Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 August 2013, Man_Utd 0 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           3    7   +3       1.38    76.95     0.61    73.22     9.37    31.05    16.33    37.25    56.14    71.44    90.31     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.23    85.21     0.55    68.31     9.60    21.51     7.46    19.40    34.15    50.57    78.10     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham         2    6   +2       1.93    81.90    -0.02    65.69     9.86    17.53     5.05    13.73    25.42    39.48    68.93     0.13R    0.01  
Man_Utd           2    4   +3       0.22    57.13     1.41    79.77     9.19    47.08    44.67    67.26    81.00    89.41    97.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          2    4   +2       0.98    72.16     1.59    48.09     9.38    -6.13     0.03     0.28     0.87     2.18     8.70     8.08R    1.18  
Southampton       2    4   +1       1.36    78.62     1.12    47.18     9.49    -9.44     0.05     0.24     0.68     1.73     7.52    10.08R    1.71  
Man_City          2    3   +3      -1.43    19.51     0.28    72.87     9.51    35.03    16.85    36.66    55.30    70.61    89.99     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal           2    3   +0      -0.92    29.12    -1.87    68.39     9.92    25.30     8.57    21.14    35.96    51.56    78.31     0.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       3    3   +0       0.77    65.25     3.17    46.13     9.38    -8.17     0.02     0.13     0.44     1.16     6.06    11.80R    2.06  
Stoke             2    3   +0       0.41    56.77     0.19    44.93     9.00    -9.79     0.01     0.09     0.26     0.74     4.13    12.99R    2.12  
Cardiff           2    3   -1       1.32    75.22     0.68    40.81     9.83   -19.94     0.01     0.08     0.21     0.57     2.57    28.48R    7.55  
Fulham            2    3   -1       0.71    63.00    -0.32    49.37     9.61    -6.06     0.09     0.45     1.23     2.83    11.13     6.76R    1.00  
Hull              2    3   -1       1.34    76.28     0.75    35.21     8.91   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.52    50.99R   17.12  
Everton           2    2   +0      -1.46    22.65    -1.04    57.52     9.61     9.14     0.78     2.78     6.74    13.37    35.65     0.98R    0.10  
Norwich           2    1   -1      -1.54    25.52    -0.73    40.58     9.39   -17.52     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.36     2.00    27.84R    6.89  
Sunderland        2    1   -1      -1.63    24.29    -0.88    43.81     9.26   -10.64     0.02     0.07     0.28     0.72     3.72    16.88R    3.17  
West_Brom         2    1   -1      -1.53    25.63    -0.72    46.77     9.56    -7.14     0.03     0.24     0.66     1.65     7.19    10.84R    2.00  
Newcastle         2    1   -4      -0.93    37.41    -2.55    42.89     9.55   -16.70     0.02     0.08     0.25     0.69     3.31    21.02R    4.65  
Crystal_Palace    2    0   -2      -1.54    16.55    -0.18    28.62     8.87   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    77.07R   47.28  
Swansea           2    0   -4      -1.50    17.67    -2.05    44.34     9.41   -11.44     0.01     0.08     0.29     0.84     4.35    15.91R    3.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2013, Watford 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    4   10   +5       4.34    94.83     4.77    72.96    11.07    13.36     5.95    13.25    43.90    20.13P    0.53R    0.05  
Blackpool        4   10   +4       3.56    90.98     2.50    73.82    11.36    13.54     7.36    15.52    47.14    22.81P    0.49R    0.06  
Leicester        4   10   +3       3.48    90.40     1.45    79.43    11.21    21.15    16.36    29.93    66.90    39.85P    0.14R    0.01  
QPR              4   10   +3       3.24    88.94     1.14    78.21    11.58    19.02    14.70    26.73    62.11    36.58P    0.20R    0.01  
Watford          4    8   +6       1.31    68.41     3.93    79.35    11.52    28.05    17.37    30.97    67.09    40.97P    0.15R    0.03  
Leeds_United     4    8   +2       2.80    85.25     2.42    65.35    11.14     1.48     1.56     3.99    20.59     7.21P    3.03R    0.42  
Huddersfield     4    7   +4       1.79    75.65     4.31    58.92    10.94    -4.94     0.39     1.17     8.40     2.47P    8.66R    1.40  
Derby            4    7   +3       1.35    69.44     2.70    66.09    11.11     5.35     1.97     4.74    22.31     8.44P    2.39R    0.25  
Burnley          4    7   +1       0.98    65.19     0.11    66.13    11.20     3.32     1.92     4.84    22.62     8.66P    2.52R    0.31  
Brighton         4    6   +1      -0.14    47.01     0.03    72.22    11.00    14.07     5.08    11.90    41.83    20.01P    0.70R    0.05  
Bournemouth      4    6   -7       2.54    82.98    -3.22    46.97    11.10   -35.83     0.03     0.11     1.09     0.25P   42.79R   14.38  
Wigan            4    5   +3      -2.82    15.38    -0.76    75.54    12.20    23.46    11.75    22.19    54.63    32.07P    0.51R    0.05  
Reading          4    5   +0      -1.17    34.69    -1.04    74.98    12.25    19.43    10.34    20.03    52.11    29.46P    0.67R    0.06  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +0       0.33    57.30     1.28    62.11    11.13    -0.65     0.78     2.29    13.70     4.60P    5.38R    0.78  
Blackburn        4    4   +0      -2.02    24.17    -0.84    62.51    11.15     1.30     0.89     2.55    14.76     5.27P    4.91R    0.73  
Doncaster        3    4   +0       0.88    68.32     1.67    52.86    11.98   -15.81     0.17     0.49     4.20     1.16P   23.78R    6.77  
Ipswich          4    3   +0      -1.75    25.22     1.16    55.99    10.97    -6.87     0.22     0.65     5.32     1.58P   13.88R    2.76  
Birmingham       4    3   -2      -2.49    17.57    -2.01    63.51    11.17     2.44     0.94     2.84    16.76     6.10P    4.37R    0.63  
Yeovil           4    3   -5      -0.56    43.09    -1.95    39.02    10.50   -41.72     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   71.00R   38.96  
Sheff_Wed        4    2   -2      -2.80    14.73    -1.00    53.03    10.93   -12.01     0.08     0.29     3.10     0.79P   20.98R    4.71  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -3.16    12.77    -3.55    65.18    11.34     4.52     1.61     4.03    20.75     8.14P    3.46R    0.48  
Charlton         3    1   -2      -3.65     7.24    -2.81    58.44    11.36    -4.17     0.49     1.34     8.63     2.96P    9.94R    1.82  
Millwall         4    1   -5      -4.57     3.83    -5.21    49.45    10.63   -18.15     0.02     0.09     1.33     0.32P   30.95R    8.00  
Barnsley         4    1   -8      -2.74    15.70    -5.07    45.07    10.71   -30.33     0.01     0.05     0.57     0.14P   48.57R   17.31  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2013, Coventry 4 4 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    4   12  +10       5.02    96.64     7.69    74.90    11.45    17.77     3.12    11.43    52.77    20.18P    0.70R    0.04  
Peterborough     4   12   +9       4.14    93.60     4.97    96.85    12.02    58.13    56.06    78.16    96.33    83.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4   10   +6       2.22    80.45     2.28    89.97    11.85    42.09    27.62    57.94    90.38    68.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford        4    8   +3       1.46    69.80     1.42    73.81    11.33    15.49     2.47     9.17    49.21    18.96P    0.94R    0.06  
Colchester       4    8   +2       2.35    80.90     1.76    57.89    11.01   -11.02     0.09     0.44     7.68     1.54P   15.04R    1.90  
Bradford         4    7   +5       2.34    81.51     6.48    52.40    11.69   -15.74     0.05     0.29     4.04     0.85P   31.02R    6.52  
Walsall          4    7   +2       1.29    68.64     1.67    66.99    11.56     5.07     0.75     3.38    26.72     8.17P    3.85R    0.37  
Oldham           4    6   +1       1.31    68.13     2.60    57.47    11.14    -9.34     0.07     0.46     7.45     1.58P   16.12R    2.26  
Rotherham        4    6   +1       1.31    67.50     2.45    49.97    11.94   -24.91     0.04     0.18     2.80     0.60P   39.97R   10.99  
MK_Dons          4    6   +1      -0.76    37.91    -0.99    75.20    11.26    18.83     3.26    11.31    54.33    23.27P    0.65R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       4    5   -1       0.38    57.79     0.31    57.25    11.07   -10.30     0.08     0.37     6.79     1.50P   16.39R    2.44  
Preston          4    4   +0      -1.02    38.16     0.80    64.22    11.35     3.48     0.35     1.68    19.45     5.29P    5.99R    0.57  
Crawley_Town     4    4   -1      -0.86    40.58     0.26    57.22    11.66    -9.74     0.09     0.55     7.91     1.86P   17.91R    3.04  
Crewe            4    4   -2      -0.65    43.45    -0.53    51.50    11.15   -20.39     0.01     0.10     2.67     0.50P   33.47R    7.26  
Port_Vale        4    4   -2      -0.94    39.29    -1.10    50.87    12.10   -21.81     0.04     0.24     3.46     0.79P   36.59R    9.61  
Swindon          4    4   -2      -2.48    18.32    -3.37    73.25    11.29    15.91     2.07     8.36    47.49    19.80P    0.95R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        4    4   -3      -2.50    18.96    -4.52    70.46    11.45    10.50     1.41     5.68    37.40    13.91P    1.91R    0.13  
Stevenage        4    3   -2      -1.71    26.34    -0.81    55.58    11.23   -10.74     0.06     0.34     5.49     1.28P   20.62R    3.46  
Bristol_City     4    2   -2      -3.49     9.65    -1.88    68.75    12.93    12.59     1.57     6.07    34.93    13.65P    4.52R    0.56  
Gillingham       4    2   -5      -1.74    26.62    -2.07    48.30    11.79   -24.22     0.01     0.08     2.04     0.43P   44.83R   13.29  
Notts_County     4    1   -4      -4.03     6.90    -3.15    62.01    11.62     0.73     0.25     1.36    15.37     4.54P    9.04R    1.15  
Tranmere         4    1   -8      -3.88     7.64    -6.87    54.76    11.24   -14.88     0.04     0.26     4.80     1.13P   23.10R    4.06  
Carlisle         4    1  -12      -3.01    14.45    -9.31    41.44    10.90   -45.63     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.06P   69.23R   31.31  
Coventry         4   -3   +4      -9.76     0.00     1.92    63.63    11.87    18.12     0.49     2.15    20.19     7.21P    7.15R    0.90  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            4   10   +6       4.45    95.53     5.99    74.40    11.18    16.49     9.43    29.95    61.95    37.70P    0.32R    0.10  
Chesterfield          4   10   +5       3.83    92.64     4.01    81.29    10.94    25.83    23.88    54.21    82.65    62.53P    0.04R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        4    9   +4       3.36    88.42     3.66    66.64    10.92     3.94     2.45    10.93    34.18    15.86P    1.69R    0.60  
Southend              4    9   +3       2.96    85.91     2.13    76.11    11.07    17.41    11.80    35.12    67.93    44.13P    0.20R    0.06  
Burton_Albion         4    8   +2       2.72    83.93     2.37    66.73    11.33     2.91     2.94    11.72    34.81    16.45P    2.06R    0.78  
Newport_County        4    7   +2       2.59    84.23     3.80    47.16    11.04   -27.61     0.06     0.46     2.31     0.71P   38.81R   23.40  
Exeter                4    7   +1       0.58    58.89    -0.46    67.36    11.00     5.20     2.87    12.30    36.92    18.21P    1.59R    0.59  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +0       2.66    84.83     1.83    55.77    10.79   -14.82     0.24     1.56     8.38     2.67P   12.95R    6.11  
Plymouth              4    6   +0       1.15    66.80     0.81    60.12    10.53    -4.41     0.51     3.00    15.27     5.51P    5.75R    2.40  
Scunthorpe            4    5   +1      -2.18    21.54    -1.59    73.38    11.89    17.63     9.62    28.66    58.55    37.63P    0.64R    0.22  
Portsmouth            4    5   +0      -2.54    18.25    -3.20    79.74    12.03    27.56    22.73    49.69    76.75    58.94P    0.18R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red             4    5   +0      -0.47    43.77     0.06    57.78    10.79    -7.26     0.33     2.28    11.52     4.22P    9.09R    3.83  
Torquay               4    5   -1      -0.61    42.39    -1.25    61.81    10.91    -2.13     0.94     5.10    20.08     8.34P    4.56R    1.70  
Mansfield             4    5   -1       1.05    68.10     1.44    53.57    11.31   -15.23     0.18     1.25     6.87     2.29P   19.00R    9.81  
Rochdale              4    4   +1      -1.50    30.96     1.02    66.28    11.34     8.00     2.49    11.41    34.31    17.09P    2.30R    0.91  
Bury                  4    4   +0      -2.00    24.59    -0.79    69.77    12.14    12.54     5.65    19.81    46.79    27.34P    1.67R    0.62  
Bristol_Rovers        4    4   -1      -1.36    32.53    -0.78    57.34    10.95    -8.10     0.40     2.27    11.43     4.21P    9.94R    4.27  
Wycombe               4    4   -1      -1.69    27.57    -1.27    59.92    10.83    -3.39     0.56     3.53    16.00     6.34P    6.28R    2.51  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -0.85    39.87    -0.94    59.41    10.82    -5.03     0.51     3.12    14.41     5.39P    6.98R    2.91  
York                  4    4   -2      -0.77    40.81    -1.05    52.12    10.43   -15.64     0.08     0.65     4.21     1.28P   20.12R    9.79  
Cheltenham            4    4   -3      -1.62    28.52    -3.20    62.29    10.97    -1.83     1.04     5.51    21.34     9.31P    4.34R    1.63  
Northampton           4    3   -2      -2.76    14.38    -2.47    58.13    10.90    -6.00     0.44     2.57    12.59     4.79P    8.54R    3.68  
Hartlepool            4    1   -5      -4.55     3.87    -5.16    60.64    11.48    -1.30     0.81     4.63    18.79     8.46P    6.61R    2.84  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -7      -3.26    10.95    -4.97    47.52    10.62   -24.78     0.03     0.27     1.96     0.60P   36.34R   21.15  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 August 2013, Aldershot 2 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            5   11   +7       1.16    64.68     2.19    87.17    11.05    38.74    40.05    83.44    53.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd     5   11   +6       3.86    91.03     5.42    73.86    10.73    16.52     5.93    40.23    12.84P    0.33R    0.02  
Nuneaton          5   11   +4       5.04    95.78     5.31    65.17    10.48     1.35     0.96    13.86     2.94P    2.32R    0.19  
Grimsby           5   10   +3       1.49    68.20     0.47    79.73    10.32    24.02    13.68    62.47    27.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      5   10   +3       3.36    86.36     3.30    66.89    10.52     4.31     1.27    17.68     4.00P    1.58R    0.15  
Halifax           5   10   +0       4.27    91.77     1.97    55.62    11.89   -18.89     0.28     4.51     0.92P   17.44R    3.75  
Kidderminster     5    9   +2      -0.16    46.36    -1.82    79.71    10.62    25.15    14.54    62.38    27.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town     5    9   +1       2.75    81.40     2.10    61.23    10.78    -6.55     0.42     8.23     1.53P    5.67R    0.76  
Southport         5    9   +0       2.56    78.88     0.73    60.20    10.63    -9.34     0.37     6.65     1.28P    6.46R    0.93  
Forest_Green      5    8   +8      -0.43    44.69     5.48    74.20    10.60    23.71     6.15    42.36    14.88P    0.24R    0.01  
Welling           5    8   +2       2.10    76.49     3.63    56.20    11.92   -11.45     0.30     5.11     1.07P   15.45R    3.12  
Hereford          5    8   +2      -0.73    40.73    -0.83    70.86    10.59    12.73     3.23    29.92     9.15P    0.62R    0.04  
Braintree_Town    5    7   +0       0.93    63.52     1.20    60.26    10.63    -5.02     0.34     6.71     1.34P    6.49R    0.88  
Luton             5    6   +1      -2.22    22.65    -1.03    70.90    10.48    14.68     3.13    30.15     9.90P    0.57R    0.04  
Dartford          5    6   -4      -0.32    46.04    -3.18    57.14    10.44   -11.79     0.16     3.65     0.68P   10.49R    1.51  
Wrexham           5    5   -2      -4.12     8.36    -5.63    73.76    10.46    17.63     5.41    40.23    15.01P    0.30R    0.02  
Tamworth          5    5   -2      -0.47    46.16    -0.03    52.01    10.13   -15.78     0.02     1.07     0.15P   21.79R    3.98  
Woking            5    4   -3      -2.13    24.71    -1.61    52.33    10.58   -16.94     0.05     1.62     0.28P   21.91R    4.11  
Salisbury         5    4   -3      -0.96    39.86    -0.08    47.94    11.35   -22.33     0.04     0.96     0.21P   37.62R   10.93  
Macclesfield      5    3   -2      -3.84     9.09    -2.03    59.76    10.68    -1.05     0.34     6.42     1.50P    6.83R    0.98  
Hyde_United       5    2  -10      -2.76    16.70    -6.27    45.34    10.28   -32.99     0.01     0.22     0.04P   46.90R   14.41  
Gateshead         5    1   -5      -4.60     4.97    -2.98    54.11    10.56    -9.92     0.05     2.12     0.41P   16.71R    2.83  
Chester           5    0  -10      -3.89     4.03    -4.48    35.63    10.70   -44.97     0.00     0.04     0.00P   79.20R   51.24  
Aldershot         5   -3   +2     -12.35     0.00    -1.81    70.20    10.92    28.17     3.26    30.00    13.24P    0.96R    0.11  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10