Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.92    10.47    34.36    12.49    28.02    44.95    60.52    82.88     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.38    10.14   -17.44     0.02     0.11     0.32     0.74     3.68    19.06R    4.17  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    38.96    10.59   -24.65     0.02     0.06     0.20     0.44     2.05    34.44R   10.24  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.93    10.21    37.63    16.49    35.10    52.95    68.11    87.71     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.61     9.82   -44.39     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.04     0.23    70.76R   38.95  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.88    10.36    13.53     1.52     5.16    11.08    19.84    44.47     0.59R    0.07  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.04    10.48    -6.83     0.13     0.53     1.36     2.94    10.40     8.22R    1.25  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.47     9.80   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.32    60.08R   24.99  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.23    10.42    24.81     5.67    15.10    27.03    41.11    69.28     0.14R    0.02  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.34    10.11    39.41    19.68    40.47    58.35    72.82    90.50     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.34     9.94    52.46    39.42    62.15    76.83    86.45    96.05     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.74    10.30   -13.59     0.04     0.20     0.59     1.51     5.97    13.76R    2.61  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.90    10.12   -18.07     0.02     0.09     0.29     0.72     3.29    20.20R    4.43  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.74    10.28   -15.14     0.03     0.13     0.42     1.14     5.03    15.83R    3.21  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.19     9.68   -12.66     0.01     0.08     0.26     0.70     3.57    15.49R    2.79  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.66    10.03    -9.99     0.04     0.20     0.60     1.51     6.40    11.09R    1.97  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.73    10.21    -8.26     0.08     0.34     0.97     2.09     8.04     9.51R    1.58  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.39    10.55    21.81     4.18    11.54    21.70    34.45    62.56     0.20R    0.01  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.58    10.49    -6.43     0.12     0.53     1.45     3.38    11.56     7.47R    1.28  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.06    10.26   -11.81     0.04     0.18     0.62     1.45     6.01    13.10R    2.42  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 August 2013, Leicester 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford          2    6   +6       2.34    86.46     4.43    79.75    11.91    26.93    16.44    31.38    68.50    41.48P    0.21R    0.01  
Blackpool        2    6   +3       2.38    86.35     1.66    71.31    11.84    10.55     4.94    11.26    39.97    17.76P    1.08R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    2    6   +2       3.01    91.95     1.63    67.81    11.53     4.64     2.44     6.27    28.63    11.03P    2.23R    0.32  
Burnley          2    4   +1       1.20    75.74     0.90    66.57    11.61     4.52     2.05     5.28    25.36     9.71P    2.67R    0.38  
Derby            2    4   +1       1.46    80.02     1.25    64.48    11.66     1.37     1.38     3.91    20.40     7.29P    4.22R    0.77  
QPR              2    4   +1       0.51    62.35    -0.10    73.60    12.39    15.01     7.67    16.39    48.12    25.22P    0.97R    0.16  
Reading          2    4   +1       0.77    68.49     0.27    77.73    12.81    21.67    14.15    26.76    61.33    36.66P    0.47R    0.07  
Leeds_United     2    4   +1       1.75    84.44     1.71    62.74    11.59    -1.44     0.92     2.65    16.22     5.19P    5.70R    1.13  
Leicester        2    4   +1       0.70    66.48     0.17    75.21    11.60    17.39     8.15    18.09    53.44    27.83P    0.37R    0.05  
Wigan            1    3   +4       1.02    70.63     3.05    84.16    13.25    34.82    30.42    46.95    77.73    56.56P    0.18R    0.01  
Ipswich          2    3   +2       0.54    59.43     2.47    59.50    11.44    -3.48     0.50     1.50    10.62     3.28P    8.97R    1.84  
Middlesbrough    2    3   +0       0.58    60.33     0.44    61.57    11.49    -2.52     0.72     2.18    13.82     4.52P    6.75R    1.36  
Birmingham       2    3   +0      -0.09    46.09    -0.50    67.10    11.73     5.82     2.16     5.92    27.23    11.15P    2.66R    0.41  
Yeovil           2    3   +0       1.00    68.77     1.11    44.65    11.55   -30.84     0.03     0.08     1.01     0.22P   50.67R   22.09  
Bournemouth      2    3   -4       1.26    73.48    -2.15    47.08    12.21   -31.69     0.06     0.16     1.88     0.41P   43.06R   18.11  
Bolton           2    2   +0      -0.76    36.08    -0.03    71.25    11.82    13.61     4.49    10.95    40.68    18.66P    1.20R    0.15  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.73    23.07    -1.00    62.25    11.61     0.60     0.85     2.59    15.74     5.55P    6.06R    1.12  
Huddersfield     2    1   -1      -1.08    35.27    -0.08    52.19    11.21   -14.77     0.09     0.29     3.13     0.80P   23.95R    6.68  
Brighton         2    0   -2      -3.07     4.58    -2.49    66.85    11.41     7.97     1.88     5.13    26.34    10.84P    2.48R    0.35  
Sheff_Wed        2    0   -2      -2.19    10.14    -1.22    53.55    11.37   -11.93     0.10     0.38     4.09     1.14P   20.47R    5.56  
Charlton         2    0   -2      -3.14     4.64    -2.58    59.13    11.56    -3.50     0.43     1.39    10.21     3.31P    9.67R    1.99  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -1.03    24.50    -1.47    46.86    12.06   -25.07     0.04     0.15     1.70     0.40P   42.88R   17.32  
Millwall         2    0   -4      -2.87     5.41    -4.23    51.73    10.97   -15.75     0.06     0.21     2.47     0.63P   24.71R    6.91  
Barnsley         2    0   -5      -1.67    16.34    -3.24    47.91    11.08   -23.92     0.03     0.11     1.39     0.35P   38.38R   13.11  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 August 2013, Coventry 5 4 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    2    6   +7       2.52    87.40     5.86    70.59    11.87    13.18     2.47     6.96    35.32    12.92P    1.91R    0.15  
Peterborough     2    6   +3       2.66    88.17     2.07    90.45    13.03    46.73    37.99    58.11    87.71    66.76P    0.13R    0.01  
Walsall          2    6   +3       2.90    90.55     2.47    70.04    11.92     8.15     2.24     6.33    32.95    11.64P    2.33R    0.19  
Colchester       2    6   +2       3.05    91.77     1.67    58.74    11.61   -11.58     0.25     0.90     8.35     2.06P   14.15R    1.89  
Bradford         2    4   +4       1.69    86.53     4.96    49.90    11.95   -21.46     0.05     0.20     2.43     0.51P   38.47R    9.75  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +4       0.03    53.91     1.95    87.64    12.49    42.88    28.23    49.18    83.94    60.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.89    70.00     1.45    73.77    11.68    16.66     3.77    10.43    45.09    18.90P    1.01R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     2    4   +1       1.54    81.56     1.51    61.44    12.03    -5.80     0.47     1.53    12.90     3.49P   10.37R    1.35  
MK_Dons          2    4   +1       0.32    59.73    -0.50    76.20    11.75    19.54     5.53    14.57    53.64    24.98P    0.63R    0.04  
Oldham           2    3   +0       0.59    60.26     0.53    54.93    11.39   -14.77     0.09     0.34     4.37     1.01P   22.25R    3.79  
Swindon          2    3   +0      -0.04    47.33    -0.38    78.48    11.61    23.70     7.22    18.62    61.43    31.03P    0.35R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        2    3   -1      -0.02    47.29    -1.44    76.33    11.73    19.59     5.68    14.80    53.94    25.33P    0.60R    0.04  
Rotherham        2    2   +0      -0.22    47.46     0.93    46.32    12.31   -31.13     0.04     0.11     1.47     0.33P   50.88R   17.64  
Preston          2    2   +0      -0.65    37.76     0.13    63.66    11.68     1.67     0.56     1.91    16.43     5.04P    6.64R    0.71  
Bristol_City     2    1   -1      -2.34    13.38    -1.99    70.41    13.44    13.67     3.49     8.98    36.64    16.01P    3.89R    0.49  
Crewe            2    1   -1      -1.49    25.67    -0.50    51.34    11.67   -19.89     0.05     0.19     2.59     0.52P   33.56R    7.53  
Port_Vale        2    1   -1      -1.26    32.68    -0.22    51.76    12.73   -19.07     0.13     0.39     3.99     1.10P   33.56R    8.80  
Tranmere         2    1   -2      -1.80    21.83    -2.09    62.12    11.79    -1.53     0.49     1.60    13.48     4.02P    8.90R    1.11  
Shrewsbury       2    1   -3      -1.05    36.43    -1.92    53.82    11.44   -16.14     0.05     0.25     3.58     0.86P   25.38R    4.72  
Stevenage        2    0   -2      -2.43     8.33    -1.44    54.73    11.73   -12.30     0.07     0.37     4.64     1.13P   23.15R    4.22  
Notts_County     2    0   -3      -2.17    11.94    -2.01    65.16    11.99     4.00     0.78     2.70    20.25     6.60P    5.80R    0.64  
Gillingham       2    0   -5      -1.95    12.43    -3.44    47.05    12.01   -27.79     0.01     0.09     1.45     0.29P   48.39R   15.30  
Carlisle         2    0   -8      -2.31    11.05    -7.19    44.98    11.63   -39.49     0.01     0.03     0.79     0.15P   55.86R   19.81  
Coventry         2   -7   +0     -10.00     0.00    -0.38    60.58    12.23    11.17     0.36     1.43    12.59     4.33P   11.70R    1.76  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            2    6   +4       3.47    95.09     4.38    71.55    11.40    12.27     6.38    22.06    51.31    29.16P    0.73R    0.20  
Fleetwood_Town        2    6   +4       3.02    92.32     3.61    66.23    11.30     4.03     2.61    11.14    33.30    15.73P    1.92R    0.63  
Chesterfield          2    6   +4       2.87    91.11     3.43    79.25    11.29    23.73    19.81    46.87    76.45    55.50P    0.06R    0.01  
Southend              2    6   +2       2.92    92.08     1.50    74.78    11.27    15.07    10.58    31.33    62.53    39.65P    0.28R    0.08  
Scunthorpe            2    4   +2       0.30    59.85     0.49    78.26    12.26    23.57    19.50    44.64    71.95    53.16P    0.24R    0.07  
Burton_Albion         2    4   +1       1.41    80.13     1.23    64.14    11.61     0.16     2.03     8.69    27.15    12.70P    3.52R    1.25  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    4   +1       1.70    84.55     1.68    54.51    11.14   -15.08     0.22     1.56     7.54     2.64P   15.23R    6.83  
Exeter                2    4   +1       0.73    67.62     0.20    67.74    11.29     6.35     3.46    13.78    38.24    19.53P    1.41R    0.46  
Rochdale              2    3   +2       0.18    51.66     1.92    68.38    11.59     9.87     4.30    15.86    41.02    21.93P    1.44R    0.50  
Newport_County        2    3   +1       0.89    66.34     2.14    44.11    11.37   -32.58     0.02     0.22     1.39     0.44P   48.73R   32.17  
Northampton           2    3   +1      -0.41    38.75    -0.15    63.36    11.35     0.94     1.76     7.54    24.93    11.42P    3.59R    1.26  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   +0       0.30    54.31     0.07    58.66    11.18    -7.04     0.58     3.10    13.62     5.18P    7.98R    3.28  
Wycombe               2    3   +0       0.01    48.38    -0.37    62.67    11.14    -0.56     1.35     6.41    22.53     9.96P    3.76R    1.39  
York                  2    3   -1       0.56    60.14    -0.60    54.39    10.65   -13.44     0.14     1.14     6.31     2.04P   14.08R    6.14  
Torquay               2    2   +0      -1.04    28.22    -0.49    62.23    11.25     0.18     1.24     5.93    21.80     9.66P    4.14R    1.64  
Bristol_Rovers        2    1   -1      -1.19    33.15    -0.15    58.61    11.35    -5.48     0.65     3.43    14.08     5.65P    8.31R    3.48  
Morecambe             2    1   -1      -1.61    24.25    -0.82    58.44    11.01    -4.95     0.46     2.89    13.08     5.05P    7.73R    3.16  
Cheltenham            2    1   -2      -1.62    23.20    -1.85    63.52    11.34     1.69     1.50     7.29    25.06    11.72P    3.54R    1.32  
Mansfield             2    1   -2      -0.87    39.23    -0.53    49.28    11.69   -20.88     0.12     0.71     3.85     1.27P   30.41R   16.94  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -3      -1.40    29.57    -2.46    51.81    10.99   -18.24     0.13     0.84     4.59     1.50P   21.12R   10.06  
Portsmouth            2    1   -3      -2.57    11.78    -4.25    76.86    12.45    21.90    16.68    40.04    68.19    49.24P    0.44R    0.15  
Bury                  2    0   -3      -2.54     7.85    -2.69    66.12    12.54     6.03     3.80    13.36    34.54    19.10P    3.39R    1.34  
Plymouth              2    0   -3      -2.31     8.35    -2.42    54.26    10.80   -10.76     0.17     1.19     6.43     2.35P   14.46R    6.35  
Hartlepool            2    0   -4      -2.62     6.63    -3.84    64.77    12.03     3.22     2.50     9.98    30.10    15.43P    3.49R    1.29  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 August 2013, Welling 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Southport         2    6   +2       3.34    93.44     2.19    63.22    11.18    -5.07     0.67    10.06     1.94P    3.94R    0.53  
Forest_Green      2    4   +8       0.26    60.27     6.21    75.97    11.04    27.07     7.64    44.55    16.16P    0.21R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd     2    4   +4       0.34    61.90     2.36    67.96    11.20     9.63     2.10    19.53     5.33P    1.38R    0.14  
Barnet            2    4   +3      -0.12    50.97     0.55    83.75    11.74    35.45    24.88    70.25    38.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    2    4   +2       1.36    83.25     2.26    61.86    11.18    -3.18     0.57     8.28     1.73P    5.22R    0.74  
Hereford          2    4   +2       0.25    57.92     0.39    73.64    11.12    17.64     5.04    35.89    11.44P    0.41R    0.04  
Grimsby           2    4   +1       1.08    73.74     0.73    80.10    10.94    26.94    13.30    59.20    25.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Nuneaton          2    4   +1       1.78    85.36     1.77    59.42    10.88    -7.11     0.25     5.05     0.93P    7.10R    1.16  
Lincoln_City      2    4   +1       1.18    76.79     0.93    62.66    11.01    -2.15     0.63     8.81     1.94P    4.13R    0.57  
Tamworth          2    4   +1       1.70    83.41     1.60    56.37    10.65   -12.18     0.13     2.80     0.45P   11.18R    1.80  
Alfreton_Town     2    3   +1       0.77    63.89     1.87    59.69    11.15    -6.79     0.31     5.77     1.05P    7.28R    1.17  
Luton             2    3   +1      -0.65    34.12    -0.52    74.03    11.09    18.68     5.60    37.00    12.97P    0.33R    0.04  
Kidderminster     2    3   +0      -0.66    34.32    -1.47    79.71    11.08    28.18    13.41    57.88    25.13P    0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham           2    3   +0      -1.15    24.54    -2.36    79.43    10.85    26.40    12.37    56.70    24.55P    0.07R    0.00  
Dartford          2    3   -2       0.64    61.22    -1.23    61.08    11.05    -6.21     0.38     6.89     1.35P    5.78R    0.88  
Halifax           2    3   -3       1.45    77.13    -0.75    48.36    12.65   -33.88     0.08     1.40     0.23P   37.02R   13.26  
Welling           2    1   -1      -0.84    39.88     0.75    48.86    12.81   -24.67     0.11     1.69     0.33P   34.91R   12.01  
Woking            2    1   -2      -1.51    26.27    -1.50    54.03    11.13   -16.43     0.09     2.02     0.34P   17.37R    3.84  
Macclesfield      2    0   -2      -2.91     4.99    -2.23    60.87    11.07    -1.36     0.41     6.80     1.53P    5.84R    0.95  
Gateshead         2    0   -3      -1.95    12.24    -1.61    58.55    11.21    -6.32     0.27     4.74     0.93P    8.93R    1.60  
Salisbury         2    0   -3      -2.02    10.95    -1.64    43.72    12.27   -32.76     0.02     0.59     0.09P   51.02R   22.07  
Chester           2    0   -5      -1.47    18.41    -2.50    42.87    12.11   -37.08     0.01     0.39     0.05P   53.99R   24.77  
Hyde_United       2    0   -9      -2.02    12.25    -7.52    45.80    10.77   -37.45     0.01     0.30     0.04P   43.50R   14.39  
Aldershot         2   -6   +3      -9.49     0.00     1.71    78.09    11.46    42.64    11.73    53.42    27.81P    0.21R    0.03  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10