Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 May 2013, Arsenal 4 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       37   88  +43       9.55    88.25    -3.68    90.03     1.24    44.03   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      37   78  +33       4.17    68.12    -3.16    80.45     1.03    34.81     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       37   72  +35       0.68    52.50     2.18    73.88     1.27    35.75     0.00     0.00    79.13   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       37   70  +34       0.30    50.62     3.50    71.88     1.29    34.80     0.00     0.00    20.87    72.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     37   69  +19       6.21    75.45     0.49    71.06     1.22    20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       37   63  +16       3.70    65.98     3.49    63.87     1.17    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     37   58  +27      -6.39    23.53     6.09    60.34     1.09    28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     37   48   -4       0.74    53.96     2.63    48.76     1.13    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       37   46   -1      -0.31    49.24     6.22    47.60     1.31    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      37   43  -10       0.21    51.69     3.30    44.80     1.29    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         37   41  -11      -1.33    44.45     1.11    42.14     1.25   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       37   41  -18       0.44    53.05    -0.42    41.40     0.86   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     37   41  -22      -3.19    36.54    -9.55    41.91     1.21   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   37   40  -11      -2.62    39.09     3.63    41.58     1.30   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        37   40  -13      -5.86    25.84    -4.23    41.13     1.26   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   37   40  -22      -0.44    48.84    -3.89    41.25     1.30   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    37   39  -12      -6.08    24.98    -2.73    39.72     1.10   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         37   35  -26      -1.37    44.63    -0.06    36.51     1.33   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       37   28  -28      -7.73    18.32    -1.48    28.96     1.21   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.13  
QPR           37   25  -29      -9.88    11.04    -3.44    25.48     0.93   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       8.97    80.61     4.81    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      11.69    87.21     2.44    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.67    63.50    11.49    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.66    60.25    12.44    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.34    75.81     8.60    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.77    26.18     5.57    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.57    33.86    -6.23    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.45    63.35     3.19    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.43    51.90     3.82    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.54    48.38     5.32    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.79    36.05    -0.45    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.68    26.30   -12.69    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.51    56.07    -3.20    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.20    66.50    -2.06    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.72    20.72    -7.72    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.00    46.50    -4.25    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.21    25.14   -10.11    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       2.03    58.45     2.45    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.69    71.57    -3.28    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.10    42.41    -4.22    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       2.92    62.20     3.08    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.33    37.85     1.41    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.73    20.79    -8.65    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -7.79    22.29    -1.75    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      11.12    85.43     3.59    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23       9.77    82.34     7.99    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.52    79.49     3.95    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.40    86.01    11.39    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.35    40.85    -6.73    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -4.65    32.82    10.45    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.01    80.92     7.90    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.54    26.32    -2.72    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       4.09    65.62     5.53    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      10.04    83.21     8.36    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.76    57.14     6.16    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -3.93    35.39     3.21    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -5.16    31.48    -3.56    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.48    84.47     6.27    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.27    30.80     2.74    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.74    44.27     2.63    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21       0.09    51.23    -8.06    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.57    32.95   -11.21    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -2.97    38.92    -0.87    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.03    38.81    -7.93    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.41    29.84    -9.74    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.31     3.16   -15.68    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.71    24.96    -4.55    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.28    19.88    -9.13    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.10    68.57     5.48    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.58    76.12     2.69    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.29    45.02    10.64    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.00    92.42     9.85    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.39    78.79     1.66    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.53    81.74     8.55    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.12    65.52     8.09    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.72    26.34    -0.58    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.69    56.83    -1.52    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.47    37.14    -5.38    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.28    16.11    -6.07    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.36    31.26    -6.51    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       0.69    53.09     3.28    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.73    53.11    -2.85    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.27    41.80    -8.91    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.42    41.22    -2.23    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.87    58.01     3.71    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.84    47.24    -4.73    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.52    15.56    -7.82    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       2.99    62.28    -1.05    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.04    27.95    -2.71    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.47    26.83     1.12    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.20    45.78     3.59    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.56    22.85    -8.31    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.87    83.19     4.68    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.20    81.29    10.08    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.44P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.63    88.36    10.84    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.91    60.69     6.47    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -5.05    30.58    -3.76    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.20    34.82    -6.98    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8     -10.02    16.89   -13.16    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.75    67.48     7.22    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       7.94    77.77     0.03    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.41    30.00     3.05    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.58    37.12   -10.12    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.96    71.58     4.90    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.95    65.50     7.51    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.79    25.66    -4.96    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       2.02    58.47     4.22    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.61    33.40    -2.57    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -7.18    24.78    -1.51    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.35    55.88     3.82    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.82    61.61     2.84    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.88    39.45    -2.31    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.68    32.75    -5.00    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       1.08    55.57    -8.32    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.85    21.79    -5.42    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.86    10.90    -1.54    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00