Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 April 2013, Fulham 0 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       33   81  +40      91.28     2.68    45.83    99.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      32   68  +31      80.86     2.91    38.54     0.43    97.92    99.81    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       32   61  +31      71.25     3.15    34.01     0.00     1.65    59.03    84.92    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       33   60  +29      69.36     2.86    33.07     0.00     0.30    27.63    73.56    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.74     3.16    17.28     0.00     0.13    12.89    37.44    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton       33   56  +14      63.26     2.85    14.60     0.00     0.00     0.63     4.01    82.69     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.52     2.91    21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    18.65     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.55     3.09    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.52     2.96    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        33   40   -7      46.24     2.84    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      33   39   -9      45.39     2.73   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.02     2.86    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.79     2.92   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.14     2.76   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.65R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.72     2.87    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.08     2.82   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.77     2.65   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.67R    0.01  
Wigan         32   31  -21      37.08     3.00   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.86R    0.22  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.15     2.73   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   47.06  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.99     2.72   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   52.71  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          43   84  +27      88.56     2.28    27.68    97.91   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   77  +11      81.84     2.24    12.08     2.09    96.28   100.00    97.11P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   71  +23      75.64     2.26    23.79     0.00     3.61    99.98    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   66  +18      70.73     2.28    18.88     0.00     0.00    89.19    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   66  +10      71.44     2.63     9.99     0.00     0.11    86.74    16.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   64  +23      68.47     2.29    23.55     0.00     0.00    59.08    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   63   +7      67.51     2.27     7.58     0.00     0.00    33.32     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   63   +4      67.41     2.26     4.48     0.00     0.00    29.60     6.11P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   58   +2      62.67     2.26     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   58   -6      61.76     2.23    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   58   -8      61.21     2.18    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   57   -5      61.86     2.29    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          43   56  -13      59.47     2.22   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   55   +3      59.02     2.24     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Derby            43   55   +1      59.21     2.25     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Millwall         41   55   -5      62.00     2.97    -4.74     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.25P    0.20R    0.00  
Burnley          43   54   -1      58.19     2.25    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -9      58.14     2.29    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.00  
Blackburn        42   53   -4      58.14     2.62    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.20R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   51   -7      54.80     2.26    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.27R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   51  -10      54.65     2.22   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.86R    0.00  
Huddersfield     43   51  -25      54.98     2.28   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.73R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   50  -16      53.30     2.19   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.66R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   40  -20      43.36     2.15   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Bury 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.86     1.83    18.20    53.65    80.11   100.00    84.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.24     1.83    21.79    27.93    70.03   100.00    76.77P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   78  +16      81.13     1.84    16.55    15.91    35.53   100.00    50.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   74  +18      79.28     2.24    19.69     2.51    13.71   100.00    41.67P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   74  +15      77.48     1.86    16.11     0.00     0.62   100.00    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   71  +32      74.69     1.81    33.33     0.00     0.00    91.34    29.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   67  +16      70.62     1.79    17.30     0.00     0.00     4.10     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.44     1.84    10.04     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.69     1.79     5.93     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.66     1.84    10.91     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.95     1.84     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.36     2.26     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.61     1.82    10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           43   58  -10      61.10     2.16   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.73     2.20     4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.47     1.79   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.02     1.71   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.21     2.27    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   47  -13      50.69     2.21   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -23      49.61     1.84   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   42  -27      43.66     1.63   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R    0.52  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.40     1.80   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.55  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.09     1.73   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.28  
Bury            44   37  -29      38.97     1.74   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.65  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Aldershot 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.79     1.78    29.59    98.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.47     1.84    36.10     1.06    98.66   100.00    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   73  +12      76.25     1.84    12.73     0.00    67.46   100.00    76.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.23     1.80     5.22     0.00    23.31   100.00    38.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.70     1.82     5.94     0.00     9.44   100.00    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   69   +7      71.60     1.76     6.70     0.00     1.14    98.98    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   65  +10      67.82     1.84    10.14     0.00     0.00    63.08    16.28P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.76     1.83     6.03     0.00     0.00    25.70     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   61   +9      63.99     1.85     9.37     0.00     0.00     6.60     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   61   +8      64.41     1.84     8.97     0.00     0.00     5.20     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.74     1.85     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.74     1.85    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.78     1.84    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   59   -9      61.62     1.84    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.02     1.86     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.46     1.79    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   52   -7      54.36     1.80    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.93     1.82    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.52     1.82   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.13  
Torquay              44   49   -9      51.84     1.84    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.64  
York                 44   49  -12      51.17     1.75   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.71R    2.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.93     1.67   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.64R    6.14  
Barnet               44   48  -11      50.31     1.79   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.73R    6.59  
Aldershot            44   45  -17      47.38     1.77   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.72R   84.22  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Ebbsfleet_United 1 1 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          45   92  +39      93.46     1.32    39.13    68.14   100.00    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.11     1.21    39.15    31.86   100.00    49.76P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   85  +28      86.06     1.25    27.53     0.00   100.00    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +30      81.28     1.30    29.87     0.00   100.00    32.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   80  +29      81.69     1.31    29.47     0.00   100.00    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           45   67   +6      68.73     1.31     6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           45   66   +5      67.69     1.31     5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   65  +15      66.54     1.32    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   63  -10      64.50     1.33    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   62   -7      63.32     1.32    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   61   +4      64.80     1.81     5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.53     1.31    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.21     1.28    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.21     1.29    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.46     1.32    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.06     1.25    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.14     1.29   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.30     1.31   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   52   -5      53.87     1.29    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   52  -15      53.44     1.33   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   50  -15      50.69     1.09   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.26     1.31   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   39  -30      40.56     1.62   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.24   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00