Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 May 2013, Chelsea 2 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       38   89  +43       8.80    85.32    -4.79    89.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      38   78  +32       2.70    61.75    -4.35    78.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       38   75  +36       1.73    57.02     2.38    75.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       38   73  +35       1.35    55.33     3.76    73.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     38   72  +20       7.24    78.44     0.57    72.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       38   63  +15       2.75    61.93     3.16    63.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     38   61  +28      -5.67    26.33     5.88    61.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     38   49   -4       0.43    52.14     3.11    49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       38   46   -4      -0.65    47.71     4.87    46.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      38   46   -8       0.80    54.19     3.82    46.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       38   44  -17       2.37    61.30     1.35    44.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        38   43  -10      -5.28    28.13    -2.96    43.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         38   42  -11      -1.74    43.00     0.95    42.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   38   41  -11      -2.95    37.81     3.74    41.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   38   41  -22      -0.84    47.06    -3.90    41.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     38   41  -23      -3.97    33.52    -9.74    41.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    38   39  -13      -6.57    23.16    -2.43    39.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         38   36  -26      -1.70    43.47     0.00    36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       38   28  -30      -8.40    16.40    -2.03    28.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR           38   25  -30     -10.47     9.83    -3.40    25.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       8.93    80.57     4.75    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.85    87.02     2.64    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.56    62.81    11.27    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.80    60.51    12.58    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.37    76.16     8.72    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.87    25.64     5.44    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.41    33.96    -5.99    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.36    62.69     3.09    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.38    51.72     3.68    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.31    49.04     5.74    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.87    35.76    -0.53    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.61    26.74   -12.66    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.39    55.67    -3.29    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.14    66.19    -2.21    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.55    21.17    -7.51    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.13    46.45    -4.42    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.22    25.56   -10.12    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       2.10    58.43     2.51    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.86    72.14    -3.02    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.15    42.16    -4.23    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       3.03    62.30     3.20    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.33    38.02     1.47    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.79    20.57    -8.74    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.21    20.91    -2.36    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      10.95    84.90     3.36    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.81    82.82     8.00    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.63    79.38     4.11    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.46    86.09    11.41    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.43    40.48    -6.88    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.97    31.72     9.91    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.15    81.38     8.16    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.58    26.32    -2.79    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.82    64.56     5.25    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.11    83.39     8.51    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.82    57.49     6.20    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.86    35.92     3.26    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -5.15    31.39    -3.55    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.53    84.78     6.34    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.21    30.70     2.86    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.68    44.20     2.72    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.03    50.60    -8.13    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.39    33.89   -10.92    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.20    37.96    -1.18    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -2.85    39.50    -7.60    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.41    30.09    -9.70    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.19     3.25   -15.50    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.76    25.20    -4.57    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.37    19.73    -9.27    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.29    69.48     5.71    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.77    76.90     3.00    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.47    44.36    10.34    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.10    92.35     9.99    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.49    79.33     1.86    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.46    81.88     8.43    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.09    65.61     8.04    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.10P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.80    26.37    -0.69    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.30    55.53    -2.07    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.24    38.21    -5.07    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.58    15.46    -6.45    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.56    30.58    -6.77    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.93    54.05     3.62    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.81    53.66    -2.69    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.36    41.45    -9.02    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.52    40.98    -2.39    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.83    57.97     3.67    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.69    48.06    -4.60    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.48    15.63    -7.72    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.04    62.52    -0.93    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.00    28.17    -2.64    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.71    26.02     0.83    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.26    45.70     3.51    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.29    23.60    -7.94    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      10.08    83.43     5.06    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.10    81.19     9.90    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.78    88.55    11.12    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.78    60.53     6.30    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.91    30.93    -3.58    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.55    33.38    -7.52    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8     -10.00    16.91   -13.08    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.70    67.10     7.19    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       7.84    77.39    -0.09    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.22    30.88     3.24    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.22    38.23    -9.49    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.80    70.66     4.68    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.71    64.49     7.07    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.42    27.06    -4.40    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.98    57.99     4.18    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.52    33.60    -2.48    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -7.24    24.48    -1.57    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.21    55.27     3.54    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.65    61.17     2.71    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.92    39.50    -2.35    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.62    33.12    -4.94    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       1.00    55.18    -8.59    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.85    21.64    -5.66    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.71    11.23    -1.24    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00