Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2013, Man_Utd 3 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       34   84  +43      91.70     2.51    46.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      33   68  +29      79.26     2.57    36.13     0.00    96.53    99.45    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       34   63  +30      70.68     2.50    33.60     0.00     1.09    35.76    77.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       33   62  +31      70.91     2.84    34.07     0.00     1.98    44.22    74.91    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     33   61  +17      69.59     2.86    19.62     0.00     0.40    20.56    47.75    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton       34   56  +13      61.72     2.49    13.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    76.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     34   51  +19      58.20     2.56    21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     33   45   -1      50.84     2.74    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       33   42   +1      46.85     2.63    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      34   42   -7      46.70     2.39    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        34   40   -8      45.21     2.54    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton   34   39   -7      43.92     2.52    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich       34   38  -20      42.45     2.40   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.00  
Sunderland    34   37   -7      42.45     2.53    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Stoke         34   37  -11      41.83     2.50   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Newcastle     34   37  -17      41.74     2.60   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   34   34  -27      38.47     2.55   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.40R    0.00  
Wigan         33   31  -23      36.03     2.70   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.22R    0.02  
QPR           34   24  -27      27.63     2.35   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   53.22  
Reading       34   24  -28      27.95     2.39   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   46.75  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          44   85  +27      88.07     1.84    27.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   78  +11      80.88     1.83    11.23     0.00    91.56   100.00    93.54P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   74  +27      77.01     1.82    27.41     0.00     8.44   100.00    32.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   69  +23      72.23     1.84    23.72     0.00     0.00    98.79    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   67  +10      71.18     2.27    10.14     0.00     0.00    88.33    16.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           44   66   +8      68.75     1.82     8.01     0.00     0.00    52.02    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   65  +23      68.05     1.87    23.48     0.00     0.00    46.38    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   64   +4      66.59     1.83     3.80     0.00     0.00    13.83     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +3      64.07     1.83     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   60   -4      63.13     1.87    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   58   +3      60.64     1.81     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   58   -7      60.79     1.85    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   58   -9      60.18     1.76    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   57  -13      59.31     1.79   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          44   55   -1      57.96     1.84    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   55   -2      57.77     1.83    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Millwall         42   55   -8      60.54     2.64    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   55   -9      57.58     1.84    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.00  
Huddersfield     44   54  -22      56.75     1.85   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.06R    0.00  
Blackburn        43   53   -8      56.93     2.25    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.39R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   51   -9      53.66     1.83    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.27R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   51  -11      53.46     1.79   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.00R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   51  -16      53.36     1.80   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.98R    0.00  
Bristol_City     44   41  -20      43.50     1.80   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     45   82  +23      83.36     1.29    23.01    79.74   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   81  +17      82.24     1.27    16.85    20.18    60.47   100.00    68.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   79  +16      80.47     1.30    16.15     0.09    39.53   100.00    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   77  +16      78.65     1.32    16.41     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   74  +35      75.82     1.28    35.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   74  +15      77.59     1.83    16.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   70   +7      71.65     1.29     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   68   +9      69.50     1.32     9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   67  +15      68.56     1.30    15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   66  +10      67.36     1.29     9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   64  +12      65.51     1.31    12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   64   +7      65.22     1.28     6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   64   +0      67.06     1.84     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   +6      60.31     1.78     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           44   58  -11      60.20     1.77   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   55  -19      56.60     1.33   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   54  -15      55.16     1.26   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -12      52.26     1.76   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      44   49   -8      51.91     1.84    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   48  -23      49.16     1.28   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   45  -26      45.92     1.18   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.21R    0.00  
Portsmouth      45   42  -17      43.33     1.29   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   40  -28      41.03     1.22   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.29  
Bury            45   38  -29      39.10     1.27   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.71  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Aldershot 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           45   83  +28      84.60     1.32    28.34   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   77  +35      78.55     1.32    35.25     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   76  +13      77.82     1.28    13.65     0.00    90.47   100.00    93.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74   +7      75.57     1.30     7.28     0.00     9.52   100.00    35.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   73   +5      74.15     1.27     4.66     0.00     0.01   100.00    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   70   +7      71.75     1.30     7.55     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   68  +11      69.16     1.26    10.72     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   64  +11      65.61     1.31    11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +5      65.12     1.25     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   -4      63.32     1.30    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   61   +7      62.81     1.29     7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   60   -1      61.41     1.31    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   59   -9      60.11     1.26    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   59  -10      60.20     1.29   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   58   -3      59.71     1.30    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   55   -7      55.95     1.20    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -14      55.41     1.31   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   52   -7      53.64     1.31    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   52   -8      53.03     1.24    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
York                 45   52  -11      53.10     1.25   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.02R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   51   -6      52.63     1.30    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.00  
Barnet               45   51  -10      51.99     1.22   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.94R    0.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   50  -23      51.33     1.30   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.24R   14.34  
Aldershot            45   48  -16      48.92     1.19   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   85.56  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42      93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32      83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4      66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9      66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8      62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5      60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8      57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12      55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38      46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00