Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 May 2013 at 02:48:21 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 May 2013, Arsenal 4 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       37   88  +43       9.51    87.90    -3.78    90.03     1.25    44.03   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      37   78  +33       4.19    68.31    -3.14    80.45     1.03    34.80     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       37   72  +35       0.61    52.10     2.02    73.89     1.27    35.75     0.00     0.00    79.24   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       37   70  +34       0.32    50.70     3.55    71.88     1.29    34.80     0.00     0.00    20.76    72.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     37   69  +19       6.25    75.56     0.43    71.06     1.23    20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton       37   63  +16       3.57    65.38     3.32    63.87     1.17    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     37   58  +27      -6.62    22.82     5.80    60.34     1.09    28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     37   48   -4       0.82    54.13     2.80    48.76     1.14    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       37   46   -1      -0.39    48.75     6.12    47.59     1.30    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      37   43  -10       0.20    51.81     3.30    44.79     1.29    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         37   41  -11      -1.28    44.65     1.18    42.13     1.25   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich       37   41  -18       0.68    54.18    -0.08    41.40     0.86   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle     37   41  -22      -3.14    36.74    -9.42    41.90     1.21   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   37   40  -11      -2.57    39.31     3.79    41.59     1.30   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        37   40  -13      -5.86    25.35    -4.23    41.13     1.25   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa   37   40  -22      -0.53    48.36    -3.94    41.25     1.30   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland    37   39  -12      -5.97    25.33    -2.62    39.72     1.11   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan         37   35  -26      -1.41    44.47    -0.12    36.51     1.33   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Reading       37   28  -28      -7.75    18.04    -1.57    28.96     1.21   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.13  
QPR           37   25  -29      -9.87    11.04    -3.42    25.48     0.92   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          46   87  +27       9.29    81.36     5.29    87.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   79   +9      12.04    87.77     2.96    79.00     0.00     9.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   77  +27       3.67    63.23    11.51    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   75  +26       2.77    60.47    12.50    75.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   72  +11       7.36    75.76     8.71    72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   68  +23      -6.96    25.28     5.32    68.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   68   +8      -4.51    33.93    -6.16    68.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   67   +4       3.30    62.84     3.00    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   65   +6       0.36    51.62     3.68    65.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   61   +3      -0.44    48.71     5.52    61.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   61   +2      -3.70    36.75    -0.30    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   61   -6      -6.96    25.41   -13.16    61.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -9       1.18    54.94    -3.70    61.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   60  -13       4.29    66.78    -1.93    60.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   59   -1      -8.77    20.34    -7.80    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   59   -9      -1.17    46.00    -4.47    59.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        46   58   -7      -7.31    24.97   -10.27    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   58   -8       1.99    58.29     2.36    58.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   58  -20       5.86    71.89    -2.99    58.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   56  -11      -2.18    42.27    -4.33    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   55  -14       3.01    62.45     3.19    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   54   -9      -3.23    38.28     1.65    54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    46   51  -14      -8.62    20.91    -8.48    51.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     46   41  -25      -8.04    21.50    -2.09    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      10.99    85.06     3.38    84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23      10.02    83.07     8.32    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15       8.65    79.86     4.11    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.92P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      11.24    85.56    11.12    77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      -2.13    41.78    -6.45    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      -5.12    31.04     9.77    74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7       9.13    81.40     8.13    71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      -6.38    26.70    -2.52    70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7       3.94    64.95     5.40    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1       9.95    82.61     8.30    68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10       1.55    56.39     5.90    67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      -4.04    35.17     3.06    65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      -4.96    32.28    -3.27    65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      10.73    85.07     6.65    64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      -5.33    30.46     2.67    59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      -1.85    43.68     2.46    55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21      -0.20    49.81    -8.49    55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      -4.28    34.26   -10.79    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      -3.08    38.58    -0.97    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      -3.19    38.37    -8.16    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      -5.11    31.11    -9.26    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18     -19.13     3.11   -15.44    42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      -6.85    25.03    -4.74    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      -8.34    19.86    -9.20    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27       5.34    69.40     5.77    83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15       7.90    77.24     3.11    79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      -1.49    44.09    10.30    78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      15.04    92.21     9.91    76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7       8.42    79.32     1.71    75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9       9.42    81.70     8.36    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11       4.31    66.73     8.36    69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      -6.95    26.12    -0.77    67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1       1.62    56.38    -1.71    65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      -3.31    38.07    -5.09    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6     -10.17    16.87    -5.90    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      -5.71    29.95    -7.02    61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2       1.01    54.31     3.71    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9       0.62    52.85    -2.96    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      -2.68    40.44    -9.40    60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      -2.38    41.39    -2.19    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10       1.68    57.34     3.47    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      -0.75    47.65    -4.66    54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7     -10.62    15.46    -7.98    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22       3.13    62.83    -0.81    53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      -6.22    27.41    -2.92    52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      -6.46    26.82     1.16    51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      -1.30    45.60     3.42    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      -7.26    24.04    -7.88    48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40       9.97    83.35     4.87    95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42       9.15    81.20     9.98    93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      12.53    88.30    10.73    85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32       2.65    59.92     6.13    83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    28.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      -4.70    31.40    -3.31    80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      -4.69    33.06    -7.72    70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      -9.91    17.07   -12.98    67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4       4.61    66.74     6.98    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9       7.90    78.00    -0.05    66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      -5.09    31.20     3.48    65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      -3.34    37.84    -9.79    63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8       5.86    71.22     4.74    62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5       3.91    65.39     7.42    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      -6.79    25.73    -5.03    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8       1.98    58.36     4.17    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      -4.36    34.10    -2.21    56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      -6.91    25.42    -1.09    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12       1.28    55.49     3.71    55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14       2.88    61.82     2.99    55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      -2.91    39.69    -2.23    54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      -4.84    32.52    -5.29    50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38       0.87    54.41    -8.77    46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      -7.71    22.23    -5.29    39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27     -11.84    10.97    -1.46    35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00