Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 September 2013, Swansea 2 2 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 4 10 +3 3.35 90.04 1.36 69.24 9.02 21.76 10.93 25.17 40.91 57.17 83.47 0.03R 0.00
Arsenal 4 9 +3 1.44 67.57 -0.14 71.08 9.14 26.87 16.43 33.55 50.04 65.47 87.79 0.01R 0.00
Tottenham 4 9 +3 1.92 74.98 0.66 65.27 9.14 17.27 5.48 14.17 25.50 39.20 70.32 0.07R 0.00
Man_City 4 7 +5 -1.56 25.76 0.39 71.59 8.95 32.01 17.99 36.11 53.19 68.32 89.64 0.01R 0.00
Man_Utd 4 7 +4 -0.69 39.53 0.32 76.07 8.72 39.04 35.03 57.41 73.28 84.11 95.81 0.00R 0.00
Chelsea 4 7 +2 -0.05 49.94 -0.43 70.13 8.99 26.55 12.99 29.31 46.20 62.24 86.15 0.01R 0.00
Stoke 4 7 +1 2.37 83.53 1.97 47.91 8.41 -5.40 0.03 0.14 0.52 1.30 6.65 6.47R 0.99
Newcastle 4 7 -2 2.31 81.84 -0.71 47.52 8.93 -11.43 0.05 0.21 0.64 1.55 7.31 9.06R 1.64
Everton 4 6 +1 -0.35 44.18 -0.28 58.23 8.80 9.38 0.92 3.18 7.31 14.03 38.82 0.49R 0.04
West_Ham 4 5 +1 -0.62 42.55 0.72 45.73 8.73 -7.05 0.04 0.13 0.41 1.00 4.99 11.44R 2.17
Southampton 4 5 +0 -0.44 45.22 -0.00 44.40 8.77 -10.68 0.01 0.08 0.29 0.75 3.93 14.97R 3.18
Cardiff 4 5 -1 0.89 66.49 0.84 40.80 9.01 -17.36 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.32 1.83 27.61R 7.92
Swansea 4 4 -2 0.16 55.59 0.28 47.60 8.87 -6.06 0.04 0.18 0.57 1.58 7.35 8.44R 1.51
Fulham 4 4 -2 -1.08 36.38 -1.46 46.54 8.88 -7.88 0.02 0.16 0.48 1.25 6.06 10.38R 1.92
Norwich 4 4 -2 -0.67 41.93 -0.84 41.58 8.76 -15.82 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.33 1.88 24.05R 6.45
Hull 4 4 -3 0.60 63.24 0.26 34.52 8.34 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.24 55.60R 23.14
Aston_Villa 4 3 -1 -0.68 39.93 1.97 43.87 8.86 -9.72 0.01 0.06 0.19 0.61 3.35 16.54R 3.87
Crystal_Palace 4 3 -2 -0.11 50.12 1.99 32.29 8.43 -29.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.16 65.73R 34.18
West_Brom 4 2 -3 -3.17 11.34 -2.65 43.76 8.78 -10.30 0.01 0.05 0.20 0.56 3.26 16.55R 3.84
Sunderland 4 1 -5 -3.89 6.39 -4.22 39.20 8.50 -17.01 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.96 32.55R 9.14
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 September 2013, QPR 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
QPR 7 17 +5 5.37 93.53 2.09 80.71 10.68 20.05 20.49 35.54 72.43 45.55P 0.05R 0.00
Leicester 7 16 +5 4.48 88.94 2.16 81.24 10.25 22.85 21.15 37.44 75.23 47.60P 0.03R 0.00
Blackpool 7 16 +4 4.92 90.74 1.75 74.19 10.42 11.22 7.28 15.68 49.45 23.09P 0.22R 0.02
Burnley 7 14 +7 2.92 79.20 4.70 72.80 10.40 15.13 5.97 13.39 45.20 20.88P 0.36R 0.03
Nott'm_Forest 7 14 +5 3.60 84.31 3.87 71.41 10.37 11.24 4.47 10.32 39.68 16.87P 0.56R 0.05
Watford 7 12 +6 0.19 51.21 2.47 76.22 10.74 22.82 11.37 22.38 58.67 32.15P 0.21R 0.02
Reading 7 12 +2 0.53 55.28 -0.78 75.31 11.00 17.02 9.90 19.77 54.36 29.70P 0.36R 0.03
Bournemouth 7 12 -6 4.60 89.60 -2.27 51.11 10.43 -29.56 0.05 0.19 1.93 0.49P 28.05R 7.20
Derby 7 11 +4 1.26 64.20 3.73 66.96 10.43 7.80 1.93 5.03 24.97 9.51P 1.68R 0.19
Huddersfield 7 11 +4 1.36 65.36 3.84 58.42 10.15 -5.09 0.27 0.85 6.98 2.02P 8.16R 1.23
Leeds_United 7 11 +1 2.51 76.72 2.55 65.06 10.37 2.10 1.28 3.24 18.92 6.42P 2.44R 0.32
Ipswich 7 10 +3 0.47 55.78 3.05 59.80 10.30 -2.42 0.38 1.19 8.97 2.68P 6.78R 0.98
Brighton 7 9 +1 -1.20 37.39 -0.03 70.45 10.18 12.91 3.47 8.52 36.16 16.17P 0.60R 0.05
Blackburn 7 8 +2 -1.95 30.21 1.43 65.02 10.54 7.46 1.32 3.66 20.21 7.49P 2.64R 0.30
Wigan 6 8 +2 -2.56 22.65 -1.60 73.99 11.56 19.42 9.37 18.70 50.61 28.37P 0.57R 0.06
Middlesbrough 7 7 -2 -1.45 35.56 -0.23 58.92 10.35 -4.33 0.25 0.84 7.80 2.21P 8.24R 1.36
Charlton 6 5 -2 -3.17 17.96 -1.86 59.91 10.48 -1.59 0.43 1.25 9.45 3.09P 6.82R 1.04
Doncaster 6 5 -2 -1.48 34.33 0.82 49.36 10.58 -17.10 0.02 0.11 1.48 0.34P 32.91R 9.40
Millwall 7 5 -7 -3.76 14.51 -5.89 49.18 9.94 -20.74 0.02 0.08 0.99 0.27P 32.84R 8.26
Sheff_Wed 6 4 -2 -3.69 12.73 -1.30 51.98 10.33 -12.06 0.04 0.20 2.22 0.61P 23.25R 5.18
Birmingham 7 4 -6 -4.76 8.51 -4.83 57.77 10.37 -5.37 0.19 0.64 6.25 1.96P 10.08R 1.68
Yeovil 7 4 -7 -2.14 28.23 -1.59 38.61 9.92 -37.64 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 73.98R 42.86
Barnsley 7 4 -9 -3.07 19.23 -4.85 44.87 9.83 -29.38 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.04P 49.90R 18.04
Bolton 7 3 -8 -6.07 4.00 -7.21 58.68 10.62 -4.75 0.31 0.95 7.73 2.50P 9.29R 1.67
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2013, Bristol_City 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 7 21 +16 8.13 99.22 10.88 81.63 10.85 26.74 10.23 25.58 74.44 36.01P 0.06R 0.00
Peterborough 7 16 +10 2.29 72.29 3.03 91.47 11.14 47.68 39.25 62.87 93.07 72.67P 0.00R 0.00
Wolverhampton 7 16 +8 2.61 75.41 1.94 90.65 10.95 42.03 34.64 59.65 92.64 70.60P 0.01R 0.00
Rotherham 7 15 +5 5.96 93.72 6.12 60.85 11.22 -9.66 0.27 1.04 11.57 2.60P 10.12R 1.34
Preston 7 13 +7 2.70 76.44 6.01 73.45 10.67 17.44 2.24 7.74 46.96 16.31P 0.66R 0.03
MK_Dons 7 13 +4 1.25 62.82 0.66 78.90 10.56 22.86 6.19 17.23 66.97 31.15P 0.13R 0.01
Walsall 7 13 +3 3.07 79.71 2.58 69.55 10.69 7.31 1.03 3.92 31.92 9.51P 1.46R 0.08
Bradford 7 12 +9 2.79 76.99 9.71 57.50 11.02 -4.93 0.11 0.52 7.27 1.66P 15.26R 2.19
Brentford 7 12 +0 0.78 58.12 -2.48 68.92 10.65 4.81 0.97 3.59 29.82 9.41P 1.76R 0.11
Crawley_Town 7 11 +2 2.03 72.13 3.53 63.16 10.86 -1.06 0.33 1.23 15.01 3.65P 6.22R 0.69
Colchester 7 9 -1 0.31 54.27 0.54 54.28 10.28 -14.62 0.02 0.12 3.12 0.55P 22.16R 3.47
Swindon 7 8 +2 -3.28 17.91 -0.60 75.98 10.55 24.18 3.49 11.24 57.27 25.54P 0.27R 0.01
Shrewsbury 7 8 -1 0.14 53.57 1.72 58.31 10.38 -6.27 0.05 0.26 6.42 1.32P 12.43R 1.63
Port_Vale 7 7 -4 -0.81 42.70 -0.87 50.30 11.06 -22.63 0.01 0.07 2.02 0.37P 37.01R 9.55
Oldham 7 6 -2 -2.14 28.08 0.60 51.94 10.39 -14.59 0.01 0.06 1.97 0.36P 29.26R 5.88
Stevenage 7 5 -5 -3.21 18.81 -2.89 51.95 10.38 -15.55 0.01 0.07 2.09 0.39P 29.39R 6.01
Tranmere 7 5 -8 -4.11 13.34 -7.10 54.19 10.47 -15.53 0.02 0.12 3.07 0.68P 22.63R 4.05
Crewe 7 5 -10 -1.53 35.22 -4.38 46.38 10.32 -31.74 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.09P 51.24R 16.32
Carlisle 7 5 -12 -2.26 27.82 -7.95 43.65 10.05 -39.10 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 62.41R 24.00
Coventry 7 4 +7 1.75 67.70 2.75 65.74 11.04 19.92 0.60 2.42 22.94 7.98P 3.75R 0.37
Bristol_City 7 4 -5 -5.42 7.00 -4.39 62.39 11.74 2.10 0.34 1.48 16.05 4.98P 8.67R 1.27
Sheff_Utd 7 4 -7 -6.85 2.81 -8.89 61.61 10.51 -0.95 0.17 0.68 11.50 3.42P 7.26R 0.81
Gillingham 7 3 -7 -3.72 13.42 -2.05 46.59 10.72 -23.27 0.00 0.03 0.76 0.17P 49.61R 16.11
Notts_County 7 1 -11 -7.11 1.40 -8.47 52.46 10.67 -15.17 0.01 0.08 2.34 0.52P 28.22R 6.07
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Burton_Albion 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Chesterfield 7 19 +10 7.06 98.20 6.47 86.62 10.20 30.94 42.06 73.46 92.93 79.20P 0.00R 0.00
Oxford_Utd 7 15 +8 4.98 90.95 7.40 76.65 10.39 20.44 11.19 36.40 70.20 44.90P 0.06R 0.02
Fleetwood_Town 7 15 +6 4.64 89.45 4.80 69.26 10.40 7.08 3.31 14.38 41.85 20.07P 0.58R 0.16
Exeter 7 14 +3 3.04 79.88 0.95 70.97 10.39 8.37 4.41 18.37 48.14 25.42P 0.32R 0.07
Wycombe 7 13 +4 3.12 80.48 3.50 69.27 10.36 8.23 3.22 14.36 41.97 20.65P 0.55R 0.16
Morecambe 7 13 +2 3.62 84.20 2.45 67.20 10.34 3.25 2.03 10.37 33.99 15.26P 0.91R 0.26
AFC_Wimbledon 7 13 +2 5.14 92.18 4.68 61.00 10.28 -6.97 0.47 3.30 15.90 5.33P 3.85R 1.32
Mansfield 7 12 +3 3.53 83.40 4.73 60.07 10.78 -5.34 0.67 3.39 15.34 5.63P 5.15R 1.88
Rochdale 7 11 +3 0.95 60.78 2.34 69.82 10.55 11.03 3.34 16.17 44.71 23.31P 0.61R 0.16
Burton_Albion 7 11 +0 1.88 69.70 0.84 63.97 10.47 -1.34 1.11 6.02 23.86 9.71P 2.21R 0.75
Scunthorpe 7 10 +2 -1.92 29.66 -1.61 72.82 10.87 15.96 6.76 24.90 56.22 34.67P 0.36R 0.09
Newport_County 7 9 +1 1.32 65.50 4.24 46.10 10.17 -26.37 0.01 0.14 1.25 0.30P 38.48R 21.46
Portsmouth 7 9 -1 -2.83 22.86 -4.37 77.32 11.13 22.41 13.99 39.97 70.93 50.20P 0.15R 0.04
Dag_&_Red 7 9 -1 -0.53 44.63 -0.90 56.48 10.08 -9.85 0.16 1.24 7.72 2.43P 8.32R 3.15
Southend 7 9 -1 -1.15 37.70 -1.89 67.82 10.50 7.07 2.36 11.94 37.21 18.73P 0.92R 0.25
Plymouth 7 9 -3 0.32 54.83 -1.85 56.91 9.84 -10.31 0.10 1.13 7.55 2.36P 7.60R 2.95
Bury 7 7 +1 -3.33 18.62 -0.11 69.19 11.11 14.33 3.76 16.37 43.63 24.46P 0.97R 0.31
Bristol_Rovers 7 7 -3 -2.07 29.15 -2.28 54.84 10.15 -11.68 0.13 0.93 6.01 1.96P 11.06R 4.62
Torquay 7 6 -5 -2.72 23.06 -3.75 57.23 10.18 -8.12 0.21 1.56 8.97 3.21P 7.52R 2.93
Cheltenham 7 6 -6 -3.09 19.73 -5.18 58.93 10.34 -6.75 0.26 2.14 12.12 4.57P 5.90R 2.13
Hartlepool 7 5 -5 -5.22 7.32 -6.02 59.18 10.55 -3.26 0.39 2.66 13.11 5.49P 5.54R 2.08
Northampton 7 4 -4 -5.71 5.06 -4.24 53.82 10.21 -9.66 0.08 0.72 5.12 1.79P 13.02R 5.43
York 7 4 -6 -4.33 10.28 -4.27 45.66 9.65 -23.10 0.00 0.07 0.72 0.18P 38.69R 21.35
Accrington_Stanley 7 1 -10 -6.01 2.35 -5.93 43.73 9.82 -26.36 0.00 0.04 0.53 0.16P 47.23R 28.45
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2013, Aldershot 3 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Nuneaton 9 23 +9 11.33 99.71 9.87 75.41 9.75 11.83 7.49 44.48 13.26P 0.11R 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 9 21 +11 6.75 95.40 8.03 78.89 9.75 22.10 14.00 60.00 24.11P 0.03R 0.00
Kidderminster 9 18 +5 1.59 64.65 -1.53 81.59 9.78 25.19 22.11 70.31 35.43P 0.01R 0.00
Lincoln_City 9 17 +4 4.60 87.14 3.88 67.94 9.68 4.77 1.78 18.63 4.82P 0.83R 0.07
Barnet 9 16 +7 -0.76 41.59 -0.21 82.53 10.16 32.09 26.67 73.29 41.27P 0.02R 0.00
Halifax 9 16 +2 5.36 89.34 4.96 61.75 11.01 -7.39 0.82 9.42 2.32P 6.15R 1.03
Alfreton_Town 9 16 +2 4.46 85.91 3.40 63.90 9.91 -3.43 0.75 10.36 2.19P 2.57R 0.27
Forest_Green 9 15 +8 0.06 50.34 3.78 73.16 9.82 19.49 5.57 37.59 13.54P 0.18R 0.01
Salisbury 9 14 +2 2.63 74.10 3.49 56.64 10.47 -10.26 0.26 3.56 0.84P 12.30R 2.27
Grimsby 9 14 -1 -0.37 46.57 -4.09 73.47 9.55 12.50 5.15 37.31 13.35P 0.14R 0.01
Luton 9 13 +4 -1.13 38.84 1.31 73.94 9.62 19.65 5.87 40.33 15.35P 0.13R 0.01
Southport 9 13 -3 2.08 69.80 -0.68 57.91 9.74 -13.53 0.16 3.35 0.59P 8.60R 1.24
Welling 9 12 +3 1.23 62.38 5.76 59.47 10.93 -3.11 0.48 6.67 1.62P 8.39R 1.61
Braintree_Town 9 12 +0 1.29 63.36 2.37 60.64 9.80 -3.42 0.34 5.90 1.31P 4.80R 0.67
Wrexham 9 11 -1 -4.74 12.22 -6.35 71.84 9.62 14.49 3.91 32.26 12.05P 0.22R 0.02
Hereford 9 11 -1 -3.14 22.82 -3.76 65.46 9.74 4.95 1.06 13.51 3.72P 1.61R 0.16
Tamworth 9 9 -5 -0.75 44.26 -1.08 50.30 9.26 -19.56 0.00 0.45 0.07P 26.17R 5.98
Woking 9 8 -4 -3.37 21.12 -2.10 49.98 9.61 -19.27 0.02 0.56 0.11P 28.12R 6.36
Gateshead 9 7 -7 -3.29 21.30 -3.78 53.91 9.63 -13.02 0.04 1.31 0.25P 16.03R 3.11
Chester 9 7 -9 -1.39 37.74 -2.19 41.73 9.84 -34.76 0.00 0.09 0.01P 62.79R 28.79
Dartford 9 7 -9 -3.74 17.66 -6.55 50.25 9.50 -20.51 0.02 0.53 0.11P 27.13R 6.36
Aldershot 9 4 +4 -2.13 29.80 -1.73 70.46 9.98 27.97 3.46 29.43 13.54P 0.53R 0.05
Macclesfield 9 3 -6 -8.80 0.88 -5.30 51.11 9.67 -9.77 0.01 0.64 0.13P 23.49R 5.30
Hyde_United 9 2 -15 -6.25 3.53 -7.51 39.79 9.46 -37.02 0.00 0.02 0.00P 69.66R 36.66
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
