Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 April 2013 at 22:30:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 April 2013, Liverpool 2 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       33   81  +40      91.27     2.70    45.82    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      33   68  +29      79.25     2.57    36.11     0.04    96.59    99.44    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       34   63  +30      70.68     2.49    33.61     0.00     1.03    35.66    77.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       33   62  +31      70.94     2.83    34.10     0.00     1.93    44.49    74.96    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     33   61  +17      69.62     2.84    19.66     0.00     0.45    20.40    47.70    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton       34   56  +13      61.74     2.50    13.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    76.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     34   51  +19      58.15     2.57    21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     33   45   -1      50.83     2.76    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       33   42   +1      46.85     2.63    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      34   42   -7      46.70     2.39    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        34   40   -8      45.20     2.52    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton   34   39   -7      43.89     2.52    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Norwich       34   38  -20      42.45     2.40   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.00  
Sunderland    34   37   -7      42.44     2.54    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Stoke         34   37  -11      41.82     2.51   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Newcastle     34   37  -17      41.72     2.58   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.79     2.65   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.38R    0.00  
Wigan         33   31  -23      36.04     2.72   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.55R    0.04  
QPR           34   24  -27      27.64     2.36   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   53.24  
Reading       34   24  -28      27.96     2.39   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   46.73  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          44   85  +27      88.07     1.84    27.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   78  +11      80.89     1.83    11.23     0.00    91.53   100.00    93.50P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   74  +27      77.01     1.82    27.42     0.00     8.47   100.00    33.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   69  +23      72.24     1.84    23.73     0.00     0.00    98.68    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   67  +10      71.20     2.26    10.17     0.00     0.00    88.56    16.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           44   66   +8      68.75     1.82     8.00     0.00     0.00    51.34    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   65  +23      68.06     1.87    23.48     0.00     0.00    47.10    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   64   +4      66.57     1.82     3.77     0.00     0.00    13.64     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +3      64.06     1.82     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   60   -4      63.10     1.87    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   58   +3      60.63     1.82     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   58   -7      60.80     1.86    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   58   -9      60.16     1.76    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   57  -13      59.32     1.80   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          44   55   -1      57.96     1.85    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   55   -2      57.77     1.84    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Millwall         42   55   -8      60.58     2.61    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   55   -9      57.59     1.85    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Huddersfield     44   54  -22      56.74     1.85   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.15R    0.00  
Blackburn        43   53   -8      56.92     2.26    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.37R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   51   -9      53.64     1.82    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.36R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   51  -11      53.47     1.79   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.82R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   51  -16      53.36     1.81   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.94R    0.00  
Bristol_City     44   41  -20      43.51     1.79   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     45   82  +23      83.36     1.29    23.00    79.52   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   81  +17      82.24     1.27    16.83    20.40    60.19   100.00    68.61P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   79  +16      80.48     1.30    16.17     0.08    39.81   100.00    52.19P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   77  +16      78.65     1.32    16.41     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   74  +35      75.82     1.28    35.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   74  +15      77.60     1.83    16.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   70   +7      71.65     1.29     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   68   +9      69.51     1.32     9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   67  +15      68.56     1.30    15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   66  +10      67.36     1.30    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   64  +12      65.50     1.31    12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   64   +7      65.23     1.28     6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   64   +0      67.05     1.84     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   +6      60.31     1.78     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           44   58  -11      60.19     1.78   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   55  -19      56.60     1.32   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   54  -15      55.17     1.26   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -12      52.25     1.77   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      44   49   -8      51.91     1.84    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   48  -23      49.15     1.28   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.64R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   45  -26      45.92     1.18   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.36R    0.00  
Portsmouth      45   42  -17      43.34     1.29   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   40  -28      41.04     1.22   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.33  
Bury            45   38  -29      39.11     1.27   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Aldershot 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           45   83  +28      84.62     1.32    28.36   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   77  +35      78.55     1.32    35.25     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   76  +13      77.83     1.28    13.66     0.00    90.24   100.00    93.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74   +7      75.57     1.30     7.29     0.00     9.75   100.00    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   73   +5      74.13     1.27     4.64     0.00     0.01   100.00    20.84P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   70   +7      71.76     1.29     7.56     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   68  +11      69.16     1.26    10.71     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   64  +11      65.61     1.30    11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +5      65.12     1.25     4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   -4      63.33     1.30    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   61   +7      62.80     1.29     7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   60   -1      61.42     1.31    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   59   -9      60.09     1.25    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   59  -10      60.20     1.29   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   58   -3      59.71     1.31    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   55   -7      55.95     1.20    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -14      55.40     1.30   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   52   -7      53.66     1.31    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   52   -8      53.04     1.24    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
York                 45   52  -11      53.09     1.24   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.92R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   51   -6      52.64     1.30    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.54R    0.00  
Barnet               45   51  -10      51.99     1.22   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.02R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   50  -23      51.33     1.31   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.40R   14.52  
Aldershot            45   48  -16      48.92     1.19   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   85.40  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42      93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.32P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32      83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    28.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4      66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9      66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8      62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5      60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8      57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12      55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38      46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00