Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.68    10.55    33.91    12.18    27.62    43.92    59.58    82.38     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.05    10.24   -18.17     0.03     0.11     0.32     0.80     3.63    20.26R    4.57  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    38.89    10.50   -24.75     0.02     0.06     0.18     0.38     2.03    34.67R   10.04  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.74    10.33    37.40    16.20    34.63    52.07    67.20    87.30     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.44     9.67   -44.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14    71.69R   39.32  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.01    10.43    13.70     1.77     5.44    11.54    20.28    45.36     0.60R    0.06  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.16    10.31    -6.63     0.11     0.47     1.27     2.85    10.54     7.70R    1.17  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.73     9.84   -34.27     0.01     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.38    58.86R   24.56  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.21    10.48    24.83     5.56    14.91    27.25    41.34    69.10     0.15R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.60    10.06    40.07    20.57    41.84    59.87    74.02    90.81     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.12    10.01    52.16    38.78    61.38    76.22    86.12    95.95     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.07    10.43   -13.01     0.05     0.23     0.71     1.73     6.43    13.61R    2.50  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.84    10.16   -18.27     0.01     0.08     0.28     0.72     3.34    20.71R    4.60  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.87    10.36   -14.89     0.05     0.18     0.53     1.26     5.19    16.02R    3.43  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.58     9.67   -12.03     0.00     0.06     0.25     0.73     3.83    14.44R    2.60  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.47     9.98   -10.38     0.03     0.17     0.53     1.42     6.20    11.31R    1.91  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.67    10.08    -8.35     0.07     0.28     0.83     1.95     7.71     9.41R    1.56  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.37    10.64    21.84     4.46    11.86    22.29    34.97    62.31     0.24R    0.03  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.37    10.41    -6.79     0.08     0.48     1.34     3.07    11.15     7.79R    1.31  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.33    10.24   -11.45     0.02     0.17     0.59     1.50     6.23    12.51R    2.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 August 2013, Derby 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wigan            1    3   +4       0.96    69.41     2.92    85.08    13.38    36.88    31.99    48.42    79.04    58.24P    0.18R    0.01  
Blackpool        1    3   +2       1.21    74.07     1.36    70.30    12.37    10.41     4.41    10.31    37.32    16.43P    1.93R    0.31  
Bournemouth      1    3   +1       1.82    84.41     1.29    52.79    12.67   -18.95     0.27     0.76     5.23     1.46P   26.69R    9.14  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.78    84.07     1.21    63.00    12.29    -2.13     1.14     3.32    18.22     6.35P    6.88R    1.48  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.38    77.29     0.63    76.64    12.24    19.22    10.29    21.89    57.39    31.72P    0.50R    0.05  
QPR              1    3   +1       1.20    74.44     0.37    75.33    12.90    17.14     9.56    19.93    53.09    29.33P    0.83R    0.14  
Reading          1    3   +1       1.11    72.49     0.20    78.37    13.47    22.47    15.25    28.31    61.92    37.80P    0.65R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    1    3   +1       1.30    76.01     0.52    65.93    12.02     2.98     1.81     4.97    24.11     9.32P    3.88R    0.69  
Watford          1    3   +1       1.55    79.80     0.89    75.25    12.48    17.39     8.86    18.94    53.39    27.71P    0.84R    0.10  
Yeovil           1    3   +1       1.97    87.11     1.52    45.81    12.35   -31.95     0.05     0.18     1.74     0.40P   48.47R   22.30  
Blackburn        1    1   +0      -0.38    49.58    -0.01    65.10    12.16     3.55     1.74     4.55    22.52     8.64P    4.70R    0.92  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.45    47.48    -0.11    71.53    12.34    13.53     5.13    11.97    41.14    19.42P    1.49R    0.23  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.30    52.52     0.11    64.87    12.13     3.21     1.65     4.46    21.91     8.42P    4.90R    0.96  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.35    50.42     0.01    61.35    11.98    -2.12     0.80     2.31    14.49     4.77P    8.01R    1.70  
Brighton         1    0   -1      -1.51    15.93    -1.21    69.32    11.89    10.54     3.13     8.04    34.03    15.05P    1.91R    0.27  
Charlton         1    0   -1      -1.57    15.59    -1.29    61.74    12.17    -1.05     0.87     2.64    15.53     5.50P    7.55R    1.64  
Ipswich          1    0   -1      -0.88    27.51    -0.20    55.31    11.87   -10.87     0.20     0.69     6.09     1.76P   18.18R    5.06  
Middlesbrough    1    0   -1      -1.13    22.71    -0.63    58.69    12.11    -5.93     0.54     1.68    10.48     3.43P   12.12R    2.92  
Sheff_Wed        1    0   -1      -0.94    25.56    -0.37    55.47    11.80   -10.57     0.16     0.66     6.11     1.63P   18.01R    4.81  
Birmingham       1    0   -1      -1.31    20.20    -0.89    65.53    12.11     4.66     1.78     4.79    23.71     9.34P    4.33R    0.75  
Huddersfield     1    0   -1      -1.04    23.99    -0.52    51.44    11.68   -17.28     0.08     0.28     3.19     0.80P   28.21R    8.79  
Millwall         1    0   -1      -1.72    12.89    -1.52    55.50    11.54    -9.67     0.18     0.62     5.85     1.61P   16.99R    4.29  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -0.98    25.93    -1.36    46.15    12.25   -27.11     0.04     0.14     1.56     0.40P   46.42R   20.46  
Barnsley         1    0   -4      -0.76    30.59    -2.92    49.09    11.54   -24.37     0.04     0.13     1.93     0.46P   36.32R   12.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bristol_City 2 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    1    3   +4       1.36    76.32     3.58    67.71    12.24     8.38     2.07     5.95    28.40    10.64P    3.89R    0.36  
Walsall          1    3   +2       1.50    79.22     1.81    67.93    12.51     6.61     2.34     6.24    29.39    10.91P    4.25R    0.42  
Oldham           1    3   +1       1.75    83.41     1.19    56.85    11.94   -12.00     0.25     0.80     7.21     1.86P   19.01R    3.19  
Crawley_Town     1    3   +1       1.74    82.89     1.20    60.81    12.33    -6.32     0.69     1.99    13.16     3.92P   12.34R    1.81  
Sheff_Utd        1    3   +1       1.33    76.22     0.55    79.64    12.11    24.41    12.32    25.77    65.73    36.93P    0.35R    0.03  
Colchester       1    3   +1       1.64    81.66     1.02    56.78    11.94   -12.38     0.24     0.81     7.28     1.80P   19.22R    3.08  
Peterborough     1    3   +1       1.44    78.01     0.71    86.48    13.71    38.06    31.41    48.59    80.35    58.03P    0.27R    0.01  
Crewe            1    1   +0      -0.66    41.18    -0.45    52.09    12.10   -19.05     0.11     0.39     3.73     0.94P   32.19R    6.80  
Rotherham        1    1   +0      -0.13    58.82     0.45    45.64    12.98   -32.17     0.05     0.17     1.98     0.42P   53.76R   19.99  
Bradford         1    1   +0       0.30    73.24     1.21    43.24    12.15   -32.78     0.01     0.07     0.92     0.19P   61.21R   24.52  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.10    26.76    -1.21    72.03    13.91    14.76     6.17    13.59    43.02    21.12P    3.49R    0.40  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.63    41.69    -0.40    69.37    12.06    10.25     2.61     7.08    32.83    13.11P    2.76R    0.22  
Port_Vale        1    1   +0      -0.13    58.31     0.40    53.76    13.27   -16.19     0.28     0.89     6.40     1.87P   29.69R    6.85  
MK_Dons          1    1   +0      -0.68    39.81    -0.45    75.46    12.16    19.92     7.13    16.39    52.78    26.20P    0.96R    0.06  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.07    60.11     0.46    64.84    12.13     3.28     1.09     3.24    20.80     7.11P    6.41R    0.66  
Shrewsbury       1    1   +0      -0.07    60.19     0.45    56.95    11.76    -9.22     0.23     0.72     6.98     1.78P   18.63R    3.00  
Wolverhampton    1    1   +0      -0.67    39.89    -0.46    82.91    13.29    32.39    21.15    37.25    73.54    48.98P    0.37R    0.03  
Stevenage        1    0   -1      -1.50    16.59    -1.19    55.61    12.05   -11.32     0.18     0.66     6.19     1.67P   22.31R    3.87  
Notts_County     1    0   -1      -1.08    23.78    -0.55    67.74    12.37     8.25     2.06     5.79    28.65    11.22P    4.34R    0.39  
Gillingham       1    0   -1      -1.38    18.34    -1.02    50.69    12.48   -18.63     0.10     0.35     3.38     0.91P   36.95R    9.35  
Swindon          1    0   -1      -1.19    21.99    -0.71    77.13    12.03    22.88     8.26    19.38    58.46    30.85P    0.70R    0.03  
Tranmere         1    0   -2      -1.25    20.78    -1.81    62.65    12.17    -0.49     0.85     2.49    16.37     5.45P    8.87R    1.09  
Carlisle         1    0   -4      -1.14    23.68    -3.58    49.73    12.19   -26.88     0.05     0.21     2.61     0.59P   40.46R   10.70  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.51     0.00    -1.20    57.73    12.61     8.25     0.33     1.18     9.82     3.51P   17.57R    3.13  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bury 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Newport_County        1    3   +3       1.59    80.55     2.95    44.88    12.20   -32.91     0.07     0.37     2.11     0.67P   44.13R   28.11  
Oxford_Utd            1    3   +3       2.11    88.98     3.81    70.17    11.95    11.50     4.72    17.52    44.40    23.97P    1.01R    0.33  
Rochdale              1    3   +3       1.40    77.48     2.65    71.26    12.36    13.15     6.27    20.90    48.23    27.68P    1.09R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town        1    3   +2       1.28    75.44     1.48    62.57    11.91    -1.47     1.38     6.31    22.03     9.61P    4.46R    1.68  
Chesterfield          1    3   +2       1.73    83.17     2.14    77.75    11.86    22.17    14.14    38.87    69.58    47.76P    0.20R    0.08  
Scunthorpe            1    3   +2       0.74    65.33     0.50    79.90    13.12    26.10    21.59    46.21    73.22    54.37P    0.29R    0.10  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.17    73.19     0.27    69.31    12.09     7.99     4.38    16.12    41.27    22.09P    1.29R    0.39  
Southend              1    3   +1       1.16    73.80     0.33    72.71    11.87    13.49     6.93    23.38    52.85    31.13P    0.55R    0.15  
Wycombe               1    3   +1       1.32    76.33     0.54    65.13    11.90     1.51     2.11     8.95    28.26    13.23P    2.90R    1.07  
York                  1    3   +1       1.57    80.72     0.91    56.32    11.24   -11.40     0.29     1.86     9.01     3.11P   10.43R    4.36  
Burton_Albion         1    1   +0      -0.01    62.33     0.58    62.31    12.39    -1.65     1.57     6.88    22.25    10.16P    5.34R    2.10  
Cheltenham            1    1   +0      -0.75    37.67    -0.58    66.07    11.82     5.13     2.31    10.24    31.01    15.25P    2.33R    0.81  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    1   +0       0.11    66.54     0.78    51.75    11.72   -19.17     0.14     0.93     5.03     1.60P   21.32R   10.51  
Torquay               1    1   +0      -0.88    33.46    -0.78    62.26    11.85    -0.70     1.29     5.87    21.05     9.39P    4.54R    1.70  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -0.94    26.81    -0.27    58.69    12.12    -6.66     0.68     3.54    14.23     5.70P    8.62R    3.88  
Morecambe             1    0   -1      -1.06    23.67    -0.54    59.55    11.84    -4.38     0.79     3.80    15.33     6.26P    7.03R    2.76  
Northampton           1    0   -1      -1.29    19.28    -0.91    61.94    11.99    -0.99     1.15     5.81    20.74     9.23P    5.02R    2.08  
Plymouth              1    0   -1      -0.90    26.20    -0.33    57.50    11.37    -6.67     0.40     2.35    10.96     4.24P    8.67R    3.49  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -2      -1.03    24.55    -1.48    55.93    11.80   -11.59     0.34     1.94     9.37     3.42P   12.31R    5.44  
Bury                  1    0   -2      -1.47    16.83    -2.14    68.49    13.38     8.53     5.34    17.11    40.15    23.38P    2.61R    1.01  
Mansfield             1    0   -2      -0.56    34.67    -0.50    48.72    12.57   -24.30     0.10     0.79     4.11     1.36P   31.45R   18.23  
Accrington_Stanley    1    0   -3      -1.35    19.45    -2.95    51.42    11.66   -20.16     0.11     0.85     4.76     1.57P   22.13R   10.53  
Portsmouth            1    0   -3      -1.89    11.02    -3.81    78.96    13.06    24.92    19.26    43.69    70.72    52.61P    0.32R    0.12  
Hartlepool            1    0   -3      -1.15    22.52    -2.65    68.46    12.80     7.57     4.62    15.70    39.33    22.23P    1.98R    0.74  



Conference    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Alfreton_Town     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.36    12.56   -13.47     0.22     4.43     0.78P   14.36R    3.36  
Barnet            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    84.86    13.52    36.86    23.53    68.68    36.55P    0.15R    0.01  
Braintree_Town    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    57.94    12.55   -10.34     0.32     5.65     1.09P   11.68R    2.46  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.38    12.49     3.36     1.20    14.80     3.65P    3.62R    0.64  
Chester           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.90    14.51   -30.33     0.12     2.09     0.42P   40.69R   17.80  
Dartford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.29    12.30    -3.66     0.52     8.56     1.87P    6.70R    1.20  
Forest_Green      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    70.02    12.28    11.24     2.43    24.32     6.84P    1.46R    0.21  
Gateshead         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.93    12.48    -2.34     0.65     9.48     2.21P    6.36R    1.12  
Grimsby           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.53    12.22    26.79    10.24    53.76    21.57P    0.16R    0.01  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.97    14.33   -30.13     0.14     2.06     0.43P   40.26R   17.32  
Hereford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.47    12.60    17.22     4.60    34.48    10.86P    0.79R    0.09  
Hyde_United       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    54.29    12.30   -16.49     0.13     2.91     0.50P   17.74R    4.53  
Kidderminster     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.06    12.34    33.70    17.15    65.07    30.29P    0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.49    12.53    -5.32     0.54     7.92     1.67P    7.93R    1.59  
Luton             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    76.46    12.50    22.15     7.14    43.70    15.73P    0.42R    0.03  
Macclesfield      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    66.26    12.66     4.81     1.44    16.76     4.23P    3.18R    0.57  
Nuneaton          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    55.47    11.97   -12.73     0.11     3.21     0.53P   14.58R    3.37  
Salisbury         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.39    14.33   -29.33     0.14     2.21     0.43P   39.28R   16.10  
Southport         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.91    12.66   -13.23     0.26     4.90     0.90P   13.37R    3.22  
Tamworth          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    52.65    11.95   -17.94     0.07     1.95     0.34P   20.77R    5.19  
Welling           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.04    14.45   -30.17     0.16     2.13     0.43P   40.32R   17.29  
Woking            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.05    12.78   -14.64     0.28     4.43     0.80P   15.46R    3.83  
Wrexham           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    84.27    12.06    34.39    19.35    69.08    34.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot         0  -10   +0     -10.00     0.00     0.00    77.06    13.22    39.60     9.26    47.43    23.66P    0.58R    0.07  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10