Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 April 2013, Fulham 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       33   81  +40      91.27     2.70    45.82    99.56   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      32   68  +31      80.89     2.89    38.59     0.44    97.91    99.83    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       32   61  +31      71.25     3.14    34.03     0.00     1.74    58.85    85.11    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       33   60  +29      69.36     2.85    33.09     0.00     0.21    28.02    73.50    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.74     3.16    17.29     0.00     0.15    12.66    37.34    98.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       33   56  +14      63.28     2.84    14.60     0.00     0.00     0.63     3.98    82.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.52     2.91    21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    18.53     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.54     3.08    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.51     2.97    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        33   40   -7      46.27     2.86    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      33   39   -9      45.38     2.74   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.03     2.86    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.78     2.92   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.16     2.76   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.52R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.69     2.89    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.23R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.07     2.83   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.80     2.66   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.17R    0.01  
Wigan         32   31  -21      37.04     2.99   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.15R    0.20  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.14     2.72   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   46.81  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.97     2.70   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   52.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2013, Hull 0 0 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          43   84  +27      88.57     2.28    27.70   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   78  +11      80.90     1.83    11.25     0.00    95.49   100.00    96.56P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   71  +23      75.63     2.26    23.78     0.00     4.31    99.98    29.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   66  +18      70.72     2.27    18.88     0.00     0.00    89.19    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   66  +10      71.47     2.62    10.03     0.00     0.20    87.24    16.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   64  +23      68.49     2.30    23.57     0.00     0.00    59.29    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   63   +7      67.51     2.24     7.59     0.00     0.00    33.09     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   63   +4      67.39     2.25     4.44     0.00     0.00    29.26     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   58   +2      62.68     2.27     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   58   -6      61.76     2.22    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   58   -8      61.24     2.19    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   57   -5      61.86     2.30    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          43   56  -13      59.48     2.21   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   55   +3      58.97     2.23     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Derby            43   55   +1      59.26     2.27     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Millwall         41   55   -5      61.97     2.95    -4.78     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.27P    0.23R    0.00  
Burnley          43   54   -1      58.21     2.26    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -9      58.11     2.27    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.00  
Blackburn        42   53   -4      58.11     2.63    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.41R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   51   -7      54.77     2.27    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.94R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   51  -10      54.66     2.22   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.96R    0.00  
Huddersfield     43   51  -25      55.02     2.27   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.89R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   50  -16      53.31     2.18   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.22R    0.00  
Bristol_City     44   41  -20      43.52     1.80   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Bury 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.85     1.83    18.19    53.03    79.89   100.00    84.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.24     1.83    21.77    28.05    69.63   100.00    76.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   78  +16      81.14     1.84    16.58    16.28    35.86   100.00    49.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   74  +18      79.31     2.26    19.72     2.64    14.06   100.00    42.03P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   74  +15      77.52     1.86    16.17     0.00     0.56   100.00    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   71  +32      74.68     1.80    33.32     0.00     0.00    91.28    28.81P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   67  +16      70.61     1.80    17.28     0.00     0.00     3.98     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.46     1.84    10.06     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.69     1.80     5.93     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.64     1.83    10.90     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.95     1.84     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.39     2.26     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.60     1.83    10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           43   58  -10      61.05     2.16   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.73     2.20     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.49     1.79   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.03     1.72   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.23     2.26    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   47  -13      50.67     2.20   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -23      49.59     1.83   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   42  -27      43.67     1.64   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R    0.49  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.40     1.80   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.43  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.06     1.73   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   19.92  
Bury            44   37  -29      38.94     1.73   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   71.16  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Aldershot 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.78     1.77    29.57    98.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.47     1.84    36.11     1.03    98.50   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   73  +12      76.25     1.84    12.74     0.00    67.94   100.00    77.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.22     1.80     5.22     0.00    23.16   100.00    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.68     1.82     5.92     0.00     9.27   100.00    34.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   69   +7      71.61     1.76     6.72     0.00     1.13    98.93    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   65  +10      67.83     1.83    10.15     0.00     0.00    63.47    16.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.77     1.83     6.04     0.00     0.00    25.59     7.94P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   61   +9      63.99     1.85     9.38     0.00     0.00     6.53     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   61   +8      64.41     1.83     8.97     0.00     0.00     5.12     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.74     1.84     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.73     1.85    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.77     1.83    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   59   -9      61.62     1.84    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.03     1.85     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.45     1.78    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   52   -7      54.35     1.81    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.92     1.82    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.53     1.82   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.15  
Torquay              44   49   -9      51.86     1.84    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    0.70  
York                 44   49  -12      51.16     1.76   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.93R    2.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.93     1.67   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.81R    6.26  
Barnet               44   48  -11      50.31     1.78   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.55R    6.65  
Aldershot            44   45  -17      47.38     1.77   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.70R   83.93  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 18 April 2013, Luton 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          45   92  +39      93.47     1.32    39.14    68.04   100.00    76.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.11     1.22    39.14    31.96   100.00    49.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   85  +28      86.06     1.25    27.53     0.00   100.00    16.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +30      81.28     1.30    29.86     0.00   100.00    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   80  +29      81.69     1.31    29.47     0.00   100.00    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           45   67   +6      68.73     1.31     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           45   66   +5      67.69     1.31     5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   65  +15      66.56     1.32    15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   64   +6      65.64     1.33     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   63  -10      64.50     1.33    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   62   -7      63.32     1.32    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.52     1.32    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.22     1.29    -0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.19     1.29    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.47     1.32    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.05     1.24    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.12     1.28   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.28     1.31   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   52   -5      53.88     1.29    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   52  -15      53.44     1.33   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   50  -15      50.69     1.09   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.26     1.31   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   39  -32      39.90     1.21   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.24   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00