Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.81    10.45    34.09    12.33    28.35    44.87    60.26    82.62     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.06    10.06   -18.05     0.02     0.08     0.28     0.72     3.42    19.91R    4.28  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    39.11    10.62   -24.28     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.44     2.09    34.24R   10.26  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.48    10.29    36.86    15.97    33.84    51.32    66.38    86.75     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.57     9.62   -44.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    71.33R   38.42  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.96    10.37    13.66     1.66     5.27    11.38    19.97    45.09     0.62R    0.05  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.29    10.46    -6.42     0.14     0.55     1.38     3.16    10.91     7.80R    1.26  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.47     9.72   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.36    59.95R   25.47  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.07    10.50    24.50     5.65    14.94    27.00    41.09    68.82     0.15R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.54    10.12    39.88    20.75    41.86    59.54    73.71    90.52     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.01    10.00    51.73    38.63    61.23    76.15    85.79    95.75     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.79    10.43   -13.56     0.07     0.28     0.75     1.67     6.07    14.04R    2.71  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.91    10.17   -18.22     0.02     0.10     0.31     0.79     3.45    20.43R    4.64  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.92    10.20   -14.81     0.03     0.11     0.40     1.12     4.97    15.51R    3.12  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.38     9.76   -12.43     0.02     0.10     0.33     0.84     3.91    15.16R    2.79  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.63    10.06   -10.09     0.05     0.22     0.72     1.61     6.33    11.19R    2.02  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.57    10.00    -8.42     0.04     0.26     0.76     1.88     7.41     9.63R    1.52  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.58    10.61    22.24     4.49    12.00    22.56    35.77    63.52     0.23R    0.02  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.44    10.49    -6.59     0.11     0.53     1.44     3.19    11.49     7.77R    1.23  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.48    10.17   -11.12     0.04     0.22     0.62     1.52     6.40    11.98R    2.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 August 2013, Leicester 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford          2    6   +6       2.32    86.03     4.37    80.10    12.05    27.52    17.26    32.43    69.16    42.56P    0.19R    0.02  
Blackpool        2    6   +3       2.35    86.08     1.63    71.71    11.92    11.09     5.23    12.03    41.51    18.87P    1.04R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    2    6   +2       3.01    92.06     1.61    68.02    11.47     4.97     2.55     6.51    28.90    11.31P    1.84R    0.22  
Burnley          2    4   +1       1.18    75.23     0.88    66.85    11.69     4.92     2.05     5.53    26.45     9.99P    2.79R    0.46  
Derby            2    4   +1       1.45    79.94     1.25    64.27    11.60     1.00     1.32     3.62    19.56     6.89P    4.39R    0.78  
QPR              2    4   +1       0.50    62.15    -0.11    73.89    12.47    15.44     7.96    17.00    49.15    26.15P    0.98R    0.16  
Reading          2    4   +1       0.78    68.58     0.28    77.59    12.73    21.41    13.45    26.15    60.51    35.84P    0.52R    0.05  
Leeds_United     2    4   +1       1.72    83.89     1.66    63.28    11.67    -0.61     1.09     3.10    17.66     6.10P    5.28R    0.85  
Leicester        2    4   +1       0.72    66.98     0.21    74.58    11.59    16.42     7.36    16.37    51.40    25.81P    0.51R    0.06  
Wigan            1    3   +4       1.03    70.73     3.06    84.22    13.25    34.83    30.62    46.79    77.73    56.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Ipswich          2    3   +2       0.54    59.38     2.45    59.56    11.44    -3.41     0.45     1.41    10.74     3.17P    8.90R    1.85  
Middlesbrough    2    3   +0       0.58    60.10     0.43    61.35    11.45    -2.84     0.66     2.02    13.39     4.31P    6.87R    1.29  
Birmingham       2    3   +0      -0.05    46.91    -0.46    66.95    11.58     5.61     2.06     5.55    26.63    10.49P    2.47R    0.38  
Yeovil           2    3   +0       0.98    68.44     1.11    44.50    11.60   -31.16     0.02     0.09     1.06     0.26P   51.19R   22.87  
Bournemouth      2    3   -4       1.25    73.37    -2.15    47.17    12.14   -31.56     0.05     0.20     1.97     0.51P   42.86R   17.54  
Bolton           2    2   +0      -0.76    35.94    -0.03    71.15    11.84    13.45     4.53    11.01    40.19    18.50P    1.23R    0.14  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.73    22.87    -1.01    62.61    11.58     1.14     0.87     2.65    16.15     5.83P    5.67R    1.06  
Huddersfield     2    1   -1      -1.06    35.63    -0.03    52.00    11.14   -15.10     0.06     0.28     2.88     0.72P   24.28R    6.80  
Brighton         2    0   -2      -3.05     4.59    -2.47    66.56    11.42     7.59     1.74     5.12    25.50    10.58P    2.61R    0.42  
Sheff_Wed        2    0   -2      -2.17    10.35    -1.20    53.71    11.39   -11.71     0.13     0.45     4.29     1.16P   20.20R    5.28  
Charlton         2    0   -2      -3.12     4.74    -2.57    58.88    11.52    -3.89     0.43     1.27     9.85     3.13P   10.03R    2.10  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -1.01    24.94    -1.44    46.44    12.07   -25.74     0.05     0.15     1.55     0.39P   44.27R   18.34  
Millwall         2    0   -4      -2.87     5.41    -4.23    51.64    10.98   -16.00     0.03     0.17     2.48     0.63P   25.04R    6.89  
Barnsley         2    0   -5      -1.67    16.34    -3.24    48.30    11.04   -23.38     0.02     0.09     1.33     0.27P   36.67R   12.31  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 August 2013, Coventry 5 4 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    2    6   +7       2.50    87.10     5.84    70.68    11.84    13.38     2.50     7.09    35.48    12.93P    1.91R    0.12  
Peterborough     2    6   +3       2.69    88.47     2.10    90.18    12.97    46.11    37.68    57.26    87.36    66.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          2    6   +3       2.93    90.75     2.50    69.91    11.94     7.85     2.10     6.23    32.59    11.42P    2.43R    0.19  
Colchester       2    6   +2       3.02    91.67     1.62    58.94    11.58   -11.24     0.20     0.79     8.38     1.98P   13.81R    1.77  
Bradford         2    4   +4       1.67    86.16     4.94    49.91    11.99   -21.34     0.04     0.18     2.46     0.55P   38.88R    9.76  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +4       0.03    53.91     1.93    87.23    12.54    42.12    27.48    48.02    83.27    59.82P    0.10R    0.01  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.90    70.39     1.47    73.61    11.87    16.45     4.04    10.61    44.71    19.01P    1.16R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     2    4   +1       1.54    81.44     1.51    61.30    12.16    -6.03     0.51     1.66    12.71     3.47P   11.11R    1.61  
MK_Dons          2    4   +1       0.33    59.72    -0.50    76.05    11.80    19.27     5.55    14.60    52.74    25.02P    0.62R    0.02  
Oldham           2    3   +0       0.56    59.69     0.49    55.26    11.46   -14.19     0.07     0.36     4.75     1.07P   21.69R    3.63  
Swindon          2    3   +0      -0.06    46.64    -0.42    78.64    11.55    23.97     7.58    19.25    62.16    31.89P    0.29R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        2    3   -1      -0.04    46.92    -1.48    76.57    11.80    20.02     6.10    15.43    54.79    26.17P    0.70R    0.06  
Rotherham        2    2   +0      -0.25    46.63     0.88    47.11    12.32   -29.60     0.05     0.15     1.79     0.38P   48.53R   15.80  
Preston          2    2   +0      -0.65    37.93     0.13    63.81    11.61     1.94     0.54     1.98    16.63     5.06P    6.27R    0.63  
Bristol_City     2    1   -1      -2.33    13.38    -1.99    70.30    13.49    13.48     3.49     9.20    36.71    16.01P    3.83R    0.50  
Crewe            2    1   -1      -1.47    26.32    -0.46    51.28    11.68   -19.99     0.04     0.17     2.70     0.60P   33.65R    7.47  
Port_Vale        2    1   -1      -1.26    32.68    -0.21    51.82    12.78   -19.10     0.14     0.42     4.18     1.10P   34.11R    8.75  
Tranmere         2    1   -2      -1.82    21.64    -2.10    62.11    11.69    -1.43     0.46     1.58    13.51     4.12P    8.43R    0.96  
Shrewsbury       2    1   -3      -1.05    36.33    -1.92    54.01    11.43   -15.70     0.06     0.24     3.63     0.79P   25.09R    4.53  
Stevenage        2    0   -2      -2.40     8.43    -1.42    54.47    11.67   -12.67     0.08     0.36     4.35     1.08P   24.02R    4.43  
Notts_County     2    0   -3      -2.17    11.98    -2.01    65.48    11.99     4.48     0.88     2.97    20.94     6.85P    5.54R    0.59  
Gillingham       2    0   -5      -1.92    12.64    -3.39    46.55    12.04   -28.61     0.01     0.08     1.23     0.25P   49.53R   16.66  
Carlisle         2    0   -8      -2.28    11.39    -7.15    44.75    11.61   -39.92     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.11P   56.59R   20.66  
Coventry         2   -7   +0     -10.00     0.00    -0.38    60.35    12.20    10.73     0.39     1.35    12.18     4.17P   11.67R    1.75  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            2    6   +4       3.47    95.10     4.37    71.67    11.33    12.44     6.62    22.47    52.03    29.46P    0.61R    0.18  
Fleetwood_Town        2    6   +4       3.03    92.36     3.60    66.20    11.23     4.07     2.77    10.95    32.76    15.47P    1.89R    0.62  
Chesterfield          2    6   +4       2.88    91.25     3.45    78.93    11.18    23.22    18.81    45.89    75.89    54.74P    0.08R    0.02  
Southend              2    6   +2       2.92    92.10     1.48    74.92    11.40    15.29    10.89    31.77    62.76    40.03P    0.27R    0.09  
Scunthorpe            2    4   +2       0.31    60.09     0.49    78.22    12.24    23.51    19.41    44.54    72.16    53.03P    0.21R    0.07  
Burton_Albion         2    4   +1       1.42    80.29     1.25    64.07    11.48     0.08     2.01     8.38    27.00    12.36P    3.41R    1.24  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    4   +1       1.67    84.30     1.63    54.75    11.11   -14.51     0.23     1.46     7.67     2.44P   14.61R    6.64  
Exeter                2    4   +1       0.69    66.85     0.14    68.12    11.31     7.04     3.73    14.43    39.74    20.47P    1.35R    0.41  
Rochdale              2    3   +2       0.15    51.30     1.89    68.74    11.69    10.36     4.78    16.90    42.06    23.07P    1.41R    0.52  
Newport_County        2    3   +1       0.90    66.75     2.19    43.97    11.44   -32.71     0.04     0.25     1.42     0.41P   49.20R   32.74  
Northampton           2    3   +1      -0.44    38.08    -0.19    63.25    11.36     0.85     1.63     7.32    24.84    11.35P    3.69R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   +0       0.28    53.80     0.04    58.72    11.26    -6.96     0.65     3.41    13.82     5.55P    8.19R    3.53  
Wycombe               2    3   +0       0.05    49.16    -0.31    62.26    11.17    -1.22     1.20     5.95    21.31     9.15P    4.23R    1.60  
York                  2    3   -1       0.59    60.67    -0.56    54.16    10.62   -13.71     0.12     0.95     6.19     1.90P   14.51R    6.20  
Torquay               2    2   +0      -1.04    28.54    -0.48    62.19    11.19     0.18     1.20     5.95    21.78     9.51P    4.14R    1.51  
Bristol_Rovers        2    1   -1      -1.16    33.78    -0.10    58.47    11.34    -5.59     0.63     3.27    13.90     5.53P    8.53R    3.53  
Morecambe             2    1   -1      -1.61    24.08    -0.84    58.48    11.03    -4.94     0.46     2.99    13.25     5.16P    7.90R    3.22  
Cheltenham            2    1   -2      -1.62    23.34    -1.85    63.35    11.29     1.53     1.42     7.11    24.84    11.63P    3.58R    1.33  
Mansfield             2    1   -2      -0.86    39.45    -0.52    49.35    11.64   -20.76     0.09     0.62     3.76     1.18P   30.04R   16.61  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -3      -1.42    29.04    -2.50    51.93    10.97   -17.91     0.11     0.81     4.65     1.54P   20.85R    9.76  
Portsmouth            2    1   -3      -2.53    12.35    -4.20    76.91    12.53    21.84    17.21    40.64    68.12    49.64P    0.44R    0.13  
Bury                  2    0   -3      -2.54     7.75    -2.71    65.90    12.53     5.64     3.56    13.01    34.21    18.92P    3.48R    1.36  
Plymouth              2    0   -3      -2.30     8.35    -2.42    54.16    10.56   -10.98     0.11     0.98     6.01     1.91P   14.19R    6.21  
Hartlepool            2    0   -4      -2.61     6.75    -3.82    64.81    11.81     3.25     2.32     9.94    29.84    15.55P    3.18R    1.18  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 August 2013, Welling 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Southport         2    6   +2       3.34    93.34     2.19    63.02    11.30    -5.50     0.70     9.85     1.92P    4.60R    0.61  
Forest_Green      2    4   +8       0.24    59.78     6.18    76.00    11.05    27.13     7.55    44.79    16.14P    0.19R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd     2    4   +4       0.35    62.07     2.37    68.07    11.21     9.86     2.11    19.74     5.37P    1.40R    0.14  
Barnet            2    4   +3      -0.12    50.99     0.55    83.57    11.71    34.98    24.45    69.76    38.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    2    4   +2       1.33    82.85     2.19    62.15    11.14    -2.72     0.59     8.56     1.70P    4.69R    0.69  
Hereford          2    4   +2       0.27    58.15     0.44    73.53    11.21    17.40     5.18    35.72    11.63P    0.39R    0.03  
Grimsby           2    4   +1       1.11    73.94     0.76    79.96    10.98    26.87    13.24    58.54    25.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Nuneaton          2    4   +1       1.80    85.53     1.79    58.93    10.76    -7.80     0.19     4.45     0.74P    7.70R    1.23  
Lincoln_City      2    4   +1       1.18    76.58     0.92    62.78    11.01    -1.83     0.60     9.08     1.92P    4.22R    0.57  
Tamworth          2    4   +1       1.72    83.64     1.62    56.66    10.66   -11.77     0.10     2.78     0.46P   10.88R    1.81  
Alfreton_Town     2    3   +1       0.76    63.53     1.84    59.84    11.19    -6.48     0.35     6.02     1.11P    7.22R    1.20  
Luton             2    3   +1      -0.66    34.05    -0.52    73.90    11.08    18.43     5.26    36.90    12.45P    0.33R    0.02  
Kidderminster     2    3   +0      -0.64    34.60    -1.45    79.60    11.14    27.94    13.28    57.44    24.90P    0.08R    0.01  
Wrexham           2    3   +0      -1.14    24.72    -2.33    79.51    10.86    26.57    12.62    56.95    24.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford          2    3   -2       0.65    61.48    -1.20    60.76    11.08    -6.72     0.42     6.58     1.33P    6.05R    0.97  
Halifax           2    3   -3       1.43    76.95    -0.78    48.51    12.79   -33.62     0.09     1.60     0.29P   36.92R   13.41  
Welling           2    1   -1      -0.84    39.73     0.74    48.97    12.76   -24.46     0.13     1.70     0.36P   34.51R   12.02  
Woking            2    1   -2      -1.51    26.29    -1.50    54.29    11.07   -15.98     0.08     2.15     0.39P   16.77R    3.56  
Macclesfield      2    0   -2      -2.91     4.85    -2.23    60.80    11.20    -1.40     0.43     7.12     1.69P    6.14R    0.96  
Gateshead         2    0   -3      -1.95    12.20    -1.62    58.67    11.09    -6.16     0.22     4.67     0.97P    8.63R    1.57  
Salisbury         2    0   -3      -2.04    10.75    -1.66    44.02    12.27   -32.18     0.02     0.60     0.11P   50.17R   21.06  
Chester           2    0   -5      -1.45    18.50    -2.49    42.55    12.15   -37.97     0.01     0.37     0.05P   55.12R   25.57  
Hyde_United       2    0   -9      -2.02    12.35    -7.49    45.74    10.76   -37.67     0.01     0.27     0.04P   43.60R   14.49  
Aldershot         2   -6   +3      -9.52     0.00     1.67    78.31    11.64    43.11    12.37    54.36    28.39P    0.20R    0.03  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10