Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 August 2013 at 01:25:33 GMT

Premier League    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    71.80    10.40    34.07    12.23    28.35    44.96    60.64    82.92     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    43.04    10.10   -18.07     0.02     0.09     0.31     0.78     3.40    20.37R    4.39  
Cardiff           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    39.00    10.58   -24.50     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.42     1.98    34.35R   10.26  
Chelsea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.64    10.24    37.12    16.30    34.53    52.22    67.15    87.21     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    29.48     9.73   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.18    71.37R   39.05  
Everton           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.83    10.30    13.41     1.56     5.29    11.03    19.77    44.63     0.52R    0.04  
Fulham            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.36    10.36    -6.20     0.12     0.45     1.34     3.06    10.69     7.68R    1.26  
Hull              0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    32.45     9.78   -34.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.37    60.33R   25.07  
Liverpool         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    67.18    10.53    24.75     5.86    15.27    27.52    41.60    69.25     0.15R    0.01  
Man_City          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    75.21    10.11    39.20    19.91    40.82    58.73    72.94    90.23     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    80.13     9.97    52.10    39.39    61.90    76.67    86.51    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.14    10.38   -12.82     0.05     0.23     0.73     1.79     6.63    13.00R    2.44  
Norwich           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    42.81    10.19   -18.34     0.02     0.08     0.22     0.65     3.33    21.07R    4.77  
Southampton       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.98    10.28   -14.61     0.03     0.13     0.47     1.15     5.09    15.63R    3.16  
Stoke             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    44.45     9.73   -12.19     0.01     0.09     0.27     0.74     3.87    14.69R    2.67  
Sunderland        0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.60    10.07   -10.13     0.04     0.23     0.62     1.58     6.62    11.31R    1.88  
Swansea           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.59    10.06    -8.39     0.07     0.29     0.87     1.97     7.64     9.51R    1.57  
Tottenham         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.17    10.54    21.49     4.20    11.49    21.81    34.37    62.09     0.22R    0.02  
West_Brom         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    49.64    10.45    -6.29     0.12     0.50     1.46     3.36    11.52     7.51R    1.23  
West_Ham          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.36    10.16   -11.33     0.05     0.20     0.60     1.49     6.32    12.23R    2.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 August 2013, Derby 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wigan            1    3   +4       0.96    69.39     2.92    84.64    13.45    36.19    30.67    47.26    77.89    57.04P    0.19R    0.02  
Blackpool        1    3   +2       1.22    74.24     1.36    70.55    12.50    10.81     4.41    10.58    38.18    17.07P    1.97R    0.31  
Bournemouth      1    3   +1       1.84    84.69     1.33    52.13    12.85   -20.24     0.18     0.62     5.01     1.46P   28.75R   10.14  
Leeds_United     1    3   +1       1.78    84.02     1.21    63.29    12.24    -1.79     1.23     3.36    18.27     6.36P    6.41R    1.35  
Leicester        1    3   +1       1.36    76.95     0.60    76.93    12.15    19.70    10.54    22.10    58.31    32.06P    0.42R    0.04  
QPR              1    3   +1       1.19    74.12     0.35    75.53    13.01    17.49    10.10    20.27    53.46    29.70P    0.90R    0.13  
Reading          1    3   +1       1.11    72.37     0.20    78.22    13.68    22.26    15.33    28.13    61.09    37.49P    0.75R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest    1    3   +1       1.31    76.22     0.52    65.57    11.95     2.43     1.72     4.51    22.74     8.56P    3.94R    0.69  
Watford          1    3   +1       1.55    79.92     0.89    75.77    12.39    18.20     9.43    19.93    54.57    28.81P    0.66R    0.09  
Yeovil           1    3   +1       1.98    87.20     1.53    45.74    12.37   -32.19     0.06     0.19     1.63     0.41P   48.15R   22.29  
Blackburn        1    1   +0      -0.36    50.21     0.01    65.01    12.08     3.41     1.55     4.28    21.95     8.23P    4.69R    0.79  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.44    47.72    -0.11    71.72    12.41    13.81     5.23    12.32    41.95    19.94P    1.59R    0.26  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.31    52.28     0.11    64.65    12.19     2.83     1.57     4.23    21.65     8.04P    4.98R    1.02  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.37    49.79    -0.01    61.85    11.96    -1.51     0.85     2.47    15.17     5.15P    7.44R    1.66  
Brighton         1    0   -1      -1.51    15.98    -1.21    69.54    11.82    10.91     3.17     8.20    34.28    15.08P    1.85R    0.23  
Charlton         1    0   -1      -1.59    15.31    -1.33    62.07    12.07    -0.55     0.94     2.71    16.02     5.70P    7.24R    1.44  
Ipswich          1    0   -1      -0.88    27.63    -0.20    55.28    11.74   -10.95     0.22     0.67     5.87     1.62P   18.09R    4.60  
Middlesbrough    1    0   -1      -1.11    23.05    -0.60    58.55    11.99    -6.20     0.38     1.34    10.17     3.01P   12.12R    2.91  
Sheff_Wed        1    0   -1      -0.94    25.88    -0.35    55.24    11.83   -10.92     0.24     0.73     5.95     1.71P   18.33R    5.03  
Birmingham       1    0   -1      -1.31    20.09    -0.89    65.41    12.19     4.59     1.81     4.71    23.33     9.09P    4.34R    0.85  
Huddersfield     1    0   -1      -1.05    23.78    -0.52    51.44    11.74   -17.28     0.09     0.30     3.16     0.77P   28.32R    9.22  
Millwall         1    0   -1      -1.72    12.79    -1.53    55.46    11.58    -9.78     0.19     0.67     5.69     1.73P   17.11R    4.22  
Doncaster        1    0   -2      -0.98    25.76    -1.36    46.65    12.36   -26.36     0.07     0.24     1.87     0.55P   45.09R   19.58  
Barnsley         1    0   -4      -0.76    30.61    -2.92    48.84    11.52   -24.85     0.03     0.17     1.78     0.40P   36.65R   13.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bristol_City 2 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient    1    3   +4       1.36    76.46     3.57    67.40    12.19     7.93     2.13     5.55    27.82    10.25P    4.14R    0.37  
Walsall          1    3   +2       1.51    79.39     1.81    67.31    12.41     5.58     2.02     5.70    27.75    10.06P    4.63R    0.48  
Oldham           1    3   +1       1.75    83.31     1.18    57.19    11.89   -11.36     0.24     0.83     7.64     1.91P   18.31R    2.80  
Crawley_Town     1    3   +1       1.75    83.08     1.22    61.02    12.30    -5.87     0.69     1.97    13.75     3.98P   11.88R    1.68  
Sheff_Utd        1    3   +1       1.34    76.44     0.56    79.79    12.08    24.55    12.56    26.17    66.45    37.37P    0.34R    0.02  
Colchester       1    3   +1       1.66    82.08     1.03    56.58    11.99   -12.69     0.24     0.84     7.22     1.83P   19.91R    3.22  
Peterborough     1    3   +1       1.45    78.31     0.73    86.54    13.70    38.22    31.51    48.89    80.67    58.36P    0.23R    0.01  
Crewe            1    1   +0      -0.65    41.53    -0.43    52.35    12.01   -18.48     0.09     0.36     3.81     0.88P   31.77R    6.71  
Rotherham        1    1   +0      -0.14    58.47     0.43    46.06    12.87   -31.38     0.04     0.17     1.99     0.44P   52.67R   19.29  
Bradford         1    1   +0       0.30    73.48     1.22    43.35    12.12   -32.56     0.01     0.07     0.87     0.21P   60.78R   24.40  
Bristol_City     1    1   +0      -1.11    26.52    -1.22    72.02    14.00    14.70     6.19    13.66    42.82    21.24P    3.49R    0.38  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.66    40.78    -0.43    69.31    12.22    10.23     2.73     7.20    32.90    13.45P    3.11R    0.27  
Port_Vale        1    1   +0      -0.10    59.22     0.43    53.37    13.13   -16.75     0.25     0.81     5.91     1.65P   30.45R    7.16  
MK_Dons          1    1   +0      -0.66    40.18    -0.44    75.12    12.22    19.33     6.43    15.57    51.83    25.72P    1.00R    0.06  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.08    59.80     0.45    64.79    12.08     3.19     1.12     3.28    20.82     6.90P    6.42R    0.67  
Shrewsbury       1    1   +0      -0.07    59.82     0.44    56.94    11.73    -9.15     0.22     0.74     7.00     1.86P   18.58R    2.92  
Wolverhampton    1    1   +0      -0.67    40.20    -0.45    83.06    13.25    32.63    21.34    37.76    74.24    49.31P    0.44R    0.03  
Stevenage        1    0   -1      -1.49    16.69    -1.18    55.88    12.11   -10.87     0.22     0.73     6.88     1.91P   21.77R    3.90  
Notts_County     1    0   -1      -1.09    23.55    -0.56    67.54    12.40     7.96     2.01     5.67    28.46    10.77P    4.56R    0.46  
Gillingham       1    0   -1      -1.39    17.92    -1.03    50.75    12.49   -18.43     0.10     0.37     3.43     0.93P   36.86R    9.55  
Swindon          1    0   -1      -1.21    21.69    -0.73    77.40    12.08    23.21     8.74    20.06    59.53    31.82P    0.64R    0.04  
Tranmere         1    0   -2      -1.25    20.61    -1.81    62.47    11.96    -0.75     0.68     2.14    15.78     4.91P    8.97R    1.10  
Carlisle         1    0   -4      -1.13    23.54    -3.57    49.39    12.19   -27.39     0.05     0.23     2.42     0.54P   41.48R   11.22  
Coventry         1  -10   -1     -11.52     0.00    -1.22    57.70    12.58     8.15     0.37     1.24    10.00     3.72P   17.57R    3.26  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 August 2013, Bury 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Newport_County        1    3   +3       1.56    79.99     2.91    45.07    12.16   -32.39     0.05     0.35     2.16     0.65P   43.67R   27.88  
Oxford_Utd            1    3   +3       2.13    89.24     3.83    70.27    12.08    11.64     4.95    18.05    45.07    24.57P    1.05R    0.34  
Rochdale              1    3   +3       1.37    77.00     2.62    71.40    12.48    13.39     6.52    21.54    48.70    28.14P    1.06R    0.36  
Fleetwood_Town        1    3   +2       1.28    75.50     1.49    62.56    11.84    -1.55     1.24     6.12    21.78     9.52P    4.56R    1.79  
Chesterfield          1    3   +2       1.72    82.95     2.14    77.64    11.84    22.03    13.98    38.27    69.06    47.33P    0.16R    0.03  
Scunthorpe            1    3   +2       0.74    65.35     0.50    80.04    12.99    26.24    21.48    46.81    73.63    54.93P    0.22R    0.05  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.17    73.18     0.27    69.10    12.14     7.67     4.27    15.86    41.12    21.87P    1.49R    0.52  
Southend              1    3   +1       1.17    73.91     0.33    72.83    11.93    13.61     7.08    23.76    53.30    31.67P    0.65R    0.22  
Wycombe               1    3   +1       1.33    76.64     0.56    64.88    11.88     1.18     1.89     8.69    27.83    12.92P    2.97R    1.06  
York                  1    3   +1       1.56    80.73     0.89    56.38    11.36   -11.44     0.34     1.89     9.12     3.20P   10.92R    4.70  
Burton_Albion         1    1   +0      -0.02    62.04     0.58    62.05    12.20    -2.15     1.41     6.19    21.42     9.46P    5.36R    2.08  
Cheltenham            1    1   +0      -0.75    37.96    -0.58    65.52    11.89     4.36     2.18     9.75    29.97    14.53P    2.61R    0.90  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    1   +0       0.11    66.60     0.79    51.80    11.71   -19.06     0.16     0.90     5.09     1.62P   21.26R   10.51  
Torquay               1    1   +0      -0.88    33.40    -0.79    62.25    11.68    -0.75     1.17     5.65    20.91     9.07P    4.32R    1.73  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -0.94    26.82    -0.27    58.82    12.13    -6.51     0.74     3.66    14.59     5.89P    8.65R    3.88  
Morecambe             1    0   -1      -1.07    23.36    -0.56    59.63    11.74    -4.29     0.69     3.75    15.41     6.23P    6.99R    2.84  
Northampton           1    0   -1      -1.28    19.27    -0.89    61.98    11.93    -0.84     1.15     5.76    20.96     9.26P    4.88R    1.92  
Plymouth              1    0   -1      -0.90    26.09    -0.33    57.73    11.34    -6.40     0.38     2.42    10.98     4.20P    8.51R    3.48  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -2      -1.03    24.50    -1.49    56.11    11.80   -11.27     0.35     2.15     9.77     3.65P   11.96R    5.26  
Bury                  1    0   -2      -1.46    17.05    -2.14    68.23    13.30     8.04     4.98    16.49    39.33    22.64P    2.72R    1.07  
Mansfield             1    0   -2      -0.57    34.65    -0.50    49.03    12.68   -23.76     0.14     0.95     4.44     1.60P   30.99R   17.66  
Accrington_Stanley    1    0   -3      -1.32    20.01    -2.91    51.29    11.61   -20.53     0.13     0.73     4.53     1.40P   22.32R   10.78  
Portsmouth            1    0   -3      -1.90    10.76    -3.83    79.17    13.33    25.43    20.18    44.52    71.13    53.24P    0.37R    0.12  
Hartlepool            1    0   -3      -1.12    23.00    -2.62    68.36    12.87     7.38     4.53    15.71    39.70    22.41P    2.29R    0.83  



Conference    (Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Alfreton_Town     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.14    12.58   -14.11     0.24     4.30     0.84P   14.34R    3.38  
Barnet            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    85.12    13.32    37.46    23.96    68.93    37.23P    0.08R    0.01  
Braintree_Town    0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    57.93    12.73   -10.54     0.34     5.57     1.07P   11.81R    2.66  
Cambridge_Utd     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    65.94    12.42     4.37     1.36    15.52     3.89P    3.04R    0.52  
Chester           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.41    14.63   -29.60     0.18     2.35     0.52P   39.32R   16.67  
Dartford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.20    12.47    -3.88     0.53     8.52     1.89P    7.08R    1.32  
Forest_Green      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    70.03    12.36    11.13     2.40    24.21     6.82P    1.48R    0.19  
Gateshead         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    61.74    12.47    -2.65     0.59     9.14     2.05P    6.43R    1.29  
Grimsby           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    79.46    12.35    26.70    10.34    52.88    21.35P    0.23R    0.03  
Halifax           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.14    14.61   -30.00     0.14     2.30     0.48P   40.06R   17.05  
Hereford          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    73.94    12.72    17.98     5.11    35.98    11.73P    0.75R    0.11  
Hyde_United       0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    53.84    12.35   -17.46     0.12     2.79     0.50P   18.76R    4.79  
Kidderminster     0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.09    12.41    33.81    17.04    64.87    29.97P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    60.55    12.38    -5.32     0.53     7.66     1.64P    7.64R    1.44  
Luton             0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    76.78    12.50    22.66     7.47    44.45    16.06P    0.39R    0.03  
Macclesfield      0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    66.36    12.63     4.90     1.47    16.62     4.31P    3.09R    0.53  
Nuneaton          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    55.00    12.01   -13.71     0.14     3.02     0.52P   15.35R    3.58  
Salisbury         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    46.92    14.70   -30.44     0.14     2.27     0.52P   40.95R   17.99  
Southport         0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    57.03    12.86   -13.12     0.27     5.12     0.96P   13.56R    3.17  
Tamworth          0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    52.51    12.03   -18.42     0.08     1.92     0.30P   20.90R    5.26  
Welling           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    47.41    14.57   -29.51     0.17     2.45     0.52P   39.57R   16.35  
Woking            0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    56.46    12.70   -13.94     0.27     4.53     0.83P   14.40R    3.55  
Wrexham           0    0   +0       0.00    50.00     0.00    83.86    12.07    33.74    17.96    67.21    32.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Aldershot         0  -10   +0     -10.00     0.00     0.00    77.15    13.20    39.96     9.16    47.39    23.46P    0.61R    0.09  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10