Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    72.02    10.39    34.54    12.80    28.52    45.28    60.78    83.39     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.12    10.22   -17.99     0.02     0.09     0.28     0.82     3.62    20.04R    4.37  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    38.81    10.56   -24.93     0.01     0.04     0.18     0.43     1.85    35.29R   10.71  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.65    10.30    37.23    16.18    34.27    51.81    66.83    87.01     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.54     9.74   -44.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22    71.57R   38.89  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.06    10.36    13.85     1.63     5.31    11.29    20.17    45.20     0.60R    0.04  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.25    10.40    -6.50     0.10     0.48     1.34     3.09    10.51     7.82R    1.32  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.61     9.73   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.30    59.26R   24.64  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.18    10.37    24.73     5.56    15.04    27.35    41.42    69.25     0.11R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.72    10.01    40.15    21.17    42.60    60.44    74.54    90.99     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.86    10.13    51.57    38.14    60.56    75.35    85.06    95.42     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.88    10.38   -13.37     0.06     0.25     0.65     1.54     6.11    13.59R    2.64  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.72    10.04   -18.53     0.01     0.08     0.27     0.72     3.14    20.66R    4.42  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.07    10.33   -14.60     0.05     0.16     0.50     1.24     5.33    15.32R    3.15  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.66     9.81   -11.95     0.02     0.10     0.33     0.85     4.19    14.51R    2.58  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.76    10.04    -9.86     0.02     0.18     0.58     1.53     6.59    10.80R    1.87  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.66    10.23    -8.35     0.05     0.26     0.80     2.01     8.02     9.60R    1.57  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.32    10.54    21.88     4.03    11.37    21.57    34.35    62.08     0.23R    0.02  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.22    10.44    -7.04     0.11     0.49     1.35     3.04    10.74     7.89R    1.38  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.15    10.18   -11.74     0.03     0.20     0.61     1.50     6.05    12.65R    2.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 August 2013, Derby 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wigan            1    3   +4       0.97    69.55     2.92    84.78    13.46    36.42    31.05    47.45    78.38    57.15P    0.20R    0.03  
Blackpool        1    3   +2       1.24    74.55     1.40    70.24    12.33    10.28     4.24    10.10    37.02    16.33P    1.97R    0.28  
Bournemouth      1    3   +1       1.82    84.39     1.30    53.05    12.86   -18.60     0.31     0.84     5.72     1.72P   26.62R    9.07  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.80    84.37     1.23    62.96    12.20    -2.31     1.25     3.22    17.70     6.09P    6.76R    1.45  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.37    77.21     0.62    76.65    12.23    19.36    10.35    21.70    57.86    31.89P    0.56R    0.08  
QPR              1    3   +1       1.20    74.34     0.37    75.42    12.91    17.26     9.70    20.09    53.49    29.57P    0.98R    0.14  
Reading          1    3   +1       1.10    72.26     0.19    78.57    13.62    22.72    15.87    29.25    62.53    38.70P    0.72R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    1    3   +1       1.31    76.14     0.52    65.49    11.99     2.35     1.71     4.70    23.01     8.70P    4.10R    0.75  
Watford          1    3   +1       1.57    80.20     0.91    75.40    12.55    17.66     9.20    19.40    53.60    28.15P    0.82R    0.12  
Yeovil           1    3   +1       1.99    87.33     1.55    45.76    12.43   -32.12     0.07     0.22     1.70     0.44P   48.70R   22.70  
Blackburn        1    1   +0      -0.37    49.82    -0.01    65.03    12.08     3.41     1.52     4.27    22.50     8.38P    4.85R    0.89  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.45    47.57    -0.11    71.66    12.46    13.73     5.12    12.25    42.11    19.96P    1.59R    0.24  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.30    52.43     0.11    64.66    12.14     2.86     1.55     4.25    21.37     8.21P    5.03R    0.95  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.36    50.18     0.01    61.41    11.92    -2.11     0.78     2.24    14.31     4.84P    8.11R    1.67  
Brighton         1    0   -1      -1.53    15.63    -1.23    69.63    11.89    10.98     3.31     8.55    34.96    15.50P    1.82R    0.29  
Charlton         1    0   -1      -1.57    15.61    -1.30    61.99    12.14    -0.70     1.02     2.78    15.92     5.76P    7.52R    1.64  
Ipswich          1    0   -1      -0.87    27.74    -0.19    55.01    11.80   -11.37     0.21     0.70     5.72     1.57P   19.06R    5.29  
Middlesbrough    1    0   -1      -1.12    22.79    -0.62    58.70    11.98    -5.91     0.46     1.47    10.13     3.20P   12.13R    2.89  
Sheff_Wed        1    0   -1      -0.94    25.66    -0.37    55.32    11.80   -10.79     0.19     0.70     6.07     1.71P   18.18R    4.99  
Birmingham       1    0   -1      -1.33    19.80    -0.91    65.33    12.13     4.41     1.71     4.66    23.07     8.96P    4.53R    0.93  
Huddersfield     1    0   -1      -1.05    23.86    -0.52    51.39    11.59   -17.35     0.08     0.25     3.11     0.71P   28.39R    8.87  
Millwall         1    0   -1      -1.74    12.67    -1.55    55.43    11.51    -9.84     0.19     0.59     5.80     1.58P   17.09R    4.34  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -1.01    25.45    -1.40    46.83    12.43   -26.10     0.05     0.19     1.86     0.45P   44.41R   19.53  
Barnsley         1    0   -4      -0.76    30.45    -2.92    49.18    11.53   -24.28     0.05     0.14     2.05     0.43P   35.88R   12.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bristol_City 2 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    1    3   +4       1.36    76.45     3.59    67.07    12.29     7.43     1.95     5.21    26.91     9.66P    4.51R    0.43  
Walsall          1    3   +2       1.51    79.37     1.82    67.70    12.37     6.22     2.25     6.11    28.49    10.51P    4.26R    0.42  
Oldham           1    3   +1       1.75    83.41     1.20    56.69    11.80   -12.19     0.22     0.76     6.92     1.73P   19.22R    3.07  
Crawley_Town     1    3   +1       1.75    83.08     1.21    61.09    12.35    -5.77     0.68     2.08    13.79     4.11P   12.12R    1.69  
Sheff_Utd        1    3   +1       1.34    76.53     0.57    79.51    12.02    24.06    11.85    25.27    66.01    36.59P    0.37R    0.02  
Colchester       1    3   +1       1.65    81.80     1.03    56.68    11.96   -12.40     0.23     0.80     7.30     1.87P   19.47R    3.19  
Peterborough     1    3   +1       1.44    78.06     0.72    86.60    13.47    38.26    31.57    49.10    81.20    58.53P    0.22R    0.02  
Crewe            1    1   +0      -0.65    41.37    -0.45    52.27    11.93   -18.68     0.08     0.33     3.58     0.85P   31.43R    6.54  
Rotherham        1    1   +0      -0.13    58.63     0.45    45.60    12.84   -32.18     0.04     0.17     1.79     0.38P   53.85R   19.89  
Bradford         1    1   +0       0.29    73.13     1.20    43.62    12.09   -32.02     0.01     0.08     0.98     0.20P   60.34R   23.66  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.09    26.87    -1.20    72.29    13.83    15.17     6.47    13.81    43.69    21.63P    3.15R    0.32  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.65    40.87    -0.43    69.49    12.09    10.49     2.68     7.19    33.66    13.48P    2.81R    0.25  
Port_Vale        1    1   +0      -0.11    59.13     0.43    53.40    13.18   -16.71     0.31     0.81     6.07     1.77P   30.45R    7.50  
MK_Dons          1    1   +0      -0.67    40.00    -0.45    75.08    12.19    19.26     6.58    15.60    51.51    25.28P    1.01R    0.06  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.07    59.94     0.45    64.88    12.20     3.31     1.23     3.63    20.96     7.36P    6.43R    0.76  
Shrewsbury       1    1   +0      -0.07    60.00     0.45    56.87    11.86    -9.13     0.24     0.75     7.07     1.86P   19.12R    3.00  
Wolverhampton    1    1   +0      -0.67    40.06    -0.45    83.07    13.16    32.60    21.35    37.82    74.36    49.63P    0.39R    0.04  
Stevenage        1    0   -1      -1.50    16.59    -1.20    55.57    11.95   -11.30     0.18     0.66     6.18     1.63P   21.88R    3.80  
Notts_County     1    0   -1      -1.10    23.47    -0.57    67.50    12.35     7.86     2.03     5.59    28.19    10.76P    4.42R    0.46  
Gillingham       1    0   -1      -1.38    18.20    -1.03    50.47    12.64   -18.91     0.11     0.40     3.45     0.97P   37.85R   10.05  
Swindon          1    0   -1      -1.20    21.94    -0.72    77.34    11.99    23.12     8.64    19.89    59.42    31.67P    0.57R    0.03  
Tranmere         1    0   -2      -1.25    20.63    -1.82    62.84    12.06    -0.13     0.88     2.54    16.38     5.54P    8.55R    1.07  
Carlisle         1    0   -4      -1.14    23.55    -3.59    49.82    12.22   -26.58     0.08     0.22     2.67     0.61P   40.54R   10.75  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.52     0.00    -1.21    57.73    12.45     8.20     0.34     1.17     9.42     3.39P   17.04R    2.98  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bury 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Newport_County        1    3   +3       1.57    80.17     2.92    45.09    12.24   -32.36     0.06     0.41     2.25     0.72P   43.73R   27.97  
Oxford_Utd            1    3   +3       2.13    89.16     3.82    69.84    12.06    10.94     4.59    17.15    43.92    23.63P    1.21R    0.37  
Rochdale              1    3   +3       1.40    77.40     2.64    71.57    12.39    13.63     6.59    21.94    49.63    28.70P    1.02R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town        1    3   +2       1.30    75.89     1.51    62.53    11.86    -1.57     1.29     6.38    21.90     9.64P    4.27R    1.59  
Chesterfield          1    3   +2       1.71    82.87     2.12    77.97    11.87    22.43    14.53    39.13    69.79    48.00P    0.19R    0.05  
Scunthorpe            1    3   +2       0.77    65.81     0.54    79.76    13.34    25.83    20.99    45.90    72.55    53.76P    0.33R    0.10  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.17    73.18     0.28    69.31    12.04     7.96     4.33    16.11    41.68    22.43P    1.39R    0.44  
Southend              1    3   +1       1.17    73.94     0.33    73.14    11.98    14.04     7.58    24.45    54.27    32.52P    0.53R    0.14  
Wycombe               1    3   +1       1.33    76.42     0.55    64.90    11.96     1.23     1.84     8.65    28.15    12.93P    3.12R    1.22  
York                  1    3   +1       1.57    80.63     0.90    56.69    11.31   -10.87     0.30     1.86     9.35     3.16P   10.41R    4.46  
Burton_Albion         1    1   +0      -0.01    62.40     0.60    62.09    12.35    -2.11     1.51     6.59    21.97     9.79P    5.60R    2.27  
Cheltenham            1    1   +0      -0.76    37.60    -0.60    65.94    11.84     5.01     2.13     9.96    31.17    14.97P    2.41R    0.86  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    1   +0       0.09    65.64     0.74    52.25    11.80   -18.32     0.15     1.02     5.65     1.77P   20.52R   10.17  
Torquay               1    1   +0      -0.85    34.36    -0.74    62.06    11.79    -1.04     1.07     5.65    20.62     9.11P    4.68R    1.74  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -0.94    26.82    -0.28    58.52    12.08    -6.89     0.68     3.52    14.00     5.70P    8.78R    3.79  
Morecambe             1    0   -1      -1.07    23.58    -0.55    59.14    11.70    -4.97     0.62     3.54    14.32     5.86P    7.29R    2.91  
Northampton           1    0   -1      -1.29    19.37    -0.90    61.67    12.05    -1.37     1.18     5.67    20.43     8.94P    5.29R    2.13  
Plymouth              1    0   -1      -0.90    26.06    -0.33    57.46    11.31    -6.68     0.33     2.20    10.68     4.09P    8.78R    3.63  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -2      -1.04    24.11    -1.51    55.86    11.75   -11.52     0.31     1.97     9.34     3.46P   12.47R    5.63  
Bury                  1    0   -2      -1.45    17.13    -2.12    68.23    13.30     8.17     4.88    16.41    39.34    22.65P    2.71R    1.03  
Mansfield             1    0   -2      -0.59    34.19    -0.54    49.04    12.73   -23.72     0.14     0.88     4.49     1.61P   30.89R   17.62  
Accrington_Stanley    1    0   -3      -1.32    19.83    -2.92    51.32    11.57   -20.43     0.09     0.76     4.55     1.46P   21.78R   10.61  
Portsmouth            1    0   -3      -1.90    10.84    -3.82    79.45    13.30    25.70    20.72    44.99    71.88    53.85P    0.37R    0.14  
Hartlepool            1    0   -3      -1.15    22.60    -2.64    67.99    12.72     6.92     4.10    14.87    38.09    21.26P    2.24R    0.81  



Conference    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Alfreton_Town     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.24    12.64   -13.74     0.19     4.41     0.75P   14.82R    3.70  
Barnet            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    84.71    13.56    36.76    23.08    68.32    36.16P    0.17R    0.03  
Braintree_Town    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    58.13    12.56   -10.09     0.31     5.59     1.07P   11.43R    2.66  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.44    12.53     3.52     1.27    14.81     3.72P    3.63R    0.59  
Chester           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.64    14.40   -30.97     0.14     2.08     0.43P   41.37R   17.83  
Dartford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.36    12.39    -3.52     0.51     8.67     1.73P    6.77R    1.23  
Forest_Green      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    70.17    12.22    11.34     2.56    24.38     6.98P    1.29R    0.16  
Gateshead         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.65    12.31    -2.80     0.51     8.80     1.84P    6.28R    1.13  
Grimsby           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.68    12.38    26.94    10.67    53.73    21.90P    0.20R    0.02  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    48.04    14.37   -28.01     0.18     2.43     0.54P   37.44R   15.38  
Hereford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.53    12.57    17.27     4.65    34.67    11.10P    0.86R    0.09  
Hyde_United       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    53.69    12.30   -17.54     0.11     2.64     0.49P   18.93R    5.00  
Kidderminster     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.25    12.42    33.94    17.23    65.42    30.64P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.19    12.46    -5.82     0.47     7.47     1.48P    8.09R    1.65  
Luton             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    76.39    12.55    21.86     7.04    43.05    15.18P    0.42R    0.05  
Macclesfield      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    66.35    12.67     4.94     1.49    16.61     4.20P    3.36R    0.54  
Nuneaton          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    55.07    11.95   -13.43     0.12     2.98     0.54P   15.25R    3.49  
Salisbury         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.06    14.39   -30.20     0.15     2.11     0.47P   39.95R   17.20  
Southport         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.82    12.93   -13.40     0.28     5.11     0.93P   14.47R    3.66  
Tamworth          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    52.49    11.98   -18.30     0.06     2.01     0.28P   20.98R    5.43  
Welling           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.41    14.37   -29.49     0.12     2.14     0.42P   39.02R   16.62  
Woking            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.19    12.56   -14.30     0.22     4.38     0.79P   14.58R    3.47  
Wrexham           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    84.21    12.05    34.24    18.91    68.75    33.96P    0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot         0  -10   +0     -10.00     0.00     0.00    77.70    13.15    40.80     9.73    49.45    24.39P    0.52R    0.05  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10