Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 June 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 May 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       38   89  +43       8.63    85.00    -5.02    89.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      38   78  +32       2.79    61.69    -4.26    78.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       38   75  +36       1.58    56.30     2.07    75.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       38   73  +35       1.32    55.27     3.72    73.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     38   72  +20       7.36    78.77     0.78    72.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       38   63  +15       2.68    61.64     3.10    63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     38   61  +28      -5.53    26.71     6.02    61.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     38   49   -4       0.55    52.88     3.30    49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       38   46   -4      -0.68    47.40     4.78    46.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      38   46   -8       0.92    54.78     4.06    46.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       38   44  -17       2.27    60.82     1.21    44.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        38   43  -10      -5.16    28.66    -2.84    43.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         38   42  -11      -1.77    42.62     0.98    42.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   38   41  -11      -2.93    38.05     3.82    41.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   38   41  -22      -0.91    46.68    -4.00    41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     38   41  -23      -4.04    33.33    -9.78    41.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    38   39  -13      -6.61    22.98    -2.56    39.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         38   36  -26      -1.81    42.74    -0.19    36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       38   28  -30      -8.27    16.67    -1.79    28.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR           38   25  -30     -10.49    10.06    -3.39    25.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.09    80.81     5.04    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.87    87.32     2.70    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.85    64.21    11.73    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.71    59.97    12.45    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.34    76.14     8.69    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.94    25.46     5.38    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.20    34.95    -5.73    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.52    63.21     3.25    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.32    51.45     3.69    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.63    47.73     5.16    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.89    35.58    -0.70    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.68    26.53   -12.74    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.54    56.20    -3.09    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       3.99    65.61    -2.36    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.60    20.90    -7.52    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.02    46.67    -4.31    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.40    24.52   -10.39    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.69    57.02     1.91    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.66    71.15    -3.26    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.12    42.18    -4.21    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       2.95    62.23     3.10    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.27    38.16     1.58    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.42    21.85    -8.16    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.03    21.70    -2.19    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      11.14    85.41     3.59    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.74    82.49     7.93    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.34    78.63     3.71    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.56    86.17    11.61    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.31    41.15    -6.70    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.87    32.10    10.15    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.15    81.37     8.13    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.46    26.81    -2.65    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.80    64.39     5.19    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.07    83.23     8.44    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.83    57.51     6.26    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.96    35.41     3.16    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -4.95    32.25    -3.24    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.49    84.64     6.32    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.49    30.11     2.42    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.66    44.06     2.67    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.33    51.90    -7.66    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.43    33.87   -11.02    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.19    38.03    -1.17    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.10    38.55    -8.05    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.11    31.10    -9.28    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.36     3.26   -15.81    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.99    24.49    -4.89    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.31    19.99    -9.10    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.06    68.50     5.34    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.81    77.26     3.12    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.46    44.27    10.38    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.16    92.52    10.08    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.57    79.27     1.91    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.82P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.77    82.26     8.87    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.02    65.38     7.94    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -7.09    25.26    -1.00    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.55    56.16    -1.77    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.19    38.39    -4.99    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.40    15.86    -6.24    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.75    30.07    -7.08    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       1.12    54.93     3.84    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.68    52.91    -2.87    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.56    40.92    -9.31    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.51    41.15    -2.36    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.76    57.47     3.65    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.71    47.93    -4.58    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.28    16.22    -7.48    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.02    62.53    -1.01    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.15    27.56    -2.79    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.50    26.57     1.04    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.39    45.37     3.32    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.36    23.48    -8.02    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.78    83.10     4.59    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.25    81.82    10.14    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.57    88.31    10.78    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.65    59.92     6.10    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.78    31.42    -3.36    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.23    34.47    -7.10    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      -9.93    17.14   -13.06    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.65    67.00     7.08    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       7.99    78.20     0.02    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.28    30.38     3.17    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.36    37.83    -9.78    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.56    70.17     4.35    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.85    64.85     7.39    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.76    25.99    -4.95    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.99    58.18     4.17    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.35    34.22    -2.23    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -6.94    25.21    -1.20    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.25    55.25     3.60    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.62    61.03     2.58    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.64    40.42    -1.84    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.58    33.46    -4.87    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       0.83    54.53    -8.79    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.74    22.18    -5.26    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.85    10.98    -1.54    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00