Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 21 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 August 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 2 6 +3 1.39 74.68 -0.10 74.11 9.72 33.13 14.52 34.47 55.22 71.44 89.81 0.01R 0.00 Man_City 1 3 +4 0.65 63.61 2.32 77.58 9.70 42.53 24.73 50.78 69.69 82.01 94.56 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 1 3 +3 0.83 67.12 1.68 82.11 9.54 53.37 46.26 70.19 83.58 91.21 97.89 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 1 3 +2 1.24 74.90 1.43 48.47 9.93 -7.35 0.05 0.32 1.03 2.44 9.54 7.61R 1.17 Aston_Villa 2 3 +1 1.69 81.42 3.58 47.79 9.85 -7.77 0.04 0.24 0.80 2.02 8.16 8.53R 1.32 Fulham 1 3 +1 1.63 81.66 0.99 51.31 9.95 -3.80 0.12 0.57 1.81 4.24 14.67 4.44R 0.61 Liverpool 1 3 +1 1.03 71.45 0.13 67.61 10.12 22.51 5.17 14.80 28.36 44.53 72.85 0.07R 0.01 Southampton 1 3 +1 1.81 84.29 1.29 47.65 9.93 -10.36 0.05 0.24 0.84 2.03 8.04 8.95R 1.40 Tottenham 1 3 +1 0.83 67.17 -0.28 64.95 10.24 18.25 3.28 10.17 20.36 34.04 63.20 0.19R 0.01 Everton 1 1 +0 -0.72 38.38 -0.54 59.49 10.13 11.47 0.93 3.78 9.03 17.22 41.33 0.72R 0.05 Norwich 1 1 +0 -0.03 61.62 0.54 43.03 9.92 -16.16 0.00 0.07 0.29 0.74 3.63 19.12R 4.14 Crystal_Palace 1 0 -1 -0.63 32.83 0.28 29.49 9.32 -38.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 71.04R 37.40 Stoke 1 0 -1 -0.77 28.55 -0.13 43.41 9.39 -11.49 0.01 0.04 0.15 0.56 3.22 15.99R 2.91 Sunderland 1 0 -1 -1.35 18.34 -0.99 44.26 9.71 -11.55 0.01 0.06 0.31 0.90 4.11 15.07R 2.93 West_Brom 1 0 -1 -1.57 15.71 -1.29 46.71 10.01 -8.88 0.05 0.19 0.67 1.73 7.34 10.58R 1.89 Arsenal 1 0 -2 -2.11 8.46 -3.22 66.96 10.15 24.13 4.75 13.87 27.09 42.57 70.87 0.11R 0.01 Cardiff 1 0 -2 -0.99 25.10 -1.43 36.07 10.03 -27.35 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.97 44.69R 14.76 Hull 1 0 -2 -0.42 37.40 -0.26 32.04 9.29 -32.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.25 61.19R 25.21 Swansea 1 0 -3 -0.64 32.88 -1.68 45.53 9.81 -11.82 0.01 0.09 0.42 1.23 5.49 12.71R 2.21 Newcastle 1 0 -4 -0.49 36.39 -2.32 43.38 10.12 -18.03 0.02 0.09 0.32 0.91 3.93 18.98R 3.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 August 2013, Wigan 2 2 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 3 9 +5 4.38 96.17 4.24 71.85 11.27 11.14 5.78 12.89 43.05 19.66P 0.88R 0.13 Watford 3 7 +6 2.14 83.58 4.74 80.14 11.73 28.26 20.96 36.07 71.47 45.75P 0.19R 0.02 Blackpool 3 7 +3 2.11 82.28 1.82 70.96 11.55 10.50 5.29 12.11 40.61 18.72P 1.27R 0.17 Burnley 3 7 +3 2.06 82.02 1.73 68.34 11.31 6.72 3.16 7.79 31.92 12.90P 1.93R 0.27 QPR 3 7 +2 1.76 77.75 0.40 74.55 11.90 14.88 10.12 19.93 52.67 28.98P 0.73R 0.10 Leicester 3 7 +2 2.21 83.42 1.00 77.03 11.13 18.54 12.33 24.21 61.77 34.39P 0.23R 0.03 Bournemouth 3 6 -3 3.26 90.75 -0.54 51.60 11.63 -24.34 0.11 0.36 3.51 0.79P 30.32R 10.26 Reading 3 5 +1 0.16 52.21 -0.10 76.79 12.46 20.79 14.50 26.74 60.18 36.32P 0.59R 0.09 Leeds_United 3 5 +1 1.15 69.88 1.35 62.51 11.33 -1.13 1.11 2.87 16.28 5.50P 6.08R 1.20 Wigan 3 4 +3 -1.81 23.39 0.34 77.02 12.36 24.75 15.52 28.01 61.50 38.42P 0.56R 0.07 Doncaster 3 4 +0 0.82 67.31 1.52 52.83 11.60 -15.18 0.17 0.51 4.24 1.25P 25.53R 7.96 Derby 3 4 +0 0.21 56.37 0.40 62.26 11.21 -0.84 0.96 2.58 15.78 5.34P 6.30R 1.24 Middlesbrough 3 4 +0 0.23 56.89 0.46 61.06 11.24 -2.55 0.74 2.04 13.45 4.39P 7.56R 1.64 Huddersfield 3 4 +0 0.72 65.16 1.11 54.66 10.98 -12.23 0.15 0.49 4.79 1.23P 18.96R 5.07 Ipswich 3 3 +1 -0.38 43.57 2.10 58.15 11.18 -4.24 0.39 1.20 8.77 2.69P 11.62R 2.76 Brighton 3 3 -1 -1.42 27.04 -1.48 68.75 11.19 9.31 3.35 8.07 33.41 14.93P 1.81R 0.26 Birmingham 3 3 -1 -1.43 27.01 -1.48 64.43 11.31 2.99 1.53 4.06 21.18 8.15P 4.32R 0.74 Yeovil 3 3 -2 0.24 55.64 0.08 42.96 11.18 -32.90 0.02 0.04 0.61 0.12P 59.37R 30.81 Bolton 3 2 -3 -1.84 23.41 -2.62 66.99 11.53 6.14 2.66 6.50 28.03 11.92P 3.06R 0.48 Charlton 3 1 -2 -3.55 7.75 -2.66 58.55 11.19 -3.86 0.45 1.35 9.70 3.32P 11.09R 2.47 Sheff_Wed 3 1 -2 -2.30 17.67 -0.88 53.65 11.02 -11.02 0.13 0.42 4.03 1.16P 21.53R 5.95 Blackburn 3 1 -3 -3.02 10.83 -2.92 59.06 11.30 -3.96 0.52 1.53 10.28 3.41P 10.47R 2.42 Barnsley 3 1 -5 -2.00 22.15 -3.25 47.90 10.66 -23.45 0.03 0.10 1.21 0.27P 40.55R 14.55 Millwall 3 0 -5 -4.33 1.74 -5.37 49.14 10.63 -18.32 0.02 0.11 1.56 0.39P 35.05R 11.29League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 3 9 +8 3.98 94.49 6.62 72.83 11.59 15.29 3.52 9.90 43.98 17.25P 1.19R 0.05 Peterborough 3 9 +4 3.44 91.76 1.59 90.20 12.82 42.89 38.45 59.69 88.14 67.92P 0.09R 0.01 Wolverhampton 3 7 +5 1.47 74.87 2.70 89.14 12.22 42.78 33.78 56.67 87.89 67.00P 0.05R 0.00 Walsall 3 7 +3 2.34 84.41 2.21 68.82 11.67 6.86 1.79 5.61 30.75 10.62P 2.79R 0.19 Colchester 3 7 +2 3.20 92.33 2.52 59.74 11.39 -8.61 0.27 1.03 9.81 2.55P 11.91R 1.40 Brentford 3 5 +2 0.27 54.42 1.08 72.32 11.52 14.84 2.90 8.94 42.56 17.14P 1.30R 0.07 Rotherham 3 5 +1 1.73 77.40 2.48 51.04 12.07 -23.07 0.07 0.27 3.30 0.72P 36.27R 8.82 MK_Dons 3 5 +1 -0.03 49.52 -0.43 75.99 11.55 19.63 5.45 14.70 55.13 25.46P 0.61R 0.03 Bradford 3 4 +3 0.64 65.14 4.43 47.68 11.56 -23.01 0.02 0.09 1.70 0.31P 46.48R 12.46 Crawley_Town 3 4 +0 -0.16 50.68 -0.02 57.83 11.61 -10.12 0.20 0.77 7.97 2.08P 16.36R 2.39 Crewe 3 4 +0 0.14 55.76 0.50 54.12 11.50 -16.17 0.07 0.31 4.37 0.95P 25.59R 4.66 Port_Vale 3 4 +0 -0.02 52.83 0.17 53.66 12.40 -16.90 0.15 0.53 5.29 1.43P 28.71R 6.21 Sheff_Utd 3 4 -1 -0.99 35.55 -2.34 74.64 11.52 17.10 4.25 12.41 50.10 22.63P 0.86R 0.04 Shrewsbury 3 4 -1 0.74 65.78 0.26 57.63 11.33 -10.00 0.15 0.59 7.12 1.75P 16.50R 2.36 Preston 3 3 +0 -0.95 34.46 0.24 63.74 11.52 2.49 0.51 2.03 17.57 5.35P 6.67R 0.62 Oldham 3 3 -1 -0.06 49.12 0.91 54.59 11.23 -13.03 0.05 0.31 4.37 0.91P 23.24R 3.81 Swindon 3 3 -2 -1.59 23.99 -2.64 75.08 11.40 18.17 4.29 12.59 51.98 24.05P 0.68R 0.04 Bristol_City 3 1 -2 -3.47 7.79 -2.51 68.13 13.13 10.81 2.17 6.71 31.79 13.22P 5.15R 0.67 Tranmere 3 1 -3 -3.15 10.58 -3.04 59.38 11.49 -4.42 0.24 0.92 9.83 2.74P 12.66R 1.65 Notts_County 3 1 -3 -2.38 18.47 -1.79 64.97 11.75 4.37 0.75 2.72 20.88 6.94P 5.99R 0.66 Gillingham 3 1 -5 -1.96 22.03 -3.01 46.98 11.88 -26.34 0.02 0.10 1.49 0.33P 49.39R 15.13 Stevenage 3 0 -3 -3.66 3.62 -2.30 52.39 11.34 -14.18 0.05 0.19 3.03 0.73P 29.80R 5.81 Carlisle 3 0 -12 -3.10 6.95 -10.14 40.73 11.04 -47.89 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.03P 71.07R 32.26 Coventry 3 -4 +4 -9.03 0.00 2.49 64.14 11.99 18.51 0.85 2.90 20.73 7.86P 6.62R 0.70 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bury 3 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 3 9 +6 5.22 98.24 6.54 75.45 11.27 17.47 10.39 31.98 64.72 39.68P 0.21R 0.05 Southend 3 9 +4 4.01 95.30 2.71 77.07 11.11 17.85 12.93 36.74 69.98 45.70P 0.12R 0.05 Chesterfield 3 7 +4 2.57 87.10 3.53 79.11 11.06 23.91 17.26 44.77 76.55 54.14P 0.06R 0.02 Exeter 3 7 +3 1.68 77.63 1.18 69.88 11.22 9.04 4.38 16.58 45.38 23.64P 0.88R 0.30 Burton_Albion 3 7 +2 3.21 91.94 2.53 67.20 11.49 3.42 3.05 12.14 36.23 17.12P 1.80R 0.66 Fleetwood_Town 3 6 +3 1.48 70.91 2.36 63.51 11.17 0.78 1.45 6.64 24.81 10.36P 3.45R 1.33 Newport_County 3 6 +2 2.43 83.02 2.95 46.68 11.23 -28.95 0.06 0.32 2.17 0.62P 39.56R 24.54 Scunthorpe 3 5 +2 -0.62 38.30 -0.30 76.11 12.09 20.58 13.47 35.79 65.94 44.96P 0.37R 0.14 Rochdale 3 4 +2 -0.27 48.27 1.82 68.20 11.43 9.87 3.43 13.97 40.09 20.14P 1.53R 0.57 Portsmouth 3 4 +0 -1.84 22.72 -2.66 80.48 12.08 27.86 23.10 50.32 78.48 59.55P 0.17R 0.05 Dag_&_Red 3 4 +0 0.47 62.07 0.92 59.60 10.98 -4.89 0.56 3.15 14.83 5.41P 6.66R 2.88 AFC_Wimbledon 3 4 -1 0.90 69.16 0.58 52.53 10.85 -17.76 0.12 0.79 4.90 1.41P 19.31R 9.73 Mansfield 3 4 -1 1.14 72.87 0.93 53.16 11.55 -16.07 0.20 1.25 6.52 2.26P 19.44R 10.30 York 3 4 -1 0.27 57.23 -0.55 53.59 10.39 -13.79 0.12 0.81 4.98 1.52P 15.61R 7.26 Bury 3 3 +0 -1.67 22.69 -0.89 69.32 12.27 11.22 4.89 18.01 44.55 25.38P 1.63R 0.60 Northampton 3 3 -1 -1.22 28.34 -1.26 61.23 11.16 -2.25 0.77 4.39 19.07 7.51P 5.31R 2.11 Plymouth 3 3 -1 -0.39 43.55 -0.05 58.12 10.72 -5.80 0.30 2.16 11.55 4.01P 8.05R 3.41 Wycombe 3 3 -1 -1.77 22.04 -1.95 58.69 10.85 -5.37 0.45 2.66 12.89 4.92P 7.30R 3.05 Torquay 3 2 -2 -2.46 15.11 -2.53 58.60 10.94 -5.38 0.42 2.70 13.10 5.04P 7.44R 3.12 Bristol_Rovers 3 1 -2 -2.55 15.57 -1.15 55.90 10.95 -8.37 0.22 1.67 8.79 3.17P 11.68R 5.10 Cheltenham 3 1 -4 -3.23 8.59 -4.16 60.00 11.08 -3.71 0.55 3.56 15.97 6.49P 6.29R 2.59 Morecambe 3 1 -4 -2.28 17.25 -2.66 56.06 10.92 -9.43 0.19 1.55 8.83 3.15P 11.48R 5.28 Hartlepool 3 1 -4 -2.94 11.06 -3.81 63.81 11.63 2.34 1.64 7.70 26.70 13.00P 3.57R 1.43 Accrington_Stanley 3 1 -6 -1.94 23.24 -4.07 49.58 10.88 -22.55 0.04 0.37 2.96 0.84P 28.09R 15.41Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Aldershot 0 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 3 7 +5 2.68 90.89 4.52 72.81 11.06 16.08 4.59 34.52 10.38P 0.47R 0.04 Barnet 3 7 +4 1.31 73.57 1.21 85.71 11.47 36.73 31.49 77.02 45.39P 0.03R 0.00 Nuneaton 3 7 +3 2.91 90.87 3.00 61.44 10.70 -4.32 0.39 7.36 1.32P 4.99R 0.60 Lincoln_City 3 7 +2 2.73 88.76 1.82 64.66 10.79 -0.40 0.98 12.13 2.66P 2.85R 0.25 Alfreton_Town 3 6 +2 1.64 73.97 1.60 60.22 11.06 -7.66 0.38 6.62 1.19P 6.96R 0.89 Kidderminster 3 6 +1 0.87 61.59 -0.62 81.93 10.75 29.59 18.22 67.11 31.40P 0.03R 0.00 Southport 3 6 +0 2.43 82.53 0.95 60.76 11.14 -9.17 0.54 7.20 1.36P 6.78R 1.01 Halifax 3 6 -1 2.76 86.83 0.68 52.11 12.43 -26.46 0.16 2.65 0.51P 26.53R 7.30 Hereford 3 5 +2 -0.33 43.70 0.11 72.54 10.97 16.30 4.37 33.51 10.77P 0.49R 0.03 Tamworth 3 5 +1 1.53 75.59 1.88 56.35 10.50 -11.64 0.08 2.70 0.41P 11.46R 1.70 Forest_Green 3 4 +7 -0.96 36.45 5.45 74.02 10.89 24.96 5.82 39.51 13.76P 0.31R 0.03 Braintree_Town 3 4 +1 0.09 54.75 1.42 60.15 11.00 -4.49 0.39 6.39 1.30P 6.89R 1.00 Luton 3 4 +1 -1.61 25.14 -1.35 72.09 10.86 15.89 3.88 31.94 10.53P 0.52R 0.04 Wrexham 3 4 +0 -1.58 26.33 -2.38 79.50 10.67 27.17 12.93 58.79 26.24P 0.07R 0.00 Welling 3 4 +0 0.95 69.64 1.89 53.07 12.35 -17.94 0.18 3.05 0.60P 23.32R 6.05 Grimsby 3 4 +0 -0.44 44.75 -0.50 77.14 10.76 23.02 8.71 49.94 19.40P 0.14R 0.01 Woking 3 4 +0 0.04 54.11 0.33 57.45 10.89 -10.65 0.20 4.03 0.71P 10.51R 1.64 Dartford 3 3 -4 -0.48 40.48 -2.88 57.92 10.75 -10.96 0.17 4.02 0.79P 9.55R 1.42 Macclesfield 3 1 -2 -2.69 12.27 -1.36 61.73 10.88 0.80 0.46 7.99 1.82P 5.10R 0.75 Hyde_United 3 1 -9 -2.28 18.41 -7.33 45.22 10.53 -37.61 0.00 0.21 0.03P 46.67R 14.61 Gateshead 3 0 -4 -3.16 5.28 -2.41 56.81 10.97 -7.98 0.11 3.54 0.69P 11.57R 2.05 Salisbury 3 0 -4 -2.74 7.49 -1.46 43.34 11.98 -32.17 0.02 0.51 0.08P 53.08R 21.91 Chester 3 0 -7 -2.75 7.80 -4.30 38.20 11.34 -44.49 0.01 0.14 0.02P 70.99R 38.57 Aldershot 3 -6 +2 -11.55 0.00 -0.28 73.50 11.44 35.38 5.94 39.13 18.62P 0.67R 0.08 Adjustments: Aldershot -10