Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 3 October 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 September 2013, Everton 3 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 6 15 +6 3.27 83.38 0.67 74.64 8.76 31.06 28.45 48.32 63.80 76.34 92.46 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 6 13 +4 2.41 76.04 0.65 68.33 8.74 21.03 9.56 20.97 34.42 49.26 77.74 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 6 13 +4 2.71 79.50 0.97 66.81 8.75 18.68 6.71 16.33 28.28 42.01 71.80 0.04R 0.00 Everton 6 12 +3 2.11 73.10 0.55 62.03 8.71 11.94 2.43 6.84 13.44 22.65 50.38 0.12R 0.01 Chelsea 6 11 +4 0.31 53.83 0.22 71.52 8.64 28.92 16.63 33.84 50.54 65.47 87.60 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 6 11 +3 2.65 79.55 2.80 49.15 8.42 -5.68 0.06 0.24 0.66 1.63 6.97 4.94R 0.48 Man_City 6 10 +7 -2.35 22.26 0.59 72.62 8.52 36.16 20.71 40.17 56.83 70.94 90.17 0.00 0.00 Hull 6 10 -1 4.31 91.91 2.96 39.99 8.14 -20.92 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.76 30.47R 6.28 Aston_Villa 6 9 +1 3.04 83.46 4.74 49.51 8.72 -4.60 0.07 0.27 0.82 1.90 7.98 5.47R 0.71 West_Brom 6 8 +1 0.13 52.84 1.68 50.40 8.75 -1.48 0.12 0.42 1.14 2.59 9.71 4.32R 0.47 Cardiff 6 8 -1 1.82 73.14 1.88 42.84 8.70 -14.98 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.32 1.93 20.12R 3.91 Man_Utd 6 7 +0 -3.85 11.38 -4.44 71.03 8.56 31.87 15.15 32.25 48.88 63.93 86.91 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 6 7 -1 0.42 56.90 1.40 48.66 8.60 -4.29 0.06 0.16 0.49 1.25 6.49 6.38R 0.75 Norwich 6 7 -2 -0.13 49.66 -0.52 42.33 8.40 -15.56 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.25 1.43 21.10R 3.95 Stoke 6 7 -2 0.32 55.67 0.09 44.26 8.14 -10.13 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.34 1.99 13.67R 1.87 Newcastle 6 7 -4 -0.16 49.27 -2.00 43.84 8.68 -15.98 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.46 2.39 17.14R 3.15 West_Ham 6 5 -1 -3.11 17.82 -0.96 42.05 8.45 -11.25 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.24 1.31 21.21R 4.16 Fulham 6 4 -5 -3.18 16.39 -3.39 42.79 8.49 -12.76 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.29 1.78 19.09R 3.50 Crystal_Palace 6 3 -6 -1.79 28.00 -0.36 28.10 7.91 -36.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 82.63R 54.07 Sunderland 6 1 -10 -5.52 2.63 -7.51 35.03 8.20 -25.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.17 53.28R 16.69Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 October 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 10 23 +13 6.40 93.05 8.61 80.08 9.66 24.80 13.86 27.69 70.89 38.01P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 9 23 +8 7.35 96.82 3.26 83.72 10.08 22.79 23.86 41.06 80.05 51.70P 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 10 23 +7 5.87 91.10 1.84 82.84 9.50 23.03 20.12 37.28 79.55 48.14P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 10 19 +6 3.99 82.02 4.08 72.12 9.61 11.93 3.11 7.80 38.52 14.56P 0.14R 0.01 Reading 10 19 +6 1.92 66.04 1.00 79.47 10.05 23.04 13.23 26.28 67.84 37.93P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 10 19 +4 3.54 78.16 1.31 72.12 9.67 9.80 2.94 7.54 38.31 14.47P 0.16R 0.01 Watford 10 18 +10 0.98 58.32 4.70 79.30 9.85 28.77 12.79 26.12 68.60 37.76P 0.04R 0.00 Blackburn 10 15 +5 -0.10 49.43 2.88 68.47 9.66 11.35 1.39 3.88 26.14 9.10P 0.51R 0.05 Huddersfield 10 14 +4 0.74 57.22 4.49 58.28 9.36 -3.33 0.07 0.29 4.65 1.06P 5.43R 0.67 Ipswich 10 14 +3 1.06 60.35 4.25 61.81 9.77 0.61 0.29 0.95 9.61 2.49P 3.12R 0.35 Leeds_United 10 14 -1 1.31 62.70 0.38 61.67 9.60 -3.39 0.24 0.83 8.86 2.38P 2.98R 0.30 Brighton 10 13 +1 -1.97 32.96 -0.97 68.85 9.52 10.85 1.37 4.14 26.76 10.09P 0.41R 0.03 Bournemouth 10 13 -9 2.96 76.18 -2.61 47.99 9.50 -33.77 0.00 0.02 0.53 0.09P 34.39R 9.32 Derby 10 12 +1 -1.37 38.56 1.54 62.50 9.72 2.54 0.30 1.04 10.62 3.00P 2.67R 0.24 Wigan 8 11 +3 -2.77 24.09 -1.31 73.87 10.70 19.76 5.96 13.42 47.68 23.31P 0.27R 0.01 Millwall 10 11 -8 -1.21 40.12 -5.92 51.99 9.32 -20.32 0.01 0.05 0.99 0.21P 18.92R 3.44 Birmingham 10 10 -1 -3.85 19.00 -1.20 62.92 9.77 4.48 0.36 1.17 11.83 3.60P 2.44R 0.22 Doncaster 9 9 -3 -0.88 42.76 0.74 50.20 9.86 -16.89 0.00 0.05 1.00 0.21P 25.20R 5.94 Middlesbrough 10 9 -4 -3.57 20.80 -2.26 54.89 9.65 -9.51 0.03 0.14 2.45 0.57P 11.97R 2.09 Charlton 9 6 -6 -5.78 7.64 -5.10 54.04 9.66 -9.69 0.03 0.10 2.06 0.55P 13.36R 2.22 Sheff_Wed 9 5 -6 -5.70 6.93 -3.63 47.66 9.54 -18.19 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.08P 33.36R 8.80 Yeovil 10 5 -9 -3.44 20.25 -0.85 38.01 9.07 -35.29 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 74.09R 40.69 Bolton 10 5 -10 -7.81 2.81 -8.75 55.21 9.75 -8.95 0.03 0.14 2.52 0.67P 11.62R 2.04 Barnsley 10 5 -14 -4.25 15.09 -6.49 42.02 9.22 -34.42 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 58.89R 23.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 September 2013, Coventry 0 2 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 9 25 +18 8.98 98.98 12.33 83.60 10.26 29.76 10.00 26.36 81.67 38.84P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 9 22 +12 4.45 85.55 3.44 93.64 10.31 46.80 39.92 66.94 96.23 76.46P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 9 22 +11 4.74 87.33 3.43 93.76 10.20 44.13 39.68 67.25 96.71 77.10P 0.00 0.00 Preston 9 19 +9 5.76 91.26 7.67 77.47 10.09 20.54 2.85 10.29 62.47 21.89P 0.11R 0.00 Bradford 9 18 +11 5.77 90.68 11.23 62.20 10.40 -0.06 0.14 0.72 12.59 2.52P 5.77R 0.55 MK_Dons 9 16 +6 0.92 58.40 1.80 79.58 10.07 25.45 4.38 14.68 70.79 31.19P 0.07R 0.00 Rotherham 9 16 +4 5.10 88.14 6.54 60.03 10.60 -8.05 0.08 0.39 9.20 1.69P 9.39R 1.22 Crawley_Town 9 15 +3 2.78 74.81 3.66 64.50 10.18 0.35 0.14 0.88 16.54 3.69P 3.66R 0.33 Walsall 9 15 +3 2.21 70.17 2.39 68.35 10.14 6.65 0.38 1.93 27.12 6.97P 1.53R 0.09 Brentford 9 15 +0 1.26 61.58 -2.09 69.61 10.08 5.61 0.58 2.58 31.09 8.81P 1.03R 0.07 Port_Vale 9 13 -2 2.47 72.20 1.09 56.57 10.53 -14.87 0.03 0.19 5.04 0.93P 16.43R 2.75 Swindon 9 11 +2 -3.46 20.08 -1.26 74.91 10.09 21.98 1.62 6.62 53.75 20.80P 0.28R 0.01 Colchester 9 11 -1 0.02 51.37 1.17 54.41 9.68 -12.60 0.00 0.04 2.42 0.41P 19.37R 2.93 Carlisle 9 11 -9 0.99 61.16 -5.10 49.61 9.76 -30.76 0.00 0.02 0.93 0.17P 37.90R 8.86 Shrewsbury 9 8 -3 -1.84 34.13 0.76 55.05 9.72 -8.72 0.01 0.05 2.70 0.50P 17.49R 2.82 Oldham 9 7 -3 -3.78 17.89 -0.35 49.17 9.77 -16.55 0.01 0.02 0.84 0.16P 37.09R 8.92 Gillingham 9 6 -5 -3.72 18.56 -0.63 47.87 10.28 -19.11 0.00 0.01 0.85 0.15P 42.99R 12.83 Crewe 9 6 -13 -2.76 24.54 -6.65 43.27 9.53 -36.44 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 63.25R 24.64 Bristol_City 9 5 -6 -7.00 4.59 -5.10 60.16 11.09 0.32 0.08 0.50 10.73 2.97P 10.14R 1.69 Stevenage 9 5 -10 -4.97 10.44 -6.29 46.53 9.72 -24.79 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.06P 48.82R 14.60 Tranmere 9 5 -11 -6.51 5.44 -9.64 49.17 9.88 -21.61 0.00 0.01 0.83 0.14P 38.27R 9.15 Coventry 9 4 +4 -0.79 42.97 0.19 60.09 10.46 11.81 0.08 0.38 9.73 2.76P 8.41R 1.21 Notts_County 9 4 -10 -7.32 3.10 -8.19 52.47 10.14 -14.28 0.00 0.02 1.93 0.44P 26.03R 5.66 Sheff_Utd 9 4 -10 -8.63 1.45 -10.42 57.79 10.05 -5.58 0.02 0.12 5.31 1.35P 11.97R 1.67 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 September 2013, Burton_Albion 2 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 9 22 +10 6.84 95.58 5.84 85.60 9.68 28.79 43.18 74.10 93.30 79.78P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 9 18 +9 4.87 87.28 7.85 77.33 9.90 21.95 13.90 42.22 75.08 50.70P 0.04R 0.00 Mansfield 9 18 +7 6.37 93.34 8.05 67.89 10.43 5.77 3.03 13.45 38.80 18.55P 0.97R 0.29 Fleetwood_Town 9 18 +6 5.13 88.81 5.22 69.66 9.93 7.38 3.65 16.14 45.09 22.39P 0.50R 0.17 Rochdale 9 17 +5 3.39 78.65 3.14 73.16 10.13 13.08 7.09 26.49 59.04 34.51P 0.22R 0.03 Exeter 9 17 +2 3.14 77.57 -0.31 70.14 9.86 5.55 3.99 16.99 46.38 23.91P 0.40R 0.11 AFC_Wimbledon 9 16 +3 5.43 90.61 5.69 62.07 9.84 -4.52 0.71 4.21 18.54 6.68P 3.30R 1.05 Newport_County 9 15 +4 4.63 86.72 7.26 53.83 10.00 -15.35 0.11 0.94 5.51 1.68P 15.85R 6.63 Morecambe 9 15 +2 2.73 74.64 2.17 65.71 9.90 2.14 1.60 8.70 30.18 13.39P 1.42R 0.48 Wycombe 9 14 +3 1.41 63.73 2.61 66.76 10.00 6.01 2.01 10.48 34.39 15.90P 1.13R 0.32 Scunthorpe 9 14 +3 -1.30 37.66 -1.43 74.37 10.43 17.43 9.90 31.90 64.27 42.11P 0.21R 0.06 Dag_&_Red 9 13 +0 1.08 60.97 0.63 59.79 9.74 -5.89 0.40 2.62 13.19 4.82P 4.98R 1.79 Burton_Albion 9 12 -2 0.53 56.07 -0.50 60.92 10.04 -5.56 0.57 3.64 16.25 6.18P 4.66R 1.51 Southend 9 11 -1 -2.19 29.98 -2.28 66.66 9.98 6.42 1.89 10.37 34.28 16.82P 1.19R 0.38 Plymouth 9 10 -4 -1.10 40.20 -2.46 54.95 9.44 -11.30 0.09 0.71 5.21 1.59P 11.72R 4.54 Bristol_Rovers 9 9 -3 -2.48 28.09 -1.76 55.09 9.92 -10.34 0.15 1.13 6.52 2.35P 12.21R 5.04 Portsmouth 9 9 -4 -5.69 9.81 -7.53 70.44 10.67 12.68 5.00 20.27 49.82 30.15P 0.81R 0.28 Torquay 9 9 -4 -2.86 25.18 -3.28 57.54 9.78 -7.27 0.25 1.68 9.44 3.42P 7.71R 2.86 Cheltenham 9 9 -7 -2.91 24.65 -6.32 57.94 9.97 -9.84 0.23 1.87 10.23 3.75P 7.96R 2.90 Bury 9 8 +0 -5.17 11.20 -1.24 65.67 10.73 10.54 2.11 10.44 32.81 17.26P 2.14R 0.76 York 9 8 -4 -2.62 26.61 -1.58 49.72 9.37 -17.11 0.01 0.21 1.69 0.47P 26.46R 12.46 Hartlepool 9 6 -7 -6.43 5.75 -7.25 55.51 10.16 -8.28 0.12 1.18 7.29 2.75P 11.97R 5.02 Northampton 9 5 -7 -6.72 4.58 -6.16 50.61 9.74 -14.69 0.02 0.24 2.45 0.81P 23.67R 11.19 Accrington_Stanley 9 2 -11 -7.28 1.99 -6.35 41.76 9.37 -27.59 0.00 0.02 0.24 0.05P 60.47R 42.13Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 September 2013, Barnet 3 1 Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 12 28 +15 8.60 96.81 10.45 83.08 9.02 28.22 31.21 79.62 42.18P 0.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 12 23 +3 8.27 95.96 5.60 68.01 8.92 0.80 1.64 18.92 4.18P 0.62R 0.02 Kidderminster 12 22 +4 0.92 57.25 -3.46 78.67 8.95 19.71 15.22 63.41 28.42P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 12 21 +4 0.33 52.38 -2.36 75.94 8.92 17.12 9.60 51.41 20.48P 0.05R 0.00 Braintree_Town 12 21 +4 5.19 86.09 4.87 67.57 9.00 3.74 1.60 18.36 4.32P 0.84R 0.04 Luton 12 20 +9 0.35 52.83 4.22 78.66 8.91 27.66 15.58 64.70 30.18P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 12 20 +5 3.47 77.12 4.84 67.64 9.05 6.86 1.48 19.26 4.72P 0.78R 0.02 Salisbury 12 20 +3 4.75 84.31 4.91 61.19 9.57 -5.28 0.52 7.14 1.57P 5.03R 0.28 Halifax 12 20 +1 5.43 86.62 4.41 60.98 9.77 -9.08 0.51 7.09 1.49P 5.82R 0.38 Barnet 12 19 +6 -2.90 26.58 -2.87 76.97 9.44 24.17 13.52 57.02 26.68P 0.07R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 12 19 +1 4.13 80.50 3.78 63.91 9.07 -2.65 0.55 9.95 1.95P 2.37R 0.11 Forest_Green 12 18 +7 -1.56 37.13 2.03 69.44 9.04 14.52 2.55 25.48 7.94P 0.47R 0.02 Welling 12 18 +4 3.25 74.45 6.80 63.21 9.80 1.25 0.81 10.82 2.63P 3.71R 0.25 Hereford 12 16 +0 -2.69 29.19 -3.36 66.05 8.98 5.65 1.04 14.66 4.07P 1.21R 0.07 Southport 12 16 -4 1.59 63.91 -0.73 57.16 8.90 -13.75 0.10 2.29 0.42P 10.01R 0.74 Gateshead 12 13 -6 -1.62 37.31 -3.10 56.60 8.94 -10.75 0.06 2.08 0.38P 10.32R 0.86 Dartford 12 13 -8 -1.55 37.91 -4.98 53.84 8.87 -17.18 0.02 0.98 0.18P 18.00R 1.91 Macclesfield 12 12 -3 -4.54 16.54 -3.17 57.47 8.97 -4.61 0.10 2.50 0.53P 8.76R 0.69 Wrexham 12 12 -4 -7.71 4.76 -9.23 66.35 8.97 7.93 1.06 15.60 5.06P 1.07R 0.04 Tamworth 12 12 -7 -0.69 45.31 -1.17 50.40 8.70 -19.83 0.01 0.39 0.06P 29.12R 3.68 Woking 12 11 -7 -3.60 23.06 -3.47 48.84 8.89 -23.01 0.01 0.23 0.03P 36.86R 5.48 Aldershot 12 8 +5 -2.76 28.01 -1.49 69.77 9.10 27.92 2.83 28.05 12.52P 0.48R 0.01 Chester 12 8 -11 -3.02 26.25 -1.80 40.23 8.95 -34.47 0.00 0.02 0.00 74.21R 27.37 Hyde_United 12 2 -21 -8.68 1.20 -10.71 34.68 8.41 -44.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.18R 58.03 Adjustments: Aldershot -10