Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    72.07    10.48    34.63    12.60    28.22    44.84    60.67    83.38     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.11    10.17   -18.04     0.02     0.09     0.31     0.76     3.58    19.92R    4.29  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    38.71    10.62   -25.11     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.38     1.91    35.65R   10.50  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.99    10.42    37.86    16.58    35.23    52.87    67.83    87.27     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.58     9.82   -44.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18    70.55R   38.87  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.22    10.45    14.05     1.67     5.45    11.63    20.78    46.02     0.59R    0.05  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.18    10.38    -6.66     0.10     0.42     1.21     2.88    10.36     7.75R    1.33  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.58     9.80   -34.56     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.38    59.39R   24.96  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.05    10.48    24.47     5.23    14.38    26.34    40.21    68.48     0.12R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.67    10.05    40.11    20.10    41.26    59.82    74.29    91.04     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.33    10.03    52.58    39.21    61.71    76.49    86.00    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.06    10.45   -13.18     0.05     0.27     0.76     1.65     6.59    13.30R    2.50  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.91    10.10   -18.26     0.01     0.08     0.24     0.67     3.17    20.36R    4.38  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.96    10.26   -14.76     0.04     0.15     0.43     1.12     5.01    15.53R    3.12  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.32     9.70   -12.44     0.01     0.09     0.23     0.67     3.63    15.26R    2.79  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.46    10.07   -10.48     0.03     0.18     0.58     1.48     6.38    11.38R    2.00  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.47    10.08    -8.67     0.09     0.27     0.75     1.85     7.48     9.69R    1.55  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.20    10.68    21.54     4.12    11.47    21.32    33.96    61.65     0.22R    0.02  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.47    10.49    -6.64     0.11     0.50     1.40     3.21    11.32     7.71R    1.29  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.20    10.27   -11.70     0.03     0.20     0.61     1.50     6.27    12.51R    2.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 August 2013, Derby 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wigan            1    3   +4       0.95    69.19     2.92    85.16    13.45    37.05    31.90    48.64    79.15    58.54P    0.18R    0.02  
Blackpool        1    3   +2       1.23    74.47     1.39    70.71    12.50    11.08     4.51    10.68    38.74    17.34P    1.93R    0.31  
Bournemouth      1    3   +1       1.83    84.70     1.31    52.33    12.82   -19.80     0.24     0.71     5.13     1.45P   28.33R   10.11  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.77    83.98     1.21    63.06    12.37    -2.08     1.34     3.59    18.01     6.37P    6.97R    1.52  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.38    77.24     0.62    76.41    12.15    18.87     9.76    21.00    56.96    30.77P    0.56R    0.06  
QPR              1    3   +1       1.19    74.24     0.36    75.19    12.98    16.86     9.39    19.62    52.82    28.85P    0.96R    0.16  
Reading          1    3   +1       1.10    72.12     0.19    78.56    13.66    22.75    15.75    29.05    62.39    38.67P    0.74R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    1    3   +1       1.31    76.19     0.53    65.27    12.02     2.04     1.73     4.46    22.51     8.39P    4.13R    0.76  
Watford          1    3   +1       1.55    79.98     0.89    75.37    12.56    17.64     9.07    19.23    53.40    28.10P    0.83R    0.11  
Yeovil           1    3   +1       1.97    86.91     1.52    46.05    12.48   -31.59     0.08     0.25     1.86     0.50P   47.73R   21.86  
Blackburn        1    1   +0      -0.37    49.78    -0.01    64.99    12.00     3.39     1.47     4.15    22.08     8.25P    4.58R    0.87  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.44    47.80    -0.10    71.83    12.49    14.01     5.44    12.51    42.54    20.17P    1.73R    0.25  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.31    52.20     0.10    64.58    12.09     2.80     1.42     4.06    21.35     7.91P    4.97R    0.99  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.36    50.22     0.01    61.36    11.95    -2.13     0.81     2.30    14.32     4.70P    7.97R    1.74  
Brighton         1    0   -1      -1.51    16.02    -1.21    69.53    11.82    10.85     3.18     8.09    34.51    15.08P    1.80R    0.27  
Charlton         1    0   -1      -1.58    15.30    -1.31    62.07    12.06    -0.58     0.93     2.68    16.08     5.65P    7.32R    1.49  
Ipswich          1    0   -1      -0.87    27.88    -0.19    55.44    11.66   -10.73     0.22     0.74     5.97     1.74P   17.77R    4.55  
Middlesbrough    1    0   -1      -1.12    22.76    -0.62    58.59    12.15    -6.10     0.50     1.46    10.22     3.19P   12.31R    3.02  
Sheff_Wed        1    0   -1      -0.93    25.76    -0.36    55.24    11.85   -10.94     0.20     0.68     5.91     1.61P   18.48R    5.13  
Birmingham       1    0   -1      -1.31    20.02    -0.89    65.38    12.19     4.46     1.68     4.78    23.21     9.21P    4.46R    0.91  
Huddersfield     1    0   -1      -1.05    23.81    -0.53    51.51    11.71   -17.16     0.11     0.34     3.17     0.85P   28.02R    8.80  
Millwall         1    0   -1      -1.72    13.09    -1.52    55.13    11.61   -10.31     0.18     0.64     5.78     1.67P   17.78R    4.60  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -1.00    25.53    -1.39    46.87    12.38   -25.97     0.05     0.20     1.96     0.54P   44.22R   19.30  
Barnsley         1    0   -4      -0.75    30.81    -2.92    49.05    11.54   -24.41     0.04     0.14     1.94     0.42P   36.24R   13.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bristol_City 2 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    1    3   +4       1.37    76.53     3.60    67.03    12.31     7.33     1.91     5.33    26.93     9.75P    4.54R    0.44  
Walsall          1    3   +2       1.50    79.28     1.80    68.02    12.34     6.73     2.32     6.07    29.45    10.73P    4.08R    0.38  
Oldham           1    3   +1       1.76    83.62     1.22    56.99    11.79   -11.82     0.20     0.78     7.20     1.85P   18.50R    2.83  
Crawley_Town     1    3   +1       1.74    82.87     1.20    60.80    12.43    -6.35     0.68     2.06    13.44     4.08P   12.52R    1.79  
Sheff_Utd        1    3   +1       1.32    76.17     0.55    79.68    12.06    24.37    12.50    25.84    66.24    37.10P    0.36R    0.02  
Colchester       1    3   +1       1.66    81.94     1.04    56.44    11.97   -12.91     0.27     0.86     6.95     1.86P   20.11R    3.50  
Peterborough     1    3   +1       1.43    77.83     0.70    86.47    13.57    38.08    31.26    48.78    80.69    58.21P    0.22R    0.01  
Crewe            1    1   +0      -0.66    41.19    -0.45    52.11    12.10   -19.03     0.10     0.37     3.84     0.91P   32.30R    6.89  
Rotherham        1    1   +0      -0.13    58.81     0.45    45.72    12.88   -32.00     0.05     0.17     1.90     0.43P   53.80R   19.78  
Bradford         1    1   +0       0.30    73.32     1.21    43.73    12.13   -31.89     0.02     0.07     1.01     0.20P   60.09R   23.35  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.10    26.68    -1.21    72.19    13.91    14.93     6.29    13.72    43.32    21.46P    3.42R    0.40  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.64    41.35    -0.41    69.52    12.12    10.54     2.72     7.36    33.14    13.58P    2.87R    0.25  
Port_Vale        1    1   +0      -0.12    58.65     0.41    53.55    13.19   -16.55     0.28     0.81     6.04     1.80P   29.69R    7.41  
MK_Dons          1    1   +0      -0.66    40.27    -0.43    75.70    12.10    20.26     7.19    16.67    53.84    26.76P    0.85R    0.05  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.08    59.86     0.44    64.45    12.09     2.59     1.01     3.14    19.85     6.62P    6.78R    0.72  
Shrewsbury       1    1   +0      -0.08    59.73     0.43    57.23    11.90    -8.74     0.23     0.73     7.64     1.94P   18.22R    2.94  
Wolverhampton    1    1   +0      -0.67    40.14    -0.44    82.65    13.41    31.93    20.95    36.99    72.66    48.32P    0.44R    0.03  
Stevenage        1    0   -1      -1.51    16.38    -1.22    55.91    12.01   -10.87     0.23     0.71     6.53     1.71P   21.48R    3.62  
Notts_County     1    0   -1      -1.08    23.84    -0.55    67.67    12.43     8.17     2.10     5.82    28.45    11.20P    4.44R    0.44  
Gillingham       1    0   -1      -1.39    18.06    -1.04    50.89    12.73   -18.33     0.10     0.39     3.72     0.91P   36.81R    9.58  
Swindon          1    0   -1      -1.19    22.16    -0.70    77.24    12.04    23.03     8.33    19.43    58.47    31.05P    0.64R    0.03  
Tranmere         1    0   -2      -1.25    20.72    -1.80    62.91    12.08    -0.15     0.81     2.46    16.71     5.47P    8.52R    1.00  
Carlisle         1    0   -4      -1.15    23.47    -3.60    49.48    12.29   -27.22     0.08     0.26     2.59     0.59P   41.49R   11.38  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.51     0.00    -1.20    57.47    12.54     7.92     0.36     1.19     9.39     3.46P   17.83R    3.14  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bury 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Newport_County        1    3   +3       1.55    79.92     2.89    45.33    12.14   -32.09     0.05     0.37     2.12     0.65P   43.11R   27.49  
Oxford_Utd            1    3   +3       2.13    89.17     3.83    70.12    12.01    11.44     4.89    17.78    44.56    24.14P    1.09R    0.39  
Rochdale              1    3   +3       1.39    77.39     2.65    71.10    12.34    12.91     6.30    20.82    47.82    27.35P    1.11R    0.40  
Fleetwood_Town        1    3   +2       1.27    75.39     1.46    62.79    11.85    -1.15     1.39     6.55    22.42     9.90P    4.32R    1.54  
Chesterfield          1    3   +2       1.74    83.34     2.15    77.75    11.76    22.16    14.29    38.84    69.52    47.65P    0.17R    0.05  
Scunthorpe            1    3   +2       0.76    65.61     0.53    79.71    13.08    25.75    21.04    45.83    73.01    54.18P    0.27R    0.09  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.18    73.41     0.29    69.10    12.06     7.68     4.28    15.91    41.01    21.78P    1.46R    0.48  
Southend              1    3   +1       1.14    73.50     0.30    72.91    11.85    13.74     7.17    23.98    53.54    31.63P    0.62R    0.19  
Wycombe               1    3   +1       1.33    76.50     0.56    64.94    11.88     1.30     2.01     8.81    27.82    12.92P    2.95R    1.02  
York                  1    3   +1       1.57    80.75     0.90    56.37    11.28   -11.37     0.30     1.87     8.93     3.23P   10.75R    4.64  
Burton_Albion         1    1   +0      -0.00    62.63     0.60    62.15    12.29    -2.03     1.56     6.67    21.89    10.06P    5.40R    2.12  
Cheltenham            1    1   +0      -0.76    37.37    -0.60    65.94    11.90     4.96     2.29    10.15    31.21    15.41P    2.50R    0.89  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    1   +0       0.12    66.76     0.80    51.78    11.70   -19.17     0.14     0.88     4.98     1.56P   21.28R   10.52  
Torquay               1    1   +0      -0.89    33.24    -0.80    62.16    11.88    -0.86     1.21     5.90    21.26     9.46P    4.59R    1.77  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -0.95    26.59    -0.29    58.81    12.08    -6.44     0.67     3.59    14.67     5.96P    8.78R    3.82  
Morecambe             1    0   -1      -1.07    23.50    -0.56    59.67    11.69    -4.22     0.66     3.64    15.40     6.12P    7.08R    2.84  
Northampton           1    0   -1      -1.29    19.25    -0.90    61.80    12.02    -1.21     1.25     5.94    20.67     9.33P    5.16R    1.98  
Plymouth              1    0   -1      -0.88    26.50    -0.30    57.14    11.39    -7.26     0.37     2.11    10.36     3.83P    9.45R    3.98  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -2      -1.02    24.61    -1.46    55.95    11.71   -11.59     0.37     1.99     9.33     3.37P   12.36R    5.46  
Bury                  1    0   -2      -1.48    16.66    -2.15    68.39    13.31     8.39     5.22    16.88    40.06    23.25P    2.63R    1.02  
Mansfield             1    0   -2      -0.58    34.39    -0.53    49.45    12.84   -23.00     0.21     1.03     4.79     1.79P   30.08R   17.42  
Accrington_Stanley    1    0   -3      -1.31    20.08    -2.89    51.36    11.61   -20.41     0.13     0.85     4.71     1.50P   22.30R   11.00  
Portsmouth            1    0   -3      -1.90    10.83    -3.83    79.05    13.19    25.14    19.60    44.04    70.83    52.82P    0.30R    0.08  
Hartlepool            1    0   -3      -1.14    22.61    -2.65    68.27    12.81     7.32     4.59    15.57    39.10    22.13P    2.27R    0.81  



Conference    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Alfreton_Town     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.34    12.54   -13.42     0.22     4.52     0.83P   14.02R    3.41  
Barnet            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    85.40    13.46    37.89    25.04    70.45    38.45P    0.12R    0.02  
Braintree_Town    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    57.90    12.63   -10.46     0.34     5.62     1.06P   11.82R    2.84  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.50    12.48     3.68     1.28    14.97     3.70P    3.48R    0.58  
Chester           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.52    14.24   -28.94     0.15     2.17     0.44P   38.70R   16.24  
Dartford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.35    12.43    -3.56     0.57     8.63     1.91P    6.99R    1.33  
Forest_Green      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    69.90    12.32    10.96     2.59    24.17     7.06P    1.44R    0.23  
Gateshead         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.72    12.37    -2.59     0.50     9.11     1.89P    6.55R    1.26  
Grimsby           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.57    12.31    26.77    10.53    54.22    21.89P    0.19R    0.03  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.10    14.61   -29.90     0.18     2.32     0.51P   40.28R   17.50  
Hereford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.88    12.62    17.86     5.32    35.96    11.87P    0.75R    0.08  
Hyde_United       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    53.77    12.28   -17.39     0.11     2.75     0.47P   18.93R    4.84  
Kidderminster     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    82.73    12.41    32.93    16.66    64.05    29.67P    0.09R    0.02  
Lincoln_City      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.39    12.45    -5.57     0.44     7.78     1.60P    8.09R    1.62  
Luton             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    76.38    12.47    21.92     7.00    43.48    15.52P    0.41R    0.05  
Macclesfield      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    66.24    12.56     4.63     1.44    16.46     4.14P    3.27R    0.57  
Nuneaton          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    55.24    11.97   -13.09     0.09     3.13     0.55P   15.02R    3.40  
Salisbury         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.42    14.48   -29.34     0.15     2.23     0.47P   39.20R   16.82  
Southport         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.79    12.70   -13.34     0.30     4.71     0.88P   14.09R    3.41  
Tamworth          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    52.56    11.95   -18.17     0.05     1.95     0.31P   21.22R    5.45  
Welling           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.54    14.52   -28.80     0.23     2.35     0.55P   39.11R   16.37  
Woking            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    55.96    12.76   -14.59     0.22     4.33     0.80P   15.58R    3.86  
Wrexham           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.93    12.06    33.66    18.28    68.15    32.81P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot         0  -10   +0     -10.00     0.00     0.00    76.71    12.97    38.84     8.31    46.50    22.61P    0.62R    0.08  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10