Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 September 2013 at 22:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2013, Arsenal 1 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 3 9 +3 4.01 95.27 1.76 70.12 9.22 22.40 11.77 26.79 43.62 60.01 85.71 0.02R 0.00 Chelsea 3 7 +3 1.37 77.21 0.63 72.44 9.20 29.28 17.89 36.69 54.92 70.53 90.49 0.01R 0.00 Man_City 3 6 +5 -0.82 30.71 0.77 73.28 9.10 34.45 21.27 41.74 59.40 74.36 92.17 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 3 6 +1 0.40 53.38 -1.28 69.03 9.39 24.16 10.74 24.22 39.79 56.31 83.05 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 3 6 +1 2.27 83.97 1.39 47.33 8.60 -7.06 0.01 0.13 0.45 1.28 6.72 8.37R 1.30 Tottenham 3 6 +1 1.00 64.56 -0.27 63.78 9.44 15.58 3.88 10.64 20.25 33.22 65.13 0.21R 0.02 Man_Utd 3 4 +2 -1.11 33.38 0.52 76.39 8.85 41.29 33.61 56.60 72.81 84.30 96.22 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 3 4 +1 -0.43 44.44 0.51 45.84 8.92 -7.76 0.01 0.10 0.39 1.10 5.69 12.36R 2.37 Norwich 3 4 +0 -0.05 51.51 0.01 42.92 8.98 -14.24 0.01 0.07 0.23 0.58 3.24 20.89R 5.16 Southampton 3 4 +0 0.06 53.85 0.20 45.22 9.03 -10.47 0.03 0.13 0.39 1.02 5.18 14.20R 2.90 Cardiff 3 4 -1 1.22 73.72 0.86 41.47 9.34 -16.93 0.03 0.07 0.19 0.47 2.58 27.21R 7.79 Newcastle 3 4 -3 0.55 62.54 -1.81 44.97 9.08 -13.95 0.01 0.08 0.30 0.89 4.71 15.58R 3.50 Aston_Villa 3 3 +0 0.80 66.10 3.10 46.00 9.18 -7.69 0.02 0.17 0.46 1.20 6.16 12.93R 2.65 Crystal_Palace 3 3 +0 0.20 54.89 1.83 32.04 8.70 -31.43 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.24 67.36R 36.50 Everton 3 3 +0 -2.05 18.65 -1.33 56.12 9.15 7.72 0.61 2.07 5.23 10.50 31.50 1.32R 0.17 Swansea 3 3 -2 0.20 54.83 -0.12 47.33 9.02 -6.99 0.04 0.19 0.57 1.50 7.44 9.58R 1.77 Fulham 3 3 -2 -0.55 40.92 -1.24 47.27 9.14 -7.58 0.03 0.21 0.62 1.61 7.60 9.92R 1.87 Hull 3 3 -3 0.96 69.44 0.41 34.79 8.62 -25.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.38 55.38R 23.08 Sunderland 3 1 -3 -3.09 9.62 -3.04 40.87 8.77 -14.53 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.27 1.83 26.85R 6.82 West_Brom 3 1 -3 -3.02 10.15 -2.92 44.00 9.12 -10.74 0.02 0.08 0.28 0.77 3.96 17.79R 4.10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Blackpool 5 13 +5 5.06 95.39 3.37 75.54 10.93 14.65 9.53 19.42 54.37 27.45P 0.25R 0.02 QPR 5 13 +4 4.70 94.19 1.91 80.09 11.32 20.21 19.37 33.48 69.45 43.31P 0.10R 0.01 Burnley 5 10 +4 2.36 78.19 2.72 70.35 10.92 10.31 4.15 9.52 36.12 15.53P 1.03R 0.12 Nott'm_Forest 5 10 +4 3.33 86.44 4.33 71.35 10.73 12.03 4.54 10.54 39.52 17.15P 0.70R 0.07 Leicester 5 10 +2 2.03 74.19 0.34 76.97 10.99 18.32 11.82 23.52 59.96 33.35P 0.20R 0.02 Bournemouth 5 9 -6 4.34 92.11 -2.15 50.13 11.06 -31.25 0.05 0.22 2.01 0.46P 33.25R 9.50 Watford 5 8 +5 0.11 52.24 3.28 76.92 11.39 25.00 13.23 24.91 60.66 34.77P 0.28R 0.03 Wigan 5 8 +4 -1.59 29.95 -0.32 77.41 11.81 24.73 15.11 27.17 61.64 37.53P 0.32R 0.03 Reading 5 8 +1 -0.15 48.50 -0.97 75.43 11.78 18.27 11.05 21.29 54.42 30.93P 0.58R 0.05 Leeds_United 5 8 +1 1.67 71.92 1.72 63.03 10.98 -0.82 0.93 2.72 15.65 5.19P 4.83R 0.67 Blackburn 5 7 +3 -0.90 39.13 1.39 66.32 11.09 7.65 1.95 5.16 24.39 9.58P 2.58R 0.35 Huddersfield 5 7 +3 0.50 57.92 3.44 57.07 10.65 -6.56 0.25 0.78 6.07 1.74P 11.86R 2.11 Brighton 5 7 +1 -0.95 37.88 -0.60 70.60 10.71 12.25 4.01 9.65 37.07 17.00P 0.86R 0.08 Derby 5 7 +0 0.22 53.70 0.03 61.95 10.82 -1.80 0.69 1.96 13.08 4.21P 5.61R 0.86 Middlesbrough 5 6 +0 -0.27 47.22 0.92 61.20 10.77 -1.34 0.63 1.74 11.88 3.78P 6.27R 0.92 Ipswich 5 4 +0 -1.84 27.96 1.49 56.36 10.71 -5.62 0.18 0.62 5.44 1.51P 13.47R 2.57 Charlton 4 4 -1 -1.96 25.31 -1.71 61.14 11.15 -1.54 0.68 2.03 12.64 4.45P 7.12R 1.16 Doncaster 4 4 -1 -0.61 43.71 0.48 49.92 11.25 -18.76 0.10 0.23 2.08 0.57P 32.77R 9.73 Birmingham 5 4 -2 -3.18 15.12 -2.47 61.88 10.96 0.63 0.69 2.14 13.58 4.77P 5.92R 0.85 Barnsley 5 4 -7 -1.11 37.91 -4.10 47.74 10.46 -27.25 0.02 0.06 0.92 0.20P 40.29R 12.35 Sheff_Wed 5 3 -2 -2.86 16.66 -0.58 53.24 10.64 -10.91 0.09 0.30 3.02 0.82P 20.82R 4.69 Yeovil 5 3 -6 -1.35 33.38 -2.04 38.27 10.34 -40.66 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.02P 74.55R 45.25 Millwall 5 2 -5 -4.47 5.86 -4.57 49.83 10.34 -16.79 0.03 0.09 1.34 0.30P 30.58R 7.67 Bolton 5 2 -7 -4.12 8.55 -5.91 62.35 11.10 -0.74 0.91 2.44 14.59 5.40P 5.76R 0.90League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, Brentford 0 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 5 15 +11 6.35 98.33 8.27 76.62 11.13 18.95 4.84 14.44 59.44 23.95P 0.33R 0.01 Wolverhampton 5 13 +8 3.17 85.97 3.23 91.83 11.45 44.00 40.58 65.35 93.17 74.56P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 5 12 +7 2.43 76.33 2.52 90.93 11.87 45.85 37.31 62.17 91.67 71.28P 0.03R 0.00 Brentford 5 9 +3 0.49 55.16 0.50 71.34 11.02 12.09 1.96 6.78 40.40 14.78P 1.26R 0.08 Rotherham 5 9 +2 3.17 83.80 3.74 53.95 11.60 -17.98 0.08 0.38 5.05 1.03P 26.56R 5.80 MK_Dons 5 9 +2 0.82 59.16 -0.03 77.24 11.04 20.17 5.26 15.67 61.91 28.34P 0.31R 0.02 Bradford 5 8 +5 2.14 76.87 6.67 52.34 11.29 -14.36 0.05 0.20 3.59 0.74P 30.48R 6.19 Colchester 5 8 +1 1.30 67.24 1.21 56.14 10.81 -12.08 0.07 0.30 5.57 1.14P 18.59R 2.67 Preston 5 7 +3 0.40 56.34 3.43 68.46 11.15 10.75 1.11 4.09 31.19 10.01P 2.44R 0.20 Swindon 5 7 +3 -1.92 26.19 -0.07 77.09 10.98 24.06 4.84 15.41 62.15 29.64P 0.35R 0.02 Crawley_Town 5 7 +1 1.27 68.08 3.18 62.37 11.25 -1.01 0.26 1.30 15.36 3.78P 7.82R 0.83 Walsall 5 7 -1 0.15 52.84 -0.99 62.70 11.15 -2.47 0.33 1.40 15.60 4.20P 7.23R 0.89 Oldham 5 6 +0 -0.13 48.78 1.33 54.80 10.72 -11.73 0.04 0.21 4.34 0.80P 21.78R 3.69 Shrewsbury 5 6 -1 0.31 55.01 0.75 57.58 10.76 -8.55 0.06 0.35 6.65 1.41P 15.14R 2.18 Stevenage 5 4 -2 -2.26 23.72 -1.11 54.52 10.94 -11.15 0.04 0.20 4.40 0.93P 22.89R 4.18 Port_Vale 5 4 -4 -1.54 32.81 -1.77 48.48 11.67 -25.03 0.02 0.08 1.99 0.36P 44.32R 13.36 Sheff_Utd 5 4 -4 -3.83 10.80 -5.47 68.03 11.05 7.71 0.99 3.63 29.43 10.37P 2.65R 0.20 Tranmere 5 4 -7 -2.42 22.47 -6.20 56.75 10.91 -12.73 0.06 0.34 6.20 1.49P 17.25R 2.65 Crewe 5 4 -7 -0.95 40.07 -3.77 47.90 10.85 -28.88 0.01 0.05 1.17 0.21P 46.26R 13.14 Bristol_City 5 3 -2 -4.19 8.67 -2.38 67.85 12.48 11.43 1.57 5.29 32.41 12.23P 4.48R 0.60 Gillingham 5 3 -5 -1.78 27.69 -1.63 49.01 11.36 -21.33 0.02 0.08 1.84 0.34P 41.80R 11.72 Carlisle 5 2 -12 -2.85 17.05 -8.53 42.47 10.63 -40.95 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.05P 66.14R 28.30 Notts_County 5 1 -5 -5.77 2.30 -4.79 58.03 11.08 -4.19 0.10 0.47 7.96 2.17P 14.45R 2.28 Coventry 5 -2 +4 -10.17 0.00 1.91 62.90 11.50 17.44 0.39 1.79 18.18 6.18P 7.45R 1.00 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 5 13 +7 5.56 97.02 6.15 84.83 10.58 30.66 38.46 69.54 90.75 75.64P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 5 11 +6 3.75 89.51 5.48 73.03 10.74 14.84 7.58 26.63 58.82 34.45P 0.37R 0.10 Burton_Albion 5 11 +3 4.26 91.59 3.21 68.92 10.90 5.01 4.01 16.13 42.80 21.75P 1.19R 0.40 AFC_Wimbledon 5 10 +2 3.99 90.77 3.35 58.45 10.43 -10.99 0.39 2.60 12.19 4.11P 8.65R 3.60 Exeter 5 10 +2 1.72 71.48 -0.13 68.55 10.62 5.49 3.44 14.73 41.74 21.26P 1.01R 0.36 Fleetwood_Town 5 9 +2 2.23 76.89 2.01 63.92 10.57 -0.08 1.40 7.14 25.97 10.98P 3.00R 1.05 Southend 5 9 +2 1.79 72.24 1.39 74.13 10.77 15.51 8.88 30.13 62.54 39.04P 0.29R 0.08 Newport_County 5 8 +2 2.81 84.21 4.81 49.24 10.66 -22.84 0.06 0.45 3.01 0.85P 32.06R 17.85 Mansfield 5 8 +2 2.12 76.87 3.54 57.40 11.12 -8.81 0.48 2.75 12.00 4.42P 11.42R 5.26 Bury 5 7 +3 -1.11 36.50 1.06 73.25 11.63 18.65 9.26 29.60 59.46 38.19P 0.66R 0.21 Bristol_Rovers 5 7 +0 -0.05 50.10 -0.28 59.19 10.68 -6.58 0.54 3.26 14.43 5.53P 7.63R 3.20 Wycombe 5 7 +0 -0.13 48.97 -0.41 62.06 10.59 -1.63 1.01 5.30 20.83 8.82P 4.30R 1.67 Morecambe 5 7 -1 0.40 56.12 -0.50 61.00 10.59 -4.14 0.75 4.26 18.07 7.11P 5.27R 2.11 Scunthorpe 5 6 +1 -3.20 14.12 -2.64 70.17 11.35 13.06 5.88 20.62 48.77 29.32P 1.08R 0.35 Plymouth 5 6 -1 0.04 51.66 0.16 58.69 10.25 -5.50 0.37 2.49 12.49 4.51P 7.58R 3.02 Torquay 5 6 -1 -1.07 36.48 -1.39 60.88 10.60 -2.87 0.79 4.40 18.12 7.54P 5.39R 2.11 Rochdale 5 5 +1 -1.47 32.89 1.62 66.70 11.04 9.29 2.64 12.42 36.52 18.58P 2.13R 0.72 Portsmouth 5 5 -2 -3.89 10.90 -5.10 75.20 11.57 20.21 12.16 35.73 65.92 45.75P 0.43R 0.12 Dag_&_Red 5 5 -3 -1.40 32.84 -2.26 54.69 10.45 -13.05 0.14 1.14 6.95 2.31P 14.82R 6.98 York 5 4 -3 -1.60 30.56 -1.25 51.45 10.17 -15.69 0.07 0.55 3.54 1.07P 22.89R 11.48 Cheltenham 5 4 -6 -2.25 23.09 -4.98 59.68 10.67 -6.65 0.49 3.45 15.11 6.11P 7.22R 2.92 Northampton 5 3 -3 -3.81 9.18 -2.96 56.94 10.56 -6.66 0.32 1.98 10.35 3.85P 10.50R 4.60 Hartlepool 5 2 -5 -4.76 5.00 -5.01 60.73 11.03 -0.61 0.88 4.63 18.73 8.63P 6.14R 2.64 Accrington_Stanley 5 1 -8 -4.56 5.28 -5.86 45.30 10.10 -26.61 0.01 0.08 0.88 0.19P 45.96R 29.18Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2013, Barnet 3 2 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 6 14 +9 4.57 92.63 7.03 76.40 10.60 20.76 9.00 50.09 17.84P 0.13R 0.01 Barnet 6 14 +8 1.82 70.83 1.60 87.44 10.91 37.29 42.13 83.92 55.67P 0.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 6 14 +5 7.09 98.62 6.92 68.59 10.38 5.06 1.82 21.78 4.92P 0.97R 0.08 Lincoln_City 6 13 +4 4.99 92.79 4.30 69.31 10.53 6.56 2.49 24.38 6.48P 0.88R 0.09 Southport 6 12 +1 4.30 88.91 1.82 62.95 10.58 -6.01 0.77 10.11 2.16P 3.99R 0.58 Forest_Green 6 11 +10 0.52 56.00 6.45 76.25 10.42 26.20 8.87 50.07 19.46P 0.12R 0.00 Hereford 6 11 +3 0.21 52.08 -0.84 72.05 10.55 13.00 4.32 33.58 11.05P 0.46R 0.04 Grimsby 6 10 +2 -0.34 45.32 -1.19 76.66 10.28 20.29 8.85 50.81 20.45P 0.07R 0.01 Braintree_Town 6 10 +1 2.73 79.71 2.42 62.92 10.50 -2.07 0.57 10.26 2.13P 3.72R 0.54 Halifax 6 10 -2 3.49 85.07 0.96 51.92 11.58 -25.06 0.12 2.23 0.44P 26.49R 8.20 Luton 6 9 +3 -0.41 44.96 1.17 75.16 10.25 20.43 6.68 44.76 16.91P 0.18R 0.01 Kidderminster 6 9 +0 -1.57 31.67 -3.68 76.72 10.53 20.45 9.28 50.93 20.87P 0.13R 0.01 Alfreton_Town 6 9 -1 2.04 73.39 1.21 60.01 10.65 -8.15 0.34 6.42 1.25P 7.12R 1.26 Welling 6 8 +1 1.29 66.64 3.49 55.50 11.78 -11.16 0.30 4.48 1.01P 17.03R 4.41 Salisbury 6 7 -1 0.24 54.64 1.28 49.77 11.25 -19.92 0.06 1.40 0.30P 31.49R 10.30 Dartford 6 6 -5 -1.81 29.78 -4.39 54.65 10.27 -14.49 0.08 2.09 0.38P 15.41R 3.46 Wrexham 6 5 -4 -6.21 2.95 -8.69 68.68 10.50 9.68 2.29 23.21 8.07P 0.98R 0.12 Tamworth 6 5 -5 -1.09 38.87 -1.87 49.79 9.99 -19.94 0.02 0.63 0.10P 29.00R 7.76 Gateshead 6 4 -4 -2.94 19.00 -1.94 56.44 10.45 -7.67 0.10 3.27 0.68P 11.76R 2.44 Woking 6 4 -4 -3.47 14.96 -2.60 49.94 10.43 -19.53 0.02 0.89 0.12P 29.35R 8.39 Macclesfield 6 3 -3 -5.31 4.54 -3.22 56.81 10.38 -4.42 0.11 3.46 0.81P 10.87R 2.25 Chester 6 3 -8 -1.78 28.58 -1.98 41.81 10.91 -33.98 0.01 0.25 0.05P 60.50R 31.09 Hyde_United 6 2 -11 -3.14 14.99 -5.41 45.18 10.32 -31.57 0.00 0.24 0.04P 47.67R 18.75 Aldershot 6 -3 +1 -13.76 0.00 -2.83 67.21 10.67 24.24 1.78 20.77 8.81P 1.67R 0.20 Adjustments: Aldershot -10