Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2013, Cardiff 3 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           2    6   +3       1.40    74.87     0.02    73.52     9.61    31.46    15.98    36.92    55.48    71.11    90.11     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.25    85.50     0.55    68.26     9.66    21.48     6.53    18.17    32.77    49.06    77.57     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham         2    6   +2       1.91    81.66    -0.05    65.87     9.80    17.84     4.32    12.89    24.91    39.19    69.34     0.11R    0.01  
West_Ham          2    4   +2       0.98    72.23     1.59    48.10     9.36    -6.43     0.04     0.25     0.80     1.99     8.63     7.73R    1.16  
Southampton       2    4   +1       1.34    78.33     1.11    46.99     9.57   -10.13     0.03     0.20     0.70     1.76     7.22    10.52R    1.82  
Man_City          2    3   +3      -1.46    19.13     0.20    73.46     9.42    36.31    15.95    37.15    56.42    71.97    90.76     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           1    3   +3       0.89    68.35     1.83    81.22     9.54    50.31    48.89    70.52    83.05    90.60    97.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           2    3   +0      -0.94    28.70    -1.92    68.67     9.78    25.95     7.36    20.10    35.65    51.72    79.29     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       3    3   +0       0.78    65.48     3.23    46.27     9.44    -8.23     0.03     0.14     0.44     1.22     5.96    11.52R    2.01  
Stoke             2    3   +0       0.39    56.52     0.17    44.80     9.10   -10.36     0.01     0.08     0.26     0.72     4.12    13.75R    2.08  
Cardiff           2    3   -1       1.34    75.63     0.73    41.03     9.93   -20.10     0.01     0.06     0.21     0.58     2.68    27.97R    7.42  
Fulham            2    3   -1       0.72    63.28    -0.28    49.17     9.60    -6.75     0.10     0.36     1.10     2.69    10.51     6.84R    0.99  
Hull              2    3   -1       1.32    75.88     0.79    35.14     8.93   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.48    51.25R   17.19  
Everton           2    2   +0      -1.48    22.40    -1.06    57.66     9.65     9.23     0.68     2.73     6.79    13.30    35.60     0.98R    0.10  
Norwich           2    1   -1      -1.51    26.31    -0.70    40.53     9.44   -18.01     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.34     1.98    28.20R    6.80  
Sunderland        2    1   -1      -1.63    24.38    -0.88    43.84     9.29   -10.98     0.02     0.08     0.22     0.67     3.53    16.38R    3.33  
West_Brom         2    1   -1      -1.53    25.62    -0.72    46.84     9.56    -7.36     0.03     0.20     0.60     1.60     7.16    10.65R    1.75  
Newcastle         2    1   -4      -0.94    37.23    -2.51    42.87     9.53   -17.13     0.00     0.05     0.16     0.61     3.29    20.87R    4.50  
Crystal_Palace    2    0   -2      -1.53    16.86    -0.15    28.53     9.00   -38.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    76.98R   47.70  
Swansea           2    0   -4      -1.48    18.20    -1.96    44.30     9.45   -11.84     0.01     0.06     0.31     0.82     4.07    16.14R    3.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2013, Watford 1 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    4   10   +5       4.37    94.98     4.81    72.73    11.09    13.06     5.81    12.96    43.26    19.69P    0.57R    0.04  
Blackpool        4   10   +4       3.54    90.89     2.50    74.01    11.27    13.82     7.32    15.69    47.96    22.93P    0.41R    0.04  
Leicester        4   10   +3       3.47    90.25     1.45    79.56    11.13    21.31    16.23    30.13    67.14    40.28P    0.11R    0.01  
QPR              4   10   +3       3.27    89.09     1.16    78.12    11.61    18.88    14.69    26.76    61.69    36.47P    0.23R    0.01  
Watford          4    8   +6       1.34    68.98     4.00    78.99    11.50    27.43    16.64    29.94    65.85    39.56P    0.18R    0.00  
Leeds_United     4    8   +2       2.79    85.11     2.40    65.37    11.23     1.55     1.74     4.22    20.66     7.42P    3.13R    0.37  
Huddersfield     4    7   +4       1.76    75.21     4.26    58.94    10.97    -4.96     0.41     1.21     8.62     2.55P    8.88R    1.48  
Derby            4    7   +3       1.35    69.72     2.70    66.11    11.23     5.37     1.97     4.84    23.01     8.90P    2.50R    0.28  
Burnley          4    7   +1       0.97    64.94     0.07    66.19    11.15     3.48     1.90     4.69    22.70     8.65P    2.51R    0.34  
Brighton         4    6   +1      -0.13    47.49     0.04    72.33    10.94    14.23     5.24    11.95    42.17    20.15P    0.52R    0.05  
Bournemouth      4    6   -7       2.56    83.01    -3.21    47.01    11.31   -35.90     0.04     0.10     1.11     0.23P   42.73R   15.03  
Wigan            4    5   +3      -2.84    15.46    -0.77    75.50    12.33    23.45    12.12    22.47    54.39    32.31P    0.59R    0.05  
Reading          4    5   +0      -1.17    34.66    -1.05    75.02    12.19    19.48    10.50    20.18    52.09    29.38P    0.68R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    4    5   +0       0.34    57.17     1.28    62.24    11.16    -0.44     0.79     2.33    13.78     4.64P    5.43R    0.83  
Blackburn        4    4   +0      -2.03    24.02    -0.87    62.80    11.34     1.80     1.04     2.82    15.65     5.83P    5.02R    0.72  
Doncaster        3    4   +0       0.88    68.35     1.66    52.96    11.91   -15.59     0.24     0.61     4.14     1.26P   23.57R    6.27  
Ipswich          4    3   +0      -1.76    25.13     1.13    56.03    10.92    -6.78     0.18     0.58     5.23     1.49P   13.78R    2.70  
Birmingham       4    3   -2      -2.47    17.78    -1.98    63.10    11.25     1.93     1.03     2.80    16.05     5.88P    4.55R    0.68  
Yeovil           4    3   -5      -0.56    43.14    -1.93    39.04    10.72   -41.80     0.01     0.02     0.18     0.04P   70.25R   38.87  
Sheff_Wed        4    2   -2      -2.79    15.10    -0.97    52.94    11.00   -12.20     0.07     0.31     3.15     0.89P   21.12R    4.79  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -3.19    12.29    -3.58    65.24    11.30     4.64     1.55     4.08    20.99     8.26P    3.30R    0.43  
Charlton         3    1   -2      -3.65     7.21    -2.79    58.51    11.28    -4.12     0.43     1.20     8.50     2.82P    9.85R    1.79  
Millwall         4    1   -5      -4.60     3.79    -5.23    49.39    10.52   -18.23     0.03     0.09     1.19     0.30P   31.21R    8.08  
Barnsley         4    1   -8      -2.74    15.43    -5.08    45.05    10.58   -30.40     0.00     0.03     0.49     0.07P   48.86R   17.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2013, Coventry 4 4 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    4   12  +10       5.00    96.50     7.66    75.00    11.46    17.96     3.19    11.54    53.05    20.58P    0.57R    0.03  
Peterborough     4   12   +9       4.11    93.39     4.93    97.10    12.03    58.62    57.21    78.29    96.34    84.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4   10   +6       2.28    80.97     2.35    89.82    11.87    41.89    26.81    57.20    90.19    68.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        4    8   +3       1.47    69.81     1.46    73.75    11.46    15.34     2.54     9.48    48.65    19.07P    0.93R    0.04  
Colchester       4    8   +2       2.36    80.98     1.75    58.05    11.00   -10.83     0.10     0.51     7.58     1.65P   14.64R    1.73  
Bradford         4    7   +5       2.38    81.87     6.58    51.98    11.56   -16.62     0.04     0.23     3.48     0.75P   32.10R    6.70  
Walsall          4    7   +2       1.29    68.67     1.66    67.07    11.44     5.21     0.78     3.24    26.70     8.07P    3.73R    0.29  
Oldham           4    6   +1       1.25    67.41     2.53    57.74    11.20    -8.83     0.08     0.45     7.70     1.62P   15.64R    2.28  
Rotherham        4    6   +1       1.32    67.75     2.44    49.86    11.81   -24.99     0.02     0.17     2.62     0.56P   39.95R   10.52  
MK_Dons          4    6   +1      -0.77    37.70    -1.01    75.16    11.32    18.70     3.05    11.45    54.04    23.08P    0.62R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       4    5   -1       0.40    58.10     0.35    57.21    11.11   -10.39     0.07     0.36     6.82     1.48P   16.78R    2.46  
Preston          4    4   +0      -1.02    38.18     0.80    64.05    11.37     3.21     0.35     1.73    18.99     5.31P    6.10R    0.65  
Crawley_Town     4    4   -1      -0.84    40.62     0.29    56.94    11.51   -10.27     0.07     0.42     7.27     1.61P   18.17R    2.99  
Crewe            4    4   -2      -0.67    43.11    -0.55    51.78    11.23   -19.91     0.01     0.11     2.84     0.47P   32.50R    7.00  
Port_Vale        4    4   -2      -0.92    39.86    -1.06    50.64    12.15   -22.37     0.05     0.21     3.40     0.74P   37.24R   10.14  
Swindon          4    4   -2      -2.46    18.47    -3.36    73.25    11.23    15.87     1.90     8.36    47.10    19.51P    0.98R    0.06  
Sheff_Utd        4    4   -3      -2.55    18.32    -4.62    70.85    11.39    11.12     1.39     5.80    38.93    14.68P    1.74R    0.12  
Stevenage        4    3   -2      -1.71    26.36    -0.81    55.42    11.20   -10.93     0.02     0.28     5.47     1.24P   21.00R    3.42  
Bristol_City     4    2   -2      -3.55     9.42    -1.98    69.29    12.83    13.47     1.61     6.42    36.42    14.14P    4.02R    0.45  
Gillingham       4    2   -5      -1.75    26.57    -2.09    48.25    11.81   -24.27     0.01     0.08     1.97     0.43P   44.67R   13.65  
Notts_County     4    1   -4      -3.98     7.05    -3.09    61.99    11.47     0.64     0.19     1.30    14.98     4.37P    8.75R    1.00  
Tranmere         4    1   -8      -3.86     7.91    -6.83    54.87    11.28   -14.73     0.04     0.25     4.93     1.16P   22.99R    4.11  
Carlisle         4    1  -12      -2.98    14.76    -9.24    41.30    10.84   -46.07     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   69.94R   31.49  
Coventry         4   -3   +4      -9.80     0.00     1.85    63.59    11.83    18.16     0.46     2.14    20.26     7.09P    6.89R    0.83  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            4   10   +6       4.48    95.69     6.02    74.32    10.98    16.30     9.01    29.64    62.10    37.26P    0.29R    0.09  
Chesterfield          4   10   +5       3.79    92.45     3.96    81.47    10.90    26.06    25.27    55.14    83.05    63.31P    0.03R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        4    9   +4       3.32    88.16     3.63    66.59    10.95     3.95     2.60    11.10    33.90    15.95P    1.76R    0.59  
Southend              4    9   +3       2.96    85.70     2.14    76.13    11.01    17.45    12.05    35.60    68.01    44.39P    0.21R    0.07  
Burton_Albion         4    8   +2       2.73    84.00     2.35    66.69    11.22     2.91     2.74    11.59    34.80    16.40P    2.09R    0.78  
Newport_County        4    7   +2       2.56    83.85     3.74    47.54    10.98   -26.90     0.05     0.37     2.43     0.68P   37.50R   22.40  
Exeter                4    7   +1       0.59    58.94    -0.44    67.22    10.91     4.96     2.79    12.17    36.20    18.02P    1.52R    0.51  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +0       2.69    85.04     1.87    55.44    10.80   -15.36     0.19     1.47     8.12     2.61P   13.80R    6.44  
Plymouth              4    6   +0       1.12    66.19     0.75    60.43    10.58    -3.88     0.59     3.42    16.19     6.11P    5.59R    2.24  
Scunthorpe            4    5   +1      -2.19    21.29    -1.60    73.28    11.75    17.43     9.62    28.72    58.21    37.91P    0.63R    0.21  
Portsmouth            4    5   +0      -2.53    18.31    -3.16    79.31    11.82    26.85    21.16    48.28    76.22    57.62P    0.17R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red             4    5   +0      -0.44    44.27     0.10    57.84    10.83    -7.19     0.41     2.45    11.81     4.26P    9.07R    3.93  
Torquay               4    5   -1      -0.63    42.24    -1.27    61.74    10.95    -2.25     1.04     5.14    20.12     8.43P    4.74R    1.89  
Mansfield             4    5   -1       1.05    68.18     1.45    53.66    11.44   -15.10     0.23     1.45     7.34     2.55P   19.27R    9.89  
Rochdale              4    4   +1      -1.45    31.45     1.09    65.97    11.16     7.47     2.36    10.62    33.54    16.16P    2.29R    0.86  
Bury                  4    4   +0      -2.00    24.75    -0.79    69.86    12.12    12.70     5.98    20.16    47.12    27.72P    1.61R    0.61  
Bristol_Rovers        4    4   -1      -1.38    32.37    -0.81    57.69    10.99    -7.59     0.43     2.56    11.92     4.58P    9.62R    4.27  
Wycombe               4    4   -1      -1.73    27.26    -1.34    59.91    10.83    -3.29     0.62     3.50    15.99     6.26P    6.32R    2.69  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -0.82    40.02    -0.91    58.87    10.83    -5.75     0.46     2.85    13.43     5.10P    7.68R    3.27  
York                  4    4   -2      -0.76    40.82    -1.03    52.24    10.33   -15.38     0.07     0.66     4.21     1.27P   19.94R    9.79  
Cheltenham            4    4   -3      -1.58    29.17    -3.12    62.20    10.95    -1.90     0.97     5.36    21.22     9.02P    4.40R    1.72  
Northampton           4    3   -2      -2.78    14.00    -2.51    58.59    11.07    -5.38     0.50     2.94    13.90     5.47P    8.47R    3.63  
Hartlepool            4    1   -5      -4.52     4.10    -5.14    60.49    11.40    -1.57     0.83     4.61    18.33     8.39P    6.78R    3.02  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -7      -3.27    10.90    -4.99    47.61    10.54   -24.56     0.02     0.20     1.85     0.51P   36.22R   21.04  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Barnet 1 1 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd     4   10   +6       3.84    94.12     4.86    73.47    10.96    15.46     5.79    37.53    11.80P    0.33R    0.04  
Kidderminster     4    9   +3       1.27    65.92    -0.78    82.48    10.76    28.91    21.57    69.97    34.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport         4    9   +1       3.65    89.47     1.29    62.33    11.02    -7.51     0.72     9.67     1.91P    5.22R    0.72  
Barnet            4    8   +4       0.09    50.41     0.07    83.54    11.39    32.90    26.45    72.68    40.72P    0.05R    0.01  
Hereford          4    8   +3       0.56    56.91     0.06    73.56    10.84    16.08     5.69    38.11    12.88P    0.35R    0.02  
Nuneaton          4    8   +3       3.28    90.12     4.16    62.67    10.64    -1.16     0.63     9.50     2.06P    3.94R    0.44  
Braintree_Town    4    7   +3       1.85    76.79     3.54    63.36    10.87     0.65     0.79    10.87     2.36P    3.78R    0.52  
Welling           4    7   +2       2.75    85.25     4.15    58.75    12.64    -8.78     0.75     8.08     1.88P   12.55R    2.77  
Grimsby           4    7   +2       0.25    53.97    -0.01    78.86    10.65    24.69    12.74    57.80    25.25P    0.08R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      4    7   +1       1.84    76.06     1.51    63.64    10.86    -0.46     0.86    11.38     2.62P    3.66R    0.45  
Halifax           4    7   -1       2.93    87.14     1.56    53.31    12.47   -22.41     0.26     3.51     0.76P   24.22R    6.40  
Alfreton_Town     4    6   +0       1.15    66.65     1.16    58.80    11.08    -9.33     0.33     5.70     1.10P    9.19R    1.54  
Forest_Green      4    5   +7      -1.61    27.94     5.14    72.66    10.84    23.00     4.97    36.01    12.57P    0.45R    0.03  
Luton             4    5   +1      -1.64    27.12    -0.81    72.56    10.80    16.88     4.97    34.61    12.27P    0.45R    0.04  
Wrexham           4    5   +0      -2.89    13.49    -3.95    76.67    10.69    22.44     9.19    49.63    20.71P    0.16R    0.01  
Tamworth          4    5   +0       0.89    65.92     1.98    55.35    10.51   -11.18     0.08     2.48     0.44P   14.00R    2.38  
Woking            4    4   -2      -1.51    30.97    -1.93    52.65    10.81   -18.50     0.08     1.79     0.32P   21.45R    4.37  
Salisbury         4    3   -3      -0.80    38.68    -0.20    46.36    11.70   -27.07     0.02     0.77     0.14P   43.54R   15.29  
Dartford          4    3   -6      -2.02    21.77    -5.18    54.10    10.60   -16.33     0.09     2.15     0.37P   17.10R    3.25  
Macclesfield      4    2   -2      -3.70     7.46    -2.39    59.51    10.76    -2.14     0.28     5.89     1.36P    7.35R    1.15  
Hyde_United       4    2   -9      -1.68    26.21    -5.61    46.57    10.68   -33.14     0.00     0.41     0.05P   42.41R   13.20  
Gateshead         4    0   -5      -4.08     3.10    -2.71    55.09    10.68    -9.08     0.09     2.52     0.47P   14.69R    2.68  
Chester           4    0   -9      -3.07     6.53    -4.33    37.33    11.21   -43.92     0.00     0.08     0.01P   73.86R   44.54  
Aldershot         4   -6   +1     -13.20     0.00    -1.59    70.07    11.27    29.98     3.65    28.87    13.10P    1.13R    0.14  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10