Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Fulham 0 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       33   81  +40      91.32     2.68    45.89    99.59   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      32   68  +31      80.88     2.89    38.52     0.41    97.77    99.75    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       34   63  +30      70.68     2.50    33.62     0.00     0.46    38.70    85.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       32   61  +31      71.25     3.14    34.03     0.00     1.64    51.52    83.79    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.72     3.15    17.23     0.00     0.13     9.99    30.01    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton       34   56  +13      61.74     2.48    13.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    72.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.56     2.93    21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    28.37     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     33   45   -1      50.83     2.76    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       33   42   +1      46.80     2.60    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      34   42   -7      46.71     2.39    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        34   40   -8      45.21     2.54    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton   34   39   -7      43.92     2.54    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Norwich       34   38  -20      42.44     2.41   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Sunderland    34   37   -7      42.45     2.55    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Stoke         34   37  -11      41.83     2.52   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Newcastle     34   37  -17      41.73     2.60   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.80     2.66   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.29R    0.00  
Wigan         33   31  -23      36.04     2.72   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R    0.02  
QPR           34   24  -27      27.65     2.36   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   52.65  
Reading       34   24  -28      27.93     2.39   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   47.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          44   85  +27      88.08     1.84    27.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   78  +11      80.89     1.84    11.24     0.00    91.55   100.00    93.49P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   74  +27      77.02     1.82    27.43     0.00     8.45   100.00    33.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   69  +23      72.23     1.84    23.71     0.00     0.00    98.68    27.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   67  +10      71.20     2.26    10.15     0.00     0.00    88.58    15.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           44   66   +8      68.74     1.81     8.00     0.00     0.00    51.49    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   65  +23      68.05     1.86    23.47     0.00     0.00    46.67    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   64   +4      66.58     1.82     3.79     0.00     0.00    13.96     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +3      64.07     1.82     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   60   -4      63.10     1.88    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   58   +3      60.64     1.81     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   58   -7      60.79     1.85    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   58   -9      60.16     1.76    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   57  -13      59.31     1.79   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          44   55   -1      57.99     1.84    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   55   -2      57.76     1.83    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Millwall         42   55   -8      60.58     2.63    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   55   -9      57.60     1.85    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Huddersfield     44   54  -22      56.76     1.85   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    0.00  
Blackburn        43   53   -8      56.92     2.25    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   51   -9      53.64     1.84    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.66R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   51  -11      53.45     1.79   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   51  -16      53.34     1.80   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.34R    0.00  
Bristol_City     44   41  -20      43.49     1.79   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Bournemouth 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     45   82  +23      83.36     1.29    22.99    79.15   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       45   81  +17      82.25     1.27    16.86    20.77    60.64   100.00    68.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   79  +16      80.46     1.30    16.14     0.08    39.36   100.00    51.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   77  +16      78.65     1.32    16.41     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   74  +35      75.83     1.28    35.65     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   74  +15      77.61     1.82    16.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   70   +7      71.64     1.29     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   68   +9      69.50     1.32     9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   67  +15      68.56     1.30    15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   66  +10      67.37     1.29    10.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   64  +12      65.50     1.31    12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   64   +7      65.23     1.28     6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   64   +0      67.04     1.85     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   58   +6      60.32     1.78     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           44   58  -11      60.19     1.78   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   55  -19      56.59     1.32   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   54  -15      55.16     1.26   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -12      52.28     1.77   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      44   49   -8      51.90     1.85    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   48  -23      49.16     1.28   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   45  -26      45.92     1.19   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.22R    0.00  
Portsmouth      45   42  -17      43.34     1.29   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      45   40  -28      41.05     1.23   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.47  
Bury            45   38  -29      39.11     1.27   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, Aldershot 1 0 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           45   83  +28      84.61     1.32    28.34   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   77  +35      78.54     1.32    35.25     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   76  +13      77.83     1.28    13.66     0.00    90.35   100.00    93.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74   +7      75.57     1.30     7.29     0.00     9.65   100.00    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   73   +5      74.14     1.27     4.66     0.00     0.01   100.00    20.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   70   +7      71.76     1.30     7.55     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   68  +11      69.15     1.26    10.71     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   64  +11      65.63     1.30    11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   64   +5      65.11     1.25     4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   -4      63.32     1.29    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   61   +7      62.81     1.29     7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   60   -1      61.42     1.32    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   59   -9      60.10     1.25    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   59  -10      60.21     1.29   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   58   -3      59.70     1.31    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   55   -7      55.94     1.20    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -14      55.41     1.30   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   52   -7      53.64     1.31    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   52   -8      53.05     1.24    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.00  
York                 45   52  -11      53.09     1.24   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   51   -6      52.64     1.30    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.64R    0.00  
Barnet               45   51  -10      51.99     1.22   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.13R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   50  -23      51.33     1.31   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.15R   14.52  
Aldershot            45   48  -16      48.92     1.19   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   85.41  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2013, AFC_Telford 0 4 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          46   95  +40      95.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   93  +42      93.00     0.00    42.00     0.00   100.00    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   85  +25      85.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   83  +32      83.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    27.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   80  +29      80.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    30.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           46   70  +10      70.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   67   +8      67.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           46   66   +4      66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   66   -9      66.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   65  +14      65.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   63   -5      63.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   62   -8      62.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   60   -5      60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   59   -1      59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           46   57   -8      57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   56   -7      56.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   55   -3      55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        46   55  -12      55.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   55  -14      55.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   50  -19      50.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   46  -38      46.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   39  -34      39.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   35  -27      35.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00