Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 2 May 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 April 2013, Aston_Villa 6 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       35   85  +43      91.27     2.11    46.46   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      34   71  +30      79.85     2.32    35.41     0.00    98.35    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       34   65  +33      71.71     2.55    34.77     0.00     1.48    59.84    85.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       35   64  +30      70.40     2.08    33.77     0.00     0.13    28.42    79.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     34   62  +17      68.76     2.50    18.96     0.00     0.04    11.83    34.08    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton       35   59  +14      62.81     2.13    13.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    74.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     35   54  +25      59.68     2.16    27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.15     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     34   48   +2      52.72     2.41     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       34   42   -1      46.22     2.38    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      35   42   -8      46.30     2.19    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        35   40   -9      44.28     2.21    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         35   40  -10      43.31     2.16   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton   35   39  -10      42.32     2.12   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Norwich       35   38  -21      41.26     2.06   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.00  
Sunderland    35   37  -12      41.00     2.16   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   35   37  -22      40.24     2.19   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.75R    0.00  
Newcastle     35   37  -23      40.44     2.22   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.65R    0.00  
Wigan         34   32  -23      36.07     2.39   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.47R    0.00  
QPR           35   25  -27      27.54     1.96   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.00  
Reading       35   25  -28      27.31     1.97   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 April 2013, Millwall 0 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          45   86  +27      87.37     1.28    27.02   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   78   +9      79.34     1.28     8.98     0.00    55.40   100.00    65.71P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   77  +28      78.93     1.28    28.88     0.00    44.60   100.00    60.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   72  +24      73.81     1.28    24.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   69  +10      70.76     1.31    10.60     0.00     0.00    95.41    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           45   67   +8      68.72     1.32     8.52     0.00     0.00    55.83    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   67   +5      68.34     1.30     4.97     0.00     0.00    30.13     6.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   65  +22      66.38     1.30    22.03     0.00     0.00    18.63     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   62   +3      63.88     1.28     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   60   -6      61.64     1.32    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   60  -11      61.01     1.23   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   59   -7      60.30     1.30    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   58   +2      59.61     1.30     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   58   +0      59.74     1.30     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   58   -1      59.05     1.26    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   58  -10      58.86     1.19   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        45   57   -7      58.11     1.27    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   57  -20      58.58     1.32   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Millwall         45   56  -10      57.12     1.25   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   55  -10      56.44     1.31    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   54   -8      55.01     1.25    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         45   54  -14      55.17     1.28   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.54R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    45   51  -12      51.94     1.20   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R    0.00  
Bristol_City     45   41  -22      41.89     1.19   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, Brentford 0 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       46   84  +18      84.00     0.00    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   83  +23      83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   77  +15      77.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   75  +14      75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   74  +33      74.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   71   +7      71.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   70  +17      70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   68   +7      68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   68   +1      68.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   67  +10      67.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   65  +12      65.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   65   +7      65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   59   +5      59.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   55   -6      55.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   55  -21      55.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   51  -21      51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   48  -24      48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      46   42  -18      42.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bury            46   41  -28      41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      46   41  -28      41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           46   83  +27      83.00     0.00    27.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   78  +35      78.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   76   +6      76.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   75   +7      75.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   73   +9      73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   69  +11      69.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   67  +15      67.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   65   -1      65.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   +1      64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   61   +6      61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   60   -2      60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   60   -9      60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   60  -10      60.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   58   -6      58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   55  -10      55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   53   -7      53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   52   -9      52.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   51   -7      51.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   51  -12      51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42      93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32      83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    28.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4      66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9      66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8      62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5      60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8      57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12      55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38      46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00