Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Arsenal 0 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       32   80  +40      92.52     2.96    47.22    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.50     3.05    39.87     0.27    98.05    99.78    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       33   60  +29      69.31     2.85    33.03     0.00     0.45    36.72    76.88    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.79     3.43    31.24     0.00     1.24    45.30    74.54    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.79     3.16    17.37     0.00     0.25    17.18    43.13    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton       33   56  +14      63.27     2.84    14.59     0.00     0.00     1.02     5.33    82.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.52     2.92    21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    18.85     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.52     3.08    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.48     2.96    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        32   40   -4      47.46     3.14    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.03     2.85    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
West_Ham      32   38   -9      45.02     2.97   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.80     2.93   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.12     2.74   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.69     2.88    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.60R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.10     2.83   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.70R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.82     2.66   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84R    0.01  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.36     3.12   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.88R    0.20  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.12     2.71   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   46.90  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.96     2.72   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   52.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          43   84  +27      88.59     2.27    27.72    97.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   77  +11      81.82     2.23    12.05     2.03    96.17   100.00    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   71  +23      75.64     2.26    23.81     0.00     3.71    99.99    28.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   66  +18      70.72     2.28    18.86     0.00     0.00    89.28    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   66  +10      71.44     2.61     9.99     0.00     0.12    87.07    16.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   64  +23      68.52     2.28    23.59     0.00     0.00    60.08    19.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   63   +7      67.49     2.25     7.53     0.00     0.00    32.93     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   63   +4      67.36     2.23     4.42     0.00     0.00    28.73     5.79P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   58   +2      62.68     2.26     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   58   -6      61.77     2.23    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   58   -8      61.23     2.18    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   57   -5      61.85     2.30    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          43   56  -13      59.47     2.21   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   55   +3      59.01     2.24     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Derby            43   55   +1      59.23     2.27     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Millwall         41   55   -5      62.03     2.94    -4.72     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.26P    0.19R    0.00  
Burnley          43   54   -1      58.21     2.26    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -9      58.15     2.27    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.00  
Blackburn        42   53   -4      58.11     2.63    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   51   -7      54.76     2.24    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.72R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   51  -10      54.63     2.21   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.17R    0.00  
Huddersfield     43   51  -25      55.01     2.27   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   50  -16      53.30     2.17   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.52R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   40  -20      43.35     2.15   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Bury 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.86     1.83    18.19    53.42    80.05   100.00    84.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.24     1.83    21.78    28.03    69.88   100.00    76.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   78  +16      81.13     1.83    16.55    15.82    35.48   100.00    49.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   74  +18      79.30     2.25    19.71     2.73    13.95   100.00    42.12P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   74  +15      77.49     1.86    16.12     0.00     0.63   100.00    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   71  +32      74.70     1.80    33.35     0.00     0.00    91.37    28.99P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   67  +16      70.61     1.81    17.28     0.00     0.00     4.05     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.45     1.84    10.05     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.69     1.80     5.92     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.64     1.83    10.89     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.96     1.84     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.39     2.27     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.60     1.82    10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           43   58  -10      61.10     2.17   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.72     2.20     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.47     1.79   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.02     1.70   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.21     2.26    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   47  -13      50.67     2.20   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -23      49.62     1.84   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   42  -27      43.66     1.63   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R    0.51  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.41     1.80   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.19  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.07     1.73   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.05  
Bury            44   37  -29      38.94     1.73   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   71.25  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Aldershot 0 2 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.80     1.77    29.61    98.91   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.47     1.85    36.10     1.09    98.57   100.00    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   73  +12      76.24     1.84    12.71     0.00    67.32   100.00    76.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.23     1.79     5.22     0.00    23.30   100.00    38.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.71     1.83     5.96     0.00     9.68   100.00    34.32P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   69   +7      71.60     1.75     6.72     0.00     1.14    98.99    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   65  +10      67.81     1.83    10.14     0.00     0.00    63.48    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.75     1.82     6.02     0.00     0.00    25.61     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   61   +9      63.99     1.84     9.38     0.00     0.00     6.39     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   61   +8      64.41     1.83     8.96     0.00     0.00     5.08     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.74     1.84     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.73     1.85    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.77     1.82    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   59   -9      61.62     1.84    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.05     1.85     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.45     1.79    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   52   -7      54.35     1.81    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.92     1.82    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.52     1.82   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.12  
Torquay              44   49   -9      51.86     1.84    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.50R    0.65  
York                 44   49  -12      51.18     1.76   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    2.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.92     1.66   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.74R    6.42  
Barnet               44   48  -11      50.31     1.79   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.70R    6.64  
Aldershot            44   45  -17      47.39     1.77   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   83.91  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2013, Ebbsfleet_United 1 1 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Mansfield          45   92  +39      93.44     1.31    39.12    67.94   100.00    76.42P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.10     1.22    39.14    32.06   100.00    49.96P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   85  +28      86.07     1.25    27.55     0.00   100.00    16.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +30      81.30     1.30    29.88     0.00   100.00    33.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   80  +29      81.68     1.31    29.45     0.00   100.00    24.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           45   67   +6      68.73     1.30     6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           45   66   +5      67.70     1.31     5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   65  +15      66.55     1.32    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   63  -10      64.49     1.33    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   62   -7      63.32     1.32    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   61   +4      64.80     1.80     5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.54     1.32    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.21     1.28    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.20     1.29    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.47     1.33    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.05     1.24    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.13     1.29   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.28     1.31   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   52   -5      53.87     1.29    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   52  -15      53.44     1.33   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   50  -15      50.69     1.09   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.27     1.31   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   39  -30      40.56     1.63   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.23   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00