Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 14 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Aston_Villa 1 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 4 9 +3 1.46 68.03 -0.12 71.15 9.11 27.03 16.37 33.15 49.99 65.56 88.06 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 4 9 +3 1.92 75.02 0.68 65.28 8.97 17.34 5.08 13.56 24.84 38.90 70.56 0.05R 0.00 Liverpool 3 9 +3 4.03 95.33 1.79 69.75 9.28 21.78 12.14 27.24 43.08 58.77 83.97 0.03R 0.00 Man_City 4 7 +5 -1.55 25.95 0.40 71.59 8.93 32.00 17.90 36.19 53.19 68.54 89.56 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 4 7 +4 -0.69 39.60 0.31 76.13 8.70 39.15 34.73 57.32 73.09 84.20 95.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 4 7 +2 -0.02 50.37 -0.38 69.89 9.01 26.17 12.55 28.05 44.69 60.29 85.48 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 4 7 +1 2.38 83.40 1.96 47.98 8.48 -5.29 0.04 0.20 0.58 1.41 6.74 6.55R 1.02 Newcastle 4 7 -2 2.27 81.70 -0.73 47.51 8.87 -11.47 0.05 0.20 0.64 1.60 6.97 8.90R 1.61 Everton 4 6 +1 -0.35 44.29 -0.27 58.19 8.84 9.38 0.95 3.23 7.25 13.89 38.12 0.51R 0.05 Cardiff 4 5 -1 0.85 65.67 0.78 40.99 9.03 -17.04 0.01 0.05 0.12 0.35 2.01 27.48R 7.78 West_Ham 3 4 +1 -0.37 45.41 0.58 45.83 8.94 -7.59 0.03 0.15 0.45 1.10 5.22 11.87R 2.42 Southampton 3 4 +0 0.05 53.52 0.18 45.03 9.03 -10.48 0.03 0.13 0.40 1.00 4.83 14.13R 3.01 Fulham 4 4 -2 -1.07 36.36 -1.46 46.55 8.73 -7.90 0.04 0.15 0.48 1.15 5.62 9.89R 1.81 Norwich 4 4 -2 -0.66 42.11 -0.85 41.58 8.71 -15.74 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.24 1.80 24.18R 6.19 Hull 4 4 -3 0.60 63.30 0.27 34.30 8.28 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.23 56.88R 24.18 Aston_Villa 4 3 -1 -0.69 39.70 1.93 43.86 8.92 -9.72 0.01 0.07 0.25 0.65 3.34 17.10R 4.03 Crystal_Palace 4 3 -2 -0.15 49.29 1.93 32.60 8.50 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.16 64.59R 32.78 Swansea 3 3 -2 0.21 55.13 -0.13 47.26 9.05 -6.88 0.04 0.20 0.58 1.56 7.01 9.30R 1.88 West_Brom 4 2 -3 -3.17 11.66 -2.66 43.94 8.88 -10.02 0.01 0.07 0.25 0.65 3.41 16.30R 3.83 Sunderland 4 1 -5 -3.89 6.41 -4.21 39.28 8.58 -16.83 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.94 32.22R 9.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Bolton 0 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Blackpool 6 16 +6 6.14 97.01 3.51 77.49 10.67 16.08 11.74 23.50 60.66 31.88P 0.11R 0.01 QPR 6 16 +5 5.86 96.50 2.26 82.10 10.92 21.60 23.40 39.03 75.13 48.83P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 6 13 +5 4.31 90.19 4.33 72.31 10.59 11.96 5.16 11.49 41.75 18.31P 0.44R 0.04 Leicester 6 13 +4 3.40 84.10 1.96 79.71 10.62 21.94 16.46 30.68 68.94 41.14P 0.07R 0.00 Burnley 6 11 +4 1.91 71.85 2.63 69.55 10.73 9.68 3.24 7.75 32.80 13.40P 0.93R 0.08 Leeds_United 6 11 +2 3.39 84.75 2.82 66.39 10.71 2.95 1.68 4.45 22.60 8.01P 1.98R 0.20 Derby 6 10 +4 1.37 65.82 3.36 66.91 10.72 7.13 1.93 4.86 24.39 9.11P 1.75R 0.23 Watford 6 9 +5 -0.61 42.53 2.79 75.23 11.03 22.72 9.26 19.26 54.04 28.68P 0.29R 0.03 Bournemouth 6 9 -7 3.34 84.66 -2.60 48.68 10.62 -32.25 0.02 0.10 1.15 0.25P 35.79R 10.79 Blackburn 6 8 +3 -1.06 38.58 1.73 66.31 10.79 8.24 1.81 4.61 23.40 9.17P 2.01R 0.22 Huddersfield 6 8 +3 -0.10 50.08 3.07 55.99 10.36 -7.18 0.14 0.51 4.68 1.24P 11.90R 2.08 Wigan 6 8 +2 -2.63 22.19 -1.73 74.24 11.57 19.64 9.13 18.16 50.32 27.87P 0.49R 0.05 Reading 5 8 +1 -0.13 48.88 -0.95 75.07 11.74 17.66 10.08 19.98 52.53 29.28P 0.53R 0.05 Ipswich 6 7 +2 -0.58 44.35 2.95 58.88 10.64 -2.25 0.34 1.03 7.98 2.40P 7.98R 1.38 Brighton 5 7 +1 -0.88 38.81 -0.51 70.41 10.74 11.93 3.81 9.00 35.59 16.17P 0.77R 0.09 Middlesbrough 6 6 -2 -1.30 35.62 -0.57 58.61 10.65 -5.26 0.26 0.93 7.47 2.29P 8.63R 1.53 Charlton 5 5 -1 -1.97 27.19 -1.15 61.41 10.87 -0.37 0.61 1.89 12.37 4.17P 5.35R 0.84 Doncaster 5 5 -1 -0.75 42.48 0.68 50.45 10.87 -16.64 0.04 0.14 1.98 0.50P 28.03R 7.77 Sheff_Wed 6 4 -2 -3.72 12.53 -1.33 51.70 10.35 -12.53 0.05 0.17 2.04 0.54P 22.83R 5.11 Birmingham 6 4 -3 -4.02 10.99 -2.77 60.82 10.63 0.18 0.46 1.36 10.53 3.63P 5.83R 0.87 Yeovil 6 4 -6 -1.32 36.30 -1.47 38.93 10.07 -38.19 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 71.28R 39.63 Barnsley 6 4 -8 -1.92 29.15 -4.18 46.91 10.34 -27.61 0.01 0.04 0.64 0.12P 40.80R 13.32 Bolton 6 2 -8 -5.53 4.28 -6.99 59.28 10.83 -4.39 0.36 1.05 8.47 2.92P 8.10R 1.47 Millwall 6 2 -9 -5.36 4.09 -7.85 45.87 10.13 -25.03 0.01 0.02 0.43 0.09P 44.06R 14.21League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Bradford 2 2 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 6 18 +12 7.35 98.91 8.24 78.10 10.97 19.65 5.16 15.75 64.03 26.19P 0.20R 0.00 Peterborough 7 16 +10 2.37 73.14 3.16 91.82 11.12 48.25 36.02 63.84 93.77 73.65P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 6 16 +9 4.38 91.61 3.44 94.38 11.21 47.37 46.00 71.88 95.84 79.55P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 7 15 +5 6.08 94.12 6.29 60.62 11.17 -10.11 0.20 0.95 11.86 2.60P 10.45R 1.37 Preston 7 13 +7 2.70 76.87 6.03 73.44 10.63 17.36 1.80 7.43 48.25 16.72P 0.64R 0.04 MK_Dons 7 13 +4 1.35 63.83 0.81 78.74 10.63 22.61 5.08 16.24 67.56 30.54P 0.17R 0.00 Bradford 7 12 +9 2.88 77.77 9.86 57.10 10.93 -5.63 0.12 0.45 6.94 1.51P 16.21R 2.45 Brentford 7 12 +0 0.72 57.00 -2.57 68.97 10.63 4.87 0.85 3.49 31.15 9.57P 1.74R 0.11 Crawley_Town 7 11 +2 1.94 71.09 3.45 63.41 10.81 -0.61 0.21 1.20 16.75 3.89P 6.04R 0.56 Walsall 6 10 +2 1.15 63.17 1.07 66.02 10.86 3.09 0.47 2.22 22.96 6.35P 3.60R 0.24 Colchester 7 9 -1 0.24 53.75 0.42 54.17 10.32 -14.82 0.03 0.14 3.23 0.63P 22.82R 3.75 Swindon 7 8 +2 -3.30 17.81 -0.59 75.89 10.59 24.05 2.70 10.45 58.04 25.31P 0.38R 0.01 Shrewsbury 6 7 -1 0.20 54.14 1.21 57.68 10.65 -7.98 0.05 0.31 6.60 1.37P 14.51R 2.15 Port_Vale 7 7 -4 -0.91 41.75 -1.05 50.41 11.06 -22.42 0.01 0.07 2.10 0.40P 37.08R 9.58 Oldham 7 6 -2 -2.20 27.48 0.54 51.79 10.30 -14.83 0.00 0.06 2.05 0.40P 30.01R 6.28 Stevenage 7 5 -5 -3.19 19.21 -2.85 51.77 10.23 -15.91 0.00 0.03 1.90 0.37P 30.49R 6.20 Tranmere 7 5 -8 -4.10 13.46 -7.07 53.99 10.36 -15.91 0.01 0.06 3.10 0.63P 23.61R 4.25 Crewe 7 5 -10 -1.66 33.61 -4.67 46.47 10.27 -31.67 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.11P 51.93R 16.49 Carlisle 7 5 -12 -2.30 27.63 -8.03 43.71 10.06 -39.12 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.02P 62.58R 24.24 Sheff_Utd 7 4 -7 -6.76 3.11 -8.74 61.41 10.60 -1.32 0.16 0.69 12.09 3.63P 7.74R 0.94 Bristol_City 6 3 -5 -4.78 7.45 -3.97 64.09 12.22 4.26 0.58 2.26 21.31 7.05P 7.61R 1.23 Gillingham 6 3 -6 -2.88 18.07 -1.92 47.22 11.06 -23.79 0.00 0.04 1.23 0.21P 47.96R 15.99 Coventry 6 1 +6 0.80 58.78 2.85 65.15 11.26 20.52 0.51 2.23 22.98 7.96P 4.75R 0.51 Notts_County 6 1 -7 -6.59 1.49 -5.90 55.82 10.99 -7.92 0.03 0.21 5.40 1.34P 19.47R 3.59 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Burton_Albion 1 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 7 19 +10 7.00 98.17 6.39 86.77 10.14 31.18 42.60 73.90 93.25 79.66P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 7 15 +8 4.93 90.74 7.37 76.71 10.31 20.53 11.07 36.29 70.42 44.85P 0.06R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 7 15 +6 4.68 89.63 4.83 69.10 10.39 6.88 3.02 14.10 41.40 19.99P 0.71R 0.19 Exeter 7 14 +3 3.04 79.92 0.96 70.94 10.38 8.22 4.29 18.04 48.11 25.27P 0.36R 0.10 Wycombe 7 13 +4 3.10 80.15 3.47 69.47 10.36 8.53 3.13 14.45 43.04 21.13P 0.57R 0.16 Morecambe 7 13 +2 3.76 85.08 2.62 66.83 10.29 2.61 1.73 9.53 32.85 14.36P 0.98R 0.29 AFC_Wimbledon 7 13 +2 5.21 92.55 4.78 60.57 10.19 -7.54 0.43 2.94 14.87 5.02P 4.01R 1.47 Mansfield 7 12 +3 3.52 83.19 4.69 60.42 10.80 -4.81 0.62 3.69 16.00 5.95P 4.88R 1.81 Rochdale 7 11 +3 1.00 61.32 2.39 69.74 10.53 10.94 3.37 15.97 44.20 22.76P 0.61R 0.18 Burton_Albion 7 11 +0 1.84 69.78 0.79 63.98 10.48 -1.34 1.03 6.13 24.14 9.73P 2.24R 0.75 Scunthorpe 7 10 +2 -1.97 29.32 -1.67 72.95 10.99 16.14 7.42 25.63 56.60 35.23P 0.32R 0.10 Newport_County 7 9 +1 1.27 64.96 4.13 46.48 10.19 -25.74 0.02 0.18 1.32 0.33P 36.88R 20.26 Portsmouth 7 9 -1 -2.83 22.52 -4.39 77.53 11.06 22.65 13.97 41.02 71.91 51.41P 0.12R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 7 9 -1 -0.50 45.14 -0.85 56.44 10.04 -9.97 0.15 1.23 7.58 2.53P 8.34R 3.21 Southend 7 9 -1 -1.15 38.13 -1.87 67.92 10.42 7.21 2.27 11.64 37.65 18.39P 0.92R 0.25 Plymouth 7 9 -3 0.30 54.64 -1.89 56.85 9.75 -10.31 0.11 1.03 7.28 2.33P 7.54R 2.85 Bury 7 7 +1 -3.37 18.23 -0.15 69.15 11.14 14.27 3.77 16.31 43.40 24.12P 0.94R 0.34 Bristol_Rovers 7 7 -3 -2.10 28.87 -2.28 54.84 10.08 -11.72 0.10 0.82 5.87 1.85P 10.99R 4.30 Torquay 7 6 -5 -2.76 22.45 -3.81 57.16 10.19 -8.20 0.18 1.48 8.76 3.06P 7.71R 3.00 Cheltenham 7 6 -6 -3.04 20.24 -5.09 58.84 10.39 -6.95 0.28 2.12 11.97 4.48P 6.12R 2.38 Hartlepool 7 5 -5 -5.21 7.38 -5.99 58.91 10.62 -3.65 0.34 2.68 12.71 5.44P 6.07R 2.38 Northampton 7 4 -4 -5.73 5.07 -4.27 54.08 10.25 -9.25 0.11 0.77 5.47 1.79P 12.56R 5.23 York 7 4 -6 -4.33 10.58 -4.27 45.65 9.61 -23.02 0.00 0.04 0.69 0.18P 38.68R 21.16 Accrington_Stanley 7 1 -10 -6.01 2.36 -5.92 43.51 9.89 -26.66 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.12P 48.40R 29.56Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 September 2013, Barnet 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 8 20 +11 7.06 97.42 7.92 79.20 9.87 22.15 15.38 61.25 25.30P 0.02R 0.00 Nuneaton 8 20 +8 10.08 99.58 9.39 73.53 9.94 10.65 5.59 38.02 10.89P 0.20R 0.01 Forest_Green 8 15 +11 0.94 58.99 6.11 76.30 9.86 25.22 10.06 51.01 20.47P 0.09R 0.00 Barnet 8 15 +7 -0.65 42.02 -0.38 82.24 10.38 30.64 26.33 71.91 40.85P 0.01R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 8 15 +2 4.88 89.56 3.42 64.71 10.16 -2.39 1.10 12.50 2.79P 2.37R 0.28 Kidderminster 8 15 +2 0.51 54.41 -3.60 78.68 9.90 20.27 14.32 58.94 26.13P 0.05R 0.00 Grimsby 8 14 +3 0.61 56.01 -0.63 77.58 9.69 20.56 11.73 55.18 23.68P 0.05R 0.00 Lincoln_City 8 14 +3 3.48 82.09 3.63 66.66 9.92 4.47 1.43 16.45 4.09P 1.23R 0.12 Salisbury 8 13 +2 3.01 78.57 3.44 56.94 10.75 -10.29 0.33 4.35 1.01P 12.02R 2.15 Halifax 8 13 -2 4.55 87.85 2.22 55.82 10.94 -18.31 0.27 3.64 0.72P 15.51R 3.26 Southport 8 13 -2 2.85 76.73 -0.67 58.96 9.90 -12.84 0.24 4.25 0.85P 7.52R 1.09 Hereford 8 11 +0 -2.01 30.47 -3.08 67.35 9.92 7.00 1.83 18.62 5.63P 1.01R 0.08 Braintree_Town 8 11 +0 1.59 67.41 2.22 61.22 9.92 -2.85 0.41 6.63 1.50P 4.56R 0.63 Luton 8 10 +1 -1.77 32.41 -0.31 71.83 9.83 15.97 3.95 32.77 11.12P 0.31R 0.01 Welling 8 9 +0 0.17 53.38 3.51 54.43 10.95 -10.90 0.18 3.03 0.66P 17.89R 4.03 Tamworth 8 9 -2 -0.00 51.27 0.90 52.84 9.54 -14.21 0.03 1.06 0.20P 18.42R 3.51 Wrexham 8 8 -4 -6.05 5.48 -8.84 68.45 9.88 8.92 2.17 21.56 7.63P 0.82R 0.07 Gateshead 8 7 -4 -2.40 27.50 -1.57 57.25 9.90 -6.56 0.13 3.09 0.63P 9.65R 1.61 Dartford 8 7 -6 -3.40 19.00 -5.18 52.24 9.62 -16.04 0.02 0.83 0.15P 20.65R 4.02 Woking 8 5 -6 -4.90 9.75 -3.97 47.09 9.83 -23.25 0.01 0.27 0.07P 39.64R 11.74 Chester 8 4 -10 -2.89 21.28 -3.06 38.96 10.05 -37.38 0.00 0.05 0.01P 71.77R 40.18 Aldershot 8 3 +4 -1.44 34.62 -1.19 71.40 10.00 28.39 4.43 33.16 15.28P 0.40R 0.04 Macclesfield 8 3 -5 -7.54 1.53 -4.51 53.30 9.81 -7.28 0.05 1.33 0.34P 17.69R 3.65 Hyde_United 8 2 -13 -4.89 6.75 -5.79 42.84 9.74 -31.95 0.00 0.08 0.01P 58.12R 23.51 Adjustments: Aldershot -10