Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 23 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 August 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 2 6 +3 1.37 74.46 -0.13 74.36 9.78 33.57 15.26 35.82 56.04 71.65 90.03 0.01R 0.00 Man_City 1 3 +4 0.65 63.54 2.30 77.58 9.73 42.62 24.67 50.55 69.38 82.04 94.60 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 1 3 +3 0.84 67.14 1.68 82.08 9.63 53.55 45.56 69.26 82.84 91.09 97.81 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 1 3 +2 1.25 74.99 1.43 48.58 9.88 -7.27 0.06 0.28 0.91 2.29 9.45 7.36R 1.10 Aston_Villa 2 3 +1 1.69 81.33 3.58 47.39 9.80 -8.41 0.02 0.16 0.63 1.75 7.62 8.94R 1.52 Fulham 1 3 +1 1.64 81.89 0.99 51.28 9.99 -3.96 0.12 0.63 1.82 4.22 14.69 4.37R 0.56 Liverpool 1 3 +1 1.03 71.48 0.15 67.70 10.16 22.68 5.22 14.92 29.00 45.03 72.79 0.08R 0.00 Southampton 1 3 +1 1.81 84.16 1.28 47.63 9.99 -10.42 0.04 0.25 0.90 2.22 8.27 9.24R 1.46 Tottenham 1 3 +1 0.82 67.01 -0.31 65.32 10.29 18.91 3.58 10.78 21.64 35.65 64.73 0.20R 0.01 Everton 1 1 +0 -0.73 38.25 -0.53 59.44 10.04 11.41 0.91 3.45 8.62 16.69 41.32 0.69R 0.07 Norwich 1 1 +0 -0.02 61.75 0.53 43.00 9.89 -16.22 0.01 0.07 0.22 0.68 3.35 19.41R 4.01 Crystal_Palace 1 0 -1 -0.62 32.99 0.31 29.53 9.28 -38.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.16 70.95R 36.99 Stoke 1 0 -1 -0.77 28.52 -0.15 43.59 9.35 -11.29 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.55 3.14 15.58R 2.70 Sunderland 1 0 -1 -1.36 18.11 -0.99 44.10 9.63 -11.80 0.02 0.08 0.29 0.75 3.99 15.24R 2.82 West_Brom 1 0 -1 -1.56 15.84 -1.28 46.76 10.04 -8.86 0.03 0.19 0.61 1.70 7.42 10.62R 1.85 Arsenal 1 0 -2 -2.10 8.43 -3.21 66.72 10.19 23.78 4.46 13.32 26.18 41.43 70.01 0.10R 0.01 Cardiff 1 0 -2 -0.99 25.01 -1.43 36.20 10.06 -27.19 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.19 1.00 43.91R 14.56 Hull 1 0 -2 -0.41 37.67 -0.24 31.81 9.19 -32.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.20 62.39R 26.12 Swansea 1 0 -3 -0.65 32.86 -1.68 45.70 9.83 -11.58 0.02 0.11 0.42 1.25 5.54 12.27R 2.18 Newcastle 1 0 -4 -0.49 36.46 -2.30 43.40 10.02 -18.06 0.01 0.06 0.25 0.76 3.87 18.66R 4.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 August 2013, Wigan 2 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 3 9 +5 4.38 96.21 4.24 72.03 11.16 11.40 5.61 12.76 43.50 19.63P 0.81R 0.10 Watford 3 7 +6 2.13 83.65 4.71 80.22 11.85 28.38 20.89 36.01 71.57 45.95P 0.19R 0.03 Blackpool 3 7 +3 2.09 82.16 1.79 70.90 11.53 10.49 5.20 11.82 40.55 18.47P 1.28R 0.17 Burnley 3 7 +3 2.04 81.88 1.70 68.32 11.25 6.66 3.16 7.60 31.47 12.95P 1.97R 0.25 QPR 3 7 +2 1.73 77.45 0.34 74.92 11.88 15.46 10.45 20.55 54.02 29.81P 0.64R 0.07 Leicester 3 7 +2 2.23 83.34 1.02 76.67 11.20 18.01 11.75 23.22 60.24 33.54P 0.24R 0.02 Bournemouth 3 6 -3 3.28 91.09 -0.48 51.52 11.72 -24.68 0.14 0.43 3.50 0.87P 30.61R 10.52 Reading 3 5 +1 0.15 52.10 -0.10 76.84 12.45 20.93 14.53 26.70 60.15 36.22P 0.64R 0.10 Leeds_United 3 5 +1 1.13 69.53 1.32 62.14 11.12 -1.61 0.91 2.50 15.15 4.97P 6.42R 1.19 Wigan 3 4 +3 -1.86 22.81 0.25 77.57 12.30 25.56 16.32 29.34 63.36 40.03P 0.44R 0.06 Doncaster 3 4 +0 0.88 68.20 1.61 52.40 11.73 -15.91 0.20 0.51 4.16 1.11P 26.93R 8.71 Derby 3 4 +0 0.20 55.98 0.38 62.43 11.29 -0.59 1.05 2.86 16.07 5.57P 6.15R 1.17 Middlesbrough 3 4 +0 0.25 57.17 0.47 60.89 11.17 -2.78 0.70 1.98 12.95 4.11P 7.60R 1.53 Huddersfield 3 4 +0 0.73 65.31 1.11 54.97 11.02 -11.71 0.19 0.61 5.17 1.37P 18.28R 4.56 Ipswich 3 3 +1 -0.37 43.70 2.12 58.06 11.16 -4.35 0.38 1.23 8.81 2.73P 11.55R 2.54 Brighton 3 3 -1 -1.38 27.57 -1.43 68.77 11.13 9.35 3.27 7.97 32.93 14.49P 1.79R 0.24 Birmingham 3 3 -1 -1.45 26.83 -1.50 64.48 11.27 2.93 1.42 3.95 20.93 7.92P 4.07R 0.72 Yeovil 3 3 -2 0.28 56.30 0.14 42.61 11.14 -33.53 0.02 0.06 0.62 0.15P 60.80R 31.54 Bolton 3 2 -3 -1.86 23.07 -2.65 67.12 11.53 6.27 2.66 6.52 28.57 11.88P 2.86R 0.49 Charlton 3 1 -2 -3.54 7.53 -2.63 58.50 11.15 -3.86 0.45 1.36 9.39 3.15P 10.93R 2.39 Sheff_Wed 3 1 -2 -2.26 18.09 -0.82 53.51 10.96 -11.17 0.13 0.37 3.91 1.06P 21.63R 6.04 Blackburn 3 1 -3 -3.04 10.73 -2.94 59.14 11.15 -3.87 0.52 1.46 10.25 3.34P 9.90R 2.01 Barnsley 3 1 -5 -2.00 21.93 -3.26 47.89 10.77 -23.36 0.03 0.09 1.23 0.29P 40.36R 14.89 Millwall 3 0 -5 -4.34 1.73 -5.39 49.32 10.57 -18.04 0.02 0.09 1.48 0.38P 33.92R 10.68League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 23 August 2013, Colchester 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 4 10 +6 2.25 81.11 2.31 89.66 11.77 41.52 34.33 58.10 89.71 68.45P 0.02R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 3 9 +8 4.03 94.57 6.68 72.82 11.60 15.26 3.39 9.71 44.48 17.13P 1.14R 0.06 Peterborough 3 9 +4 3.43 91.69 1.60 90.31 12.72 42.68 38.48 59.96 88.66 68.43P 0.08R 0.00 Colchester 4 8 +2 2.40 81.48 1.82 58.21 11.05 -10.16 0.15 0.65 7.56 1.75P 14.38R 1.78 Walsall 3 7 +3 2.39 84.83 2.27 68.66 11.66 6.66 1.65 5.30 30.58 10.44P 2.88R 0.23 Brentford 3 5 +2 0.27 54.49 1.08 72.00 11.57 14.32 2.82 8.58 41.65 16.62P 1.40R 0.07 Rotherham 3 5 +1 1.68 76.68 2.40 51.01 12.22 -22.85 0.07 0.31 3.56 0.79P 36.33R 9.12 MK_Dons 3 5 +1 -0.08 48.31 -0.51 76.20 11.61 19.85 5.65 15.44 56.12 26.54P 0.58R 0.03 Bradford 3 4 +3 0.62 64.89 4.39 47.87 11.64 -22.59 0.02 0.08 1.77 0.36P 45.98R 12.78 Crewe 3 4 +0 0.21 56.84 0.59 53.98 11.53 -16.17 0.07 0.34 4.47 0.97P 25.94R 4.90 Port_Vale 3 4 +0 -0.02 52.71 0.17 53.56 12.35 -16.94 0.11 0.50 5.22 1.33P 28.96R 6.23 Crawley_Town 4 4 -1 -0.73 42.23 0.45 57.22 11.43 -9.46 0.12 0.57 7.20 1.60P 17.34R 2.64 Sheff_Utd 3 4 -1 -0.96 36.29 -2.27 74.27 11.64 16.53 4.22 11.99 49.26 22.08P 0.93R 0.04 Shrewsbury 3 4 -1 0.75 65.93 0.27 57.70 11.30 -9.75 0.15 0.66 7.22 1.76P 15.82R 2.34 Preston 3 3 +0 -0.88 35.51 0.32 63.44 11.44 2.11 0.49 1.92 17.04 5.04P 6.71R 0.77 Oldham 3 3 -1 -0.09 48.75 0.86 54.65 11.18 -12.84 0.07 0.24 4.45 0.88P 23.25R 3.87 Swindon 3 3 -2 -1.57 24.27 -2.62 74.62 11.39 17.33 4.03 11.80 50.97 23.23P 0.76R 0.04 Bristol_City 3 1 -2 -3.42 8.15 -2.44 68.02 13.19 10.62 2.18 6.70 31.84 13.11P 5.19R 0.66 Tranmere 3 1 -3 -3.19 9.90 -3.10 59.27 11.46 -4.52 0.23 0.87 9.85 2.65P 12.72R 1.79 Notts_County 3 1 -3 -2.41 18.25 -1.84 64.97 11.84 4.45 0.75 2.82 21.36 7.17P 5.88R 0.61 Gillingham 3 1 -5 -1.99 21.84 -3.08 47.30 11.78 -25.74 0.01 0.07 1.53 0.32P 47.95R 14.89 Carlisle 4 1 -12 -3.06 13.76 -9.45 41.31 10.74 -45.54 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.05P 69.72R 30.49 Stevenage 3 0 -3 -3.67 3.64 -2.31 52.31 11.27 -14.15 0.05 0.20 3.02 0.67P 29.97R 5.92 Coventry 3 -4 +4 -9.08 0.00 2.42 64.74 11.97 19.39 0.96 3.19 22.22 8.63P 6.08R 0.72 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bury 3 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 3 9 +6 5.22 98.27 6.54 75.70 11.21 17.87 10.83 32.76 65.55 40.40P 0.22R 0.06 Southend 3 9 +4 4.01 95.44 2.69 77.17 11.11 17.99 13.24 37.15 70.23 45.93P 0.12R 0.03 Chesterfield 3 7 +4 2.57 87.42 3.55 79.17 11.12 24.07 17.37 45.23 76.66 54.34P 0.07R 0.03 Exeter 3 7 +3 1.67 77.41 1.16 69.74 11.21 8.90 4.19 16.63 44.98 23.43P 0.89R 0.29 Burton_Albion 3 7 +2 3.20 91.64 2.51 66.97 11.46 3.00 2.82 11.88 35.39 16.67P 1.99R 0.79 Fleetwood_Town 3 6 +3 1.49 71.15 2.36 63.39 11.01 0.64 1.25 6.26 24.15 9.98P 3.37R 1.27 Newport_County 3 6 +2 2.45 83.23 2.97 46.39 11.20 -29.44 0.05 0.33 2.13 0.60P 40.77R 25.57 Scunthorpe 3 5 +2 -0.64 37.88 -0.33 75.83 11.98 20.12 12.83 34.65 65.38 43.96P 0.33R 0.10 Rochdale 3 4 +2 -0.27 48.10 1.82 68.36 11.55 10.19 3.62 14.60 40.88 21.11P 1.53R 0.57 Portsmouth 3 4 +0 -1.81 23.24 -2.62 80.25 12.15 27.49 22.84 49.57 77.49 59.02P 0.15R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 3 4 +0 0.48 61.99 0.92 59.46 11.04 -5.13 0.52 3.15 15.05 5.43P 6.89R 2.90 AFC_Wimbledon 3 4 -1 0.90 69.16 0.59 52.75 10.85 -17.46 0.12 0.83 5.16 1.59P 18.92R 9.40 Mansfield 3 4 -1 1.15 73.12 0.94 53.19 11.53 -16.03 0.17 1.20 6.53 2.23P 19.28R 10.26 York 3 4 -1 0.27 57.13 -0.55 53.81 10.36 -13.49 0.10 0.74 5.51 1.55P 15.03R 6.76 Bury 3 3 +0 -1.71 22.29 -0.93 69.44 12.24 11.55 5.17 18.06 44.94 25.44P 1.67R 0.66 Northampton 3 3 -1 -1.22 28.48 -1.25 61.13 11.12 -2.40 0.83 4.39 18.63 7.56P 5.22R 2.09 Plymouth 3 3 -1 -0.38 43.55 -0.04 57.91 10.69 -6.09 0.34 2.03 11.09 3.90P 8.06R 3.43 Wycombe 3 3 -1 -1.78 21.91 -1.96 58.70 10.93 -5.45 0.47 2.76 13.17 5.01P 7.39R 3.14 Torquay 3 2 -2 -2.46 15.20 -2.55 58.79 10.95 -5.07 0.45 2.82 13.38 5.23P 7.44R 3.25 Bristol_Rovers 3 1 -2 -2.53 15.63 -1.12 55.87 11.05 -8.36 0.22 1.55 9.09 3.20P 12.00R 5.56 Cheltenham 3 1 -4 -3.19 8.82 -4.12 59.80 11.00 -4.01 0.51 3.34 15.58 6.18P 6.39R 2.67 Morecambe 3 1 -4 -2.27 17.17 -2.65 56.03 10.87 -9.49 0.19 1.45 8.70 2.95P 11.52R 5.27 Hartlepool 3 1 -4 -2.94 10.96 -3.82 64.02 11.79 2.66 1.83 8.26 27.32 13.47P 3.85R 1.60 Accrington_Stanley 3 1 -6 -1.96 22.83 -4.10 49.93 10.75 -22.05 0.04 0.35 3.01 0.82P 26.89R 14.25Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Aldershot 0 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 3 7 +5 2.69 90.92 4.58 72.59 11.08 15.68 4.36 33.67 10.10P 0.48R 0.02 Barnet 3 7 +4 1.26 72.95 1.14 86.12 11.58 37.48 33.13 77.97 47.00P 0.01R 0.00 Nuneaton 3 7 +3 2.89 90.66 2.98 61.43 10.59 -4.39 0.40 7.19 1.35P 4.84R 0.60 Lincoln_City 3 7 +2 2.70 88.51 1.77 64.95 10.84 0.04 0.84 12.96 2.72P 2.65R 0.31 Alfreton_Town 3 6 +2 1.65 74.05 1.63 60.12 11.04 -7.90 0.34 6.59 1.20P 7.12R 1.05 Kidderminster 3 6 +1 0.86 61.74 -0.63 81.75 10.88 29.33 18.06 66.34 31.24P 0.06R 0.00 Southport 3 6 +0 2.45 82.77 0.97 60.72 11.01 -9.34 0.38 7.00 1.20P 6.62R 0.87 Halifax 3 6 -1 2.75 86.83 0.67 52.45 12.45 -25.81 0.19 2.83 0.52P 25.68R 6.99 Hereford 3 5 +2 -0.38 42.88 0.04 72.80 10.98 16.79 4.50 34.58 11.14P 0.49R 0.04 Tamworth 3 5 +1 1.55 75.79 1.92 56.46 10.58 -11.50 0.08 2.97 0.42P 11.44R 1.73 Forest_Green 3 4 +7 -0.93 36.79 5.47 73.88 10.84 24.75 5.42 38.88 13.15P 0.28R 0.02 Braintree_Town 3 4 +1 0.11 55.40 1.45 60.03 11.02 -4.74 0.38 6.41 1.33P 7.19R 1.00 Luton 3 4 +1 -1.63 24.91 -1.39 72.14 10.86 15.99 3.96 31.98 10.42P 0.55R 0.04 Wrexham 3 4 +0 -1.58 26.03 -2.39 79.29 10.70 26.78 12.31 58.05 25.50P 0.06R 0.00 Welling 3 4 +0 0.94 69.36 1.87 53.11 12.37 -17.97 0.19 3.05 0.64P 23.16R 5.75 Grimsby 3 4 +0 -0.47 44.17 -0.54 77.21 10.77 23.18 8.91 50.11 19.63P 0.16R 0.01 Woking 3 4 +0 0.07 54.79 0.38 57.31 11.01 -10.97 0.22 4.07 0.79P 10.82R 1.57 Dartford 3 3 -4 -0.49 40.40 -2.92 58.10 10.78 -10.65 0.19 4.13 0.88P 9.06R 1.47 Macclesfield 3 1 -2 -2.70 12.39 -1.35 61.88 10.90 0.99 0.53 8.31 2.02P 4.86R 0.71 Hyde_United 3 1 -9 -2.27 18.50 -7.31 45.02 10.44 -37.99 0.01 0.24 0.02P 47.81R 15.00 Gateshead 3 0 -4 -3.13 5.51 -2.35 56.43 10.88 -8.62 0.12 3.28 0.64P 12.30R 2.14 Salisbury 3 0 -4 -2.75 7.43 -1.46 43.28 11.98 -32.14 0.01 0.47 0.09P 53.36R 21.88 Chester 3 0 -7 -2.74 7.83 -4.28 38.24 11.32 -44.20 0.01 0.13 0.02P 70.42R 38.76 Aldershot 3 -6 +2 -11.52 0.00 -0.25 73.45 11.20 35.20 5.45 38.78 17.98P 0.57R 0.04 Adjustments: Aldershot -10