Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 10 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2013, Arsenal 1 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 3 9 +3 4.02 95.23 1.78 69.96 9.30 22.19 11.57 26.49 42.95 59.92 85.16 0.02R 0.00 Chelsea 3 7 +3 1.38 77.35 0.67 72.42 9.27 29.25 17.68 36.86 54.69 70.42 90.51 0.01R 0.00 Man_City 3 6 +5 -0.81 30.93 0.78 73.17 9.21 34.30 21.14 40.96 58.89 73.65 91.93 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 3 6 +1 0.40 53.30 -1.28 69.23 9.40 24.46 10.93 24.99 40.93 57.16 83.72 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 3 6 +1 2.26 83.84 1.38 47.43 8.68 -6.88 0.05 0.19 0.56 1.40 7.08 8.45R 1.33 Tottenham 3 6 +1 1.02 64.72 -0.27 63.70 9.43 15.47 3.90 10.54 20.15 32.80 64.72 0.14R 0.01 Man_Utd 3 4 +2 -1.11 33.36 0.51 76.43 8.96 41.33 33.92 56.72 73.05 84.47 96.11 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 3 4 +1 -0.45 44.15 0.48 46.02 8.98 -7.51 0.02 0.14 0.48 1.23 5.83 11.99R 2.42 Norwich 3 4 +0 -0.04 51.62 0.02 42.91 8.93 -14.28 0.01 0.06 0.20 0.57 2.95 20.97R 5.08 Southampton 3 4 +0 0.07 53.99 0.23 44.92 9.07 -10.98 0.02 0.13 0.37 1.00 4.99 15.15R 3.28 Cardiff 3 4 -1 1.23 73.86 0.89 41.45 9.32 -17.02 0.01 0.05 0.20 0.50 2.67 27.37R 8.04 Newcastle 3 4 -3 0.58 63.13 -1.77 44.89 9.14 -14.14 0.01 0.09 0.38 0.96 5.01 15.81R 3.57 Aston_Villa 3 3 +0 0.81 66.28 3.10 46.18 9.20 -7.48 0.03 0.15 0.50 1.24 6.47 12.43R 2.60 Crystal_Palace 3 3 +0 0.20 54.79 1.84 32.29 8.68 -30.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.18 66.38R 35.38 Everton 3 3 +0 -2.06 18.46 -1.36 56.06 9.16 7.64 0.61 2.11 5.01 10.35 31.48 1.30R 0.14 Swansea 3 3 -2 0.19 54.72 -0.12 47.27 9.11 -7.06 0.05 0.24 0.65 1.69 7.52 10.02R 2.02 Fulham 3 3 -2 -0.58 40.67 -1.26 47.22 9.13 -7.65 0.03 0.18 0.65 1.62 7.56 10.11R 2.00 Hull 3 3 -3 0.94 69.08 0.35 34.99 8.61 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.41 54.52R 22.52 Sunderland 3 1 -3 -3.11 9.82 -3.07 41.02 8.88 -14.34 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.35 2.05 26.81R 7.12 West_Brom 3 1 -3 -3.00 10.34 -2.90 43.67 9.05 -11.24 0.02 0.06 0.20 0.64 3.64 18.49R 4.47Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Blackpool 5 13 +5 5.02 95.34 3.30 75.93 10.93 15.22 10.07 20.40 55.68 28.53P 0.24R 0.02 QPR 5 13 +4 4.69 94.30 1.89 80.24 11.28 20.41 19.79 34.06 70.05 43.97P 0.13R 0.01 Burnley 5 10 +4 2.41 78.76 2.79 70.03 10.96 9.85 4.03 9.05 35.20 14.75P 1.08R 0.09 Nott'm_Forest 5 10 +4 3.36 86.77 4.34 71.15 10.84 11.76 4.49 10.48 38.74 16.90P 0.88R 0.09 Leicester 5 10 +2 2.05 74.41 0.37 76.98 10.79 18.32 11.67 23.30 60.10 33.40P 0.17R 0.02 Bournemouth 5 9 -6 4.33 92.06 -2.17 50.29 11.05 -31.09 0.06 0.21 2.08 0.46P 32.69R 9.27 Watford 5 8 +5 0.14 52.21 3.33 76.82 11.30 24.86 12.84 24.58 60.19 34.14P 0.29R 0.02 Wigan 5 8 +4 -1.58 30.07 -0.28 76.98 11.83 24.06 14.38 26.33 60.09 36.47P 0.35R 0.04 Reading 5 8 +1 -0.14 48.56 -0.97 75.47 11.68 18.43 11.10 21.27 54.51 30.83P 0.45R 0.04 Leeds_United 5 8 +1 1.62 71.33 1.66 63.37 10.94 -0.30 1.02 2.95 16.47 5.74P 4.44R 0.61 Blackburn 5 7 +3 -0.92 38.80 1.37 66.20 11.08 7.48 2.09 5.13 23.94 9.57P 2.61R 0.40 Huddersfield 5 7 +3 0.49 57.64 3.44 57.10 10.74 -6.55 0.23 0.80 6.46 1.85P 12.21R 2.28 Brighton 5 7 +1 -0.97 37.67 -0.61 70.55 10.68 12.19 4.12 9.64 37.07 16.94P 0.79R 0.09 Derby 5 7 +0 0.21 53.57 0.03 62.10 10.83 -1.54 0.78 2.19 13.56 4.42P 5.53R 0.78 Middlesbrough 5 6 +0 -0.28 47.19 0.91 61.29 10.81 -1.28 0.60 1.80 12.03 3.95P 6.39R 0.96 Ipswich 5 4 +0 -1.83 28.21 1.53 56.30 10.80 -5.68 0.20 0.67 5.72 1.69P 13.77R 2.68 Charlton 4 4 -1 -1.97 25.20 -1.71 61.17 11.04 -1.55 0.71 1.97 12.44 4.31P 6.65R 1.11 Doncaster 4 4 -1 -0.60 43.92 0.48 49.63 11.32 -19.10 0.06 0.21 2.16 0.55P 34.07R 10.29 Birmingham 5 4 -2 -3.18 15.20 -2.49 62.22 10.91 1.13 0.89 2.36 14.15 5.15P 5.48R 0.80 Barnsley 5 4 -7 -1.12 37.95 -4.09 47.77 10.46 -27.32 0.01 0.05 0.90 0.17P 39.82R 12.20 Sheff_Wed 5 3 -2 -2.85 16.58 -0.56 53.42 10.66 -10.62 0.09 0.29 3.12 0.85P 20.34R 4.66 Yeovil 5 3 -6 -1.39 33.14 -2.09 38.33 10.34 -40.49 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.03P 74.39R 44.94 Millwall 5 2 -5 -4.48 5.91 -4.58 49.85 10.35 -16.71 0.04 0.11 1.37 0.34P 31.02R 7.57 Bolton 5 2 -7 -4.11 8.57 -5.88 61.90 11.09 -1.46 0.75 2.15 13.85 4.97P 6.23R 1.04League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 September 2013, Preston 2 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 5 15 +11 6.38 98.38 8.31 76.71 11.09 19.10 5.83 16.42 61.46 26.25P 0.40R 0.02 Wolverhampton 5 13 +8 3.22 86.73 3.24 92.33 11.35 44.80 46.09 69.71 94.50 77.95P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 6 13 +7 1.46 65.50 1.45 88.58 11.55 42.12 31.34 56.99 89.92 67.35P 0.04R 0.00 Rotherham 6 12 +4 4.77 91.09 5.75 58.49 11.36 -11.36 0.22 0.91 9.88 2.31P 16.07R 2.44 Bradford 6 11 +9 3.40 84.18 10.03 58.40 11.26 -3.54 0.21 0.83 9.81 2.21P 15.27R 2.06 Preston 6 10 +4 1.73 69.91 4.00 69.98 10.84 11.52 1.42 5.60 37.20 12.62P 1.81R 0.13 Crawley_Town 6 10 +2 2.53 78.55 3.68 64.07 11.03 -0.08 0.45 2.02 19.68 5.09P 6.19R 0.67 MK_Dons 6 10 +2 0.43 54.96 -0.11 76.37 10.73 19.33 4.87 14.72 60.77 27.43P 0.36R 0.02 Brentford 6 9 -1 -0.72 41.45 -3.28 66.40 10.70 2.73 0.72 2.85 25.20 7.94P 3.57R 0.25 Swindon 6 8 +3 -2.25 24.75 -0.08 76.62 10.86 23.85 5.17 15.79 62.11 30.32P 0.38R 0.01 Colchester 6 8 -1 0.51 57.72 0.24 53.97 10.40 -15.16 0.03 0.16 3.61 0.69P 25.37R 4.00 Walsall 5 7 -1 0.01 50.74 -1.19 62.43 11.06 -2.94 0.41 1.58 15.74 4.16P 8.16R 0.95 Port_Vale 6 7 -3 -0.10 50.51 -1.11 51.30 11.26 -21.57 0.03 0.17 3.17 0.66P 35.94R 8.16 Oldham 6 6 -1 -1.10 37.70 1.00 53.44 10.55 -12.80 0.02 0.16 3.41 0.73P 26.92R 4.89 Shrewsbury 5 6 -1 0.37 55.96 0.83 57.23 10.84 -9.10 0.11 0.48 6.84 1.60P 17.40R 2.68 Stevenage 6 5 -2 -2.43 23.93 -0.88 54.65 10.50 -10.25 0.02 0.22 4.24 1.02P 22.97R 3.76 Crewe 6 5 -7 -0.76 43.17 -2.61 49.25 10.52 -25.83 0.00 0.05 1.43 0.26P 42.95R 10.79 Tranmere 6 5 -7 -2.89 20.44 -6.43 56.14 10.46 -12.92 0.06 0.28 5.32 1.25P 18.96R 2.75 Sheff_Utd 6 4 -6 -5.22 6.07 -7.50 64.33 10.76 2.05 0.44 1.84 19.78 6.38P 5.37R 0.53 Bristol_City 5 3 -2 -3.96 9.69 -2.02 67.75 12.42 11.23 1.75 5.86 33.07 12.84P 4.90R 0.61 Gillingham 6 3 -6 -2.86 18.12 -1.94 47.00 11.03 -23.75 0.00 0.04 1.22 0.25P 50.59R 16.05 Carlisle 6 2 -13 -4.12 9.82 -9.38 40.68 10.20 -42.41 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 74.48R 36.13 Coventry 6 1 +6 0.81 58.87 2.88 64.79 11.19 19.96 0.70 2.71 23.34 8.42P 5.32R 0.54 Notts_County 5 1 -5 -5.83 2.20 -4.87 57.53 11.08 -4.96 0.10 0.58 8.12 2.20P 16.57R 2.56 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2013, Burton_Albion 0 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 6 16 +8 6.33 97.90 5.85 84.92 10.26 28.97 38.62 70.06 91.20 76.36P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 6 14 +8 5.32 94.49 7.37 76.59 10.50 19.80 12.89 38.64 71.15 46.64P 0.09R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 6 13 +4 5.69 95.36 5.38 61.84 10.37 -5.78 0.84 4.87 19.22 7.37P 3.86R 1.37 Fleetwood_Town 6 12 +5 3.24 83.01 4.12 66.96 10.50 4.99 2.57 11.86 35.94 17.06P 1.17R 0.38 Exeter 6 11 +2 1.42 66.73 -0.02 68.62 10.47 6.23 3.55 14.55 41.38 21.07P 0.92R 0.31 Burton_Albion 6 11 +1 3.04 81.47 1.46 65.87 10.59 0.44 2.03 9.73 31.79 14.28P 1.79R 0.66 Morecambe 6 10 +1 2.33 76.61 1.91 64.64 10.44 0.90 1.55 7.85 27.67 12.04P 2.15R 0.72 Wycombe 6 10 +1 1.77 70.60 0.92 65.10 10.41 1.50 1.71 8.26 28.83 12.91P 1.95R 0.61 Newport_County 6 9 +2 2.36 76.76 4.66 48.49 10.56 -23.14 0.04 0.39 2.46 0.67P 33.00R 18.04 Mansfield 6 9 +2 1.82 71.08 3.61 57.46 11.01 -7.80 0.46 2.74 11.95 4.46P 9.98R 4.18 Southend 6 9 +0 0.15 51.84 -0.97 70.29 10.53 9.71 4.61 18.84 48.09 26.55P 0.57R 0.17 Plymouth 6 9 +0 1.42 67.33 0.76 60.45 10.02 -4.12 0.54 3.17 15.19 5.64P 4.59R 1.65 Rochdale 6 8 +2 -0.21 48.89 2.06 68.48 10.73 10.45 3.52 15.02 41.99 21.68P 1.12R 0.40 Bury 6 7 +2 -2.21 26.29 0.50 71.43 11.48 16.77 7.12 24.43 52.97 32.72P 0.80R 0.29 Scunthorpe 6 7 +1 -3.54 14.56 -2.58 70.45 11.21 13.92 5.90 21.47 49.93 30.27P 0.86R 0.28 Bristol_Rovers 6 7 -1 -1.07 38.23 -0.81 57.49 10.42 -7.89 0.30 2.17 10.80 3.94P 8.52R 3.50 Portsmouth 6 6 -2 -4.24 11.23 -5.04 75.16 11.47 20.69 12.31 35.52 65.63 45.82P 0.38R 0.13 Dag_&_Red 6 6 -3 -1.76 29.84 -2.27 54.04 10.27 -13.22 0.13 0.92 5.83 1.89P 14.95R 6.54 Torquay 6 6 -4 -1.84 29.61 -3.47 58.36 10.42 -7.74 0.35 2.38 12.05 4.57P 7.66R 3.20 Cheltenham 6 5 -6 -2.62 22.21 -5.05 59.48 10.43 -6.42 0.39 3.00 14.17 5.57P 6.39R 2.51 Northampton 6 4 -3 -4.29 9.44 -3.16 56.06 10.41 -7.27 0.21 1.60 8.67 3.24P 10.61R 4.53 York 6 4 -5 -3.01 17.71 -3.37 48.01 9.85 -20.49 0.01 0.17 1.44 0.40P 32.74R 17.75 Hartlepool 6 2 -6 -6.26 2.32 -6.18 57.23 10.73 -4.66 0.35 2.30 11.00 4.69P 9.54R 4.15 Accrington_Stanley 6 1 -9 -5.17 3.75 -5.68 44.71 9.89 -25.87 0.00 0.05 0.65 0.17P 46.33R 28.59Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2013, Aldershot 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 7 17 +10 5.94 95.97 7.64 77.96 10.18 21.71 12.91 57.87 22.55P 0.08R 0.00 Nuneaton 7 17 +7 8.43 99.21 8.45 71.25 10.11 8.65 3.68 31.09 8.00P 0.53R 0.04 Barnet 7 14 +7 0.26 51.92 0.36 84.36 10.57 33.60 33.92 78.52 48.38P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 7 13 +3 3.31 81.98 2.81 65.70 10.07 2.24 1.26 15.35 3.71P 1.91R 0.21 Halifax 7 13 -1 5.15 91.88 1.98 56.40 11.20 -19.00 0.32 4.60 0.93P 15.97R 3.75 Forest_Green 7 12 +10 0.16 51.53 6.42 75.50 10.09 25.60 8.96 49.18 19.37P 0.17R 0.01 Alfreton_Town 7 12 +1 3.13 81.14 2.32 61.70 10.35 -6.02 0.54 8.75 1.87P 5.37R 0.83 Kidderminster 7 12 +1 -0.17 47.69 -3.02 78.37 10.14 21.60 13.96 59.55 26.36P 0.06R 0.00 Southport 7 12 -2 3.59 83.57 -0.11 60.01 10.14 -11.95 0.33 6.08 1.09P 7.05R 1.13 Hereford 7 11 +2 -0.96 39.84 -1.58 70.06 10.13 11.03 3.30 28.45 9.05P 0.72R 0.07 Grimsby 7 11 +2 -0.39 45.57 -0.77 76.26 9.94 20.08 9.43 51.33 21.17P 0.12R 0.02 Braintree_Town 7 11 +1 2.36 75.01 2.41 62.52 10.12 -2.23 0.57 9.62 2.11P 4.09R 0.60 Luton 7 10 +3 -0.89 39.95 1.06 74.08 9.98 19.36 6.40 42.74 15.98P 0.26R 0.01 Salisbury 7 10 +0 2.12 73.00 2.51 54.42 10.85 -13.62 0.17 2.95 0.64P 19.05R 4.70 Welling 7 8 +0 0.31 55.53 3.09 53.59 11.10 -12.98 0.17 2.84 0.62P 21.75R 5.68 Tamworth 7 8 -2 0.06 52.31 0.43 53.07 9.73 -14.51 0.03 1.20 0.21P 20.12R 4.39 Gateshead 7 7 -3 -1.51 34.80 -1.26 58.47 10.09 -6.02 0.16 4.70 0.95P 8.87R 1.61 Dartford 7 7 -5 -2.12 28.42 -4.34 54.47 9.89 -13.85 0.07 1.80 0.37P 16.45R 3.42 Wrexham 7 5 -6 -7.21 1.90 -10.11 65.80 10.03 5.45 1.22 15.62 5.17P 1.89R 0.22 Woking 7 4 -6 -4.29 10.84 -3.63 47.98 10.07 -22.53 0.01 0.51 0.10P 38.31R 11.63 Chester 7 4 -8 -2.28 25.58 -2.36 41.31 10.41 -33.36 0.00 0.15 0.02P 65.04R 33.90 Macclesfield 7 3 -4 -6.02 3.25 -3.28 56.02 10.08 -4.41 0.10 2.86 0.62P 13.18R 2.69 Hyde_United 7 2 -12 -4.41 8.37 -6.30 43.37 9.82 -32.97 0.00 0.09 0.02P 57.65R 24.92 Aldershot 7 0 +2 -2.76 21.46 -2.71 68.13 10.45 24.13 2.48 24.13 10.72P 1.34R 0.18 Adjustments: Aldershot -10