Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 June 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 May 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       38   89  +43       8.65    84.89    -5.09    89.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      38   78  +32       2.68    61.48    -4.41    78.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       38   75  +36       1.63    56.74     2.17    75.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       38   73  +35       1.40    55.58     3.79    73.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     38   72  +20       7.20    78.31     0.54    72.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       38   63  +15       2.88    62.38     3.38    63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     38   61  +28      -5.80    25.88     5.65    61.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     38   49   -4       0.60    53.17     3.35    49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       38   46   -4      -0.63    47.80     4.90    46.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      38   46   -8       0.88    54.42     4.01    46.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       38   44  -17       2.30    61.09     1.27    44.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        38   43  -10      -5.37    28.02    -3.05    43.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         38   42  -11      -1.61    43.22     1.12    42.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   38   41  -11      -2.94    37.98     3.79    41.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   38   41  -22      -0.91    46.68    -4.07    41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     38   41  -23      -3.82    34.14    -9.39    41.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    38   39  -13      -6.72    22.62    -2.67    39.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         38   36  -26      -1.77    42.63    -0.08    36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       38   28  -30      -8.30    16.80    -1.84    28.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR           38   25  -30     -10.49     9.94    -3.37    25.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.09    80.60     4.96    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.88    87.17     2.69    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.76    63.57    11.65    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.74    60.52    12.41    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.38    75.94     8.73    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -7.05    24.82     5.21    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.12    35.22    -5.52    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.44    63.24     3.18    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.34    51.66     3.63    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.73    47.62     5.08    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.76    36.07    -0.43    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.81    25.94   -12.93    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.53    56.25    -3.12    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.12    65.93    -2.18    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.77    20.32    -7.80    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -0.96    46.77    -4.17    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.46    24.72   -10.49    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.60    56.84     1.83    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.77    71.70    -3.17    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.09    42.32    -4.15    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       3.15    62.98     3.33    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.26    38.22     1.58    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.46    21.35    -8.23    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.01    21.19    -2.09    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      11.18    85.28     3.64    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.99    82.91     8.26    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.29    78.66     3.65    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.41    86.09    11.33    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.20    41.38    -6.54    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -5.00    31.51     9.89    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.13    81.12     8.19    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.55    26.47    -2.77    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.97    65.13     5.39    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.22    83.32     8.71    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.40    55.68     5.66    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -4.03    35.23     3.07    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -5.08    31.76    -3.48    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.65    84.78     6.46    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.39    30.29     2.60    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.83    43.62     2.51    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.17    51.47    -7.92    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.24    34.36   -10.73    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.19    38.12    -1.15    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.13    38.49    -8.04    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.08    31.23    -9.25    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.21     3.13   -15.52    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.93    24.54    -4.83    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.27    19.95    -9.13    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.08    68.72     5.41    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.73    76.44     2.97    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.40    44.43    10.40    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.38    92.86    10.45    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.23    78.57     1.42    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.32    81.28     8.23    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       3.90    64.72     7.76    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.95    25.61    -0.82    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.66    56.62    -1.61    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.31    37.95    -5.12    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.06    16.98    -5.74    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.69    30.08    -6.96    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.87    54.11     3.52    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.80    53.88    -2.66    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.39    41.61    -9.08    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.44    41.20    -2.25    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.72    57.28     3.52    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.76    47.74    -4.68    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.51    15.67    -7.80    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.08    62.93    -0.91    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -5.98    28.24    -2.59    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.58    26.46     0.98    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.22    45.89     3.50    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.35    23.42    -7.95    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.86    82.98     4.66    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.15    81.47    10.06    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    25.99P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.73    88.30    10.94    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.74    60.18     6.26    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.83    31.31    -3.52    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.24    34.53    -7.10    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8     -10.02    16.79   -13.11    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.61    66.83     6.97    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       8.02    77.88     0.20    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.41    30.18     3.02    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.63    37.07   -10.21    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.66    70.52     4.49    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.78    64.74     7.23    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.61    26.38    -4.75    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       2.01    58.11     4.27    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.46    33.80    -2.29    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -6.84    25.99    -0.97    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.29    55.79     3.67    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.95    62.30     3.15    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.89    39.72    -2.30    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.57    33.40    -4.80    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       0.87    54.51    -8.78    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.96    21.64    -5.62    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.84    10.74    -1.48    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00