Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 19 August 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 August 2013, Man_City 4 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 1 3 +4 0.64 63.35 2.28 77.50 9.69 42.54 24.64 50.49 69.51 82.04 94.56 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 1 3 +3 0.84 67.20 1.69 82.13 9.62 53.67 46.57 70.04 83.54 91.20 97.83 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 1 3 +2 2.32 91.79 3.25 47.91 10.02 -9.06 0.05 0.30 0.90 2.15 8.59 8.90R 1.41 Chelsea 1 3 +2 0.55 61.90 0.19 73.74 10.01 34.33 14.20 34.06 53.84 69.52 88.66 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 1 3 +2 1.24 74.82 1.42 48.30 9.85 -7.71 0.05 0.28 0.96 2.32 9.24 7.70R 1.09 Fulham 1 3 +1 1.64 82.02 1.01 51.54 10.03 -3.58 0.14 0.69 2.01 4.55 15.40 4.42R 0.59 Liverpool 1 3 +1 1.03 71.42 0.13 67.74 10.21 22.81 5.38 15.40 29.26 45.41 73.14 0.08R 0.01 Southampton 1 3 +1 1.80 84.02 1.28 47.70 9.93 -10.29 0.06 0.26 0.85 2.02 8.23 8.91R 1.43 Tottenham 1 3 +1 0.82 67.03 -0.28 65.39 10.20 19.07 3.35 10.77 21.92 36.04 64.72 0.13R 0.00 Everton 1 1 +0 -0.72 38.59 -0.52 59.38 10.04 11.37 0.93 3.60 8.76 16.77 40.95 0.65R 0.06 Norwich 1 1 +0 -0.03 61.41 0.52 43.05 9.90 -16.22 0.00 0.08 0.24 0.73 3.50 19.12R 4.02 Crystal_Palace 1 0 -1 -0.62 32.98 0.28 29.46 9.34 -39.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.15 71.19R 37.07 Stoke 1 0 -1 -0.77 28.58 -0.13 43.69 9.35 -11.14 0.01 0.06 0.21 0.63 3.29 15.07R 2.57 Sunderland 1 0 -1 -1.37 17.98 -1.01 44.44 9.72 -11.32 0.02 0.10 0.38 0.97 4.25 14.51R 2.78 West_Brom 1 0 -1 -1.55 15.98 -1.28 46.37 10.01 -9.56 0.03 0.17 0.63 1.73 6.92 11.21R 2.02 Arsenal 1 0 -2 -2.13 8.21 -3.25 66.66 10.21 23.72 4.53 13.49 26.28 41.71 69.96 0.12R 0.02 Cardiff 1 0 -2 -0.98 25.18 -1.42 36.02 9.97 -27.38 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.16 0.94 44.88R 14.92 Hull 1 0 -2 -0.39 38.10 -0.19 31.85 9.37 -32.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.24 62.19R 26.32 Swansea 1 0 -3 -0.64 32.80 -1.69 45.62 9.80 -11.69 0.02 0.10 0.40 1.21 5.54 12.40R 2.09 Newcastle 1 0 -4 -0.48 36.65 -2.28 43.44 9.97 -18.03 0.01 0.08 0.26 0.81 3.88 18.51R 3.60Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Barnsley 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 3 9 +5 4.37 96.21 4.23 71.88 11.17 11.23 5.15 12.24 42.79 19.22P 0.78R 0.09 Watford 3 7 +6 2.14 83.67 4.73 80.26 11.70 28.46 19.94 35.05 71.66 44.94P 0.13R 0.02 Blackpool 3 7 +3 2.06 81.94 1.74 71.15 11.40 10.82 5.08 11.53 40.97 18.47P 1.15R 0.17 Burnley 3 7 +3 2.01 81.37 1.65 68.33 11.19 6.75 2.92 7.16 31.27 12.23P 1.75R 0.23 QPR 3 7 +2 1.69 76.85 0.29 75.25 11.98 15.94 10.47 20.61 54.77 30.42P 0.62R 0.09 Leicester 3 7 +2 2.22 83.27 1.01 76.81 11.14 18.23 11.21 22.91 60.74 33.11P 0.28R 0.02 Bournemouth 3 6 -3 3.31 91.24 -0.47 51.37 11.72 -24.84 0.12 0.37 3.46 0.80P 30.52R 10.37 Reading 3 5 +1 0.14 51.83 -0.12 76.98 12.52 21.20 14.30 26.50 60.34 36.20P 0.57R 0.08 Leeds_United 3 5 +1 1.12 69.55 1.31 62.01 11.29 -1.82 0.95 2.57 15.03 5.07P 6.25R 1.15 Derby 3 4 +0 0.18 55.63 0.35 62.25 11.17 -0.71 0.88 2.49 15.22 5.04P 6.00R 1.14 Middlesbrough 3 4 +0 0.24 56.97 0.47 61.07 11.06 -2.53 0.65 1.95 12.99 4.09P 7.11R 1.31 Huddersfield 3 4 +0 0.73 65.44 1.13 55.16 10.89 -11.42 0.16 0.55 5.09 1.30P 17.13R 4.19 Wigan 2 3 +3 -0.78 32.34 1.42 79.40 12.65 27.85 19.93 34.01 67.90 44.71P 0.36R 0.05 Ipswich 3 3 +1 -0.35 43.92 2.14 58.15 11.24 -4.22 0.38 1.15 8.73 2.56P 11.80R 2.64 Doncaster 2 3 +0 0.59 60.36 0.47 50.94 11.80 -18.71 0.14 0.46 3.34 0.99P 31.28R 10.98 Brighton 3 3 -1 -1.36 27.92 -1.42 68.51 11.09 8.98 2.90 7.28 31.67 13.67P 1.68R 0.26 Birmingham 3 3 -1 -1.43 27.06 -1.48 64.08 11.14 2.49 1.21 3.44 19.38 7.09P 4.19R 0.67 Yeovil 3 3 -2 0.27 55.99 0.11 42.77 11.05 -33.24 0.00 0.03 0.54 0.10P 59.37R 30.37 Bolton 3 2 -3 -1.83 23.51 -2.59 67.08 11.54 6.29 2.44 6.39 28.21 11.78P 2.78R 0.48 Charlton 3 1 -2 -3.54 7.49 -2.64 58.61 11.22 -3.77 0.46 1.36 9.35 3.10P 10.42R 2.30 Sheff_Wed 3 1 -2 -2.23 18.29 -0.78 53.63 11.01 -11.03 0.12 0.37 3.97 1.05P 20.92R 5.80 Blackburn 3 1 -3 -3.04 10.58 -2.95 59.10 11.17 -3.89 0.53 1.39 10.02 3.41P 9.81R 2.04 Barnsley 3 1 -5 -1.97 22.45 -3.20 47.68 10.79 -23.87 0.03 0.10 1.18 0.29P 40.75R 14.84 Millwall 3 0 -5 -4.35 1.70 -5.39 49.20 10.55 -18.17 0.04 0.11 1.40 0.35P 34.35R 10.71League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bristol_City 1 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 3 9 +8 3.98 94.43 6.61 72.86 11.62 15.31 3.52 9.93 44.29 17.25P 1.17R 0.05 Peterborough 3 9 +4 3.43 91.73 1.57 90.01 12.81 42.44 37.37 58.90 88.10 67.48P 0.06R 0.00 Wolverhampton 3 7 +5 1.45 74.44 2.66 89.60 12.16 43.60 34.86 57.88 88.79 68.34P 0.04R 0.00 Walsall 3 7 +3 2.35 84.36 2.22 68.84 11.69 6.95 1.72 5.61 30.95 10.61P 2.83R 0.19 Colchester 3 7 +2 3.21 92.50 2.53 59.80 11.40 -8.47 0.23 0.99 10.03 2.43P 12.11R 1.49 Brentford 3 5 +2 0.29 54.93 1.11 71.98 11.61 14.27 2.92 8.77 41.28 16.79P 1.50R 0.09 Rotherham 3 5 +1 1.70 76.82 2.44 50.98 12.17 -23.03 0.07 0.29 3.30 0.78P 36.65R 9.10 MK_Dons 3 5 +1 -0.04 49.23 -0.46 76.22 11.51 19.96 5.39 15.02 56.29 26.23P 0.65R 0.05 Bradford 3 4 +3 0.62 64.89 4.38 47.89 11.65 -22.56 0.02 0.10 1.73 0.34P 45.76R 12.07 Crawley_Town 3 4 +0 -0.13 51.20 0.03 57.66 11.76 -10.40 0.23 0.86 8.08 2.11P 16.98R 2.55 Crewe 3 4 +0 0.17 56.33 0.55 54.00 11.48 -16.35 0.06 0.28 4.23 0.84P 26.14R 4.32 Port_Vale 3 4 +0 -0.01 53.15 0.19 53.38 12.41 -17.36 0.14 0.47 5.12 1.35P 29.37R 6.40 Sheff_Utd 3 4 -1 -0.98 35.51 -2.33 74.60 11.53 17.06 4.39 12.45 50.06 22.64P 0.78R 0.04 Shrewsbury 3 4 -1 0.78 66.39 0.30 57.68 11.18 -9.89 0.10 0.51 7.00 1.64P 16.02R 2.16 Preston 3 3 +0 -0.91 35.06 0.29 63.56 11.41 2.25 0.51 1.97 17.02 5.20P 6.57R 0.59 Oldham 3 3 -1 -0.06 49.23 0.92 54.54 11.36 -13.10 0.06 0.27 4.55 0.96P 23.70R 4.02 Swindon 3 3 -2 -1.60 23.91 -2.65 74.78 11.40 17.66 4.08 12.08 50.89 23.14P 0.70R 0.03 Bristol_City 3 1 -2 -3.43 8.04 -2.47 68.40 13.00 11.33 2.48 6.95 32.10 13.36P 4.59R 0.52 Tranmere 3 1 -3 -3.19 10.06 -3.11 59.64 11.49 -3.94 0.30 0.98 10.16 2.95P 12.24R 1.61 Notts_County 3 1 -3 -2.37 18.43 -1.77 64.78 11.72 4.09 0.71 2.63 20.34 6.60P 6.10R 0.63 Gillingham 3 1 -5 -2.01 21.22 -3.08 47.77 11.87 -25.14 0.01 0.07 1.66 0.31P 46.52R 13.80 Stevenage 3 0 -3 -3.67 3.68 -2.31 52.12 11.33 -14.72 0.03 0.18 3.01 0.73P 30.94R 6.15 Carlisle 3 0 -12 -3.08 7.19 -10.08 40.37 11.03 -48.69 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.03P 72.37R 33.47 Coventry 3 -4 +4 -9.06 0.00 2.44 64.31 11.81 18.73 0.79 2.81 20.74 7.89P 6.21R 0.66 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Bury 3 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 3 9 +6 5.22 98.27 6.53 75.66 11.22 17.81 10.47 32.58 65.60 40.35P 0.21R 0.07 Southend 3 9 +4 4.02 95.48 2.72 77.25 11.10 18.14 13.44 37.55 70.26 46.09P 0.11R 0.04 Chesterfield 3 7 +4 2.57 87.10 3.52 79.23 11.00 24.11 17.52 45.15 77.01 54.66P 0.07R 0.01 Exeter 3 7 +3 1.68 77.71 1.18 69.94 11.12 9.14 4.35 16.67 45.13 23.55P 0.79R 0.29 Burton_Albion 3 7 +2 3.21 91.90 2.51 67.09 11.38 3.17 2.92 11.78 35.82 16.72P 1.82R 0.70 Fleetwood_Town 3 6 +3 1.47 71.10 2.35 63.38 11.09 0.64 1.31 6.40 23.99 9.94P 3.42R 1.28 Newport_County 3 6 +2 2.46 83.55 3.01 46.34 11.11 -29.61 0.04 0.27 1.98 0.51P 40.93R 25.49 Scunthorpe 3 5 +2 -0.62 38.52 -0.29 75.95 11.93 20.32 12.94 35.00 66.02 44.36P 0.34R 0.10 Rochdale 3 4 +2 -0.25 48.24 1.84 68.13 11.55 9.87 3.52 14.26 40.36 20.47P 1.53R 0.54 Portsmouth 3 4 +0 -1.79 23.75 -2.59 80.03 12.02 27.12 22.19 48.70 77.22 58.30P 0.17R 0.07 Dag_&_Red 3 4 +0 0.49 62.23 0.95 59.37 11.01 -5.23 0.54 3.12 14.64 5.45P 6.95R 2.85 AFC_Wimbledon 3 4 -1 0.89 68.91 0.58 52.63 10.82 -17.58 0.11 0.81 5.10 1.49P 19.13R 9.58 Mansfield 3 4 -1 1.16 73.00 0.95 53.24 11.55 -15.96 0.21 1.28 6.75 2.29P 18.98R 9.81 York 3 4 -1 0.27 57.02 -0.55 53.67 10.44 -13.67 0.10 0.76 5.33 1.59P 15.45R 7.26 Bury 3 3 +0 -1.71 22.50 -0.94 69.63 12.26 11.83 5.50 18.68 45.16 25.91P 1.49R 0.59 Northampton 3 3 -1 -1.22 28.29 -1.27 61.17 11.19 -2.27 0.83 4.64 18.85 7.91P 5.17R 2.07 Plymouth 3 3 -1 -0.42 42.75 -0.10 58.22 10.65 -5.68 0.33 2.19 11.54 4.22P 7.52R 3.17 Wycombe 3 3 -1 -1.79 21.94 -1.98 58.94 10.83 -5.02 0.45 2.82 13.55 5.32P 6.90R 2.86 Torquay 3 2 -2 -2.44 15.35 -2.53 58.55 11.03 -5.35 0.44 2.66 13.02 4.87P 7.92R 3.47 Bristol_Rovers 3 1 -2 -2.56 15.30 -1.17 55.90 10.97 -8.31 0.22 1.58 8.98 3.02P 11.69R 5.29 Cheltenham 3 1 -4 -3.19 8.87 -4.10 59.72 10.96 -4.10 0.52 3.25 15.08 6.00P 6.35R 2.65 Morecambe 3 1 -4 -2.28 17.16 -2.67 56.07 10.99 -9.51 0.27 1.57 9.00 3.12P 11.57R 5.28 Hartlepool 3 1 -4 -2.95 10.83 -3.84 63.94 11.64 2.52 1.72 7.90 26.79 13.08P 3.48R 1.40 Accrington_Stanley 3 1 -6 -1.97 22.81 -4.10 49.61 10.76 -22.39 0.04 0.35 2.81 0.77P 27.98R 15.13Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 August 2013, Aldershot 0 1 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 3 7 +5 2.68 90.89 4.54 72.64 11.08 15.92 4.49 33.96 10.13P 0.47R 0.03 Barnet 3 7 +4 1.27 72.89 1.15 86.17 11.54 37.55 33.20 78.05 46.95P 0.01R 0.00 Nuneaton 3 7 +3 2.91 90.85 2.99 61.50 10.59 -4.29 0.34 7.21 1.32P 4.96R 0.62 Lincoln_City 3 7 +2 2.72 88.69 1.79 65.07 10.89 0.24 1.04 13.14 3.01P 2.73R 0.32 Alfreton_Town 3 6 +2 1.65 74.02 1.62 60.19 11.03 -7.88 0.34 6.41 1.28P 6.98R 0.94 Kidderminster 3 6 +1 0.83 61.16 -0.66 81.87 10.84 29.60 17.88 67.05 31.02P 0.04R 0.00 Southport 3 6 +0 2.42 82.57 0.94 61.03 11.09 -8.70 0.40 7.64 1.45P 6.11R 0.90 Halifax 3 6 -1 2.77 86.94 0.70 52.15 12.50 -26.30 0.15 2.77 0.51P 26.61R 7.24 Hereford 3 5 +2 -0.34 43.58 0.09 72.68 10.95 16.59 4.40 34.21 10.93P 0.47R 0.02 Tamworth 3 5 +1 1.51 75.38 1.86 56.53 10.43 -11.44 0.12 2.76 0.47P 10.97R 1.73 Forest_Green 3 4 +7 -0.95 36.52 5.46 74.01 10.90 24.92 5.65 39.25 13.77P 0.31R 0.02 Braintree_Town 3 4 +1 0.10 55.02 1.44 59.90 10.89 -4.89 0.27 5.97 1.14P 7.10R 1.03 Luton 3 4 +1 -1.61 25.07 -1.35 71.78 10.93 15.50 3.78 30.88 10.04P 0.61R 0.06 Wrexham 3 4 +0 -1.57 26.13 -2.38 79.24 10.74 26.72 12.27 58.02 25.51P 0.06R 0.00 Welling 3 4 +0 0.97 70.06 1.92 52.88 12.24 -18.44 0.18 2.89 0.61P 23.84R 5.90 Grimsby 3 4 +0 -0.46 44.23 -0.54 77.22 10.80 23.13 8.85 50.22 19.59P 0.15R 0.01 Woking 3 4 +0 0.07 54.62 0.39 57.39 10.89 -10.92 0.18 3.88 0.68P 10.58R 1.54 Dartford 3 3 -4 -0.51 39.82 -2.93 58.05 10.85 -10.66 0.19 4.33 0.84P 9.25R 1.45 Macclesfield 3 1 -2 -2.71 12.08 -1.37 62.17 10.94 1.49 0.55 8.88 2.14P 4.80R 0.60 Hyde_United 3 1 -9 -2.27 18.73 -7.30 45.23 10.59 -37.68 0.00 0.26 0.03P 46.78R 15.17 Gateshead 3 0 -4 -3.12 5.62 -2.33 56.51 10.87 -8.57 0.12 3.23 0.64P 12.00R 2.09 Salisbury 3 0 -4 -2.72 7.50 -1.42 42.92 11.82 -32.91 0.01 0.36 0.07P 54.66R 22.45 Chester 3 0 -7 -2.76 7.70 -4.31 38.46 11.39 -44.06 0.00 0.11 0.02P 69.84R 37.80 Aldershot 3 -6 +2 -11.54 0.00 -0.26 73.30 11.36 35.07 5.58 38.53 17.88P 0.65R 0.07 Adjustments: Aldershot -10