Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 3 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 April 2013, Aston_Villa 6 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       35   85  +43      91.24     2.12    46.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      34   71  +30      79.84     2.33    35.40     0.00    98.49    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       34   65  +33      71.66     2.55    34.70     0.00     1.37    59.25    85.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       35   64  +30      70.39     2.08    33.75     0.00     0.09    28.53    79.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     34   62  +17      68.80     2.51    19.01     0.00     0.05    12.28    34.92    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton       35   59  +14      62.82     2.11    13.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    75.08     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     35   54  +25      59.69     2.17    27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     34   48   +2      52.72     2.42     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       34   42   -1      46.22     2.38    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      35   42   -8      46.30     2.18    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        35   40   -9      44.27     2.21    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         35   40  -10      43.29     2.15   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton   35   39  -10      42.33     2.12   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Norwich       35   38  -21      41.27     2.06   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Sunderland    35   37  -12      40.99     2.17   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   35   37  -22      40.24     2.18   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.90R    0.00  
Newcastle     35   37  -23      40.44     2.21   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.68R    0.00  
Wigan         34   32  -23      36.10     2.41   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.97R    0.00  
QPR           35   25  -27      27.55     1.97   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.08  
Reading       35   25  -28      27.33     1.97   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.92  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 April 2013, Millwall 0 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          45   86  +27      87.36     1.28    27.02   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   78   +9      79.34     1.28     8.98     0.00    55.02   100.00    65.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   77  +28      78.94     1.28    28.88     0.00    44.98   100.00    60.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   72  +24      73.82     1.28    24.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   69  +10      70.77     1.31    10.61     0.00     0.00    95.60    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           45   67   +8      68.70     1.32     8.51     0.00     0.00    55.30    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   67   +5      68.34     1.30     4.97     0.00     0.00    30.09     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   65  +22      66.39     1.30    22.03     0.00     0.00    19.01     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   62   +3      63.87     1.28     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   60   -6      61.65     1.32    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   60  -11      61.01     1.23   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   59   -7      60.28     1.29    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   58   +2      59.61     1.31     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   58   +0      59.74     1.30     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   58   -1      59.06     1.26    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   58  -10      58.85     1.19   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        45   57   -7      58.11     1.27    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   57  -20      58.57     1.32   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
Millwall         45   56  -10      57.12     1.26   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   55  -10      56.45     1.31    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.23R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   54   -8      55.01     1.25    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.25R    0.00  
Barnsley         45   54  -14      55.17     1.28   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.40R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   51  -12      51.93     1.19   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     45   41  -22      41.90     1.19   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23      83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7      71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7      68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10      67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21      55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18      42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27      83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7      75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9      73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11      69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1      65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6      61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9      60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10      55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7      53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42      93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.52P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    16.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32      83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    28.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4      66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9      66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8      62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5      60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8      57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12      55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38      46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00