Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 April 2013, Fulham 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       33   81  +40      91.26     2.70    45.79    99.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      32   68  +31      80.88     2.90    38.53     0.47    97.90    99.80    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       32   61  +31      71.29     3.14    34.10     0.00     1.72    59.45    85.18    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       33   60  +29      69.37     2.83    33.09     0.00     0.24    27.69    73.92    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.73     3.14    17.26     0.00     0.14    12.47    37.04    98.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       33   56  +14      63.26     2.85    14.59     0.00     0.00     0.59     3.80    82.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.52     2.91    21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.56     3.08    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.48     2.95    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        33   40   -7      46.26     2.85    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham      33   39   -9      45.40     2.74   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.02     2.88    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.78     2.91   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.12     2.77   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.67R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.70     2.87    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.12R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.09     2.84   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.26R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.80     2.66   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.48R    0.01  
Wigan         32   31  -21      37.09     3.01   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.58R    0.18  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.11     2.73   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   47.18  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.96     2.73   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   52.64  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          43   84  +27      88.56     2.26    27.69    97.85   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   77  +11      81.84     2.23    12.08     2.15    96.08   100.00    96.96P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   71  +23      75.66     2.27    23.82     0.00     3.78    99.99    29.67P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   66  +18      70.71     2.28    18.86     0.00     0.00    88.98    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   66  +10      71.48     2.62    10.03     0.00     0.14    87.19    16.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   64  +23      68.49     2.30    23.57     0.00     0.00    59.17    18.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   63   +7      67.48     2.25     7.55     0.00     0.00    32.85     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   63   +4      67.41     2.25     4.47     0.00     0.00    29.83     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   58   +2      62.68     2.26     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   58   -6      61.76     2.22    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   58   -8      61.24     2.18    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   57   -5      61.86     2.31    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          43   56  -13      59.45     2.21   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   55   +3      59.01     2.23     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Derby            43   55   +1      59.23     2.26     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Millwall         41   55   -5      62.01     2.97    -4.75     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.26P    0.21R    0.00  
Burnley          43   54   -1      58.23     2.28    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -9      58.15     2.28    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.69R    0.00  
Blackburn        42   53   -4      58.08     2.62    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.51R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   51   -7      54.76     2.25    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.82R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   51  -10      54.66     2.22   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.67R    0.00  
Huddersfield     43   51  -25      55.02     2.27   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.90R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   50  -16      53.28     2.17   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.80R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   40  -20      43.33     2.14   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Bury 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.87     1.84    18.21    53.49    79.90   100.00    84.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.26     1.83    21.79    28.19    70.26   100.00    77.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   78  +16      81.14     1.83    16.57    15.91    35.67   100.00    49.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   74  +18      79.29     2.24    19.68     2.42    13.60   100.00    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   74  +15      77.51     1.86    16.16     0.00     0.57   100.00    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   71  +32      74.71     1.80    33.36     0.00     0.00    91.26    28.95P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   67  +16      70.61     1.80    17.28     0.00     0.00     4.03     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.44     1.84    10.05     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.69     1.80     5.93     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.64     1.83    10.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.95     1.84     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.39     2.26     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.59     1.83    10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           43   58  -10      61.08     2.16   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.72     2.20     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.48     1.79   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.00     1.71   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.22     2.26    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   47  -13      50.69     2.20   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -23      49.60     1.84   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   42  -27      43.66     1.63   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.71R    0.54  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.40     1.80   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.33  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.06     1.73   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.10  
Bury            44   37  -29      38.94     1.73   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   71.03  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Aldershot 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.79     1.77    29.59    98.93   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.49     1.84    36.11     1.07    98.64   100.00    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   73  +12      76.26     1.84    12.75     0.00    67.99   100.00    77.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.22     1.79     5.22     0.00    22.76   100.00    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.70     1.82     5.94     0.00     9.46   100.00    33.75P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   69   +7      71.62     1.76     6.73     0.00     1.16    99.02    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   65  +10      67.82     1.83    10.14     0.00     0.00    63.16    16.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.75     1.82     6.03     0.00     0.00    25.49     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   61   +9      64.01     1.85     9.40     0.00     0.00     6.50     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   61   +8      64.42     1.84     8.98     0.00     0.00     5.44     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.72     1.84     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.75     1.86    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.77     1.83    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   59   -9      61.61     1.84    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.04     1.85     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.45     1.78    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   52   -7      54.34     1.80    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.93     1.83    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.51     1.82   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.14  
Torquay              44   49   -9      51.85     1.83    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.21R    0.65  
York                 44   49  -12      51.15     1.75   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    2.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.94     1.68   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.36R    6.12  
Barnet               44   48  -11      50.30     1.79   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.06R    6.70  
Aldershot            44   45  -17      47.38     1.77   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.77R   84.10  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 18 April 2013, Luton 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          45   92  +39      93.45     1.31    39.11    67.81   100.00    76.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.11     1.21    39.15    32.19   100.00    50.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   85  +28      86.06     1.25    27.54     0.00   100.00    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +30      81.29     1.30    29.89     0.00   100.00    32.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   80  +29      81.69     1.31    29.46     0.00   100.00    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           45   67   +6      68.73     1.30     6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           45   66   +5      67.70     1.31     5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   65  +15      66.54     1.32    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   64   +6      65.64     1.33     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   63  -10      64.51     1.33    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   62   -7      63.30     1.31    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.53     1.32    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.21     1.28    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.21     1.29    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.46     1.33    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.05     1.24    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.13     1.28   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.29     1.31   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   52   -5      53.87     1.29    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   52  -15      53.45     1.33   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   50  -15      50.68     1.08   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.26     1.31   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   39  -32      39.91     1.21   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.23   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00