Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 April 2013 at 22:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2013, Newcastle 0 3 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       32   80  +40      92.48     2.98    47.17    99.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      31   65  +30      80.51     3.05    39.89     0.28    97.39    99.69    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       32   59  +29      70.21     3.16    33.87     0.00     1.18    46.08    81.14    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       31   58  +28      69.80     3.45    31.27     0.00     1.23    38.83    73.00    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     32   58  +15      67.77     3.16    17.33     0.00     0.19    13.99    39.63    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton       32   55  +14      63.12     3.09    13.74     0.00     0.00     1.40     6.13    80.73     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     33   50  +19      58.56     2.92    21.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    20.97     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     32   44   -1      51.52     3.08    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       32   41   +1      47.52     2.97    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        32   40   -4      47.44     3.14    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Southampton   33   38   -7      44.02     2.86    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
West_Ham      32   38   -9      45.04     2.97   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle     33   36  -17      41.83     2.91   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.00  
Norwich       33   35  -21      41.12     2.78   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    0.00  
Sunderland    33   34   -8      40.71     2.87    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.00  
Stoke         33   34  -13      40.09     2.83   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.00  
Aston_Villa   33   34  -24      38.82     2.67   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61R    0.00  
Wigan         31   31  -20      37.35     3.11   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.35R    0.19  
QPR           33   24  -25      29.13     2.72   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   46.75  
Reading       33   24  -27      28.95     2.71   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   53.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Barnsley 0 6 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          42   83  +27      89.44     2.62    28.40    95.07    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   77  +12      83.23     2.60    13.12     4.92    92.79   100.00    94.52P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   71  +24      77.13     2.65    24.98     0.01     6.75    99.97    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   66  +13      73.04     2.97    13.33     0.00     0.47    92.70    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   65  +18      71.18     2.65    19.01     0.00     0.02    85.56    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           42   63   +8      68.59     2.62     8.16     0.00     0.00    45.37    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63   +5      68.69     2.60     5.34     0.00     0.00    42.72     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   61  +22      67.05     2.66    22.85     0.00     0.00    32.41    10.24P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   57   +2      62.54     2.58     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   55   -7      60.26     2.62    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.26R    0.00  
Leeds_United     42   55   -9      59.64     2.59   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   54   +3      59.90     2.61     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.33R    0.00  
Derby            42   54   +1      59.64     2.63     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Burnley          42   54   +0      59.57     2.63     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Birmingham       42   54   -6      60.44     2.67    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.51R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -9      58.08     2.60    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.00  
Ipswich          42   53  -16      57.69     2.58   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.94R    0.00  
Millwall         40   52   -6      60.20     3.27    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P    1.95R    0.00  
Huddersfield     42   51  -24      55.87     2.57   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.83R    0.12  
Blackburn        41   50   -5      57.01     2.93    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.93R    0.02  
Peterborough     42   50   -7      55.04     2.62    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.82R    0.08  
Barnsley         42   49  -16      53.63     2.56   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.38R    0.65  
Wolverhampton    42   48  -11      52.98     2.58   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.82R    1.04  
Bristol_City     42   40  -19      44.55     2.54   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   98.08  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Brentford 3 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Doncaster       44   81  +18      83.86     1.83    18.21    51.19    76.98   100.00    82.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   79  +21      82.25     1.84    21.79    24.21    60.10   100.00    69.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   77  +16      81.16     2.21    16.11    14.54    30.82   100.00    46.40P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          43   74  +16      79.04     2.29    17.37     1.69     9.15   100.00    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   73  +18      79.97     2.60    20.11     8.37    22.95    99.92    48.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   68  +29      73.68     2.20    31.23     0.00     0.00    81.25    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   67   +9      70.44     1.84    10.04     0.00     0.00     7.96     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   67   +6      69.70     1.80     5.94     0.00     0.00     3.19     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   66  +11      68.65     1.82    10.90     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   64  +14      69.28     2.23    15.71     0.00     0.00     5.00     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        44   64   +8      66.96     1.83     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   64   +1      68.38     2.26     1.40     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   61  +11      63.60     1.82    10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           42   58   -7      61.85     2.44    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   55   +5      58.72     2.20     4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   55  -17      57.47     1.78   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   54  -12      56.06     1.72   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury      43   48   -8      52.23     2.27    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Colchester      43   47  -21      50.65     2.24   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.70R    0.00  
Oldham          42   44  -14      48.88     2.58   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   42  -26      45.04     2.12   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.85R    0.18  
Portsmouth      44   39  -20      41.40     1.80   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R    3.72  
Hartlepool      44   39  -28      41.08     1.72   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R    9.76  
Bury            43   34  -30      37.30     2.19   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.34  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           44   82  +28      85.78     1.78    29.58    98.92   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   76  +35      79.48     1.85    36.12     1.08    98.93   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   73   +6      75.21     1.80     5.19     0.00    36.92   100.00    49.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71   +6      73.68     1.82     5.91     0.00    16.22   100.00    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   70  +10      74.46     2.28    10.50     0.00    38.68    99.60    55.89P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   68   +7      71.78     2.19     6.40     0.00     6.10    94.65    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   65  +12      69.37     2.28    12.40     0.00     3.14    73.75    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   64   +6      66.75     1.82     6.03     0.00     0.00    15.54     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   61  +10      65.80     2.26    10.98     0.00     0.00    15.55     5.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   60   +1      62.74     1.85     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -7      61.76     1.85    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   59   -8      61.80     1.84    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   58   +6      62.87     2.27     7.11     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   58   +0      61.04     1.85     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   58   -9      62.18     2.29    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   -5      57.47     1.79    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   51   -5      53.92     1.82    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -15      53.50     1.82   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.16  
Plymouth             43   49   -8      52.26     2.15    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.42R    1.94  
York                 44   49  -12      51.18     1.76   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.63R    5.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   49  -23      50.93     1.66   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.38R   12.34  
Barnet               43   48  -10      51.31     2.17   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.01R    8.97  
Torquay              43   46  -10      50.57     2.26    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.71R   13.87  
Aldershot            43   45  -15      48.64     2.21   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.37R   57.07  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2013, Braintree_Town 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Kidderminster      45   90  +38      92.12     1.21    39.17    56.22   100.00    67.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   89  +38      91.87     1.88    38.19    43.78   100.00    59.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   84  +28      86.18     1.79    27.15     0.00   100.00    15.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   79  +30      82.45     1.77    31.11     0.00   100.00    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   77  +28      80.40     1.86    28.98     0.00   100.00    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford           44   67   +7      70.07     1.87     7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   65  +16      68.32     1.84    16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford           44   63   +4      65.66     1.79     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             44   62   -6      64.38     1.83    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62  -10      64.13     1.71   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   60   +4      65.43     2.25     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   60   -6      61.54     1.31    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   59   +0      60.20     1.28    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   57   -6      58.18     1.28    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hyde_United        45   55   -8      56.47     1.32    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton           45   54   -9      55.07     1.24    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   54  -12      55.14     1.29   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   53  -11      54.28     1.30   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   51   -5      54.57     1.85    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   51  -15      53.72     1.87   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   49  -15      50.74     1.66   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   46  -37      47.28     1.31   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   38  -30      41.03     2.11   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.32  
AFC_Telford        45   35  -23      36.02     1.24   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.68