Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 June 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 May 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       38   89  +43       8.75    84.96    -4.86    89.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      38   78  +32       2.73    61.65    -4.34    78.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       38   75  +36       1.65    56.56     2.16    75.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       38   73  +35       1.31    55.10     3.66    73.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     38   72  +20       7.27    78.41     0.67    72.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       38   63  +15       2.59    61.43     2.87    63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     38   61  +28      -5.75    25.77     5.72    61.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     38   49   -4       0.51    52.59     3.20    49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       38   46   -4      -0.58    47.75     4.93    46.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      38   46   -8       0.93    54.82     4.08    46.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       38   44  -17       2.22    60.63     1.03    44.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        38   43  -10      -5.30    28.11    -2.92    43.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         38   42  -11      -1.54    43.71     1.26    42.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   38   41  -11      -2.92    38.21     3.85    41.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   38   41  -22      -1.00    46.26    -4.10    41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     38   41  -23      -3.90    33.80    -9.58    41.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    38   39  -13      -6.61    23.20    -2.55    39.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         38   36  -26      -1.79    42.76    -0.11    36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       38   28  -30      -8.20    17.22    -1.65    28.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR           38   25  -30     -10.44     9.86    -3.32    25.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.28    81.14     5.25    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.78    87.27     2.57    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.59    63.21    11.38    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.58    60.01    12.25    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.33    76.16     8.66    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.97    25.22     5.29    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.13    34.99    -5.54    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.23    62.54     2.90    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.32    51.42     3.59    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.22    49.65     5.86    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.48    36.91    -0.05    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.70    26.50   -12.72    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.56    56.31    -3.09    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.22    66.63    -2.03    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.63    20.86    -7.63    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.28    45.73    -4.59    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.40    24.60   -10.39    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.86    57.58     2.18    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       6.02    72.45    -2.68    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.41    41.29    -4.68    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       2.99    62.36     3.09    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.54    37.11     1.11    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.68    20.77    -8.62    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.03    21.38    -2.12    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      10.99    85.07     3.38    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.82    82.46     8.04    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.49    79.29     3.88    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.54    86.41    11.46    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.25    41.18    -6.56    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.98    31.69    10.01    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.27    81.75     8.29    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.67    25.79    -2.95    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.80    64.53     5.17    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.03    83.14     8.41    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.70    56.82     6.10    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.87    35.80     3.24    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -5.03    32.21    -3.36    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.52    84.27     6.36    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.22    31.01     2.89    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.74    44.06     2.59    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.22    51.56    -7.82    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.44    33.76   -11.01    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.15    38.38    -1.11    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.07    38.59    -7.96    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.38    30.43    -9.67    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.37     3.22   -15.75    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.50    25.89    -4.22    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.53    19.55    -9.44    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.00    68.30     5.33    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.76    76.76     2.94    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.22    45.26    10.76    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.14    92.38    10.08    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.21    78.45     1.35    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.45    81.61     8.42    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.14    65.78     8.11    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.85    25.73    -0.71    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.59    56.56    -1.74    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.42    37.45    -5.34    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.24    16.57    -6.00    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.47    30.84    -6.67    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.99    54.16     3.72    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.94    54.28    -2.55    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.76    40.35    -9.59    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.35    41.39    -2.11    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.65    57.21     3.41    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.90    47.11    -4.84    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.52    15.69    -7.80    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.17    63.13    -0.81    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -5.86    28.37    -2.42    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.62    26.18     0.93    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.32    45.69     3.40    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.27    23.71    -7.87    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.91    83.48     4.78    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.09    81.16     9.92    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.58    88.36    10.74    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.73    60.40     6.25    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.90    31.00    -3.57    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.53    33.52    -7.54    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      -9.94    16.92   -13.07    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.92    67.71     7.46    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       8.27    78.83     0.45    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.30    30.77     3.11    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.55    37.02   -10.04    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.87    71.10     4.90    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.87    65.19     7.36    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.78    26.31    -4.99    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.96    57.99     4.11    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.36    34.26    -2.22    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -7.06    25.11    -1.36    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.15    55.26     3.50    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.58    60.58     2.55    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -3.03    39.08    -2.44    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.68    32.80    -5.03    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       1.06    55.56    -8.41    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.71    22.13    -5.22    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.69    11.27    -1.25    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00