Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 24 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 2 6 +3 1.47 75.91 0.17 73.68 9.72 31.64 14.71 34.48 54.28 70.56 90.20 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 2 6 +2 2.24 85.47 0.55 68.34 9.68 21.50 5.68 16.42 31.57 48.77 78.19 0.05R 0.00 West_Ham 2 4 +2 0.92 70.84 1.50 48.24 9.34 -6.18 0.03 0.18 0.69 1.85 8.69 6.99R 0.88 Southampton 2 4 +1 1.37 78.61 1.14 47.01 9.55 -9.98 0.03 0.19 0.61 1.63 7.31 9.68R 1.52 Man_City 1 3 +4 0.70 64.75 2.47 76.92 9.64 40.44 24.44 49.38 68.65 81.71 94.89 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 1 3 +3 0.84 67.28 1.73 81.37 9.49 50.29 44.96 68.86 82.69 90.86 97.94 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 1 3 +1 0.83 67.14 -0.28 64.40 10.17 17.08 3.18 9.77 19.90 33.40 63.56 0.20R 0.02 Arsenal 2 3 +0 -0.92 29.33 -1.86 68.34 9.86 25.30 6.23 17.47 32.42 49.56 77.97 0.04R 0.00 Aston_Villa 3 3 +0 0.73 64.59 3.10 46.31 9.37 -8.12 0.03 0.10 0.39 1.15 5.98 10.35R 1.65 Stoke 2 3 +0 0.38 56.32 0.15 45.08 9.04 -9.82 0.01 0.07 0.23 0.67 4.44 11.91R 1.61 Fulham 2 3 -1 0.72 63.13 -0.27 49.17 9.69 -6.66 0.05 0.29 0.94 2.56 10.91 6.55R 1.00 Hull 2 3 -1 1.36 76.56 0.81 35.19 9.02 -26.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.47 49.03R 15.86 Everton 2 2 +0 -1.45 22.69 -1.02 57.59 9.62 9.11 0.61 2.35 5.98 12.44 35.67 0.88R 0.09 Norwich 2 1 -1 -1.53 25.60 -0.73 40.70 9.41 -17.61 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.31 2.11 25.81R 5.92 Sunderland 2 1 -1 -1.66 23.91 -0.93 44.10 9.31 -10.48 0.02 0.08 0.24 0.78 4.01 14.72R 2.64 West_Brom 2 1 -1 -1.54 25.77 -0.73 46.85 9.61 -7.22 0.02 0.16 0.57 1.64 7.30 9.79R 1.68 Newcastle 2 1 -4 -0.90 38.30 -2.48 42.96 9.55 -16.91 0.00 0.06 0.20 0.63 3.41 19.20R 3.96 Crystal_Palace 2 0 -2 -1.52 16.94 -0.09 28.17 8.84 -38.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 77.06R 46.26 Cardiff 1 0 -2 -1.01 24.20 -1.49 36.41 9.86 -25.44 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.17 1.02 44.33R 14.62 Swansea 1 0 -3 -0.64 32.72 -1.73 45.34 9.74 -11.39 0.01 0.12 0.46 1.23 5.85 13.39R 2.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Blackburn 5 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Blackpool 4 10 +4 3.62 91.38 2.60 73.87 11.39 13.56 6.87 15.03 47.22 22.47P 0.59R 0.05 Leicester 4 10 +3 3.44 90.05 1.39 79.57 11.17 21.31 15.50 29.07 66.97 39.52P 0.13R 0.02 QPR 4 10 +3 3.31 89.48 1.25 77.99 11.47 18.67 13.04 25.08 61.32 35.06P 0.21R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 3 9 +5 4.40 96.26 4.28 72.75 11.41 12.44 5.94 12.80 43.15 19.52P 0.62R 0.05 Leeds_United 4 8 +2 2.78 84.97 2.39 65.40 11.25 1.56 1.51 3.96 20.52 7.22P 3.13R 0.37 Watford 3 7 +6 2.01 82.51 4.42 80.48 11.98 29.36 19.80 34.08 69.36 43.62P 0.16R 0.02 Huddersfield 4 7 +4 1.74 75.15 4.24 59.11 11.04 -4.70 0.36 1.13 8.69 2.50P 8.78R 1.46 Derby 4 7 +3 1.38 70.18 2.76 65.76 11.06 4.83 1.44 4.11 21.27 7.78P 2.78R 0.31 Doncaster 4 7 +2 2.63 84.16 3.85 57.56 11.76 -9.10 0.47 1.27 8.04 2.51P 12.94R 2.76 Burnley 4 7 +1 0.98 65.04 0.10 66.10 11.22 3.32 1.81 4.57 22.54 8.45P 2.47R 0.32 Brighton 4 6 +1 -0.15 47.11 0.01 72.03 10.97 13.82 4.72 10.98 40.72 18.93P 0.65R 0.06 Bournemouth 4 6 -7 2.55 83.01 -3.19 46.92 11.35 -36.05 0.04 0.11 1.23 0.27P 43.28R 15.17 Reading 4 5 +0 -1.14 35.34 -0.98 74.66 12.26 18.94 9.32 18.78 50.77 27.99P 0.74R 0.07 Wigan 3 4 +3 -1.97 21.73 0.02 77.41 12.53 25.81 14.57 26.32 59.67 36.72P 0.44R 0.03 Blackburn 4 4 +0 -1.98 24.54 -0.79 62.81 11.23 1.76 0.90 2.47 15.00 5.31P 4.87R 0.75 Middlesbrough 3 4 +0 0.22 56.41 0.46 61.11 11.44 -2.77 0.71 1.89 12.03 3.96P 7.00R 1.19 Ipswich 4 3 +0 -1.78 25.01 1.08 56.12 11.00 -6.69 0.20 0.63 5.35 1.60P 13.89R 2.77 Birmingham 4 3 -2 -2.44 18.14 -1.95 63.27 11.23 2.09 0.92 2.58 15.96 5.68P 4.50R 0.70 Yeovil 4 3 -5 -0.60 42.50 -1.98 39.11 10.80 -41.75 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.04P 70.42R 39.04 Sheff_Wed 4 2 -2 -2.81 14.89 -1.00 53.08 10.92 -12.02 0.08 0.34 3.03 0.86P 20.95R 4.72 Bolton 4 2 -4 -3.21 12.44 -3.62 65.35 11.40 4.78 1.63 4.18 20.87 8.23P 3.33R 0.48 Charlton 4 1 -4 -5.20 2.88 -5.05 54.66 11.02 -10.08 0.15 0.48 4.20 1.33P 16.75R 3.47 Millwall 4 1 -5 -4.54 3.99 -5.16 49.21 10.62 -18.51 0.02 0.10 1.35 0.31P 32.13R 8.35 Barnsley 4 1 -8 -2.76 15.60 -5.11 44.95 10.67 -30.59 0.00 0.03 0.54 0.12P 49.25R 17.83League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Bradford 2 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 4 12 +10 5.04 96.70 7.73 74.79 11.38 17.69 3.13 10.90 52.67 19.80P 0.66R 0.03 Peterborough 4 12 +9 4.17 93.62 5.04 96.53 12.04 57.18 54.98 77.35 96.25 83.51P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 4 10 +6 2.21 80.67 2.26 90.36 11.86 42.68 28.87 59.42 91.11 70.22P 0.04R 0.00 Brentford 4 8 +3 1.50 70.30 1.49 73.74 11.31 15.36 2.41 9.19 49.26 19.02P 0.91R 0.06 Colchester 4 8 +2 2.37 80.98 1.78 57.90 11.06 -10.79 0.08 0.48 7.82 1.69P 15.29R 1.98 Bradford 4 7 +5 2.35 81.64 6.48 52.32 11.52 -15.65 0.06 0.25 3.78 0.75P 31.01R 6.48 Walsall 4 7 +2 1.29 68.66 1.67 67.01 11.48 5.20 0.70 3.20 27.32 8.33P 3.80R 0.35 Oldham 4 6 +1 1.28 67.91 2.54 57.66 11.09 -8.74 0.05 0.45 7.71 1.68P 15.74R 2.23 Rotherham 4 6 +1 1.31 67.75 2.43 49.72 11.83 -24.97 0.03 0.19 2.77 0.58P 40.69R 11.17 MK_Dons 4 6 +1 -0.74 38.08 -0.96 74.77 11.34 18.10 3.13 11.05 53.03 22.43P 0.81R 0.04 Shrewsbury 4 5 -1 0.37 57.67 0.28 57.18 11.09 -10.24 0.06 0.38 6.90 1.53P 16.99R 2.56 Crawley_Town 4 4 -1 -0.84 40.54 0.27 57.12 11.44 -9.75 0.06 0.47 7.52 1.69P 17.76R 2.99 Crewe 4 4 -2 -0.66 43.05 -0.57 51.54 11.14 -20.06 0.02 0.11 2.79 0.46P 33.19R 7.15 Port_Vale 4 4 -2 -0.94 39.46 -1.09 50.55 11.83 -22.19 0.05 0.18 2.97 0.68P 37.25R 9.92 Swindon 4 4 -2 -2.45 18.70 -3.34 73.19 11.20 15.73 1.92 8.34 47.27 19.49P 0.93R 0.04 Sheff_Utd 4 4 -3 -2.53 18.73 -4.56 70.49 11.37 10.57 1.37 5.63 37.88 14.21P 1.74R 0.13 Preston 3 3 +0 -0.89 35.26 0.31 63.28 11.39 1.72 0.33 1.61 17.54 5.07P 6.84R 0.73 Stevenage 4 3 -2 -1.71 26.39 -0.81 55.31 11.08 -10.84 0.04 0.26 5.23 1.13P 21.17R 3.64 Bristol_City 4 2 -2 -3.48 9.89 -1.90 68.87 12.93 12.63 1.74 6.30 35.26 13.87P 4.48R 0.57 Gillingham 4 2 -5 -1.78 25.65 -2.17 48.79 11.61 -23.03 0.01 0.06 2.00 0.44P 42.99R 12.32 Notts_County 4 1 -4 -3.99 6.81 -3.12 61.81 11.49 0.49 0.21 1.14 14.97 4.16P 9.08R 1.07 Tranmere 4 1 -8 -3.87 7.76 -6.87 54.71 11.12 -14.78 0.03 0.23 4.69 1.07P 23.22R 4.26 Carlisle 4 1 -12 -3.00 14.39 -9.34 41.51 10.88 -45.24 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 69.17R 31.58 Coventry 3 -4 +4 -9.06 0.00 2.46 64.55 11.98 18.94 0.70 2.79 22.93 8.14P 6.24R 0.73 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 4 10 +6 4.45 95.56 5.97 74.53 11.04 16.72 9.49 30.33 62.79 38.17P 0.34R 0.11 Chesterfield 4 10 +5 3.83 92.51 4.01 81.33 10.97 25.89 24.44 54.77 82.82 62.95P 0.06R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 4 9 +4 3.33 88.11 3.62 66.69 10.97 3.95 2.61 11.33 34.56 16.23P 1.78R 0.59 Southend 4 9 +3 2.95 85.81 2.12 76.17 11.01 17.50 12.01 35.82 67.95 44.33P 0.17R 0.05 Burton_Albion 4 8 +2 2.79 84.59 2.46 66.37 11.20 2.45 2.59 11.07 33.76 15.65P 2.24R 0.82 Newport_County 4 7 +2 2.56 84.00 3.76 47.31 10.86 -27.28 0.04 0.32 2.12 0.57P 38.12R 22.70 Exeter 4 7 +1 0.57 58.81 -0.46 67.32 11.02 5.11 2.90 12.37 36.83 18.12P 1.55R 0.52 AFC_Wimbledon 4 7 +0 2.69 85.12 1.89 55.56 10.77 -15.23 0.23 1.52 8.10 2.60P 13.34R 6.26 Plymouth 4 6 +0 1.14 66.76 0.79 60.28 10.54 -4.13 0.54 3.35 15.65 5.76P 5.67R 2.17 Scunthorpe 4 5 +1 -2.15 21.95 -1.56 73.10 11.86 17.20 9.28 28.08 57.61 37.22P 0.73R 0.27 Portsmouth 4 5 +0 -2.47 18.70 -3.07 79.11 12.03 26.48 21.39 47.49 75.22 56.79P 0.22R 0.09 Dag_&_Red 4 5 +0 -0.45 44.09 0.10 57.78 10.89 -7.32 0.44 2.39 11.92 4.38P 9.05R 3.78 Torquay 4 5 -1 -0.65 42.09 -1.29 62.14 10.85 -1.66 0.95 5.31 20.91 8.79P 4.32R 1.70 Mansfield 4 5 -1 1.02 67.54 1.40 53.65 11.40 -15.07 0.20 1.32 6.96 2.31P 19.33R 10.04 Rochdale 4 4 +1 -1.52 30.60 0.98 66.28 11.24 7.94 2.55 11.15 34.46 16.88P 2.24R 0.87 Bury 4 4 +0 -2.03 24.34 -0.85 70.14 12.20 13.23 6.37 20.89 47.82 28.59P 1.61R 0.59 Bristol_Rovers 4 4 -1 -1.41 32.16 -0.85 57.52 10.98 -7.76 0.41 2.40 11.51 4.34P 9.75R 4.43 Wycombe 4 4 -1 -1.72 27.34 -1.31 59.86 10.73 -3.40 0.55 3.46 15.50 6.08P 6.24R 2.53 Morecambe 4 4 -2 -0.83 39.85 -0.94 59.18 10.88 -5.33 0.47 3.04 14.28 5.47P 7.48R 3.21 York 4 4 -2 -0.77 40.76 -1.04 52.23 10.34 -15.47 0.06 0.57 4.25 1.19P 19.80R 9.77 Cheltenham 4 4 -3 -1.63 28.39 -3.21 62.36 10.90 -1.58 1.03 5.32 21.65 9.36P 4.06R 1.60 Northampton 4 3 -2 -2.75 14.38 -2.47 58.45 11.04 -5.63 0.50 2.93 13.45 5.32P 8.56R 3.62 Hartlepool 4 1 -5 -4.52 4.12 -5.12 60.45 11.41 -1.66 0.94 4.56 18.22 8.48P 6.56R 2.90 Accrington_Stanley 4 1 -7 -3.24 11.22 -4.94 47.37 10.52 -24.96 0.01 0.19 1.64 0.41P 36.79R 21.36Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2013, Barnet 1 1 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 4 10 +6 3.82 94.05 4.82 73.58 10.98 15.62 5.84 38.40 12.09P 0.45R 0.04 Kidderminster 4 9 +3 1.26 65.93 -0.82 82.61 10.85 29.18 22.38 70.64 36.00P 0.04R 0.00 Southport 4 9 +1 3.66 89.39 1.30 62.12 11.01 -7.96 0.61 9.22 1.75P 5.34R 0.75 Barnet 4 8 +4 0.09 50.47 0.05 83.43 11.44 32.70 26.48 72.06 40.53P 0.06R 0.00 Hereford 4 8 +3 0.58 57.27 0.06 73.51 10.85 16.04 5.74 38.26 12.74P 0.39R 0.02 Nuneaton 4 8 +3 3.30 90.28 4.19 62.57 10.61 -1.36 0.58 9.35 1.98P 3.92R 0.44 Braintree_Town 4 7 +3 1.86 77.00 3.56 63.37 10.88 0.70 0.83 11.08 2.45P 3.76R 0.49 Welling 4 7 +2 2.79 85.46 4.23 58.36 12.47 -9.29 0.68 7.46 1.74P 13.03R 2.75 Grimsby 4 7 +2 0.27 54.19 0.03 78.59 10.68 24.21 12.24 57.27 24.24P 0.09R 0.00 Lincoln_City 4 7 +1 1.86 76.30 1.56 63.47 10.76 -0.72 0.77 10.72 2.43P 3.70R 0.50 Halifax 4 7 -1 2.92 87.24 1.55 53.62 12.46 -21.96 0.28 3.71 0.77P 23.28R 6.27 Alfreton_Town 4 6 +0 1.11 65.85 1.08 59.24 11.02 -8.54 0.37 6.01 1.21P 8.67R 1.37 Forest_Green 4 5 +7 -1.67 26.96 5.05 72.91 10.78 23.38 5.23 36.89 13.08P 0.43R 0.03 Luton 4 5 +1 -1.60 27.18 -0.75 72.33 10.70 16.45 4.41 33.77 11.40P 0.48R 0.02 Wrexham 4 5 +0 -2.90 13.44 -3.96 76.73 10.69 22.51 9.45 50.16 21.15P 0.15R 0.01 Tamworth 4 5 +0 0.89 65.88 1.99 55.37 10.46 -11.03 0.10 2.48 0.44P 13.79R 2.38 Woking 4 4 -2 -1.56 30.50 -2.01 53.00 10.80 -17.85 0.07 1.74 0.30P 20.78R 4.13 Salisbury 4 3 -3 -0.81 38.30 -0.23 46.58 11.85 -26.81 0.06 0.94 0.20P 43.27R 15.00 Dartford 4 3 -6 -2.01 21.72 -5.18 54.10 10.62 -16.39 0.10 1.93 0.36P 17.38R 3.34 Macclesfield 4 2 -2 -3.69 7.64 -2.38 59.45 10.80 -2.22 0.33 6.03 1.38P 7.47R 1.16 Hyde_United 4 2 -9 -1.73 25.31 -5.65 46.75 10.54 -32.75 0.01 0.37 0.06P 41.82R 12.60 Gateshead 4 0 -5 -4.05 3.23 -2.66 54.65 10.83 -9.91 0.07 2.40 0.47P 16.47R 3.34 Chester 4 0 -9 -3.05 6.59 -4.28 37.32 11.20 -44.03 0.00 0.10 0.01P 74.10R 45.25 Aldershot 4 -6 +1 -13.18 0.00 -1.56 70.06 11.16 30.04 3.39 29.02 13.21P 1.13R 0.10 Adjustments: Aldershot -10