Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 August 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.84    10.41    34.15    12.19    28.19    45.00    60.65    82.92     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.03    10.20   -18.11     0.03     0.13     0.36     0.84     3.63    20.33R    4.38  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    39.07    10.59   -24.19     0.01     0.06     0.17     0.46     2.07    34.54R   10.36  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.46    10.27    36.84    15.76    33.86    51.14    66.75    86.75     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.68     9.79   -44.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.19    70.85R   38.56  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.29    10.38    14.12     1.79     5.68    11.96    20.98    46.26     0.59R    0.05  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.13    10.36    -6.62     0.09     0.46     1.27     2.90    10.54     7.90R    1.24  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.56     9.82   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.36    59.58R   25.23  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.10    10.50    24.51     5.82    15.12    27.29    41.12    69.03     0.17R    0.00  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.41    10.16    39.63    20.57    41.58    59.38    73.23    90.15     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.15    10.03    52.02    39.24    61.62    76.54    86.28    96.01     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.11    10.39   -12.92     0.04     0.24     0.72     1.73     6.42    13.26R    2.56  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.81    10.17   -18.27     0.02     0.08     0.31     0.76     3.46    20.83R    4.67  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    45.02    10.31   -14.65     0.04     0.18     0.50     1.21     5.00    15.64R    3.20  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.50     9.72   -12.15     0.02     0.09     0.29     0.82     3.95    14.72R    2.75  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.21     9.97   -10.77     0.04     0.21     0.62     1.45     5.81    11.81R    1.98  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.94    10.08    -7.88     0.08     0.33     0.98     2.11     8.28     8.98R    1.42  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.12    10.64    21.40     4.06    11.39    21.38    33.78    61.72     0.26R    0.03  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.52    10.39    -6.42     0.13     0.54     1.44     3.32    11.23     7.58R    1.18  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.07    10.19   -11.87     0.06     0.22     0.62     1.54     6.21    12.92R    2.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 August 2013, Derby 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wigan            1    3   +4       0.98    69.72     2.93    84.65    13.38    36.21    30.64    47.31    78.17    56.98P    0.25R    0.03  
Blackpool        1    3   +2       1.22    74.27     1.37    70.57    12.47    10.85     4.48    10.71    38.26    17.43P    1.97R    0.34  
Bournemouth      1    3   +1       1.84    84.81     1.33    52.63    12.83   -19.41     0.27     0.78     5.27     1.60P   27.24R    9.51  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.80    84.36     1.24    62.96    12.11    -2.18     1.14     3.15    17.23     5.81P    6.59R    1.29  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.37    77.03     0.60    76.54    12.11    19.06    10.10    21.10    57.33    31.04P    0.50R    0.08  
QPR              1    3   +1       1.19    74.20     0.36    75.56    13.03    17.48    10.31    20.51    53.99    30.10P    0.92R    0.14  
Reading          1    3   +1       1.11    72.37     0.21    78.59    13.56    22.72    16.00    29.25    62.68    38.82P    0.73R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    1    3   +1       1.32    76.34     0.54    65.47    11.90     2.28     1.66     4.58    22.74     8.53P    4.11R    0.71  
Watford          1    3   +1       1.56    80.03     0.90    75.15    12.48    17.23     8.77    18.50    52.84    27.06P    0.80R    0.11  
Yeovil           1    3   +1       1.99    87.30     1.55    45.31    12.39   -32.95     0.07     0.18     1.63     0.43P   50.32R   23.43  
Blackburn        1    1   +0      -0.38    49.57    -0.02    64.92    12.06     3.35     1.59     4.34    21.95     8.30P    4.77R    0.86  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.45    47.35    -0.12    71.81    12.37    13.89     5.35    12.56    42.15    20.33P    1.46R    0.21  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.29    52.65     0.12    64.85    12.09     3.17     1.59     4.31    21.69     8.17P    4.57R    0.90  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.35    50.43     0.02    61.46    11.96    -1.96     0.79     2.36    14.66     4.98P    7.81R    1.65  
Brighton         1    0   -1      -1.53    15.64    -1.24    69.80    11.93    11.25     3.33     8.66    35.38    15.82P    1.78R    0.27  
Charlton         1    0   -1      -1.59    15.19    -1.33    62.08    11.99    -0.52     0.88     2.64    15.65     5.55P    7.12R    1.48  
Ipswich          1    0   -1      -0.88    27.63    -0.21    55.29    11.84   -10.88     0.21     0.65     6.05     1.59P   18.26R    5.01  
Middlesbrough    1    0   -1      -1.11    22.97    -0.60    58.78    12.01    -5.77     0.43     1.42    10.17     3.23P   11.88R    2.86  
Sheff_Wed        1    0   -1      -0.93    25.80    -0.36    55.19    11.80   -10.92     0.19     0.66     5.88     1.65P   18.28R    4.80  
Birmingham       1    0   -1      -1.31    19.98    -0.90    65.56    12.21     4.80     1.86     5.03    23.71     9.25P    4.33R    0.83  
Huddersfield     1    0   -1      -1.06    23.66    -0.54    51.66    11.68   -16.89     0.07     0.29     3.19     0.80P   27.47R    8.60  
Millwall         1    0   -1      -1.74    12.71    -1.55    55.25    11.53   -10.03     0.20     0.66     5.70     1.68P   17.48R    4.27  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -0.99    25.73    -1.37    46.41    12.25   -26.61     0.03     0.18     1.72     0.44P   45.67R   20.08  
Barnsley         1    0   -4      -0.77    30.28    -2.93    49.15    11.50   -24.19     0.05     0.16     1.93     0.41P   35.69R   12.46  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bristol_City 2 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    1    3   +4       1.36    76.48     3.60    67.06    12.31     7.34     1.97     5.40    26.97     9.86P    4.59R    0.45  
Walsall          1    3   +2       1.50    79.31     1.81    67.53    12.44     5.93     2.08     5.74    28.32    10.57P    4.53R    0.46  
Oldham           1    3   +1       1.76    83.58     1.21    56.88    11.81   -11.90     0.22     0.76     7.28     1.75P   18.79R    2.99  
Crawley_Town     1    3   +1       1.74    82.87     1.20    60.94    12.40    -6.08     0.65     2.00    13.65     4.06P   12.18R    1.79  
Sheff_Utd        1    3   +1       1.32    76.16     0.55    79.93    12.16    24.81    12.83    26.75    66.96    37.91P    0.41R    0.02  
Colchester       1    3   +1       1.64    81.75     1.01    56.69    11.97   -12.56     0.24     0.80     7.28     1.83P   19.79R    3.02  
Peterborough     1    3   +1       1.46    78.28     0.74    85.90    13.84    37.07    29.98    46.93    79.05    56.23P    0.33R    0.01  
Crewe            1    1   +0      -0.65    41.48    -0.45    52.30    12.18   -18.77     0.13     0.43     4.09     1.04P   32.10R    6.94  
Rotherham        1    1   +0      -0.14    58.52     0.45    45.96    12.88   -31.56     0.05     0.21     1.90     0.42P   53.16R   19.32  
Bradford         1    1   +0       0.29    73.19     1.20    43.59    12.27   -32.24     0.01     0.06     1.00     0.21P   60.12R   24.27  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.10    26.81    -1.20    71.64    13.88    14.09     6.15    13.14    41.58    20.35P    3.51R    0.36  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.65    40.85    -0.42    69.82    12.26    10.99     2.98     7.71    34.82    14.21P    2.85R    0.26  
Port_Vale        1    1   +0      -0.10    59.15     0.42    54.01    13.22   -15.73     0.30     0.92     6.45     2.00P   29.00R    6.97  
MK_Dons          1    1   +0      -0.67    40.10    -0.44    75.39    12.11    19.79     6.93    16.20    52.56    26.08P    0.97R    0.08  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.08    59.85     0.45    64.61    12.08     2.93     1.02     3.16    20.31     6.74P    6.73R    0.79  
Shrewsbury       1    1   +0      -0.07    59.90     0.44    57.09    11.90    -9.00     0.24     0.82     7.55     1.91P   18.53R    2.86  
Wolverhampton    1    1   +0      -0.67    40.15    -0.45    83.10    13.27    32.77    21.73    38.14    73.87    49.62P    0.38R    0.04  
Stevenage        1    0   -1      -1.50    16.42    -1.21    55.81    11.97   -10.99     0.23     0.74     6.28     1.81P   21.68R    3.77  
Notts_County     1    0   -1      -1.08    23.84    -0.55    67.87    12.36     8.50     2.18     5.87    29.24    11.42P    4.25R    0.43  
Gillingham       1    0   -1      -1.38    18.25    -1.01    50.53    12.57   -18.91     0.10     0.33     3.35     0.82P   37.91R    9.75  
Swindon          1    0   -1      -1.22    21.72    -0.74    77.50    12.04    23.51     8.81    20.25    59.71    32.01P    0.57R    0.05  
Tranmere         1    0   -2      -1.25    20.69    -1.81    62.64    11.97    -0.56     0.78     2.31    15.86     5.24P    8.70R    1.05  
Carlisle         1    0   -4      -1.14    23.52    -3.60    49.58    12.18   -27.11     0.06     0.22     2.59     0.56P   41.07R   11.00  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.50     0.00    -1.20    57.44    12.49     7.70     0.33     1.10     9.33     3.35P   17.85R    3.32  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bury 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Newport_County        1    3   +3       1.58    80.33     2.94    44.77    12.21   -33.00     0.07     0.35     2.04     0.60P   44.48R   28.39  
Oxford_Utd            1    3   +3       2.13    89.22     3.82    70.15    12.02    11.45     4.76    17.51    44.70    24.07P    1.12R    0.39  
Rochdale              1    3   +3       1.39    77.34     2.64    71.41    12.33    13.35     6.43    21.39    48.83    28.06P    1.00R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town        1    3   +2       1.28    75.52     1.49    62.30    11.66    -2.01     1.11     5.55    20.83     8.74P    4.43R    1.65  
Chesterfield          1    3   +2       1.72    83.07     2.14    77.62    11.83    21.94    13.85    37.92    68.88    46.95P    0.17R    0.04  
Scunthorpe            1    3   +2       0.76    65.65     0.53    80.03    13.02    26.39    21.78    46.99    73.46    55.14P    0.23R    0.07  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.17    73.24     0.29    69.07    12.12     7.61     4.19    15.85    41.09    21.94P    1.49R    0.49  
Southend              1    3   +1       1.16    73.83     0.33    73.03    12.00    13.94     7.62    24.37    53.96    32.15P    0.53R    0.16  
Wycombe               1    3   +1       1.32    76.34     0.54    64.94    11.91     1.29     1.96     8.70    27.93    13.10P    2.97R    1.08  
York                  1    3   +1       1.57    80.78     0.91    56.68    11.39   -10.90     0.30     2.05     9.75     3.40P   10.35R    4.32  
Burton_Albion         1    1   +0      -0.02    62.11     0.58    62.13    12.36    -1.99     1.44     6.60    22.10     9.80P    5.43R    2.21  
Cheltenham            1    1   +0      -0.75    37.89    -0.58    65.84    11.79     4.82     2.34     9.76    30.90    14.94P    2.28R    0.78  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    1   +0       0.12    66.70     0.78    51.63    11.82   -19.33     0.14     0.89     5.11     1.66P   21.86R   10.95  
Torquay               1    1   +0      -0.89    33.30    -0.78    62.32    11.69    -0.59     1.14     5.79    21.12     9.26P    4.36R    1.73  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -0.95    26.76    -0.29    58.58    12.10    -6.81     0.60     3.57    14.31     5.79P    8.91R    3.84  
Morecambe             1    0   -1      -1.06    23.66    -0.54    59.28    11.86    -4.85     0.64     3.72    14.99     6.04P    7.33R    3.02  
Northampton           1    0   -1      -1.30    19.23    -0.91    61.97    11.88    -0.83     1.17     5.70    20.59     9.16P    4.90R    1.90  
Plymouth              1    0   -1      -0.89    26.16    -0.33    57.76    11.30    -6.24     0.34     2.23    11.04     4.11P    8.36R    3.38  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -2      -1.03    24.48    -1.49    55.91    11.80   -11.56     0.33     1.99     9.52     3.49P   12.32R    5.51  
Bury                  1    0   -2      -1.46    16.93    -2.14    68.41    13.32     8.44     5.04    16.99    40.02    23.17P    2.58R    0.97  
Mansfield             1    0   -2      -0.58    34.35    -0.53    49.17    12.56   -23.44     0.11     0.82     4.24     1.48P   30.29R   17.14  
Accrington_Stanley    1    0   -3      -1.34    19.67    -2.94    51.38    11.64   -20.27     0.13     0.87     4.64     1.53P   22.02R   10.69  
Portsmouth            1    0   -3      -1.90    10.78    -3.82    79.45    13.11    25.70    20.19    45.31    72.03    54.07P    0.33R    0.10  
Hartlepool            1    0   -3      -1.14    22.66    -2.64    68.02    12.79     6.89     4.31    15.08    37.91    21.34P    2.24R    0.84  



Conference    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Alfreton_Town     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.54    12.62   -13.31     0.23     4.67     0.85P   13.96R    3.20  
Barnet            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    85.80    13.35    38.59    25.01    71.04    38.72P    0.11R    0.01  
Braintree_Town    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    57.84    12.66   -10.64     0.31     5.41     1.09P   11.82R    2.86  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.37    12.43     3.41     1.10    14.32     3.49P    3.54R    0.53  
Chester           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.73    14.39   -30.59     0.16     1.94     0.41P   40.84R   17.74  
Dartford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.95    12.47    -4.33     0.55     8.27     1.77P    7.20R    1.44  
Forest_Green      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    69.99    12.25    11.12     2.39    23.82     6.91P    1.40R    0.20  
Gateshead         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.61    12.32    -2.82     0.50     8.61     1.82P    6.56R    1.22  
Grimsby           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.71    12.37    27.15    10.22    53.73    21.40P    0.22R    0.01  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.03    14.19   -30.11     0.13     1.95     0.40P   39.70R   16.72  
Hereford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.79    12.65    17.79     4.90    34.95    11.13P    0.77R    0.10  
Hyde_United       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    53.94    12.36   -17.31     0.13     2.89     0.49P   18.58R    4.86  
Kidderminster     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.07    12.50    33.60    16.67    64.40    29.65P    0.08R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.39    12.48    -5.56     0.50     7.79     1.60P    7.73R    1.48  
Luton             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    76.55    12.58    22.28     6.99    43.49    15.51P    0.42R    0.04  
Macclesfield      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    66.17    12.56     4.62     1.35    16.09     3.95P    3.11R    0.53  
Nuneaton          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    54.86    12.00   -13.83     0.10     2.88     0.50P   15.61R    3.51  
Salisbury         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.60    14.62   -29.34     0.17     2.44     0.50P   38.47R   16.51  
Southport         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.92    12.86   -13.26     0.34     5.30     1.00P   13.80R    3.36  
Tamworth          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    52.12    11.87   -19.08     0.08     1.69     0.26P   22.01R    5.63  
Welling           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.40    14.48   -29.48     0.11     2.22     0.43P   39.16R   16.52  
Woking            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.52    12.68   -13.79     0.28     4.55     0.78P   14.29R    3.44  
Wrexham           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    84.50    11.95    34.66    18.66    69.34    33.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot         0  -10   +0     -10.00     0.00     0.00    77.45    13.15    40.23     9.14    48.22    23.58P    0.59R    0.07  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10