 12 -4 -5.60 12.63 -3.70 55.70 8.72 -6.18 0.04 1.49 0.33P 11.60R 0.77 Wrexham 13 12 -5 -8.96 3.37 -10.05 64.47 8.86 6.15 0.57 11.10 3.45P 1.77R 0.04 Woking 13 12 -7 -3.62 24.20 -2.98 49.03 8.69 -21.68 0.00 0.22 0.03P 35.89R 3.73 Chester 13 9 -11 -3.10 26.95 -1.73 40.84 8.81 -32.26 0.00 0.03 0.01P 72.84R 20.07 Aldershot 13 8 +2 -3.60 23.90 -3.71 65.91 8.99 21.15 0.82 15.41 6.24P 1.38R 0.03 Hyde_United 13 2 -24 -9.37 0.84 -12.45 32.06 8.03 -50.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.89R 69.92 Adjustments: Aldershot -10