Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 August 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           2    6   +3       1.37    74.46    -0.13    74.36     9.78    33.57    15.26    35.82    56.04    71.65    90.03     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City          1    3   +4       0.65    63.54     2.30    77.58     9.73    42.62    24.67    50.55    69.38    82.04    94.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd           1    3   +3       0.84    67.14     1.68    82.08     9.63    53.55    45.56    69.26    82.84    91.09    97.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          1    3   +2       1.25    74.99     1.43    48.58     9.88    -7.27     0.06     0.28     0.91     2.29     9.45     7.36R    1.10  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +1       1.69    81.33     3.58    47.39     9.80    -8.41     0.02     0.16     0.63     1.75     7.62     8.94R    1.52  
Fulham            1    3   +1       1.64    81.89     0.99    51.28     9.99    -3.96     0.12     0.63     1.82     4.22    14.69     4.37R    0.56  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.03    71.48     0.15    67.70    10.16    22.68     5.22    14.92    29.00    45.03    72.79     0.08R    0.00  
Southampton       1    3   +1       1.81    84.16     1.28    47.63     9.99   -10.42     0.04     0.25     0.90     2.22     8.27     9.24R    1.46  
Tottenham         1    3   +1       0.82    67.01    -0.31    65.32    10.29    18.91     3.58    10.78    21.64    35.65    64.73     0.20R    0.01  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.73    38.25    -0.53    59.44    10.04    11.41     0.91     3.45     8.62    16.69    41.32     0.69R    0.07  
Norwich           1    1   +0      -0.02    61.75     0.53    43.00     9.89   -16.22     0.01     0.07     0.22     0.68     3.35    19.41R    4.01  
Crystal_Palace    1    0   -1      -0.62    32.99     0.31    29.53     9.28   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.16    70.95R   36.99  
Stoke             1    0   -1      -0.77    28.52    -0.15    43.59     9.35   -11.29     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.55     3.14    15.58R    2.70  
Sunderland        1    0   -1      -1.36    18.11    -0.99    44.10     9.63   -11.80     0.02     0.08     0.29     0.75     3.99    15.24R    2.82  
West_Brom         1    0   -1      -1.56    15.84    -1.28    46.76    10.04    -8.86     0.03     0.19     0.61     1.70     7.42    10.62R    1.85  
Arsenal           1    0   -2      -2.10     8.43    -3.21    66.72    10.19    23.78     4.46    13.32    26.18    41.43    70.01     0.10R    0.01  
Cardiff           1    0   -2      -0.99    25.01    -1.43    36.20    10.06   -27.19     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.19     1.00    43.91R   14.56  
Hull              1    0   -2      -0.41    37.67    -0.24    31.81     9.19   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20    62.39R   26.12  
Swansea           1    0   -3      -0.65    32.86    -1.68    45.70     9.83   -11.58     0.02     0.11     0.42     1.25     5.54    12.27R    2.18  
Newcastle         1    0   -4      -0.49    36.46    -2.30    43.40    10.02   -18.06     0.01     0.06     0.25     0.76     3.87    18.66R    4.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 August 2013, Wigan 2 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    3    9   +5       4.38    96.21     4.24    72.03    11.16    11.40     5.61    12.76    43.50    19.63P    0.81R    0.10  
Watford          3    7   +6       2.13    83.65     4.71    80.22    11.85    28.38    20.89    36.01    71.57    45.95P    0.19R    0.03  
Blackpool        3    7   +3       2.09    82.16     1.79    70.90    11.53    10.49     5.20    11.82    40.55    18.47P    1.28R    0.17  
Burnley          3    7   +3       2.04    81.88     1.70    68.32    11.25     6.66     3.16     7.60    31.47    12.95P    1.97R    0.25  
QPR              3    7   +2       1.73    77.45     0.34    74.92    11.88    15.46    10.45    20.55    54.02    29.81P    0.64R    0.07  
Leicester        3    7   +2       2.23    83.34     1.02    76.67    11.20    18.01    11.75    23.22    60.24    33.54P    0.24R    0.02  
Bournemouth      3    6   -3       3.28    91.09    -0.48    51.52    11.72   -24.68     0.14     0.43     3.50     0.87P   30.61R   10.52  
Reading          3    5   +1       0.15    52.10    -0.10    76.84    12.45    20.93    14.53    26.70    60.15    36.22P    0.64R    0.10  
Leeds_United     3    5   +1       1.13    69.53     1.32    62.14    11.12    -1.61     0.91     2.50    15.15     4.97P    6.42R    1.19  
Wigan            3    4   +3      -1.86    22.81     0.25    77.57    12.30    25.56    16.32    29.34    63.36    40.03P    0.44R    0.06  
Doncaster        3    4   +0       0.88    68.20     1.61    52.40    11.73   -15.91     0.20     0.51     4.16     1.11P   26.93R    8.71  
Derby            3    4   +0       0.20    55.98     0.38    62.43    11.29    -0.59     1.05     2.86    16.07     5.57P    6.15R    1.17  
Middlesbrough    3    4   +0       0.25    57.17     0.47    60.89    11.17    -2.78     0.70     1.98    12.95     4.11P    7.60R    1.53  
Huddersfield     3    4   +0       0.73    65.31     1.11    54.97    11.02   -11.71     0.19     0.61     5.17     1.37P   18.28R    4.56  
Ipswich          3    3   +1      -0.37    43.70     2.12    58.06    11.16    -4.35     0.38     1.23     8.81     2.73P   11.55R    2.54  
Brighton         3    3   -1      -1.38    27.57    -1.43    68.77    11.13     9.35     3.27     7.97    32.93    14.49P    1.79R    0.24  
Birmingham       3    3   -1      -1.45    26.83    -1.50    64.48    11.27     2.93     1.42     3.95    20.93     7.92P    4.07R    0.72  
Yeovil           3    3   -2       0.28    56.30     0.14    42.61    11.14   -33.53     0.02     0.06     0.62     0.15P   60.80R   31.54  
Bolton           3    2   -3      -1.86    23.07    -2.65    67.12    11.53     6.27     2.66     6.52    28.57    11.88P    2.86R    0.49  
Charlton         3    1   -2      -3.54     7.53    -2.63    58.50    11.15    -3.86     0.45     1.36     9.39     3.15P   10.93R    2.39  
Sheff_Wed        3    1   -2      -2.26    18.09    -0.82    53.51    10.96   -11.17     0.13     0.37     3.91     1.06P   21.63R    6.04  
Blackburn        3    1   -3      -3.04    10.73    -2.94    59.14    11.15    -3.87     0.52     1.46    10.25     3.34P    9.90R    2.01  
Barnsley         3    1   -5      -2.00    21.93    -3.26    47.89    10.77   -23.36     0.03     0.09     1.23     0.29P   40.36R   14.89  
Millwall         3    0   -5      -4.34     1.73    -5.39    49.32    10.57   -18.04     0.02     0.09     1.48     0.38P   33.92R   10.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 23 August 2013, Colchester 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton    4   10   +6       2.25    81.11     2.31    89.66    11.77    41.52    34.33    58.10    89.71    68.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    3    9   +8       4.03    94.57     6.68    72.82    11.60    15.26     3.39     9.71    44.48    17.13P    1.14R    0.06  
Peterborough     3    9   +4       3.43    91.69     1.60    90.31    12.72    42.68    38.48    59.96    88.66    68.43P    0.08R    0.00  
Colchester       4    8   +2       2.40    81.48     1.82    58.21    11.05   -10.16     0.15     0.65     7.56     1.75P   14.38R    1.78  
Walsall          3    7   +3       2.39    84.83     2.27    68.66    11.66     6.66     1.65     5.30    30.58    10.44P    2.88R    0.23  
Brentford        3    5   +2       0.27    54.49     1.08    72.00    11.57    14.32     2.82     8.58    41.65    16.62P    1.40R    0.07  
Rotherham        3    5   +1       1.68    76.68     2.40    51.01    12.22   -22.85     0.07     0.31     3.56     0.79P   36.33R    9.12  
MK_Dons          3    5   +1      -0.08    48.31    -0.51    76.20    11.61    19.85     5.65    15.44    56.12    26.54P    0.58R    0.03  
Bradford         3    4   +3       0.62    64.89     4.39    47.87    11.64   -22.59     0.02     0.08     1.77     0.36P   45.98R   12.78  
Crewe            3    4   +0       0.21    56.84     0.59    53.98    11.53   -16.17     0.07     0.34     4.47     0.97P   25.94R    4.90  
Port_Vale        3    4   +0      -0.02    52.71     0.17    53.56    12.35   -16.94     0.11     0.50     5.22     1.33P   28.96R    6.23  
Crawley_Town     4    4   -1      -0.73    42.23     0.45    57.22    11.43    -9.46     0.12     0.57     7.20     1.60P   17.34R    2.64  
Sheff_Utd        3    4   -1      -0.96    36.29    -2.27    74.27    11.64    16.53     4.22    11.99    49.26    22.08P    0.93R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       3    4   -1       0.75    65.93     0.27    57.70    11.30    -9.75     0.15     0.66     7.22     1.76P   15.82R    2.34  
Preston          3    3   +0      -0.88    35.51     0.32    63.44    11.44     2.11     0.49     1.92    17.04     5.04P    6.71R    0.77  
Oldham           3    3   -1      -0.09    48.75     0.86    54.65    11.18   -12.84     0.07     0.24     4.45     0.88P   23.25R    3.87  
Swindon          3    3   -2      -1.57    24.27    -2.62    74.62    11.39    17.33     4.03    11.80    50.97    23.23P    0.76R    0.04  
Bristol_City     3    1   -2      -3.42     8.15    -2.44    68.02    13.19    10.62     2.18     6.70    31.84    13.11P    5.19R    0.66  
Tranmere         3    1   -3      -3.19     9.90    -3.10    59.27    11.46    -4.52     0.23     0.87     9.85     2.65P   12.72R    1.79  
Notts_County     3    1   -3      -2.41    18.25    -1.84    64.97    11.84     4.45     0.75     2.82    21.36     7.17P    5.88R    0.61  
Gillingham       3    1   -5      -1.99    21.84    -3.08    47.30    11.78   -25.74     0.01     0.07     1.53     0.32P   47.95R   14.89  
Carlisle         4    1  -12      -3.06    13.76    -9.45    41.31    10.74   -45.54     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   69.72R   30.49  
Stevenage        3    0   -3      -3.67     3.64    -2.31    52.31    11.27   -14.15     0.05     0.20     3.02     0.67P   29.97R    5.92  
Coventry         3   -4   +4      -9.08     0.00     2.42    64.74    11.97    19.39     0.96     3.19    22.22     8.63P    6.08R    0.72  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bury 3 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            3    9   +6       5.22    98.27     6.54    75.70    11.21    17.87    10.83    32.76    65.55    40.40P    0.22R    0.06  
Southend              3    9   +4       4.01    95.44     2.69    77.17    11.11    17.99    13.24    37.15    70.23    45.93P    0.12R    0.03  
Chesterfield          3    7   +4       2.57    87.42     3.55    79.17    11.12    24.07    17.37    45.23    76.66    54.34P    0.07R    0.03  
Exeter                3    7   +3       1.67    77.41     1.16    69.74    11.21     8.90     4.19    16.63    44.98    23.43P    0.89R    0.29  
Burton_Albion         3    7   +2       3.20    91.64     2.51    66.97    11.46     3.00     2.82    11.88    35.39    16.67P    1.99R    0.79  
Fleetwood_Town        3    6   +3       1.49    71.15     2.36    63.39    11.01     0.64     1.25     6.26    24.15     9.98P    3.37R    1.27  
Newport_County        3    6   +2       2.45    83.23     2.97    46.39    11.20   -29.44     0.05     0.33     2.13     0.60P   40.77R   25.57  
Scunthorpe            3    5   +2      -0.64    37.88    -0.33    75.83    11.98    20.12    12.83    34.65    65.38    43.96P    0.33R    0.10  
Rochdale              3    4   +2      -0.27    48.10     1.82    68.36    11.55    10.19     3.62    14.60    40.88    21.11P    1.53R    0.57  
Portsmouth            3    4   +0      -1.81    23.24    -2.62    80.25    12.15    27.49    22.84    49.57    77.49    59.02P    0.15R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red             3    4   +0       0.48    61.99     0.92    59.46    11.04    -5.13     0.52     3.15    15.05     5.43P    6.89R    2.90  
AFC_Wimbledon         3    4   -1       0.90    69.16     0.59    52.75    10.85   -17.46     0.12     0.83     5.16     1.59P   18.92R    9.40  
Mansfield             3    4   -1       1.15    73.12     0.94    53.19    11.53   -16.03     0.17     1.20     6.53     2.23P   19.28R   10.26  
York                  3    4   -1       0.27    57.13    -0.55    53.81    10.36   -13.49     0.10     0.74     5.51     1.55P   15.03R    6.76  
Bury                  3    3   +0      -1.71    22.29    -0.93    69.44    12.24    11.55     5.17    18.06    44.94    25.44P    1.67R    0.66  
Northampton           3    3   -1      -1.22    28.48    -1.25    61.13    11.12    -2.40     0.83     4.39    18.63     7.56P    5.22R    2.09  
Plymouth              3    3   -1      -0.38    43.55    -0.04    57.91    10.69    -6.09     0.34     2.03    11.09     3.90P    8.06R    3.43  
Wycombe               3    3   -1      -1.78    21.91    -1.96    58.70    10.93    -5.45     0.47     2.76    13.17     5.01P    7.39R    3.14  
Torquay               3    2   -2      -2.46    15.20    -2.55    58.79    10.95    -5.07     0.45     2.82    13.38     5.23P    7.44R    3.25  
Bristol_Rovers        3    1   -2      -2.53    15.63    -1.12    55.87    11.05    -8.36     0.22     1.55     9.09     3.20P   12.00R    5.56  
Cheltenham            3    1   -4      -3.19     8.82    -4.12    59.80    11.00    -4.01     0.51     3.34    15.58     6.18P    6.39R    2.67  
Morecambe             3    1   -4      -2.27    17.17    -2.65    56.03    10.87    -9.49     0.19     1.45     8.70     2.95P   11.52R    5.27  
Hartlepool            3    1   -4      -2.94    10.96    -3.82    64.02    11.79     2.66     1.83     8.26    27.32    13.47P    3.85R    1.60  
Accrington_Stanley    3    1   -6      -1.96    22.83    -4.10    49.93    10.75   -22.05     0.04     0.35     3.01     0.82P   26.89R   14.25  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Aldershot 0 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd     3    7   +5       2.69    90.92     4.58    72.59    11.08    15.68     4.36    33.67    10.10P    0.48R    0.02  
Barnet            3    7   +4       1.26    72.95     1.14    86.12    11.58    37.48    33.13    77.97    47.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Nuneaton          3    7   +3       2.89    90.66     2.98    61.43    10.59    -4.39     0.40     7.19     1.35P    4.84R    0.60  
Lincoln_City      3    7   +2       2.70    88.51     1.77    64.95    10.84     0.04     0.84    12.96     2.72P    2.65R    0.31  
Alfreton_Town     3    6   +2       1.65    74.05     1.63    60.12    11.04    -7.90     0.34     6.59     1.20P    7.12R    1.05  
Kidderminster     3    6   +1       0.86    61.74    -0.63    81.75    10.88    29.33    18.06    66.34    31.24P    0.06R    0.00  
Southport         3    6   +0       2.45    82.77     0.97    60.72    11.01    -9.34     0.38     7.00     1.20P    6.62R    0.87  
Halifax           3    6   -1       2.75    86.83     0.67    52.45    12.45   -25.81     0.19     2.83     0.52P   25.68R    6.99  
Hereford          3    5   +2      -0.38    42.88     0.04    72.80    10.98    16.79     4.50    34.58    11.14P    0.49R    0.04  
Tamworth          3    5   +1       1.55    75.79     1.92    56.46    10.58   -11.50     0.08     2.97     0.42P   11.44R    1.73  
Forest_Green      3    4   +7      -0.93    36.79     5.47    73.88    10.84    24.75     5.42    38.88    13.15P    0.28R    0.02  
Braintree_Town    3    4   +1       0.11    55.40     1.45    60.03    11.02    -4.74     0.38     6.41     1.33P    7.19R    1.00  
Luton             3    4   +1      -1.63    24.91    -1.39    72.14    10.86    15.99     3.96    31.98    10.42P    0.55R    0.04  
Wrexham           3    4   +0      -1.58    26.03    -2.39    79.29    10.70    26.78    12.31    58.05    25.50P    0.06R    0.00  
Welling           3    4   +0       0.94    69.36     1.87    53.11    12.37   -17.97     0.19     3.05     0.64P   23.16R    5.75  
Grimsby           3    4   +0      -0.47    44.17    -0.54    77.21    10.77    23.18     8.91    50.11    19.63P    0.16R    0.01  
Woking            3    4   +0       0.07    54.79     0.38    57.31    11.01   -10.97     0.22     4.07     0.79P   10.82R    1.57  
Dartford          3    3   -4      -0.49    40.40    -2.92    58.10    10.78   -10.65     0.19     4.13     0.88P    9.06R    1.47  
Macclesfield      3    1   -2      -2.70    12.39    -1.35    61.88    10.90     0.99     0.53     8.31     2.02P    4.86R    0.71  
Hyde_United       3    1   -9      -2.27    18.50    -7.31    45.02    10.44   -37.99     0.01     0.24     0.02P   47.81R   15.00  
Gateshead         3    0   -4      -3.13     5.51    -2.35    56.43    10.88    -8.62     0.12     3.28     0.64P   12.30R    2.14  
Salisbury         3    0   -4      -2.75     7.43    -1.46    43.28    11.98   -32.14     0.01     0.47     0.09P   53.36R   21.88  
Chester           3    0   -7      -2.74     7.83    -4.28    38.24    11.32   -44.20     0.01     0.13     0.02P   70.42R   38.76  
Aldershot         3   -6   +2     -11.52     0.00    -0.25    73.45    11.20    35.20     5.45    38.78    17.98P    0.57R    0.04  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10