Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 May 2013, Arsenal 4 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       37   88  +43       9.50    88.02    -3.75    90.03     1.25    44.03   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      37   78  +33       4.20    68.35    -3.12    80.45     1.02    34.80     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       37   72  +35       0.71    52.53     2.15    73.88     1.27    35.74     0.00     0.00    78.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       37   70  +34       0.30    50.84     3.49    71.89     1.29    34.81     0.00     0.00    21.14    72.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     37   69  +19       6.24    75.52     0.49    71.07     1.22    20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       37   63  +16       3.53    65.17     3.27    63.88     1.17    15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     37   58  +27      -6.42    23.49     6.03    60.34     1.09    28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     37   48   -4       0.66    53.34     2.49    48.76     1.14    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       37   46   -1      -0.48    48.37     5.95    47.60     1.31    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      37   43  -10       0.23    51.61     3.32    44.81     1.29    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         37   41  -11      -1.39    44.37     1.08    42.14     1.25   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       37   41  -18       0.65    53.93    -0.09    41.40     0.86   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     37   41  -22      -3.20    36.20    -9.54    41.90     1.21   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   37   40  -11      -2.45    39.94     3.94    41.58     1.30   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        37   40  -13      -5.84    25.71    -4.19    41.13     1.26   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   37   40  -22      -0.62    47.94    -4.15    41.27     1.31   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    37   39  -12      -6.01    24.91    -2.60    39.71     1.10   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         37   35  -26      -1.26    45.27     0.04    36.48     1.33   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       37   28  -28      -7.71    18.53    -1.47    28.95     1.21   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.25  
QPR           37   25  -29      -9.85    11.18    -3.37    25.48     0.92   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.75  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.09    80.90     5.07    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.82    87.07     2.65    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.75    63.72    11.57    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.76    60.21    12.50    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.26    75.75     8.61    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.98    25.30     5.28    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.50    33.99    -6.14    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.36    63.06     3.00    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.28    51.40     3.61    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.52    48.62     5.37    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.67    36.73    -0.35    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.51    27.05   -12.48    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.48    56.16    -3.14    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.28    66.63    -1.99    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.63    20.82    -7.55    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -0.84    47.23    -3.99    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.35    24.71   -10.28    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.80    57.46     2.08    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.78    71.81    -3.18    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.15    42.30    -4.31    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       2.83    61.72     2.84    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.31    38.05     1.43    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.37    21.61    -8.10    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.25    20.67    -2.49    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      11.16    85.35     3.62    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.70    82.14     7.84    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.54    79.58     3.96    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.33    86.03    11.25    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.25    41.13    -6.63    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.98    31.52    10.00    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.17    81.33     8.18    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.65    25.97    -2.84    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.97    65.25     5.41    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.31    83.91     8.78    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.70    56.97     6.06    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.85    35.70     3.32    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -4.82    32.68    -3.09    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.67    84.83     6.59    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.37    30.45     2.63    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.89    43.32     2.35    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.10    50.94    -8.05    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.48    33.43   -11.06    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.23    37.91    -1.29    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.15    38.55    -8.09    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.21    30.92    -9.35    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.38     3.07   -15.80    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.77    25.05    -4.67    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.32    19.76    -9.12    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.29    69.19     5.78    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.81    76.94     3.05    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.62    43.42    10.17    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.28    92.49    10.21    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.35    78.62     1.55    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.72    82.42     8.82    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       3.95    65.07     7.94    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.82    26.32    -0.68    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.59    56.31    -1.71    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.42    37.85    -5.31    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.34    16.05    -6.13    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.48    30.68    -6.72    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.82    53.76     3.46    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.90    54.03    -2.59    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.60    40.52    -9.40    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.47    40.95    -2.24    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.61    57.09     3.37    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.78    47.68    -4.65    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.42    15.89    -7.68    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       2.90    62.03    -1.17    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.00    27.85    -2.63    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.57    26.57     0.96    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.18    46.10     3.55    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.32    23.68    -7.93    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.60    82.44     4.35    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.17    81.42     9.98    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.53    88.11    10.70    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    16.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       3.01    61.29     6.69    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.52    32.46    -2.95    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.63    33.07    -7.72    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8     -10.12    16.43   -13.27    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.72    67.00     7.19    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       8.18    78.56     0.42    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.14    31.11     3.41    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.60    36.99   -10.18    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.77    70.97     4.59    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.77    64.66     7.18    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.65    26.39    -4.77    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.83    57.77     3.94    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.42    33.73    -2.30    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -6.73    26.19    -0.84    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.27    55.61     3.70    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.60    60.78     2.50    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.93    39.42    -2.37    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.67    33.15    -4.98    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       0.92    54.65    -8.66    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.69    22.01    -5.25    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.79    10.93    -1.38    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00