Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 June 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 May 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       38   89  +43       8.80    85.23    -4.80    89.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      38   78  +32       2.67    61.51    -4.44    78.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       38   75  +36       1.63    56.54     2.15    75.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       38   73  +35       1.39    55.54     3.78    73.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     38   72  +20       7.36    78.67     0.86    72.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       38   63  +15       2.70    61.68     3.12    63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     38   61  +28      -5.65    26.43     5.86    61.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     38   49   -4       0.68    53.50     3.52    49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       38   46   -4      -0.84    46.87     4.51    46.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      38   46   -8       0.78    53.92     3.90    46.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       38   44  -17       2.22    60.66     1.05    44.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        38   43  -10      -5.16    28.70    -2.78    43.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         38   42  -11      -1.70    42.83     0.98    42.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   38   41  -11      -3.06    37.60     3.55    41.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   38   41  -22      -0.93    46.57    -4.03    41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     38   41  -23      -3.87    33.64    -9.52    41.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    38   39  -13      -6.50    23.22    -2.33    39.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         38   36  -26      -1.85    42.50    -0.23    36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       38   28  -30      -8.30    16.88    -1.86    28.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR           38   25  -30     -10.43     9.92    -3.30    25.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.26    81.12     5.28    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.85    87.19     2.66    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.70    63.48    11.51    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.56    59.71    12.26    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.36    76.08     8.69    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.74    25.84     5.61    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.33    34.65    -5.88    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.52    63.42     3.29    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.33    51.34     3.64    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.51    48.53     5.44    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.82    36.37    -0.56    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.88    25.95   -13.06    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.53    56.15    -3.10    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.15    66.15    -2.13    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.78    20.64    -7.83    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -0.98    46.91    -4.22    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.29    24.86   -10.23    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.75    56.97     1.95    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.73    71.39    -3.15    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.23    41.83    -4.37    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       3.01    62.24     3.05    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.29    38.20     1.52    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.49    21.18    -8.28    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.04    21.33    -2.07    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      10.89    84.78     3.29    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.95    82.95     8.23    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.58    79.81     4.06    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.45    86.20    11.46    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.25    41.28    -6.58    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.84    31.99    10.13    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.12    81.38     8.05    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.52    26.32    -2.70    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.85    64.41     5.22    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.08    83.42     8.50    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.69    56.77     6.05    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -4.08    34.85     3.01    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -4.95    32.23    -3.26    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.15    83.72     5.79    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.27    30.78     2.74    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.51    44.91     2.88    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.26    51.55    -7.77    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.43    33.65   -10.98    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.06    38.77    -1.03    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.10    38.67    -7.96    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.36    30.35    -9.61    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.32     3.12   -15.71    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.99    24.23    -4.93    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.09    20.67    -8.88    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.23    69.18     5.58    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.84    77.09     3.10    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.28    44.72    10.58    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.21    92.53    10.15    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.45    79.13     1.67    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.28    81.63     8.16    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.05    65.49     8.04    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.37P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.99    25.74    -0.86    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.37    55.70    -2.02    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.17    38.78    -4.95    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.36    15.97    -6.19    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.70    30.11    -6.98    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.90    53.70     3.62    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       1.03    54.69    -2.40    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.44    41.42    -9.15    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.51    40.91    -2.31    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.66    57.16     3.46    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.77    47.55    -4.62    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.43    15.81    -7.76    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       2.85    61.87    -1.26    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -5.87    28.40    -2.44    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.56    26.38     1.02    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.11    46.41     3.69    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.48    22.93    -8.15    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.97    83.27     4.87    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.00    80.82     9.74    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.57    88.49    10.74    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.85    60.72     6.40    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    28.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.85    31.43    -3.50    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.41    33.70    -7.29    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8     -10.06    16.31   -13.21    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.60    66.67     6.98    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       8.14    78.49     0.28    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.41    30.26     2.99    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.55    36.98   -10.08    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.87    70.95     4.80    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.64    64.13     6.95    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.61    26.53    -4.73    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.86    57.75     4.00    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.32    34.34    -2.14    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -6.77    26.18    -0.85    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.35    55.63     3.86    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.69    61.12     2.78    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.95    39.40    -2.40    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.69    32.96    -5.09    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       1.00    55.18    -8.51    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.60    22.45    -5.15    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.79    11.18    -1.47    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00