Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.95    10.50    34.42    12.68    28.31    44.90    60.59    83.08     0.04R    0.01  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.05    10.15   -18.02     0.01     0.09     0.27     0.77     3.43    20.08R    4.44  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    38.90    10.73   -24.63     0.01     0.07     0.17     0.48     2.08    34.78R   10.87  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.51    10.25    36.79    15.49    33.79    51.38    66.47    86.83     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.80     9.72   -43.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    70.34R   37.63  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.04    10.30    13.71     1.61     5.26    11.46    20.45    45.45     0.58R    0.06  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.48    10.37    -5.98     0.10     0.53     1.40     3.21    11.00     7.13R    1.10  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.27     9.68   -34.98     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.34    60.63R   25.76  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.02    10.54    24.42     5.55    14.80    26.91    40.87    68.51     0.14R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.45    10.14    39.55    20.23    41.39    59.12    73.38    90.52     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.38     9.90    52.52    40.00    62.60    77.34    86.83    96.10     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.95    10.36   -13.20     0.06     0.27     0.69     1.60     6.23    13.26R    2.51  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.71    10.14   -18.59     0.03     0.10     0.29     0.71     3.32    21.05R    4.76  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.89    10.23   -14.78     0.04     0.17     0.52     1.19     4.97    15.65R    3.05  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.36     9.71   -12.34     0.02     0.09     0.29     0.74     3.83    14.90R    2.70  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.51    10.07   -10.31     0.04     0.21     0.59     1.49     6.32    11.51R    1.95  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.62    10.14    -8.31     0.06     0.31     0.86     1.96     7.79     9.58R    1.55  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.26    10.55    21.66     3.91    11.24    21.73    34.35    62.24     0.23R    0.02  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.58    10.47    -6.39     0.11     0.56     1.49     3.27    11.55     7.40R    1.25  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.10    10.25   -11.79     0.04     0.21     0.57     1.57     6.25    12.68R    2.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, Blackburn 0 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford          2    6   +6       2.30    85.88     4.34    80.42    12.20    28.15    17.01    31.98    69.16    42.07P    0.20R    0.01  
Blackpool        2    6   +3       2.34    85.83     1.61    71.94    11.96    11.37     4.99    11.71    41.28    18.61P    0.98R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    2    6   +2       2.98    91.78     1.57    68.02    11.51     4.84     2.30     5.94    28.23    10.78P    1.92R    0.25  
Burnley          2    4   +1       1.16    74.79     0.85    67.11    11.72     5.26     1.98     5.43    26.39    10.14P    2.56R    0.37  
Derby            2    4   +1       1.43    79.71     1.24    64.58    11.67     1.41     1.32     3.61    19.66     7.05P    4.23R    0.72  
QPR              2    4   +1       0.51    62.46    -0.10    73.49    12.33    14.82     6.65    14.95    46.87    23.67P    0.95R    0.13  
Reading          2    4   +1       0.76    68.18     0.25    77.68    13.06    21.71    12.99    25.53    60.41    35.50P    0.68R    0.10  
Wigan            1    3   +4       1.02    70.61     3.05    85.06    13.36    36.54    31.37    47.87    78.76    57.74P    0.17R    0.03  
Ipswich          2    3   +2       0.55    59.74     2.49    59.46    11.53    -3.85     0.42     1.37    10.30     3.10P    8.93R    1.82  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.70    82.95     1.10    62.85    12.07    -2.26     1.12     3.04    16.99     5.79P    6.30R    1.17  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.45    78.54     0.72    76.75    12.04    19.36     9.95    21.37    57.56    31.23P    0.38R    0.04  
Middlesbrough    2    3   +0       0.60    60.66     0.50    61.25    11.66    -3.23     0.66     2.04    13.36     4.26P    7.19R    1.42  
Birmingham       2    3   +0      -0.05    46.98    -0.46    67.11    11.74     5.76     1.93     5.39    26.65    10.30P    2.60R    0.39  
Yeovil           2    3   +0       0.98    68.29     1.11    44.61    11.78   -31.48     0.01     0.11     1.01     0.25P   50.49R   22.61  
Bournemouth      2    3   -4       1.26    73.49    -2.10    47.04    12.11   -32.04     0.04     0.16     1.78     0.43P   43.03R   17.34  
Bolton           2    2   +0      -0.76    36.10    -0.01    71.01    11.88    13.26     3.99     9.81    38.72    17.13P    1.29R    0.18  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.72    23.11    -0.99    62.43    11.73     0.72     0.86     2.51    15.45     5.36P    5.90R    1.05  
Huddersfield     2    1   -1      -1.05    35.88    -0.01    51.78    11.24   -15.82     0.05     0.21     2.75     0.60P   24.77R    7.16  
Brighton         2    0   -2      -3.06     4.70    -2.47    66.61    11.56     7.62     1.74     4.90    25.39    10.39P    2.69R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed        2    0   -2      -2.18    10.51    -1.19    53.58    11.39   -12.19     0.09     0.33     3.96     0.96P   20.29R    5.39  
Charlton         2    0   -2      -3.14     4.70    -2.60    58.97    11.52    -3.98     0.40     1.28     9.64     3.24P    9.57R    1.96  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -1.02    24.89    -1.46    46.45    12.20   -26.32     0.05     0.15     1.58     0.36P   44.00R   18.27  
Millwall         2    0   -4      -2.88     5.47    -4.23    51.79    11.13   -16.08     0.05     0.19     2.70     0.69P   24.53R    6.71  
Barnsley         2    0   -5      -1.66    16.58    -3.20    48.36    11.19   -23.56     0.03     0.12     1.37     0.33P   36.35R   12.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, Bradford 4 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    2    6   +7       2.50    87.27     5.86    70.60    11.72    13.39     2.39     7.02    35.81    13.01P    1.76R    0.11  
Peterborough     2    6   +3       2.67    88.39     2.10    90.13    12.83    45.23    38.50    58.40    87.80    67.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          2    6   +3       2.92    90.79     2.49    69.90    11.91     8.16     2.37     6.72    33.30    12.09P    2.22R    0.15  
Colchester       2    6   +2       3.04    91.89     1.66    59.00    11.45   -10.52     0.23     0.81     8.73     2.01P   13.20R    1.76  
Bradford         2    4   +4       1.68    86.19     4.87    49.65    11.98   -21.25     0.05     0.20     2.42     0.57P   39.53R   10.61  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +4       0.08    54.83     2.04    86.49    12.53    40.17    26.39    46.87    82.31    58.77P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.93    70.88     1.51    73.13    11.79    15.71     3.78    10.27    44.34    18.29P    1.23R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     2    4   +1       1.54    81.65     1.50    60.91    11.94    -6.22     0.46     1.45    12.42     3.29P   11.00R    1.47  
MK_Dons          2    4   +1       0.34    59.82    -0.45    75.92    11.70    18.97     5.60    14.58    53.52    25.09P    0.60R    0.04  
Oldham           2    3   +0       0.59    60.26     0.50    54.92    11.33   -14.19     0.06     0.27     4.38     0.88P   22.27R    3.94  
Swindon          2    3   +0      -0.04    47.06    -0.39    78.10    11.55    22.86     7.19    18.66    61.19    30.89P    0.39R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        2    3   -1      -0.04    46.91    -1.47    76.08    11.85    19.00     5.92    15.00    54.11    25.62P    0.68R    0.06  
Rotherham        2    2   +0      -0.25    46.76     0.85    47.18    12.24   -28.58     0.03     0.14     1.82     0.41P   48.46R   15.61  
Preston          2    2   +0      -0.65    37.99     0.12    63.80    11.54     2.20     0.56     1.93    17.11     5.11P    6.29R    0.65  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.16    24.94    -1.32    71.71    13.56    14.28     4.74    11.32    41.10    18.95P    3.15R    0.38  
Crewe            2    1   -1      -1.47    26.00    -0.49    51.40    11.48   -19.10     0.03     0.15     2.57     0.53P   32.89R    7.38  
Port_Vale        2    1   -1      -1.29    31.93    -0.28    52.36    12.41   -17.34     0.09     0.33     4.17     1.00P   31.51R    7.81  
Tranmere         2    1   -2      -1.81    21.44    -2.11    61.91    11.63    -1.50     0.49     1.57    13.45     4.15P    8.73R    1.11  
Shrewsbury       2    1   -3      -1.04    36.24    -1.94    53.93    11.35   -15.34     0.05     0.20     3.60     0.69P   25.18R    4.74  
Stevenage        2    0   -2      -2.41     8.17    -1.44    54.56    11.57   -12.03     0.05     0.30     4.52     1.11P   23.10R    4.26  
Notts_County     2    0   -3      -2.16    11.76    -2.03    64.92    11.76     3.82     0.71     2.67    19.89     6.57P    5.72R    0.64  
Gillingham       2    0   -5      -1.94    12.38    -3.48    46.74    11.91   -27.58     0.02     0.10     1.37     0.34P   49.36R   16.22  
Carlisle         2    0   -8      -2.30    11.06    -7.20    44.93    11.47   -38.47     0.01     0.02     0.75     0.12P   56.04R   19.92  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.34     0.00    -0.92    57.81    12.33     8.32     0.27     1.02     9.30     3.32P   16.51R    2.99  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd            2    6   +4       3.49    95.21     4.41    71.39    11.36    11.95     6.26    21.97    50.77    28.77P    0.66R    0.19  
Fleetwood_Town        2    6   +4       3.04    92.38     3.61    66.19    11.16     4.02     2.61    10.95    32.76    15.63P    1.76R    0.63  
Chesterfield          2    6   +4       2.86    91.16     3.41    79.47    11.22    24.03    20.46    47.86    77.46    56.54P    0.08R    0.04  
Southend              2    6   +2       2.91    92.00     1.48    74.89    11.30    15.20    10.69    31.59    62.62    39.87P    0.27R    0.09  
Scunthorpe            2    4   +2       0.33    60.29     0.52    77.74    12.27    22.67    18.48    42.86    70.73    51.35P    0.25R    0.08  
Burton_Albion         2    4   +1       1.43    80.41     1.27    64.05    11.62     0.14     1.98     8.53    27.08    12.42P    3.67R    1.38  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    4   +1       1.68    84.11     1.63    54.75    11.11   -14.58     0.25     1.49     7.66     2.56P   14.66R    6.45  
Exeter                2    4   +1       0.71    67.19     0.18    68.07    11.46     6.87     3.86    14.77    39.34    20.85P    1.46R    0.49  
Rochdale              2    3   +2       0.15    51.00     1.88    68.53    11.55    10.02     4.26    15.90    41.56    22.19P    1.42R    0.49  
Newport_County        2    3   +1       0.91    66.85     2.17    43.76    11.36   -32.94     0.03     0.16     1.25     0.33P   49.52R   32.95  
Northampton           2    3   +1      -0.43    38.16    -0.16    63.19    11.32     0.69     1.55     7.19    24.49    11.03P    3.64R    1.26  
Dag_&_Red             2    3   +0       0.28    53.94     0.05    58.71    11.21    -6.95     0.58     3.33    13.78     5.51P    7.86R    3.24  
Wycombe               2    3   +0       0.02    48.49    -0.34    62.56    11.23    -0.70     1.32     6.36    22.61     9.91P    3.92R    1.46  
York                  2    3   -1       0.58    60.39    -0.59    54.49    10.57   -13.25     0.16     1.07     6.31     1.97P   13.66R    5.75  
Torquay               2    2   +0      -1.03    28.88    -0.46    62.10    11.23     0.07     1.23     5.91    21.55     9.57P    4.22R    1.62  
Bristol_Rovers        2    1   -1      -1.19    33.13    -0.16    58.63    11.39    -5.38     0.60     3.42    14.14     5.68P    8.22R    3.41  
Morecambe             2    1   -1      -1.60    24.18    -0.83    58.43    11.09    -5.00     0.52     2.94    13.19     5.06P    7.84R    3.20  
Cheltenham            2    1   -2      -1.61    23.16    -1.85    63.69    11.26     1.91     1.55     7.57    25.59    11.95P    3.37R    1.21  
Mansfield             2    1   -2      -0.86    39.29    -0.54    49.18    11.61   -21.01     0.10     0.68     3.64     1.20P   30.69R   16.92  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -3      -1.41    29.44    -2.48    51.90    10.96   -18.01     0.09     0.75     4.61     1.42P   20.77R    9.92  
Portsmouth            2    1   -3      -2.58    11.70    -4.28    77.16    12.38    22.28    17.26    40.74    68.83    50.11P    0.35R    0.10  
Bury                  2    0   -3      -2.53     7.87    -2.69    66.08    12.52     5.96     3.64    13.06    34.49    18.87P    3.38R    1.34  
Plymouth              2    0   -3      -2.31     8.26    -2.42    54.17    10.79   -10.85     0.18     1.10     6.41     2.20P   14.60R    6.34  
Hartlepool            2    0   -4      -2.60     6.80    -3.81    64.48    12.03     2.87     2.35     9.82    29.14    15.04P    3.75R    1.44  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 August 2013, Barnet 3 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      1    3   +8       0.69    64.41     6.41    76.67    11.74    27.16     7.88    47.22    16.88P    0.25R    0.01  
Barnet            1    3   +3       0.54    61.57     1.06    85.68    12.70    37.56    27.85    74.10    41.57P    0.04R    0.01  
Kidderminster     1    3   +2       0.87    67.97     0.81    83.48    11.65    32.99    19.27    69.66    33.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham           1    3   +1       0.66    64.01    -0.60    82.83    11.33    29.58    17.37    67.37    31.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford          1    3   +1       1.17    73.37     0.31    62.59    11.42    -2.52     0.51     9.53     2.02P    4.61R    0.74  
Nuneaton          1    3   +1       2.07    88.70     1.65    58.84    11.24    -8.03     0.20     5.16     0.89P    8.16R    1.41  
Southport         1    3   +1       1.67    81.93     1.07    60.03    11.88    -8.56     0.39     7.18     1.30P    8.16R    1.62  
Tamworth          1    3   +1       1.74    83.49     1.16    55.74    11.32   -13.37     0.13     3.26     0.52P   13.08R    2.67  
Braintree_Town    1    1   +0       0.21    70.13     1.00    59.36    11.86    -6.34     0.38     6.52     1.31P    8.64R    1.71  
Grimsby           1    1   +0      -0.46    46.56    -0.15    77.76    11.52    23.99     8.52    50.39    19.23P    0.17R    0.02  
Hereford          1    1   +0      -1.00    29.87    -1.00    71.17    11.66    13.72     3.14    28.63     8.64P    0.94R    0.11  
Lincoln_City      1    1   +0      -0.15    57.77     0.37    60.56    11.59    -3.71     0.44     7.43     1.62P    6.54R    1.08  
Woking            1    1   +0      -0.62    42.23    -0.37    55.86    11.70   -13.00     0.17     3.57     0.62P   14.11R    3.30  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    64.88    11.92     2.90     1.03    14.19     3.34P    3.57R    0.57  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    48.16    13.66   -26.79     0.11     2.11     0.41P   36.84R   14.75  
Welling           1    0   -1      -0.48    35.99     0.60    48.18    13.35   -24.75     0.09     1.95     0.38P   36.71R   14.08  
Alfreton_Town     1    0   -1      -0.95    26.63    -0.31    55.53    11.66   -12.54     0.12     3.26     0.54P   14.58R    3.32  
Luton             1    0   -1      -1.42    18.07    -1.07    72.58    11.58    16.53     3.91    32.93    10.51P    0.64R    0.09  
Macclesfield      1    0   -1      -1.81    11.30    -1.65    62.16    11.75    -0.37     0.56     9.83     2.17P    5.28R    0.96  
Salisbury         1    0   -1      -1.47    16.51    -1.16    44.33    12.81   -31.38     0.03     0.84     0.15P   48.07R   21.20  
Gateshead         1    0   -2      -0.67    32.03    -0.81    60.43    11.72    -4.06     0.41     7.41     1.54P    7.04R    1.32  
Chester           1    0   -3      -0.39    38.43    -1.06    45.77    13.10   -31.03     0.04     1.22     0.20P   44.05R   18.55  
Hyde_United       1    0   -8      -0.52    35.59    -6.41    47.22    11.37   -34.95     0.01     0.58     0.06P   37.91R   12.41  
Aldershot         1   -9   +0     -10.25     0.00     0.15    75.69    12.19    36.98     7.43    45.69    21.56P    0.54R    0.05  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10