Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 24 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2013, Arsenal 3 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 5 12 +5 2.18 75.14 0.52 73.07 8.97 29.99 20.36 39.01 56.19 70.73 90.55 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 5 12 +4 3.09 84.36 1.02 66.75 8.90 18.06 6.29 15.49 27.28 41.95 73.17 0.03R 0.00 Man_City 5 10 +8 -0.39 43.06 2.50 75.00 8.63 38.35 27.63 49.29 66.28 79.17 94.28 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 5 10 +4 0.73 59.67 0.29 71.75 8.79 28.71 15.75 32.86 49.89 65.93 88.51 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 5 10 +2 1.48 68.31 -0.37 66.06 8.85 17.93 5.06 13.47 24.88 39.05 71.03 0.04R 0.00 Everton 5 9 +2 1.03 62.78 0.38 60.76 8.85 11.56 1.64 4.95 10.41 19.00 47.14 0.17R 0.01 Southampton 5 8 +1 1.68 72.42 1.72 47.67 8.69 -7.39 0.04 0.17 0.55 1.30 6.21 7.48R 1.19 Man_Utd 5 7 +1 -1.76 27.68 -2.31 74.02 8.59 35.42 23.07 43.97 61.94 76.26 93.07 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 5 7 +0 1.32 68.58 1.64 49.77 8.72 -3.52 0.06 0.27 0.81 1.91 9.05 4.80R 0.63 Stoke 5 7 -1 1.74 75.06 1.13 46.82 8.36 -7.32 0.02 0.06 0.29 0.81 4.40 8.00R 1.10 Hull 5 7 -2 2.59 83.96 1.95 37.39 8.34 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.53 41.25R 12.59 Newcastle 5 7 -3 0.60 58.99 -2.03 44.86 8.74 -14.99 0.01 0.08 0.23 0.62 3.40 13.83R 2.67 Aston_Villa 5 6 +0 0.93 63.78 2.93 46.18 8.83 -7.82 0.02 0.10 0.38 0.88 4.76 10.61R 1.84 West_Brom 5 5 +0 -1.97 26.78 -0.23 46.63 8.78 -5.76 0.04 0.14 0.40 0.97 5.06 9.54R 1.58 West_Ham 5 5 +0 -1.76 29.17 0.01 44.21 8.54 -8.96 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.43 2.70 14.28R 2.75 Cardiff 5 5 -2 0.02 53.30 0.60 39.98 8.78 -17.59 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 1.14 29.88R 8.05 Norwich 5 4 -3 -1.92 26.71 -1.68 39.52 8.51 -18.24 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.84 31.02R 8.30 Fulham 5 4 -4 -1.65 30.01 -2.22 45.32 8.69 -9.85 0.02 0.07 0.24 0.65 3.71 12.17R 2.22 Crystal_Palace 5 3 -4 -1.10 35.78 0.63 29.97 8.13 -33.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 74.48R 44.45 Sunderland 5 1 -8 -4.77 3.94 -6.48 37.01 8.32 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.42 42.41R 12.61Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2013, Wigan 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 8 20 +6 6.35 95.41 2.17 82.07 10.27 20.72 20.00 35.62 75.38 46.44P 0.03R 0.00 Burnley 8 17 +8 4.38 86.73 5.44 75.04 10.33 17.01 7.12 15.29 50.90 23.50P 0.14R 0.01 Leicester 8 17 +5 4.06 84.72 2.10 81.10 10.09 23.38 17.41 32.51 73.23 43.59P 0.03R 0.00 Blackpool 8 17 +4 4.60 87.57 1.79 73.88 10.32 11.21 5.28 12.19 45.66 19.37P 0.20R 0.02 Watford 8 15 +10 0.89 58.22 4.91 79.66 10.46 29.92 15.27 28.96 69.10 39.91P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 8 15 +5 3.09 78.39 3.65 70.73 10.21 10.67 2.87 7.42 34.31 13.30P 0.48R 0.04 Reading 8 15 +4 1.70 65.59 0.52 79.04 10.92 22.38 14.28 27.18 65.32 37.88P 0.10R 0.00 Bournemouth 8 13 -6 4.69 88.66 -1.28 51.24 10.22 -29.52 0.03 0.11 1.54 0.31P 25.18R 5.52 Huddersfield 8 12 +4 1.28 63.51 4.26 58.58 9.96 -4.17 0.20 0.61 5.98 1.53P 6.65R 0.82 Brighton 8 12 +3 -0.07 49.45 1.26 73.22 9.94 16.54 4.18 10.58 44.30 19.76P 0.23R 0.02 Wigan 7 11 +4 -1.82 30.85 -1.04 76.35 11.13 22.57 10.42 20.42 56.10 30.82P 0.21R 0.01 Derby 8 11 +2 0.23 53.30 2.30 64.45 10.28 3.94 0.79 2.31 16.37 5.24P 2.26R 0.22 Leeds_United 8 11 +0 1.26 63.84 1.76 62.94 10.25 -0.14 0.50 1.58 12.59 3.57P 3.36R 0.38 Ipswich 8 10 +1 -0.16 49.18 2.23 58.57 10.11 -4.19 0.16 0.53 6.03 1.64P 7.40R 0.97 Blackburn 8 9 +2 -2.72 24.60 0.83 63.74 10.24 6.07 0.68 2.04 14.68 5.04P 2.57R 0.25 Middlesbrough 8 8 -2 -2.30 28.58 -0.88 57.44 10.24 -6.30 0.12 0.45 5.09 1.33P 9.09R 1.42 Millwall 8 8 -6 -2.02 30.82 -4.73 52.06 9.77 -17.88 0.03 0.10 1.44 0.33P 20.40R 3.71 Birmingham 8 7 -3 -3.80 16.22 -2.78 61.16 10.35 0.08 0.37 1.12 9.99 3.11P 4.75R 0.58 Doncaster 7 6 -2 -1.63 33.45 1.16 49.67 10.47 -16.49 0.02 0.07 1.32 0.30P 29.16R 7.48 Charlton 7 5 -3 -4.77 9.53 -3.18 56.99 10.31 -4.99 0.12 0.38 4.89 1.36P 9.80R 1.67 Sheff_Wed 7 4 -5 -4.37 10.37 -3.23 49.28 10.15 -17.69 0.02 0.06 0.94 0.22P 29.77R 7.09 Yeovil 8 4 -8 -2.85 22.32 -1.63 37.42 9.65 -38.52 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 75.77R 43.41 Barnsley 8 4 -13 -3.57 16.90 -7.23 41.81 9.59 -36.95 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 61.14R 24.36 Bolton 8 3 -10 -6.89 3.05 -8.40 56.84 10.55 -7.65 0.13 0.47 4.72 1.45P 11.23R 2.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 September 2013, Brentford 0 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 8 24 +18 9.54 99.64 12.54 85.02 10.43 31.49 13.82 33.01 85.01 44.78P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 8 19 +11 3.44 80.12 3.30 93.08 10.82 48.39 41.06 65.73 95.30 75.05P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 8 19 +9 3.83 83.31 2.44 91.62 10.61 41.39 33.50 60.01 94.45 71.50P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 8 16 +8 4.23 85.53 6.81 75.54 10.44 19.05 2.76 9.10 55.76 19.17P 0.29R 0.01 Rotherham 8 16 +5 5.94 92.65 6.64 61.10 10.98 -8.26 0.19 0.84 11.72 2.43P 9.22R 1.15 Bradford 8 15 +10 4.35 85.60 10.58 59.78 10.67 -2.46 0.14 0.61 9.82 2.03P 9.97R 1.23 Walsall 8 14 +3 2.45 73.43 2.16 67.93 10.41 5.33 0.49 2.23 27.00 7.11P 1.96R 0.14 MK_Dons 8 13 +3 0.38 53.41 0.49 77.50 10.36 21.79 3.71 12.09 63.42 26.42P 0.16R 0.02 Crawley_Town 8 12 +2 1.59 66.16 3.39 62.61 10.57 -1.21 0.17 0.75 14.12 3.08P 6.03R 0.69 Brentford 8 12 -2 -0.33 46.80 -4.07 66.33 10.42 0.98 0.38 1.62 22.46 6.08P 2.82R 0.22 Swindon 8 11 +3 -2.23 28.17 -0.46 77.12 10.37 24.38 3.32 11.35 62.49 26.94P 0.18R 0.01 Colchester 8 10 -1 -0.01 50.81 0.56 53.87 9.96 -14.40 0.01 0.08 2.66 0.47P 22.47R 3.85 Port_Vale 8 10 -3 0.86 59.89 0.27 53.78 10.81 -18.27 0.02 0.11 3.49 0.61P 25.40R 5.44 Shrewsbury 8 8 -2 -0.66 45.17 1.53 56.72 10.03 -7.31 0.01 0.10 4.48 0.86P 15.06R 2.30 Carlisle 8 8 -10 -0.62 45.72 -5.98 47.24 9.94 -33.51 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.08P 48.31R 14.57 Oldham 8 7 -2 -2.81 23.87 0.10 51.00 10.08 -15.17 0.00 0.03 1.51 0.28P 32.16R 6.87 Crewe 8 6 -10 -1.69 33.94 -4.16 46.71 10.02 -30.12 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.09P 50.02R 15.61 Stevenage 8 5 -7 -4.50 11.81 -4.74 48.74 9.96 -20.37 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.17P 40.60R 10.25 Tranmere 8 5 -10 -5.06 9.62 -8.43 51.59 10.05 -19.31 0.01 0.02 1.66 0.32P 30.49R 6.38 Coventry 8 4 +6 0.27 52.47 1.61 63.02 10.69 16.50 0.18 0.99 16.21 5.10P 5.60R 0.65 Bristol_City 8 4 -6 -6.37 5.18 -4.65 61.31 11.60 1.56 0.17 0.89 13.88 4.17P 9.90R 1.59 Sheff_Utd 8 4 -8 -8.10 1.72 -9.70 59.47 10.30 -3.14 0.04 0.29 8.20 2.31P 9.87R 1.35 Notts_County 8 4 -9 -5.98 5.54 -7.27 55.21 10.46 -11.27 0.01 0.12 3.93 0.89P 19.66R 3.71 Gillingham 8 3 -8 -4.98 8.00 -2.97 43.90 10.41 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 59.79R 23.96 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 8 22 +11 8.54 99.14 7.23 88.85 9.95 32.64 53.40 81.75 95.90 85.98P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 8 18 +7 6.63 95.36 6.39 72.36 10.15 10.45 5.33 22.42 54.65 29.03P 0.23R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 8 16 +4 6.43 94.92 6.18 63.46 10.14 -3.61 0.77 5.49 22.37 8.46P 2.27R 0.71 Oxford_Utd 8 15 +7 3.70 82.42 6.53 74.07 10.18 17.54 6.81 28.57 62.38 37.15P 0.14R 0.04 Mansfield 8 15 +6 4.50 86.98 6.73 63.75 10.71 0.81 1.23 7.00 24.95 10.67P 2.53R 0.85 Wycombe 8 14 +4 2.41 73.44 2.99 67.84 10.16 6.72 2.16 12.00 37.45 17.89P 0.74R 0.24 Rochdale 8 14 +4 2.26 71.59 2.85 71.61 10.25 12.36 4.53 21.01 52.20 28.84P 0.29R 0.07 Morecambe 8 14 +2 3.02 78.47 2.09 65.98 10.21 1.86 1.49 9.01 30.71 13.57P 1.31R 0.36 Exeter 8 14 +1 1.43 64.25 -1.41 66.98 10.10 2.46 1.74 10.30 34.05 16.04P 0.94R 0.26 Scunthorpe 8 13 +3 -0.81 41.47 -1.25 74.26 10.68 16.65 8.17 30.29 62.24 39.95P 0.21R 0.05 Newport_County 8 12 +3 3.07 79.29 6.36 50.99 10.22 -18.37 0.07 0.54 3.42 0.95P 22.02R 9.91 Burton_Albion 8 11 -2 0.87 59.47 -0.54 61.27 10.23 -5.53 0.53 3.75 17.29 6.54P 3.84R 1.32 Dag_&_Red 8 10 -1 -0.54 45.18 -0.33 57.21 9.94 -8.29 0.14 1.54 8.97 3.08P 7.61R 2.83 Southend 8 10 -1 -1.34 36.73 -1.60 68.08 10.17 8.01 2.10 12.58 38.78 19.66P 0.76R 0.20 Portsmouth 8 9 -2 -4.51 13.53 -5.85 74.08 10.77 18.18 7.79 30.05 62.00 40.65P 0.29R 0.09 Torquay 8 9 -3 -1.56 35.07 -2.41 59.58 10.05 -5.23 0.34 2.54 13.13 4.94P 5.09R 1.69 Plymouth 8 9 -4 -0.47 46.45 -2.07 56.16 9.65 -10.30 0.09 0.99 6.59 2.14P 8.80R 3.36 Bury 8 8 +1 -4.04 15.77 -0.64 68.17 10.78 13.30 2.70 14.45 40.90 22.40P 1.08R 0.30 Bristol_Rovers 8 8 -3 -2.52 26.74 -2.39 54.72 10.09 -11.51 0.09 1.00 6.10 2.07P 11.84R 4.76 Hartlepool 8 6 -5 -5.59 7.40 -5.98 59.31 10.39 -2.64 0.33 2.83 13.61 5.75P 5.62R 1.99 Cheltenham 8 6 -8 -4.10 14.24 -6.59 56.61 10.20 -10.40 0.14 1.51 8.46 3.14P 9.15R 3.54 York 8 5 -6 -4.29 12.62 -3.69 46.43 9.49 -21.27 0.01 0.08 0.81 0.24P 36.49R 19.22 Northampton 8 4 -7 -6.35 4.26 -6.14 50.73 9.97 -15.28 0.02 0.28 2.78 0.80P 21.47R 9.79 Accrington_Stanley 8 1 -11 -7.07 1.37 -6.44 41.64 9.58 -28.56 0.00 0.02 0.25 0.06P 57.27R 38.38Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 September 2013, Barnet 1 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 11 27 +15 8.83 97.77 10.32 83.02 9.27 27.53 29.80 78.23 40.67P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 11 23 +5 9.17 97.78 6.84 70.51 9.21 4.41 2.93 27.37 6.67P 0.32R 0.01 Kidderminster 11 21 +4 1.30 60.97 -3.45 79.51 9.29 20.49 17.69 65.42 30.80P 0.02R 0.00 Salisbury 11 20 +5 5.16 86.55 5.33 62.58 10.01 -3.17 0.88 9.86 2.56P 3.90R 0.28 Luton 11 19 +9 0.66 55.34 4.18 78.83 9.25 27.35 16.25 63.81 30.02P 0.02R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 11 19 +3 4.89 85.38 4.72 65.47 9.43 -0.22 1.06 13.73 3.10P 1.65R 0.10 Welling 11 18 +5 4.22 81.06 7.12 64.48 10.26 2.17 1.39 13.83 3.55P 2.94R 0.24 Grimsby 11 18 +2 -0.32 46.98 -2.86 74.66 9.18 15.47 7.49 45.06 17.31P 0.07R 0.00 Braintree_Town 11 18 +2 4.25 82.47 3.94 65.39 9.35 0.86 1.00 13.27 3.05P 1.60R 0.12 Lincoln_City 11 17 +2 2.86 73.93 3.40 65.70 9.28 3.40 1.01 14.13 3.41P 1.33R 0.06 Halifax 11 17 +0 4.47 82.98 4.47 60.10 10.24 -8.80 0.42 6.51 1.36P 7.49R 0.93 Barnet 11 16 +4 -3.67 20.81 -3.44 75.87 9.75 22.92 11.23 51.48 23.59P 0.09R 0.00 Southport 11 16 -3 2.57 71.78 -0.33 58.29 9.15 -13.18 0.14 3.20 0.56P 7.93R 0.72 Forest_Green 11 15 +6 -2.74 27.35 1.75 68.87 9.37 15.11 2.44 23.84 7.80P 0.66R 0.03 Hereford 11 15 +0 -2.25 32.00 -3.23 66.55 9.33 5.75 1.36 16.47 4.89P 1.14R 0.07 Gateshead 11 13 -5 -0.79 44.20 -2.90 57.15 9.24 -11.17 0.10 2.53 0.51P 9.69R 0.94 Tamworth 11 12 -5 -0.16 49.85 -0.53 51.36 8.94 -18.30 0.02 0.49 0.07P 24.11R 3.60 Wrexham 11 11 -4 -7.23 5.19 -9.04 67.49 9.31 9.08 1.69 19.28 6.68P 0.89R 0.04 Dartford 11 10 -9 -2.72 28.02 -5.25 52.08 9.26 -18.51 0.02 0.79 0.16P 22.85R 3.50 Macclesfield 11 9 -4 -5.74 9.64 -3.48 55.86 9.31 -5.64 0.06 2.07 0.48P 11.53R 1.44 Woking 11 8 -9 -4.72 15.04 -4.65 46.08 9.12 -27.10 0.00 0.12 0.02P 47.48R 10.65 Chester 11 8 -10 -2.32 31.21 -2.00 41.22 9.38 -34.07 0.00 0.05 0.01P 68.43R 26.19 Aldershot 11 7 +5 -2.48 29.16 -1.61 69.84 9.36 27.42 3.02 28.44 12.73P 0.51R 0.03 Hyde_United 11 2 -18 -8.22 1.40 -9.29 36.04 8.74 -41.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.35R 51.05 Adjustments: Aldershot -10