Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 September 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2013, Arsenal 1 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +3       4.02    95.23     1.78    69.96     9.30    22.19    11.57    26.49    42.95    59.92    85.16     0.02R    0.00  
Chelsea           3    7   +3       1.38    77.35     0.67    72.42     9.27    29.25    17.68    36.86    54.69    70.42    90.51     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City          3    6   +5      -0.81    30.93     0.78    73.17     9.21    34.30    21.14    40.96    58.89    73.65    91.93     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal           3    6   +1       0.40    53.30    -1.28    69.23     9.40    24.46    10.93    24.99    40.93    57.16    83.72     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke             3    6   +1       2.26    83.84     1.38    47.43     8.68    -6.88     0.05     0.19     0.56     1.40     7.08     8.45R    1.33  
Tottenham         3    6   +1       1.02    64.72    -0.27    63.70     9.43    15.47     3.90    10.54    20.15    32.80    64.72     0.14R    0.01  
Man_Utd           3    4   +2      -1.11    33.36     0.51    76.43     8.96    41.33    33.92    56.72    73.05    84.47    96.11     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham          3    4   +1      -0.45    44.15     0.48    46.02     8.98    -7.51     0.02     0.14     0.48     1.23     5.83    11.99R    2.42  
Norwich           3    4   +0      -0.04    51.62     0.02    42.91     8.93   -14.28     0.01     0.06     0.20     0.57     2.95    20.97R    5.08  
Southampton       3    4   +0       0.07    53.99     0.23    44.92     9.07   -10.98     0.02     0.13     0.37     1.00     4.99    15.15R    3.28  
Cardiff           3    4   -1       1.23    73.86     0.89    41.45     9.32   -17.02     0.01     0.05     0.20     0.50     2.67    27.37R    8.04  
Newcastle         3    4   -3       0.58    63.13    -1.77    44.89     9.14   -14.14     0.01     0.09     0.38     0.96     5.01    15.81R    3.57  
Aston_Villa       3    3   +0       0.81    66.28     3.10    46.18     9.20    -7.48     0.03     0.15     0.50     1.24     6.47    12.43R    2.60  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   +0       0.20    54.79     1.84    32.29     8.68   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    66.38R   35.38  
Everton           3    3   +0      -2.06    18.46    -1.36    56.06     9.16     7.64     0.61     2.11     5.01    10.35    31.48     1.30R    0.14  
Swansea           3    3   -2       0.19    54.72    -0.12    47.27     9.11    -7.06     0.05     0.24     0.65     1.69     7.52    10.02R    2.02  
Fulham            3    3   -2      -0.58    40.67    -1.26    47.22     9.13    -7.65     0.03     0.18     0.65     1.62     7.56    10.11R    2.00  
Hull              3    3   -3       0.94    69.08     0.35    34.99     8.61   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.41    54.52R   22.52  
Sunderland        3    1   -3      -3.11     9.82    -3.07    41.02     8.88   -14.34     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.35     2.05    26.81R    7.12  
West_Brom         3    1   -3      -3.00    10.34    -2.90    43.67     9.05   -11.24     0.02     0.06     0.20     0.64     3.64    18.49R    4.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Blackpool        5   13   +5       5.02    95.34     3.30    75.93    10.93    15.22    10.07    20.40    55.68    28.53P    0.24R    0.02  
QPR              5   13   +4       4.69    94.30     1.89    80.24    11.28    20.41    19.79    34.06    70.05    43.97P    0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          5   10   +4       2.41    78.76     2.79    70.03    10.96     9.85     4.03     9.05    35.20    14.75P    1.08R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    5   10   +4       3.36    86.77     4.34    71.15    10.84    11.76     4.49    10.48    38.74    16.90P    0.88R    0.09  
Leicester        5   10   +2       2.05    74.41     0.37    76.98    10.79    18.32    11.67    23.30    60.10    33.40P    0.17R    0.02  
Bournemouth      5    9   -6       4.33    92.06    -2.17    50.29    11.05   -31.09     0.06     0.21     2.08     0.46P   32.69R    9.27  
Watford          5    8   +5       0.14    52.21     3.33    76.82    11.30    24.86    12.84    24.58    60.19    34.14P    0.29R    0.02  
Wigan            5    8   +4      -1.58    30.07    -0.28    76.98    11.83    24.06    14.38    26.33    60.09    36.47P    0.35R    0.04  
Reading          5    8   +1      -0.14    48.56    -0.97    75.47    11.68    18.43    11.10    21.27    54.51    30.83P    0.45R    0.04  
Leeds_United     5    8   +1       1.62    71.33     1.66    63.37    10.94    -0.30     1.02     2.95    16.47     5.74P    4.44R    0.61  
Blackburn        5    7   +3      -0.92    38.80     1.37    66.20    11.08     7.48     2.09     5.13    23.94     9.57P    2.61R    0.40  
Huddersfield     5    7   +3       0.49    57.64     3.44    57.10    10.74    -6.55     0.23     0.80     6.46     1.85P   12.21R    2.28  
Brighton         5    7   +1      -0.97    37.67    -0.61    70.55    10.68    12.19     4.12     9.64    37.07    16.94P    0.79R    0.09  
Derby            5    7   +0       0.21    53.57     0.03    62.10    10.83    -1.54     0.78     2.19    13.56     4.42P    5.53R    0.78  
Middlesbrough    5    6   +0      -0.28    47.19     0.91    61.29    10.81    -1.28     0.60     1.80    12.03     3.95P    6.39R    0.96  
Ipswich          5    4   +0      -1.83    28.21     1.53    56.30    10.80    -5.68     0.20     0.67     5.72     1.69P   13.77R    2.68  
Charlton         4    4   -1      -1.97    25.20    -1.71    61.17    11.04    -1.55     0.71     1.97    12.44     4.31P    6.65R    1.11  
Doncaster        4    4   -1      -0.60    43.92     0.48    49.63    11.32   -19.10     0.06     0.21     2.16     0.55P   34.07R   10.29  
Birmingham       5    4   -2      -3.18    15.20    -2.49    62.22    10.91     1.13     0.89     2.36    14.15     5.15P    5.48R    0.80  
Barnsley         5    4   -7      -1.12    37.95    -4.09    47.77    10.46   -27.32     0.01     0.05     0.90     0.17P   39.82R   12.20  
Sheff_Wed        5    3   -2      -2.85    16.58    -0.56    53.42    10.66   -10.62     0.09     0.29     3.12     0.85P   20.34R    4.66  
Yeovil           5    3   -6      -1.39    33.14    -2.09    38.33    10.34   -40.49     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   74.39R   44.94  
Millwall         5    2   -5      -4.48     5.91    -4.58    49.85    10.35   -16.71     0.04     0.11     1.37     0.34P   31.02R    7.57  
Bolton           5    2   -7      -4.11     8.57    -5.88    61.90    11.09    -1.46     0.75     2.15    13.85     4.97P    6.23R    1.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 September 2013, Preston 2 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    5   15  +11       6.38    98.38     8.31    76.71    11.09    19.10     5.83    16.42    61.46    26.25P    0.40R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    5   13   +8       3.22    86.73     3.24    92.33    11.35    44.80    46.09    69.71    94.50    77.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     6   13   +7       1.46    65.50     1.45    88.58    11.55    42.12    31.34    56.99    89.92    67.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham        6   12   +4       4.77    91.09     5.75    58.49    11.36   -11.36     0.22     0.91     9.88     2.31P   16.07R    2.44  
Bradford         6   11   +9       3.40    84.18    10.03    58.40    11.26    -3.54     0.21     0.83     9.81     2.21P   15.27R    2.06  
Preston          6   10   +4       1.73    69.91     4.00    69.98    10.84    11.52     1.42     5.60    37.20    12.62P    1.81R    0.13  
Crawley_Town     6   10   +2       2.53    78.55     3.68    64.07    11.03    -0.08     0.45     2.02    19.68     5.09P    6.19R    0.67  
MK_Dons          6   10   +2       0.43    54.96    -0.11    76.37    10.73    19.33     4.87    14.72    60.77    27.43P    0.36R    0.02  
Brentford        6    9   -1      -0.72    41.45    -3.28    66.40    10.70     2.73     0.72     2.85    25.20     7.94P    3.57R    0.25  
Swindon          6    8   +3      -2.25    24.75    -0.08    76.62    10.86    23.85     5.17    15.79    62.11    30.32P    0.38R    0.01  
Colchester       6    8   -1       0.51    57.72     0.24    53.97    10.40   -15.16     0.03     0.16     3.61     0.69P   25.37R    4.00  
Walsall          5    7   -1       0.01    50.74    -1.19    62.43    11.06    -2.94     0.41     1.58    15.74     4.16P    8.16R    0.95  
Port_Vale        6    7   -3      -0.10    50.51    -1.11    51.30    11.26   -21.57     0.03     0.17     3.17     0.66P   35.94R    8.16  
Oldham           6    6   -1      -1.10    37.70     1.00    53.44    10.55   -12.80     0.02     0.16     3.41     0.73P   26.92R    4.89  
Shrewsbury       5    6   -1       0.37    55.96     0.83    57.23    10.84    -9.10     0.11     0.48     6.84     1.60P   17.40R    2.68  
Stevenage        6    5   -2      -2.43    23.93    -0.88    54.65    10.50   -10.25     0.02     0.22     4.24     1.02P   22.97R    3.76  
Crewe            6    5   -7      -0.76    43.17    -2.61    49.25    10.52   -25.83     0.00     0.05     1.43     0.26P   42.95R   10.79  
Tranmere         6    5   -7      -2.89    20.44    -6.43    56.14    10.46   -12.92     0.06     0.28     5.32     1.25P   18.96R    2.75  
Sheff_Utd        6    4   -6      -5.22     6.07    -7.50    64.33    10.76     2.05     0.44     1.84    19.78     6.38P    5.37R    0.53  
Bristol_City     5    3   -2      -3.96     9.69    -2.02    67.75    12.42    11.23     1.75     5.86    33.07    12.84P    4.90R    0.61  
Gillingham       6    3   -6      -2.86    18.12    -1.94    47.00    11.03   -23.75     0.00     0.04     1.22     0.25P   50.59R   16.05  
Carlisle         6    2  -13      -4.12     9.82    -9.38    40.68    10.20   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   74.48R   36.13  
Coventry         6    1   +6       0.81    58.87     2.88    64.79    11.19    19.96     0.70     2.71    23.34     8.42P    5.32R    0.54  
Notts_County     5    1   -5      -5.83     2.20    -4.87    57.53    11.08    -4.96     0.10     0.58     8.12     2.20P   16.57R    2.56  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2013, Burton_Albion 0 2 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield          6   16   +8       6.33    97.90     5.85    84.92    10.26    28.97    38.62    70.06    91.20    76.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd            6   14   +8       5.32    94.49     7.37    76.59    10.50    19.80    12.89    38.64    71.15    46.64P    0.09R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon         6   13   +4       5.69    95.36     5.38    61.84    10.37    -5.78     0.84     4.87    19.22     7.37P    3.86R    1.37  
Fleetwood_Town        6   12   +5       3.24    83.01     4.12    66.96    10.50     4.99     2.57    11.86    35.94    17.06P    1.17R    0.38  
Exeter                6   11   +2       1.42    66.73    -0.02    68.62    10.47     6.23     3.55    14.55    41.38    21.07P    0.92R    0.31  
Burton_Albion         6   11   +1       3.04    81.47     1.46    65.87    10.59     0.44     2.03     9.73    31.79    14.28P    1.79R    0.66  
Morecambe             6   10   +1       2.33    76.61     1.91    64.64    10.44     0.90     1.55     7.85    27.67    12.04P    2.15R    0.72  
Wycombe               6   10   +1       1.77    70.60     0.92    65.10    10.41     1.50     1.71     8.26    28.83    12.91P    1.95R    0.61  
Newport_County        6    9   +2       2.36    76.76     4.66    48.49    10.56   -23.14     0.04     0.39     2.46     0.67P   33.00R   18.04  
Mansfield             6    9   +2       1.82    71.08     3.61    57.46    11.01    -7.80     0.46     2.74    11.95     4.46P    9.98R    4.18  
Southend              6    9   +0       0.15    51.84    -0.97    70.29    10.53     9.71     4.61    18.84    48.09    26.55P    0.57R    0.17  
Plymouth              6    9   +0       1.42    67.33     0.76    60.45    10.02    -4.12     0.54     3.17    15.19     5.64P    4.59R    1.65  
Rochdale              6    8   +2      -0.21    48.89     2.06    68.48    10.73    10.45     3.52    15.02    41.99    21.68P    1.12R    0.40  
Bury                  6    7   +2      -2.21    26.29     0.50    71.43    11.48    16.77     7.12    24.43    52.97    32.72P    0.80R    0.29  
Scunthorpe            6    7   +1      -3.54    14.56    -2.58    70.45    11.21    13.92     5.90    21.47    49.93    30.27P    0.86R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers        6    7   -1      -1.07    38.23    -0.81    57.49    10.42    -7.89     0.30     2.17    10.80     3.94P    8.52R    3.50  
Portsmouth            6    6   -2      -4.24    11.23    -5.04    75.16    11.47    20.69    12.31    35.52    65.63    45.82P    0.38R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red             6    6   -3      -1.76    29.84    -2.27    54.04    10.27   -13.22     0.13     0.92     5.83     1.89P   14.95R    6.54  
Torquay               6    6   -4      -1.84    29.61    -3.47    58.36    10.42    -7.74     0.35     2.38    12.05     4.57P    7.66R    3.20  
Cheltenham            6    5   -6      -2.62    22.21    -5.05    59.48    10.43    -6.42     0.39     3.00    14.17     5.57P    6.39R    2.51  
Northampton           6    4   -3      -4.29     9.44    -3.16    56.06    10.41    -7.27     0.21     1.60     8.67     3.24P   10.61R    4.53  
York                  6    4   -5      -3.01    17.71    -3.37    48.01     9.85   -20.49     0.01     0.17     1.44     0.40P   32.74R   17.75  
Hartlepool            6    2   -6      -6.26     2.32    -6.18    57.23    10.73    -4.66     0.35     2.30    11.00     4.69P    9.54R    4.15  
Accrington_Stanley    6    1   -9      -5.17     3.75    -5.68    44.71     9.89   -25.87     0.00     0.05     0.65     0.17P   46.33R   28.59  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2013, Aldershot 1 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd     7   17  +10       5.94    95.97     7.64    77.96    10.18    21.71    12.91    57.87    22.55P    0.08R    0.00  
Nuneaton          7   17   +7       8.43    99.21     8.45    71.25    10.11     8.65     3.68    31.09     8.00P    0.53R    0.04  
Barnet            7   14   +7       0.26    51.92     0.36    84.36    10.57    33.60    33.92    78.52    48.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      7   13   +3       3.31    81.98     2.81    65.70    10.07     2.24     1.26    15.35     3.71P    1.91R    0.21  
Halifax           7   13   -1       5.15    91.88     1.98    56.40    11.20   -19.00     0.32     4.60     0.93P   15.97R    3.75  
Forest_Green      7   12  +10       0.16    51.53     6.42    75.50    10.09    25.60     8.96    49.18    19.37P    0.17R    0.01  
Alfreton_Town     7   12   +1       3.13    81.14     2.32    61.70    10.35    -6.02     0.54     8.75     1.87P    5.37R    0.83  
Kidderminster     7   12   +1      -0.17    47.69    -3.02    78.37    10.14    21.60    13.96    59.55    26.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Southport         7   12   -2       3.59    83.57    -0.11    60.01    10.14   -11.95     0.33     6.08     1.09P    7.05R    1.13  
Hereford          7   11   +2      -0.96    39.84    -1.58    70.06    10.13    11.03     3.30    28.45     9.05P    0.72R    0.07  
Grimsby           7   11   +2      -0.39    45.57    -0.77    76.26     9.94    20.08     9.43    51.33    21.17P    0.12R    0.02  
Braintree_Town    7   11   +1       2.36    75.01     2.41    62.52    10.12    -2.23     0.57     9.62     2.11P    4.09R    0.60  
Luton             7   10   +3      -0.89    39.95     1.06    74.08     9.98    19.36     6.40    42.74    15.98P    0.26R    0.01  
Salisbury         7   10   +0       2.12    73.00     2.51    54.42    10.85   -13.62     0.17     2.95     0.64P   19.05R    4.70  
Welling           7    8   +0       0.31    55.53     3.09    53.59    11.10   -12.98     0.17     2.84     0.62P   21.75R    5.68  
Tamworth          7    8   -2       0.06    52.31     0.43    53.07     9.73   -14.51     0.03     1.20     0.21P   20.12R    4.39  
Gateshead         7    7   -3      -1.51    34.80    -1.26    58.47    10.09    -6.02     0.16     4.70     0.95P    8.87R    1.61  
Dartford          7    7   -5      -2.12    28.42    -4.34    54.47     9.89   -13.85     0.07     1.80     0.37P   16.45R    3.42  
Wrexham           7    5   -6      -7.21     1.90   -10.11    65.80    10.03     5.45     1.22    15.62     5.17P    1.89R    0.22  
Woking            7    4   -6      -4.29    10.84    -3.63    47.98    10.07   -22.53     0.01     0.51     0.10P   38.31R   11.63  
Chester           7    4   -8      -2.28    25.58    -2.36    41.31    10.41   -33.36     0.00     0.15     0.02P   65.04R   33.90  
Macclesfield      7    3   -4      -6.02     3.25    -3.28    56.02    10.08    -4.41     0.10     2.86     0.62P   13.18R    2.69  
Hyde_United       7    2  -12      -4.41     8.37    -6.30    43.37     9.82   -32.97     0.00     0.09     0.02P   57.65R   24.92  
Aldershot         7    0   +2      -2.76    21.46    -2.71    68.13    10.45    24.13     2.48    24.13    10.72P    1.34R    0.18  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10