Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 May 2013, Arsenal 4 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       37   88  +43       9.43    87.80    -3.92    90.04     1.24    44.05   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      37   78  +33       4.37    68.99    -2.81    80.44     1.03    34.80     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       37   72  +35       0.67    52.28     2.13    73.88     1.27    35.75     0.00     0.00    79.30   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       37   70  +34       0.48    51.36     3.84    71.88     1.30    34.79     0.00     0.00    20.70    72.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     37   69  +19       6.28    75.59     0.52    71.06     1.23    20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       37   63  +16       3.56    65.23     3.31    63.87     1.17    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     37   58  +27      -6.44    23.40     6.05    60.33     1.10    28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     37   48   -4       0.59    52.82     2.41    48.75     1.13    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       37   46   -1      -0.29    49.26     6.26    47.60     1.31    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      37   43  -10       0.06    51.08     3.11    44.80     1.29    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         37   41  -11      -1.25    44.90     1.21    42.14     1.25   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       37   41  -18       0.67    53.92    -0.08    41.41     0.86   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     37   41  -22      -3.20    36.28    -9.58    41.91     1.21   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   37   40  -11      -2.37    40.31     4.07    41.58     1.30   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        37   40  -13      -5.94    25.52    -4.31    41.13     1.26   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   37   40  -22      -0.75    47.20    -4.41    41.26     1.31   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    37   39  -12      -5.97    25.14    -2.62    39.72     1.10   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         37   35  -26      -1.30    45.13    -0.07    36.49     1.33   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       37   28  -28      -7.83    17.96    -1.65    28.95     1.21   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.22  
QPR           37   25  -29      -9.92    11.00    -3.47    25.49     0.93   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       8.94    80.31     4.81    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.98    87.87     2.84    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.65    63.47    11.46    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.86    60.83    12.67    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.33    75.77     8.67    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -7.04    24.68     5.26    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.26    34.64    -5.77    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.42    63.03     3.10    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.36    51.57     3.70    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.62    48.12     5.21    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.73    36.47    -0.38    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -7.04    25.32   -13.28    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.59    56.37    -3.06    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.20    66.38    -2.08    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.69    20.50    -7.72    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.08    46.34    -4.30    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.29    24.80   -10.29    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.68    56.99     1.91    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.81    71.79    -3.08    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.12    42.40    -4.17    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       3.10    62.65     3.32    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.23    38.43     1.62    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.43    21.33    -8.25    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.07    21.30    -2.18    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      11.06    85.35     3.48    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.97    82.94     8.23    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.62    79.70     4.07    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.85P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.38    86.11    11.32    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.10    41.81    -6.45    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -5.17    30.77     9.70    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       8.90    80.52     7.76    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.57    26.36    -2.73    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       4.19    65.77     5.76    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.21    83.82     8.68    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.64    56.50     6.00    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.80    35.93     3.38    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -5.13    31.48    -3.49    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.38    84.07     6.09    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.41    30.33     2.60    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.91    43.34     2.41    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.21    51.50    -7.90    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.53    33.34   -11.15    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.04    38.71    -0.94    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.11    38.81    -8.05    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.35    30.43    -9.55    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.27     3.01   -15.60    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.66    25.41    -4.49    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.32    19.76    -9.11    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.18    68.96     5.61    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.62    76.29     2.78    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.06    45.66    10.94    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.12    92.46    10.00    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.18    78.45     1.28    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.25    80.95     8.22    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.17    65.70     8.21    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.69    26.66    -0.48    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.36    55.65    -2.08    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.34    38.13    -5.27    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.27    16.54    -5.98    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.55    30.48    -6.80    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.80    53.50     3.40    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.76    53.30    -2.78    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.37    41.69    -8.97    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.50    40.75    -2.31    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.84    57.64     3.67    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.61    48.23    -4.48    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.49    15.72    -7.81    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.09    62.85    -1.01    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.03    28.11    -2.64    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.51    26.57     1.12    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.22    45.99     3.57    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.48    23.12    -8.18    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.92    83.29     4.83    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.32    82.18    10.23    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.61    88.47    10.76    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.88    60.79     6.45    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.73    31.61    -3.32    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.38    34.05    -7.18    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      -9.96    16.78   -13.04    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.81    67.64     7.29    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       7.85    77.51    -0.17    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.29    30.58     3.20    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.68    36.85   -10.23    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.93    71.18     4.87    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.61    64.22     6.92    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.78    26.13    -4.98    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       2.01    58.16     4.24    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.44    33.85    -2.37    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -7.00    25.18    -1.24    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       0.99    54.49     3.28    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.59    60.68     2.58    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.84    39.87    -2.15    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.32    34.50    -4.56    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       0.92    55.02    -8.75    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.60    22.49    -5.11    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.86    10.91    -1.54    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00