Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           2    6   +3       1.47    75.91     0.17    73.68     9.72    31.64    14.71    34.48    54.28    70.56    90.20     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.24    85.47     0.55    68.34     9.68    21.50     5.68    16.42    31.57    48.77    78.19     0.05R    0.00  
West_Ham          2    4   +2       0.92    70.84     1.50    48.24     9.34    -6.18     0.03     0.18     0.69     1.85     8.69     6.99R    0.88  
Southampton       2    4   +1       1.37    78.61     1.14    47.01     9.55    -9.98     0.03     0.19     0.61     1.63     7.31     9.68R    1.52  
Man_City          1    3   +4       0.70    64.75     2.47    76.92     9.64    40.44    24.44    49.38    68.65    81.71    94.89     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           1    3   +3       0.84    67.28     1.73    81.37     9.49    50.29    44.96    68.86    82.69    90.86    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         1    3   +1       0.83    67.14    -0.28    64.40    10.17    17.08     3.18     9.77    19.90    33.40    63.56     0.20R    0.02  
Arsenal           2    3   +0      -0.92    29.33    -1.86    68.34     9.86    25.30     6.23    17.47    32.42    49.56    77.97     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       3    3   +0       0.73    64.59     3.10    46.31     9.37    -8.12     0.03     0.10     0.39     1.15     5.98    10.35R    1.65  
Stoke             2    3   +0       0.38    56.32     0.15    45.08     9.04    -9.82     0.01     0.07     0.23     0.67     4.44    11.91R    1.61  
Fulham            2    3   -1       0.72    63.13    -0.27    49.17     9.69    -6.66     0.05     0.29     0.94     2.56    10.91     6.55R    1.00  
Hull              2    3   -1       1.36    76.56     0.81    35.19     9.02   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.47    49.03R   15.86  
Everton           2    2   +0      -1.45    22.69    -1.02    57.59     9.62     9.11     0.61     2.35     5.98    12.44    35.67     0.88R    0.09  
Norwich           2    1   -1      -1.53    25.60    -0.73    40.70     9.41   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.31     2.11    25.81R    5.92  
Sunderland        2    1   -1      -1.66    23.91    -0.93    44.10     9.31   -10.48     0.02     0.08     0.24     0.78     4.01    14.72R    2.64  
West_Brom         2    1   -1      -1.54    25.77    -0.73    46.85     9.61    -7.22     0.02     0.16     0.57     1.64     7.30     9.79R    1.68  
Newcastle         2    1   -4      -0.90    38.30    -2.48    42.96     9.55   -16.91     0.00     0.06     0.20     0.63     3.41    19.20R    3.96  
Crystal_Palace    2    0   -2      -1.52    16.94    -0.09    28.17     8.84   -38.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    77.06R   46.26  
Cardiff           1    0   -2      -1.01    24.20    -1.49    36.41     9.86   -25.44     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.02    44.33R   14.62  
Swansea           1    0   -3      -0.64    32.72    -1.73    45.34     9.74   -11.39     0.01     0.12     0.46     1.23     5.85    13.39R    2.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Blackburn 5 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Blackpool        4   10   +4       3.62    91.38     2.60    73.87    11.39    13.56     6.87    15.03    47.22    22.47P    0.59R    0.05  
Leicester        4   10   +3       3.44    90.05     1.39    79.57    11.17    21.31    15.50    29.07    66.97    39.52P    0.13R    0.02  
QPR              4   10   +3       3.31    89.48     1.25    77.99    11.47    18.67    13.04    25.08    61.32    35.06P    0.21R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    3    9   +5       4.40    96.26     4.28    72.75    11.41    12.44     5.94    12.80    43.15    19.52P    0.62R    0.05  
Leeds_United     4    8   +2       2.78    84.97     2.39    65.40    11.25     1.56     1.51     3.96    20.52     7.22P    3.13R    0.37  
Watford          3    7   +6       2.01    82.51     4.42    80.48    11.98    29.36    19.80    34.08    69.36    43.62P    0.16R    0.02  
Huddersfield     4    7   +4       1.74    75.15     4.24    59.11    11.04    -4.70     0.36     1.13     8.69     2.50P    8.78R    1.46  
Derby            4    7   +3       1.38    70.18     2.76    65.76    11.06     4.83     1.44     4.11    21.27     7.78P    2.78R    0.31  
Doncaster        4    7   +2       2.63    84.16     3.85    57.56    11.76    -9.10     0.47     1.27     8.04     2.51P   12.94R    2.76  
Burnley          4    7   +1       0.98    65.04     0.10    66.10    11.22     3.32     1.81     4.57    22.54     8.45P    2.47R    0.32  
Brighton         4    6   +1      -0.15    47.11     0.01    72.03    10.97    13.82     4.72    10.98    40.72    18.93P    0.65R    0.06  
Bournemouth      4    6   -7       2.55    83.01    -3.19    46.92    11.35   -36.05     0.04     0.11     1.23     0.27P   43.28R   15.17  
Reading          4    5   +0      -1.14    35.34    -0.98    74.66    12.26    18.94     9.32    18.78    50.77    27.99P    0.74R    0.07  
Wigan            3    4   +3      -1.97    21.73     0.02    77.41    12.53    25.81    14.57    26.32    59.67    36.72P    0.44R    0.03  
Blackburn        4    4   +0      -1.98    24.54    -0.79    62.81    11.23     1.76     0.90     2.47    15.00     5.31P    4.87R    0.75  
Middlesbrough    3    4   +0       0.22    56.41     0.46    61.11    11.44    -2.77     0.71     1.89    12.03     3.96P    7.00R    1.19  
Ipswich          4    3   +0      -1.78    25.01     1.08    56.12    11.00    -6.69     0.20     0.63     5.35     1.60P   13.89R    2.77  
Birmingham       4    3   -2      -2.44    18.14    -1.95    63.27    11.23     2.09     0.92     2.58    15.96     5.68P    4.50R    0.70  
Yeovil           4    3   -5      -0.60    42.50    -1.98    39.11    10.80   -41.75     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   70.42R   39.04  
Sheff_Wed        4    2   -2      -2.81    14.89    -1.00    53.08    10.92   -12.02     0.08     0.34     3.03     0.86P   20.95R    4.72  
Bolton           4    2   -4      -3.21    12.44    -3.62    65.35    11.40     4.78     1.63     4.18    20.87     8.23P    3.33R    0.48  
Charlton         4    1   -4      -5.20     2.88    -5.05    54.66    11.02   -10.08     0.15     0.48     4.20     1.33P   16.75R    3.47  
Millwall         4    1   -5      -4.54     3.99    -5.16    49.21    10.62   -18.51     0.02     0.10     1.35     0.31P   32.13R    8.35  
Barnsley         4    1   -8      -2.76    15.60    -5.11    44.95    10.67   -30.59     0.00     0.03     0.54     0.12P   49.25R   17.83  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Bradford 2 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    4   12  +10       5.04    96.70     7.73    74.79    11.38    17.69     3.13    10.90    52.67    19.80P    0.66R    0.03  
Peterborough     4   12   +9       4.17    93.62     5.04    96.53    12.04    57.18    54.98    77.35    96.25    83.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4   10   +6       2.21    80.67     2.26    90.36    11.86    42.68    28.87    59.42    91.11    70.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        4    8   +3       1.50    70.30     1.49    73.74    11.31    15.36     2.41     9.19    49.26    19.02P    0.91R    0.06  
Colchester       4    8   +2       2.37    80.98     1.78    57.90    11.06   -10.79     0.08     0.48     7.82     1.69P   15.29R    1.98  
Bradford         4    7   +5       2.35    81.64     6.48    52.32    11.52   -15.65     0.06     0.25     3.78     0.75P   31.01R    6.48  
Walsall          4    7   +2       1.29    68.66     1.67    67.01    11.48     5.20     0.70     3.20    27.32     8.33P    3.80R    0.35  
Oldham           4    6   +1       1.28    67.91     2.54    57.66    11.09    -8.74     0.05     0.45     7.71     1.68P   15.74R    2.23  
Rotherham        4    6   +1       1.31    67.75     2.43    49.72    11.83   -24.97     0.03     0.19     2.77     0.58P   40.69R   11.17  
MK_Dons          4    6   +1      -0.74    38.08    -0.96    74.77    11.34    18.10     3.13    11.05    53.03    22.43P    0.81R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       4    5   -1       0.37    57.67     0.28    57.18    11.09   -10.24     0.06     0.38     6.90     1.53P   16.99R    2.56  
Crawley_Town     4    4   -1      -0.84    40.54     0.27    57.12    11.44    -9.75     0.06     0.47     7.52     1.69P   17.76R    2.99  
Crewe            4    4   -2      -0.66    43.05    -0.57    51.54    11.14   -20.06     0.02     0.11     2.79     0.46P   33.19R    7.15  
Port_Vale        4    4   -2      -0.94    39.46    -1.09    50.55    11.83   -22.19     0.05     0.18     2.97     0.68P   37.25R    9.92  
Swindon          4    4   -2      -2.45    18.70    -3.34    73.19    11.20    15.73     1.92     8.34    47.27    19.49P    0.93R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        4    4   -3      -2.53    18.73    -4.56    70.49    11.37    10.57     1.37     5.63    37.88    14.21P    1.74R    0.13  
Preston          3    3   +0      -0.89    35.26     0.31    63.28    11.39     1.72     0.33     1.61    17.54     5.07P    6.84R    0.73  
Stevenage        4    3   -2      -1.71    26.39    -0.81    55.31    11.08   -10.84     0.04     0.26     5.23     1.13P   21.17R    3.64  
Bristol_City     4    2   -2      -3.48     9.89    -1.90    68.87    12.93    12.63     1.74     6.30    35.26    13.87P    4.48R    0.57  
Gillingham       4    2   -5      -1.78    25.65    -2.17    48.79    11.61   -23.03     0.01     0.06     2.00     0.44P   42.99R   12.32  
Notts_County     4    1   -4      -3.99     6.81    -3.12    61.81    11.49     0.49     0.21     1.14    14.97     4.16P    9.08R    1.07  
Tranmere         4    1   -8      -3.87     7.76    -6.87    54.71    11.12   -14.78     0.03     0.23     4.69     1.07P   23.22R    4.26  
Carlisle         4    1  -12      -3.00    14.39    -9.34    41.51    10.88   -45.24     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   69.17R   31.58  
Coventry         3   -4   +4      -9.06     0.00     2.46    64.55    11.98    18.94     0.70     2.79    22.93     8.14P    6.24R    0.73  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            4   10   +6       4.45    95.56     5.97    74.53    11.04    16.72     9.49    30.33    62.79    38.17P    0.34R    0.11  
Chesterfield          4   10   +5       3.83    92.51     4.01    81.33    10.97    25.89    24.44    54.77    82.82    62.95P    0.06R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town        4    9   +4       3.33    88.11     3.62    66.69    10.97     3.95     2.61    11.33    34.56    16.23P    1.78R    0.59  
Southend              4    9   +3       2.95    85.81     2.12    76.17    11.01    17.50    12.01    35.82    67.95    44.33P    0.17R    0.05  
Burton_Albion         4    8   +2       2.79    84.59     2.46    66.37    11.20     2.45     2.59    11.07    33.76    15.65P    2.24R    0.82  
Newport_County        4    7   +2       2.56    84.00     3.76    47.31    10.86   -27.28     0.04     0.32     2.12     0.57P   38.12R   22.70  
Exeter                4    7   +1       0.57    58.81    -0.46    67.32    11.02     5.11     2.90    12.37    36.83    18.12P    1.55R    0.52  
AFC_Wimbledon         4    7   +0       2.69    85.12     1.89    55.56    10.77   -15.23     0.23     1.52     8.10     2.60P   13.34R    6.26  
Plymouth              4    6   +0       1.14    66.76     0.79    60.28    10.54    -4.13     0.54     3.35    15.65     5.76P    5.67R    2.17  
Scunthorpe            4    5   +1      -2.15    21.95    -1.56    73.10    11.86    17.20     9.28    28.08    57.61    37.22P    0.73R    0.27  
Portsmouth            4    5   +0      -2.47    18.70    -3.07    79.11    12.03    26.48    21.39    47.49    75.22    56.79P    0.22R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red             4    5   +0      -0.45    44.09     0.10    57.78    10.89    -7.32     0.44     2.39    11.92     4.38P    9.05R    3.78  
Torquay               4    5   -1      -0.65    42.09    -1.29    62.14    10.85    -1.66     0.95     5.31    20.91     8.79P    4.32R    1.70  
Mansfield             4    5   -1       1.02    67.54     1.40    53.65    11.40   -15.07     0.20     1.32     6.96     2.31P   19.33R   10.04  
Rochdale              4    4   +1      -1.52    30.60     0.98    66.28    11.24     7.94     2.55    11.15    34.46    16.88P    2.24R    0.87  
Bury                  4    4   +0      -2.03    24.34    -0.85    70.14    12.20    13.23     6.37    20.89    47.82    28.59P    1.61R    0.59  
Bristol_Rovers        4    4   -1      -1.41    32.16    -0.85    57.52    10.98    -7.76     0.41     2.40    11.51     4.34P    9.75R    4.43  
Wycombe               4    4   -1      -1.72    27.34    -1.31    59.86    10.73    -3.40     0.55     3.46    15.50     6.08P    6.24R    2.53  
Morecambe             4    4   -2      -0.83    39.85    -0.94    59.18    10.88    -5.33     0.47     3.04    14.28     5.47P    7.48R    3.21  
York                  4    4   -2      -0.77    40.76    -1.04    52.23    10.34   -15.47     0.06     0.57     4.25     1.19P   19.80R    9.77  
Cheltenham            4    4   -3      -1.63    28.39    -3.21    62.36    10.90    -1.58     1.03     5.32    21.65     9.36P    4.06R    1.60  
Northampton           4    3   -2      -2.75    14.38    -2.47    58.45    11.04    -5.63     0.50     2.93    13.45     5.32P    8.56R    3.62  
Hartlepool            4    1   -5      -4.52     4.12    -5.12    60.45    11.41    -1.66     0.94     4.56    18.22     8.48P    6.56R    2.90  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -7      -3.24    11.22    -4.94    47.37    10.52   -24.96     0.01     0.19     1.64     0.41P   36.79R   21.36  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Barnet 1 1 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd     4   10   +6       3.82    94.05     4.82    73.58    10.98    15.62     5.84    38.40    12.09P    0.45R    0.04  
Kidderminster     4    9   +3       1.26    65.93    -0.82    82.61    10.85    29.18    22.38    70.64    36.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Southport         4    9   +1       3.66    89.39     1.30    62.12    11.01    -7.96     0.61     9.22     1.75P    5.34R    0.75  
Barnet            4    8   +4       0.09    50.47     0.05    83.43    11.44    32.70    26.48    72.06    40.53P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford          4    8   +3       0.58    57.27     0.06    73.51    10.85    16.04     5.74    38.26    12.74P    0.39R    0.02  
Nuneaton          4    8   +3       3.30    90.28     4.19    62.57    10.61    -1.36     0.58     9.35     1.98P    3.92R    0.44  
Braintree_Town    4    7   +3       1.86    77.00     3.56    63.37    10.88     0.70     0.83    11.08     2.45P    3.76R    0.49  
Welling           4    7   +2       2.79    85.46     4.23    58.36    12.47    -9.29     0.68     7.46     1.74P   13.03R    2.75  
Grimsby           4    7   +2       0.27    54.19     0.03    78.59    10.68    24.21    12.24    57.27    24.24P    0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      4    7   +1       1.86    76.30     1.56    63.47    10.76    -0.72     0.77    10.72     2.43P    3.70R    0.50  
Halifax           4    7   -1       2.92    87.24     1.55    53.62    12.46   -21.96     0.28     3.71     0.77P   23.28R    6.27  
Alfreton_Town     4    6   +0       1.11    65.85     1.08    59.24    11.02    -8.54     0.37     6.01     1.21P    8.67R    1.37  
Forest_Green      4    5   +7      -1.67    26.96     5.05    72.91    10.78    23.38     5.23    36.89    13.08P    0.43R    0.03  
Luton             4    5   +1      -1.60    27.18    -0.75    72.33    10.70    16.45     4.41    33.77    11.40P    0.48R    0.02  
Wrexham           4    5   +0      -2.90    13.44    -3.96    76.73    10.69    22.51     9.45    50.16    21.15P    0.15R    0.01  
Tamworth          4    5   +0       0.89    65.88     1.99    55.37    10.46   -11.03     0.10     2.48     0.44P   13.79R    2.38  
Woking            4    4   -2      -1.56    30.50    -2.01    53.00    10.80   -17.85     0.07     1.74     0.30P   20.78R    4.13  
Salisbury         4    3   -3      -0.81    38.30    -0.23    46.58    11.85   -26.81     0.06     0.94     0.20P   43.27R   15.00  
Dartford          4    3   -6      -2.01    21.72    -5.18    54.10    10.62   -16.39     0.10     1.93     0.36P   17.38R    3.34  
Macclesfield      4    2   -2      -3.69     7.64    -2.38    59.45    10.80    -2.22     0.33     6.03     1.38P    7.47R    1.16  
Hyde_United       4    2   -9      -1.73    25.31    -5.65    46.75    10.54   -32.75     0.01     0.37     0.06P   41.82R   12.60  
Gateshead         4    0   -5      -4.05     3.23    -2.66    54.65    10.83    -9.91     0.07     2.40     0.47P   16.47R    3.34  
Chester           4    0   -9      -3.05     6.59    -4.28    37.32    11.20   -44.03     0.00     0.10     0.01P   74.10R   45.25  
Aldershot         4   -6   +1     -13.18     0.00    -1.56    70.06    11.16    30.04     3.39    29.02    13.21P    1.13R    0.10  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10