Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 22 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2013, Arsenal 3 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Arsenal 5 12 +5 2.19 74.84 0.53 72.99 8.91 29.84 20.12 38.66 55.59 70.61 90.27 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 5 12 +4 3.04 84.24 0.95 66.81 8.95 18.16 6.40 15.48 27.73 42.33 73.39 0.04R 0.00
Man_City 5 10 +8 -0.42 42.41 2.44 75.02 8.63 38.36 27.27 49.20 66.06 78.94 94.23 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 5 10 +4 0.72 59.62 0.29 71.80 8.72 28.76 15.85 32.65 50.05 66.13 88.94 0.00R 0.00
Liverpool 5 10 +2 1.48 68.31 -0.36 66.05 8.85 18.00 5.17 13.47 24.92 38.99 70.91 0.03R 0.00
Everton 5 9 +2 1.02 62.73 0.37 60.80 8.83 11.62 1.56 4.84 10.38 18.92 47.02 0.22R 0.02
Southampton 5 8 +1 1.68 72.44 1.71 47.65 8.61 -7.37 0.04 0.14 0.48 1.25 5.88 7.27R 1.14
Man_Utd 5 7 +1 -1.75 27.97 -2.31 74.10 8.64 35.57 23.43 44.75 62.36 76.20 93.10 0.00R 0.00
Swansea 5 7 +0 1.34 69.10 1.67 49.90 8.71 -3.41 0.06 0.30 0.77 2.04 9.36 4.50R 0.62
Stoke 5 7 -1 1.77 75.22 1.17 46.77 8.32 -7.46 0.01 0.07 0.26 0.73 4.37 8.21R 1.17
Hull 5 7 -2 2.61 84.11 1.96 37.35 8.30 -23.30 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.48 41.10R 12.61
Newcastle 5 7 -3 0.63 59.35 -1.99 44.74 8.71 -15.17 0.01 0.07 0.21 0.57 3.30 14.08R 2.79
Aston_Villa 5 6 +0 0.92 63.66 2.91 46.12 8.71 -7.93 0.01 0.08 0.29 0.80 4.49 10.43R 1.86
West_Brom 5 5 +0 -2.03 25.94 -0.31 46.89 8.76 -5.38 0.04 0.13 0.38 1.04 5.41 8.89R 1.59
West_Ham 5 5 +0 -1.77 28.80 -0.02 44.22 8.57 -8.93 0.00 0.05 0.18 0.46 2.80 14.25R 2.72
Cardiff 5 5 -2 0.10 54.59 0.69 39.70 8.78 -18.03 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.16 1.03 30.95R 8.51
Norwich 5 4 -3 -1.92 26.74 -1.69 39.60 8.39 -18.12 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.80 30.36R 7.79
Fulham 5 4 -4 -1.66 30.01 -2.20 45.39 8.75 -9.75 0.00 0.07 0.23 0.64 3.82 12.19R 2.21
Crystal_Palace 5 3 -4 -1.10 35.62 0.61 29.99 8.13 -33.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 74.73R 43.92
Sunderland 5 1 -8 -4.74 3.93 -6.44 36.87 8.34 -21.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.34 42.77R 13.05
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2013, Wigan 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
QPR 8 20 +6 6.36 95.46 2.19 82.01 10.31 20.61 20.04 35.33 74.70 46.21P 0.02R 0.00
Burnley 8 17 +8 4.47 87.43 5.57 74.86 10.29 16.75 6.85 14.85 50.10 22.82P 0.15R 0.01
Leicester 8 17 +5 4.01 84.23 2.01 81.05 10.15 23.33 17.23 32.10 73.15 43.19P 0.03R 0.00
Blackpool 8 17 +4 4.63 87.78 1.82 74.08 10.26 11.57 5.53 12.53 46.48 19.89P 0.22R 0.01
Watford 8 15 +10 0.91 58.20 4.95 79.63 10.47 29.85 15.13 28.90 69.01 39.95P 0.05R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 8 15 +5 3.07 78.20 3.61 70.97 10.26 11.04 3.08 7.80 35.24 13.61P 0.48R 0.02
Reading 8 15 +4 1.67 65.56 0.50 79.26 10.71 22.65 14.05 27.27 66.37 38.42P 0.08R 0.00
Bournemouth 8 13 -6 4.65 88.38 -1.37 51.55 10.27 -28.86 0.03 0.12 1.65 0.37P 24.82R 5.34
Huddersfield 8 12 +4 1.30 63.61 4.29 58.48 9.98 -4.36 0.16 0.53 5.90 1.44P 7.10R 0.88
Brighton 8 12 +3 -0.11 49.20 1.23 73.09 10.11 16.41 4.55 10.74 43.83 19.51P 0.22R 0.02
Wigan 7 11 +4 -1.74 31.56 -0.90 76.38 11.19 22.50 10.57 20.77 56.50 31.38P 0.23R 0.02
Derby 8 11 +2 0.20 52.99 2.21 64.54 10.33 4.03 0.73 2.34 16.48 5.27P 2.39R 0.22
Leeds_United 8 11 +0 1.24 63.54 1.70 63.09 10.24 0.09 0.48 1.62 12.75 3.80P 3.23R 0.35
Ipswich 8 10 +1 -0.15 49.36 2.24 58.49 10.06 -4.30 0.20 0.59 5.95 1.62P 7.56R 0.96
Blackburn 8 9 +2 -2.69 24.97 0.90 63.80 10.29 6.11 0.64 2.07 14.89 4.93P 2.71R 0.28
Doncaster 8 9 +0 -0.09 50.50 3.00 53.80 10.49 -10.90 0.05 0.23 2.95 0.72P 17.55R 3.46
Middlesbrough 8 8 -2 -2.31 28.80 -0.91 57.25 10.34 -6.63 0.12 0.45 5.17 1.35P 9.89R 1.55
Millwall 8 8 -6 -2.06 30.61 -4.78 52.06 9.79 -17.84 0.03 0.10 1.42 0.36P 20.54R 3.81
Birmingham 8 7 -3 -3.80 16.66 -2.80 60.97 10.33 -0.18 0.34 1.03 9.63 2.96P 5.04R 0.63
Charlton 8 5 -5 -6.09 5.62 -5.08 53.45 10.02 -10.32 0.05 0.18 2.15 0.62P 16.64R 3.08
Sheff_Wed 7 4 -5 -4.41 10.17 -3.27 49.20 10.24 -17.79 0.01 0.08 0.94 0.22P 31.07R 7.43
Yeovil 8 4 -8 -2.81 22.47 -1.54 37.10 9.61 -39.10 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 77.36R 45.53
Barnsley 8 4 -13 -3.61 16.77 -7.21 41.78 9.69 -37.04 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 61.45R 24.43
Bolton 8 3 -10 -6.88 3.05 -8.38 56.89 10.40 -7.58 0.12 0.37 4.57 1.30P 11.17R 1.95
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2013, Colchester 1 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 7 21 +16 8.17 99.20 10.98 81.95 10.80 27.14 9.74 25.02 76.40 36.66P 0.05R 0.00
Peterborough 8 19 +11 3.45 80.27 3.32 93.04 10.67 48.31 42.27 67.64 95.48 76.45P 0.00R 0.00
Wolverhampton 8 19 +9 3.84 83.22 2.40 91.72 10.66 41.75 35.58 62.33 94.56 73.10P 0.00R 0.00
Preston 8 16 +8 4.27 85.69 6.90 75.33 10.38 18.74 2.66 9.06 54.94 19.03P 0.33R 0.02
Rotherham 8 16 +5 6.01 92.75 6.75 60.98 10.92 -8.49 0.20 0.81 11.49 2.41P 9.31R 1.14
Bradford 8 15 +10 4.33 85.54 10.55 59.87 10.66 -2.26 0.12 0.66 9.82 2.16P 9.80R 1.18
Walsall 8 14 +3 2.41 73.24 2.11 68.44 10.36 6.12 0.66 2.67 28.75 7.97P 1.76R 0.14
MK_Dons 8 13 +3 0.41 53.93 0.55 77.37 10.29 21.54 3.65 12.57 62.86 26.65P 0.19R 0.01
Crawley_Town 8 12 +2 1.57 65.93 3.38 62.73 10.51 -1.01 0.20 0.86 14.15 3.16P 6.05R 0.65
Brentford 7 12 +0 0.78 57.71 -2.45 68.83 10.59 4.70 0.82 3.26 30.25 9.38P 1.72R 0.14
Swindon 8 11 +3 -2.19 28.57 -0.45 77.06 10.36 24.27 3.55 12.12 62.41 27.44P 0.21R 0.01
Colchester 8 10 -1 -0.02 50.63 0.53 53.92 10.03 -14.38 0.02 0.09 2.67 0.39P 22.72R 3.83
Port_Vale 8 10 -3 0.85 59.70 0.25 53.75 10.83 -18.38 0.03 0.13 3.73 0.67P 25.57R 5.39
Shrewsbury 8 8 -2 -0.79 43.86 1.31 57.17 10.10 -6.72 0.03 0.12 4.86 0.91P 14.35R 2.09
Carlisle 8 8 -10 -0.62 45.60 -5.99 47.11 9.95 -33.70 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.10P 49.20R 14.74
Oldham 8 7 -2 -2.82 23.85 0.14 51.02 10.01 -15.20 0.00 0.03 1.45 0.26P 32.31R 6.90
Crewe 8 6 -10 -1.76 33.01 -4.27 46.87 10.06 -29.94 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.07P 49.48R 15.56
Stevenage 8 5 -7 -4.51 11.60 -4.76 48.54 9.90 -20.80 0.00 0.02 0.75 0.13P 41.67R 10.54
Tranmere 8 5 -10 -5.06 9.59 -8.44 51.71 10.16 -19.13 0.00 0.03 1.69 0.33P 30.13R 6.54
Coventry 8 4 +6 0.31 52.71 1.66 63.19 10.69 16.77 0.24 1.12 16.71 5.35P 5.45R 0.63
Bristol_City 8 4 -6 -6.40 4.79 -4.68 61.38 11.44 1.68 0.17 1.01 13.94 4.22P 9.38R 1.43
Sheff_Utd 8 4 -8 -8.03 1.75 -9.60 59.22 10.28 -3.56 0.04 0.32 7.78 2.19P 10.41R 1.36
Notts_County 8 4 -9 -6.03 5.36 -7.36 55.06 10.48 -11.49 0.01 0.12 3.84 0.88P 20.40R 3.75
Gillingham 8 3 -8 -4.96 8.23 -2.84 43.95 10.40 -25.99 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.08P 59.48R 23.93
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Chesterfield 8 22 +11 8.59 99.15 7.28 88.75 9.89 32.51 52.81 81.56 95.93 85.85P 0.00R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 8 18 +7 6.59 95.20 6.34 72.39 10.15 10.47 5.27 22.47 54.57 29.48P 0.20R 0.04
AFC_Wimbledon 8 16 +4 6.47 95.11 6.24 63.47 10.16 -3.62 0.74 5.50 22.47 8.44P 2.35R 0.75
Oxford_Utd 8 15 +7 3.66 81.94 6.49 74.35 10.17 17.96 6.95 29.22 63.33 37.79P 0.12R 0.02
Mansfield 8 15 +6 4.48 86.99 6.70 63.86 10.66 0.96 1.22 7.16 25.17 10.64P 2.47R 0.81
Wycombe 8 14 +4 2.34 72.62 2.89 68.17 10.24 7.22 2.45 12.75 38.89 18.84P 0.78R 0.22
Rochdale 8 14 +4 2.25 71.56 2.86 71.58 10.31 12.26 4.47 21.16 52.15 29.04P 0.35R 0.09
Morecambe 8 14 +2 2.99 78.05 2.04 66.12 10.18 2.05 1.57 8.96 30.89 13.65P 1.15R 0.36
Exeter 8 14 +1 1.45 64.47 -1.39 66.94 10.08 2.32 1.75 10.14 33.61 15.67P 0.86R 0.25
Scunthorpe 8 13 +3 -0.87 40.71 -1.36 74.52 10.71 17.06 8.78 31.00 63.17 40.93P 0.17R 0.05
Newport_County 8 12 +3 3.07 79.13 6.35 51.15 10.16 -18.16 0.03 0.46 3.45 0.94P 21.53R 9.68
Burton_Albion 8 11 -2 0.84 59.32 -0.63 61.46 10.16 -5.21 0.50 3.68 17.23 6.31P 3.73R 1.22
Dag_&_Red 8 10 -1 -0.54 45.25 -0.33 57.21 9.95 -8.27 0.17 1.58 8.67 2.98P 7.40R 2.73
Southend 8 10 -1 -1.35 36.71 -1.64 67.97 10.15 7.87 2.10 12.14 38.50 19.19P 0.78R 0.23
Portsmouth 8 9 -2 -4.49 13.69 -5.80 73.85 10.70 17.83 7.49 28.91 60.91 39.69P 0.24R 0.07
Torquay 8 9 -3 -1.62 34.62 -2.49 59.89 10.08 -4.76 0.34 2.81 13.85 5.23P 4.93R 1.75
Plymouth 8 9 -4 -0.41 46.78 -1.96 55.78 9.62 -10.83 0.07 0.85 6.10 1.92P 9.22R 3.61
Bury 8 8 +1 -4.01 16.05 -0.58 68.09 10.88 13.18 2.71 14.47 40.77 22.27P 1.06R 0.32
Bristol_Rovers 8 8 -3 -2.51 26.81 -2.33 54.49 10.09 -11.86 0.10 0.93 5.87 1.98P 12.43R 5.06
Hartlepool 8 6 -5 -5.42 8.00 -5.79 58.74 10.46 -3.47 0.29 2.45 12.53 5.11P 6.53R 2.39
Cheltenham 8 6 -8 -4.08 14.38 -6.54 56.38 10.22 -10.77 0.15 1.33 8.05 2.84P 9.44R 3.86
York 8 5 -6 -4.21 12.73 -3.60 46.27 9.47 -21.52 0.01 0.09 0.76 0.23P 36.94R 19.24
Northampton 8 4 -7 -6.39 4.22 -6.21 50.97 9.99 -14.88 0.03 0.35 2.85 0.92P 20.60R 9.63
Accrington_Stanley 8 1 -11 -7.12 1.42 -6.52 41.76 9.58 -28.33 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.05P 56.71R 37.63
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2013, Aldershot 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Cambridge_Utd 10 24 +12 8.11 97.44 8.67 80.44 9.47 23.05 21.75 68.23 31.84P 0.02R 0.00
Nuneaton 10 23 +8 9.64 98.87 8.46 72.35 9.33 8.22 4.71 34.12 9.30P 0.19R 0.02
Alfreton_Town 10 19 +4 5.97 91.06 5.16 66.79 9.61 0.61 1.74 16.79 3.88P 1.27R 0.10
Kidderminster 10 18 +2 0.68 55.81 -3.74 77.98 9.54 18.75 15.31 58.60 27.13P 0.04R 0.00
Salisbury 10 17 +3 4.49 84.97 4.86 60.10 10.13 -6.60 0.50 6.50 1.52P 6.82R 0.90
Lincoln_City 10 17 +3 3.76 81.02 3.72 66.93 9.49 4.16 1.66 17.23 4.49P 1.06R 0.08
Halifax 10 17 +2 4.94 86.29 4.81 61.42 10.48 -7.15 0.85 8.76 2.10P 5.91R 0.81
Barnet 10 16 +5 -1.96 32.16 -1.87 79.46 9.90 27.45 21.13 64.92 35.02P 0.04R 0.00
Luton 10 16 +5 -0.16 48.28 1.39 75.29 9.41 20.33 9.11 48.37 19.61P 0.06R 0.01
Forest_Green 10 15 +7 -0.99 41.12 3.29 71.98 9.54 18.77 5.26 35.26 12.73P 0.30R 0.01
Welling 10 15 +4 2.68 72.50 6.39 61.53 10.46 -1.15 0.88 9.24 2.38P 5.45R 0.60
Braintree_Town 10 15 +1 2.41 71.53 2.54 62.06 9.37 -2.68 0.51 7.52 1.70P 3.40R 0.34
Grimsby 10 15 -1 -0.84 42.50 -4.20 72.38 9.28 11.36 5.14 35.32 12.96P 0.23R 0.01
Southport 10 13 -4 1.20 61.73 -0.92 56.69 9.48 -14.19 0.13 2.61 0.51P 10.85R 1.50
Hereford 10 12 -1 -3.39 22.34 -3.55 65.31 9.46 5.23 1.16 14.05 4.16P 1.61R 0.13
Wrexham 10 11 -3 -5.45 9.84 -7.40 70.31 9.49 12.16 3.68 28.46 10.62P 0.42R 0.02
Gateshead 10 10 -6 -1.78 35.05 -3.02 56.12 9.39 -11.10 0.08 2.19 0.41P 11.48R 1.57
Dartford 10 10 -6 -2.42 29.23 -4.00 54.08 9.28 -14.04 0.04 1.30 0.24P 16.23R 2.57
Tamworth 10 9 -6 -2.11 31.96 -2.07 47.99 8.99 -22.01 0.01 0.21 0.03P 37.34R 8.58
Woking 10 8 -5 -4.20 16.76 -2.11 49.13 9.37 -19.82 0.02 0.44 0.07P 32.72R 7.00
Chester 10 8 -9 -1.50 37.50 -2.06 42.09 9.53 -33.25 0.00 0.07 0.01P 63.97R 26.05
Aldershot 10 7 +6 -1.21 38.62 -0.78 72.54 9.61 30.63 6.29 38.86 19.05P 0.28R 0.02
Macclesfield 10 6 -5 -7.65 3.24 -4.94 52.50 9.38 -9.34 0.04 0.95 0.23P 20.21R 3.38
Hyde_United 10 2 -16 -7.67 1.68 -8.63 37.55 8.94 -39.39 0.00 0.01 0.00 80.15R 46.29
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
